Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 7/4/19
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Weekly Total Talk
Joe Williams
Ray Of Hope
The over is the play when the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays hook up in St. Petersburg. The over has connected in each of the past four games against teams with a winning record, and the over is a whopping 36-13-2 in the past 51 road games for the Yankees. In addition, the over is 18-7-1 in the past 26 on the road against winning teams, 5-1 in the past six against divisional foes and 15-7 in the past 22 overall. However, LHP JA Happ puts that to the test, as the under is 4-1-1 in the past six starts overall, and 5-1 in his past six outings against an American League East opponent.
For the Rays, the over is 2-0-2 in the past four games overall, and 2-0-2 in the past four home games, too. The over is also 3-0-1 in the past four inside the division while going 8-3-2 in Tampa Bay's past 13 games against teams with a winning percentage over .600. As far as Yonny Chirinos is concerned, the under is 5-0-1 in the past six games overll, and 5-0-1 in his past six against teams with a winning overall record, too. However, in this series, the over is 5-0-1 in the past six battles at Tropicana Field.
Looking Ahead
Thursday, July 4
The Phillies and Braves play in the third game of a three-game set at SunTrust Park in Atlanta. The over has connected in six of the past eight road games against teams with a winning record for Philadelphia. The over is also 8-3 in their past 11 overall against winning teams, and 7-3-1 in the past 11 road games vs. RHP. The over is also 3-1-1 in RHP Zach Eflin's past five against winning teams. Fort he Braves, the over is 11-2-1 in the past 14 home games vs. RHP, while going 4-1-1 in RHP Mike Soroka's past six outings. The under is 7-2-1 in Atlanta's past 10, however, and 5-0 in Soroka's past five starts against a team with a winning record.
RHP Dinelson Lamet returns from the 10-day injured list for the Padres, and he will face LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu of the Dodgers. The over is 2-0-2 in San Diego's past four road outings, while cashing in each of their past seven divisional games. The over is also 18-7-5 in the past 30 games overall for the Padres, and 7-3 in the past 10 road games vs. LHP. While the under is 5-2 in the past seven for Lamet, and 5-2 in his past seven starts against winning teams, he might not go terribly deep in this one, so the total will depend on the bullpen. The over is 5-1-1 in L.A.'s past seven games overall, and 7-1-2 in their past 10 vs. RHP. The over is also a perfect 6-0 in the past six against teams with a losing overall mark. In this series, the over is 8-2-1 in the past 11 meetings, and 12-3-1 in the past 16 in L.A.
Wind Report
Winds will be rather variable across all MLB venues with the exception of one stadium. The Angels and Rangers wrap up their three-game set on Thursday in Arlington. The winds will be gusting in from 10-13 mph from right field into the face of the batters.
Friday, July 5
The Phillies and Mets kick off a new series at Citi Field with RHP Vince Velasequez agaisnt RHP Jacob deGrom. It's been all under all the time for Velasquez. The under is 8-1 in the past nine starts overall, while going 5-1 in his past six road outings. The under is also 5-1 in his past six against NL East clubs, and 5-0 in his past five starts against a losing team. For the Mets, the under is 3-0-2 in their past five against right-handed starting pitching heading into Thursday's game. The over is 16-6-4 in the past 26 for the Mets after a scheduled day off, and 8-3-2 in the past 13 against NL East foes. The over is 6-2-1 in deGrom's past nine starts overall, while going 3-0-1 in deGrom's past four against NL East teams.
The Marlins and Braves open a new series in Atlanta. RHP Jordan Yamamoto and RHP Julio Teheran will lock horns at SunTrust Park in the opener. The under is 8-2 in the past 10 road games, and 8-2 in their past 10 on the road against teams with a winning home record. The under is also 7-2 in the past nine on the road vs. RHP. The under is 7-2-1 in the past 10 games overall, but the over is 15-5-1 in their past 21 at home heading into Thursday's battle. For Teheran, the over is 4-0 in his past four at home, 4-0 in his past four at home against teams with a losing record, and 8-3 in his past 11 when working on five days of rest. The over is also 5-1 in Teheran's past six home outings against the Marlins.
LHP Eric Lauer of the Padres squares off against LHP Clayton Kershaw, who is looking to bounce back after a loss at Coors Field against the Rockies last time out. The over is an impressive 5-1-2 in the past eight road outings by Lauer, and 5-2 in his past seven inside the division. However, the under is 6-2-2 in the past 10 starts against a team with a winning overall record, and 5-2-1 in the past eight starts overall. The over is 5-1 across Kershaw's past six outings at Chavez Ravine, and 7-3 in his past 10 starts overall. The over is also 9-2-1 in his past 12 starts against teams with a losing overall mark, too.
Wind Report
All outdoor venues on Friday will face winds of 9 mph or less. Perhaps the only place winds will play a factor will be the Cardinals-Giants battle at Oracle Park, with winds blowing 8-11 mph to the left-center field power alley.
901Miami -902 Washington
MIAMI is 11-31 SU (-23.1 Units) when playing on Thursday in the last 3 seasons.
903Milwaukee -904 Cincinnati
MILWAUKEE is 6-14 SU (-12.3 Units) in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.
905Chicago Cubs -906 Pittsburgh
PITTSBURGH is 18-24 SU (-13.1 Units) with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) in the current season.
907Philadelphia -908 Atlanta
ATLANTA is 32-26 SU (11.4 Units) vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.
909San Diego -910 La Dodgers
SAN DIEGO is 21-36 SU (-24 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.
911Cleveland -912 Kansas City
CLEVELAND is 26-43 SU (-28.1 Units) in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
913Detroit -914 Chi White Sox
CHI WHITE SOX is 8-0 SU (8.8 Units) in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better in the current season.
915Minnesota -916 Oakland
OAKLAND is 48-45 SU (11.6 Units) in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game over the last 2 seasons.
917Ny Yankees -918 Tampa Bay
NY YANKEES are 23-8 SU (16.9 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.
919Boston -920 Toronto
BOSTON is 9-0 SU (9 Units) on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 in the current season.
921La Angels -922 Texas
TEXAS are 25-12 SU (14.3 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.
923St Louis -924 Seattle
ST LOUIS are 6-13 SU (-12.3 Units) in road games vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game in the current season.
National League
Marlins (32-52) @ Nationals (44-41)
Hernandez is 1-2, 4.03 in four starts. Team in his starts: 2-2
5-inning record: 1-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4 Over/under: 1-2-1
Sanchez is 3-0, 3.38 in his last four starts; he is 1-2, 3.33 in six games (5 starts) vs Miami. Team in his starts: 5-1 last six
5-inning record: 8-4-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-15 Over/under: over 5-2 last seven
Marlins lost six of last eight games; under is 8-2 in their last ten road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-3-1 last nine games.
Washington won 17 of its last 22 games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-8 last 17 games.
Brewers (46-41) @ Reds (40-44)
Woodruff is 2-0, 2.45 in his last two starts; he is 2-1, 5.93 in four games (2 starts) vs Cincy. Team in his starts: 14-3
5-inning record: 12-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-17 Over/under: 11-6
Castillo is 1-2, 3.97 in his last four starts; he is 0-2, 7.43 in three starts vs Milwaukee this year. Team in his starts: 8-9
5-inning record: 11-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-17 Over/under: under 4-1 last five
Brewers won four of last seven games; seven of their last eight games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-0 last eight games.
Cincinnati won eight of last ten home games; under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2 last eight home games.
Cubs (45-42) @ Pirates (42-43)
Quintana is 1-1, 6.46 in his last three starts; he is 2-1, 2.31 in six starts vs Pittsburgh. Team in his starts: 1-6 last seven
5-inning record: 7-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-16 Over/under: 8-8
Lyles is 0-4, 6.16 in his last four starts; he is 3-2, 3.59 in 13 games (7 starts) vs Chicago. Team in his starts: 8-5
5-inning record: 6-6-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-13 Over/under: last three under
Cubs are 6-18 in last 24 road games; under is 5-4-2 in their last 11 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-3-1 last eight road games.
Pittsburgh won its last seven home games; four of their last six games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-5-1 last 12 games.
Phillies (45-41) @ Braves (51-36)
Eflin is 1-1, 6.35 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 1.57 in three starts vs Atlanta. Team in his starts: 7-9
5-inning record: 7-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-16 Over/under: 7-9
Soroka is 2-0, 3.14 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 11-3
5-inning record: 10-3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-14 Over/under: over 4-1-1 last six
Phillies are 6-3 in last nine games; over is 6-2-2 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-4-1 last ten games.
Atlanta won seven of last 11 games; over is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2 last seven games.
Padres (42-44) @ Dodgers (59-29)
Lamet is making his first MLB start since 2017 (elbow); he is 7-8, 4.57 in 21 MLB starts, 0-2, 4.09 in two starts vs LA. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0
Ryu is 0-1, 5.09 in his last four starts; he is 7-1, 2.26 in 10 starts vs SD. Team in his starts: 11-5
5-inning record: 12-3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-16 Over/under: 8-7-1
San Diego lost its last four games; they’re 2-7 in last nine road series openers- over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-4 last nine home games.
LA won its last eight home games, last five on walkoffs; they’re 9-4 in home seres openers- over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-2 last nine games.
American League
Indians (47-38) @ Royals (29-58)
Plesac is 1-2, 3.91 in four road starts. Team in his starts: 4-3
5-inning record: 2-3-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-7 Over/under: last three over
Bailey is 3-0, 2.25 in his last four starts; he is 4-4, 5.03 in 10 starts vs Cleveland. Team in his starts: 4-1 last five
5-inning record: 8-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-17 Over/under: 8-8-1
Indians are 13-5 in last 18 games; over is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-2 last six games.
Royals lost eight of last 11 games; under is 8-3 in last 11 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-2 last six games.
Tigers (27-54) @ White Sox (41-42)
Boyd is 0-2, 6.21 in his last five starts; he is 2-5, 4.30 in 11 starts vs Chicago. Team in his starts: 1-8 last nine
5-inning record: 6-8-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-17 Over/under: over 4-1 last five
Lopez is 0-1, 5.71 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts vs Detroit this year. Team in his starts: 8-9
5-inning record: 8-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-17 Over/under: over 5-2 last seven
Tigers lost 11 of last 12 games; under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-3 last eight games.
Chicago won five of last six games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-5 last 12 games.
Twins (54-31) @ A’s (47-40)
Berrios is 0-2, 3.10 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts vs Oakland. Team in his starts: 12-5
5-inning record: 9-3-5Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-17 Over/under: 9-5-3
TAnderson is 0-3, 7.13 in four starts. Team in his starts: 0-4
5-inning record: 1-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4 Over/under: 1-3
Twins lost four of last six games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six games.
Oakland won 11 of last 15 games; over is 5-3 in last eight home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-5 last 13 home games.
Bronx (54-29) @ Rays (50-36)
Happ is 1-1, 9.00 in his last three starts; he is 5-4, 4.30 in 18 games (17 starts) vs TB. Team in his starts: 11-5
5-inning record: 8-6-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-16 Over/under: under 4-1 last five
Bullpen game for the Rays. Team in bullpen games: 14-11
5-inning record: 14-8-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-25 Over/under: 11-11-3
Bronx won 14 of last 16 games; they’re 1-4 in last five road series openers- over is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 11-5 last 16 games.
Rays won five of last seven games; they’re 8-6 in home series openers- under is 3-2-2 in last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.
Red Sox (45-41) @ Blue Jays (33-54)
Porcello is 1-1, 5.85 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 4.50 in two starts vs Toronto this year. Team in his starts: 9-8
5-inning record: 9-7-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-17 Over/under: under 5-1 last six
Stroman is 2-1, 3.13 in his last four starts; he is 2-0, 0.75 in two starts vs Boston this year. Team in his starts: 7-11
5-inning record: 6-9-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-18 Over/under: 7-9-2
Red Sox lost four of last five games; over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-3 last 11 games.
Toronto won five of last seven home games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-1 last seven games.
Angels (44-43) @ Rangers (46-40)
Canning is 1-2, 4.24 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 6-5
5-inning record: 5-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-11 Over/under: 3-7-1
Lynn is 3-0, 2.45 in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 2.84 vs LAA this year. Team in his starts: 11-6
5-inning record: 10-5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-17 Over/under: under 7-0-1 last eight
Angels lost three of their last five games; under is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2 last eight road games.
Rangers lost their last four games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2-1 last nine games.
Interleague
Cardinals (42-42) @ Mariners (38-52)
Wacha is 1-2, 4.76 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 6-7
5-inning record: 8-3-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-13 Over/under: 8-5
Milone is 0-1, 2.11 in his last four games; they usually use an opener ahead of him. Team in his starts: 1-3
5-inning record: 1-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4 Over/under: 1-3
Cardinals lost six of last eight games; over is 6-3-2 in their last 11 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 10-3-1 last 14 games.
Seattle lost five of its last six games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1-1 last seven games.
%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 7/1
Ariz 15-47……9-36…….24
Atl 14-42…..14-38……28
Cubs 10-37……15-44…..25
Reds 14-41……13-36…..27
Colo 10-42……16-39……25
LA 11-42……18-39……29
Mia 7-36……11-44…….18
Milw 14-37…..17-44…..31
Mets 17-46……10-35…..27
Philly 10-39…..16-42…….26
Pitt 14-43…..10-36……24
StL 11-40…..8-38……..19
SD 14-37……11-44…..25
SF 4-40……8-43……..12
Wash 13-41…..12-37……,25
Orioles 12-39…….15-39..…..27
Boston 9-41……..12-39…….21
W Sox 9-41…….15-37……..24
Clev 12-36…..13-42……..25
Det 11-34……12-43……..23
Astros 14-39…..10-45……..24
KC 12-44…..15-39……..27
Angels 15-42……10-38…….25
Twins 16-44……10-39……26
NYY 13-37……14-44……27
A’s 7-45…….10-38……17
Sea 11-45…..13-41…….24
TB 16-42…..13-39…….29
Texas 13-39…..14-41…….27
Toronto 10-40…..12-42…….22
Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL– 41-36 NL, favorites -$1,653 over 37-34-3
AL @ NL– 36-29 NL, favorites -$936 over 37-29-2
Total: 77-63 NL, favorites -$2,589 Over 74-63-5
MLB
Thursday, July 4
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Trend Report
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Miami Marlins
Miami is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
Miami is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Washington
Miami is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Miami's last 13 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Nationals
Washington is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Miami
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 13 games when playing at home against Miami
Cleveland Indians
Cleveland is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Kansas City
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Detroit is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
Detroit is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Detroit is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chicago White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing Detroit
Chi White Sox is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Detroit
Chi White Sox is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Detroit
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 15 games when playing Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Cincinnati's last 25 games
Cincinnati is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cincinnati's last 15 games when playing Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Chi Cubs is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Chi Cubs is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chi Cubs's last 14 games when playing Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Pittsburgh's last 20 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 14 games when playing Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Oakland
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Minnesota is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Oakland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
Oakland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Oakland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Oakland is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Minnesota
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
St. Louis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle Mariners
Seattle is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 12 games at home
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games
NY Yankees is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of NY Yankees's last 22 games
NY Yankees is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of NY Yankees's last 23 games on the road
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
NY Yankees is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Boston Red Sox
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Boston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Boston is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Toronto is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
Philadelphia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Philadelphia is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Philadelphia is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Atlanta's last 16 games at home
Atlanta is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Los Angeles Angels
LA Angels is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
LA Angels is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
LA Angels is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
LA Angels is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
LA Angels is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Angels's last 11 games when playing Texas
LA Angels is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Angels's last 9 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas Rangers
Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 9 games
Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Texas's last 22 games at home
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 11 games when playing LA Angels
Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 9 games when playing at home against LA Angels
San Diego Padres
San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
San Diego is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 9 games on the road
San Diego is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 11 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Diego is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
San Diego is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games
LA Dodgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 11 games when playing San Diego
LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego
LA Dodgers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games when playing at home against San Diego
MLB
Dunkel
Thursday, July 4
Miami @ Washington
Game 901-902
July 4, 2019 @ 11:05 am
Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Hernandez) 14.445
Washington
(Sanchez) 15.992
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-200
10
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-200); Over
Cleveland @ Kansas City
Game 911-912
July 4, 2019 @ 1:15 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Plesac) 15.449
Kansas City
(Bailey) 12.465
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-130); Over
Detroit @ Chicago White Sox
Game 913-914
July 4, 2019 @ 2:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Boyd) 12.948
Chicago White Sox
(Lopez) 15.439
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-105); Under
Milwaukee @ Cincinnati
Game 903-904
July 4, 2019 @ 2:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Woodruff) 13.694
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 16.974
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+115); Under
Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh
Game 905-906
July 4, 2019 @ 4:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Quntana) 14.643
Pittsburgh
(Lyles) 17.658
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-130
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+110); Under
Minnesota @ Oakland
Game 915-916
July 4, 2019 @ 4:07 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Berrios) 15.712
Oakland
(Anderson) 16.800
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-140
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+120); Under
St. Louis @ Seattle
Game 923-924
July 4, 2019 @ 4:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Wacha) 15.130
Seattle
(Carasiti) 12.636
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
N/A
NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay
Game 917-918
July 4, 2019 @ 5:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Happ) 17.207
Tampa Bay
(Chirinos) 15.677
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-120); Over
Boston @ Toronto
Game 919-920
July 4, 2019 @ 7:07 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Velazquez) 15.008
Toronto
(Stroman) 15.988
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-115
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-105); Under
Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Game 907-908
July 4, 2019 @ 7:20 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Eflin) 14.160
Atlanta
(Soroka) 17.846
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-165
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-165); Under
LA Angels @ Texas
Game 921-922
July 4, 2019 @ 8:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Canning) 15.524
Texas
(Lynn) 13.769
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-140
11
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+120); Over
San Diego @ LA Dodgers
Game 909-910
July 4, 2019 @ 9:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Lamet) 12.817
LA Dodgers
(Ryu) 16.318
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-220
8
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-220); Over
By: Rohit Ponnaiya
STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS
STREAKING
Lance Lynn, Texas Rangers (10-4, 4.00 ERA, $588 ): Lynn has been flying under the radar despite a solid season. He's been even better recently, going 4-0 with a 2.90 ERA and 0.92 WHIP over his last six starts.
Tonight he'll face off against Griffin Canning (and likely Felix Pena in the middle innings) and the Los Angeles Angels. The Rangers are -134 faves with the O/U set at 11. The Rangers are 7-1 in Lynn's last eight starts on the road, and the Under has cashed in seven of Lynn's last eight starts overall.
SLUMPING
Jordan Lyles, Pittsburgh Pirates (5-4, 3.71 ERA, $475): Midway through May, Lyles was one of the top pitchers in the majors with a 4-1 record and 1.97 ERA. Since then he's gone 1-3 over five starts with a 6.93 ERA and 1.54 WHIP, while also missing time with a hamstring injury.
Today, Lyle and the Pirates host the Cubs who are just 16-26 on the road. Despite losing the first three games in this series, Chicago is a -125 favorite with Jose Quintana (5-7, 4.21 ERA) getting the start.
THREE STRIKES
EARLY START IN THE NATION'S CAPITAL
The 11:00 am game between the Marlins and Nationals features plenty of Under trends. The Under is 8-2 in the Marlins last 10 road games and 4-1-1 in pitcher Elieser Hernandez's last six starts. The Under has also cashed in four of the Nationals last five games and their starting pitcher Anibal Sanchez has a 2.21 ERA over his previous seven starts.
With the Under also hitting in four of the last five games between these two teams in Washington, the Under 10 is worth a look.
THIRD TIME'S THE CHARM?
The Brewers are coming off a 3-0 loss to the Reds and are 1-4 in thier last five games on the road, but they're -130 favorites today in Cincinnati despite facing off against Reds ace Luis Castillo.
There are a few good reasons for that. The Brewers will have Brandon Woodruff on the mound and they are 11-1 over his last 12 starts. Milwaukee is also 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these teams in Cincy. And here's the kicker: While Castillo has been excellent on the season going 7-3 with a 2.47 ERA, his two worst starts of the year both came against the Brew Crew. Over those two games, Castillo gave up eight runs over 6 2-3 innings.
HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE
The Braves are 11-3 in their last 14 home games and will have rookie Mike Soroka on the mound to face the visiting Phillies. Soroka is 5-0 with a 1.29 ERA and .171 BAA in eight starts at home.
Philadelphia will start Zach Eflin but they are just 2-6 in his last eight starts and are 2-7 over their last nine games on the road. The Phillies are also 2-8 in their last ten games in Atlanta. The Braves are -155 favorites with the total installed at 10.5.