Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Tuesday 7/28/20
951TORONTO -952 WASHINGTON
TORONTO is 14-4 SU (11.5 Units) in road games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=38%) over the last 2 seasons.
951TORONTO -952 WASHINGTON
CHARLIE MONTOYO is 14-4 SU (9.6 Units) in road games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=38%) (Coach of TORONTO)
953NY YANKEES -954 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 72-113 SU (-49 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse since 1996.
955ATLANTA -956 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 66-47 SU (14.3 Units) in home games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.
957CHICAGO CUBS -958 CINCINNATI
CHICAGO CUBS are 31-21 SU (7.9 Units) when the total is 10 or higher in the last 3 seasons.
959MILWAUKEE -960 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 158-145 SU (-1.5 Units) in home games in July games since 1996.
961CHI WHITE SOX -962 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 32-22 SU (11.8 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
963KANSAS CITY -964 DETROIT
DETROIT is 15-35 SU (-23.3 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
965BALTIMORE -966 MIAMI
BALTIMORE is 24-43 SU (-17.5 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
967NY METS -968 BOSTON
BOSTON is 98-82 SU (28.4 Units) in home games with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) since 1996.
969ST LOUIS -970 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 13-4 SU (8.6 Units) in home games after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
969ST LOUIS -970 MINNESOTA
ROCCO BALDELLI is 13-4 SU (8.6 Units) in home games after a win by 4 runs or more (Coach of MINNESOTA)
971ARIZONA -972 TEXAS
ARIZONA is 18-8 SU (13.3 Units) when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=38%) in the last 3 seasons.
973LA DODGERS -974 HOUSTON
LA DODGERS are 2-16 SU (-16 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.
975SEATTLE -976 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 53-43 SU (14.8 Units) vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.
977COLORADO -978 OAKLAND
COLORADO is 137-160 SU (-39 Units) in road games in July games since 1996.
979SAN DIEGO -980 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN DIEGO is 4-19 SU (-15.2 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
MLB
Tuesday, July 28
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Trend Report
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Toronto @ Washington
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington
Washington is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
Washington is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
NY Yankees @ Philadelphia
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Chi Cubs @ Cincinnati
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta @ Tampa Bay
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Chi White Sox @ Cleveland
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games
Kansas City @ Detroit
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games
Detroit is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Kansas City
NY Mets @ Boston
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games when playing at home against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
St. Louis @ Minnesota
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of St. Louis's last 15 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Arizona @ Texas
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers @ Houston
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games at home
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Seattle @ LA Angels
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels
LA Angels is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
LA Angels is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Colorado @ Oakland
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oakland's last 11 games
San Diego @ San Francisco
San Diego
San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Diego
Tuesday, July 28
Not a lot to go on for the first week or so; this is uncharted territory for all of us. We’ll have trends up and running after a few days.
National League
Chicago @ Cincinnati
Cubs (3-1):
Mills is 1-1, 3.77 in 19 MLB games (6 starts); he’s allowed five runs in 17.2 IP against the Reds.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0
— Cubs won three of their first four games.
Reds (1-3):
Mahle is 11-23, 4.88 in 52 career starts, 2-1, 3.64 in five starts vs Chicago.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Reds lost three of their first four games.
Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh
Brewers (2-2):
Lindblom has appeared in 114 MLB games (6 starts); his last start was in 2014. This is his first MLB game since 2017.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0
— Milwaukee split its first four games, all on the road.
Pirates (1-3):
Holland is 1-0, 1.74 in 11 games (2 starts) vs Milwaukee; he’s started 222 MLB games, but only one LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Pirates lost three of their first four games.
— Over is 3-1 in their games.
San Diego @ San Francisco
Padres (3-1):
Davies is 0-2, 2.05 in four starts against the Giants.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0
— Padres won three of their first four games.
— San Diego’s last three games stayed under the total.
Giants (2-2):
Samardzija is 9-4, 3.51 in 21 games (19 starts) vs San Diego.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Giants split their first four games, had yesterday off.
American League
Chicago @ Cleveland
White Sox (1-2):
Cease allowed four runs in 6.2 IP in his one start vs Cleveland.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0
Rodon is 5-3, 2.49 in 14 starts vs Cleveland, 4-2, 2.17 in eight starts here.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0
— Chicago lost two of its first three games (over 3-0).
— White Sox starting pitchers have thrown only 9.2 innings in three games.
Indians (2-1):
Civale is 1-1, 5.40 in two starts vs Chicago.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
Plutko is 1-1, 7.94 in three games (2 starts) vs Chicago.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0
— Cleveland won two of its first three games.
Kansas City @ Detroit
Royals (2-2):
KC hasn’t listed a starter for this game.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0
— Royals split their first four games.
Tigers (2-2):
Agrazal was 4-5, 4.91 in 14 starts as a rookie, this is his first game vs KC.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Detroit split its first four games
Seattle @ Angels
Mariners (1-3):
Sheffield was 0-1, 5.50 in 8 games (7 starts) LY, this is his first game against the Angels.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0
— Mariners lost three of first four games; they haven’t had a starter finish five innings yet.
Angels (1-3):
Sandoval was 0-4, 5.03 in 10 games (9 starts) as a rookie LY; this is his first start vs Seattle.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Angels lost three of first four games,
Interleague
Toronto @ Washington
Blue Jays (2-2):
Former National Roark allowed four runs in six IP in his one start vs Washington.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0
— Toronto split its first four games, all on the road.
Nationals (1-3):
Voth is 3-2, 4.02 in 13 career games (10 starts); he’s never pitched against Toronto.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Nationals lost three of first four games, scoring four runs in the three losses.
— Soto (COVID) is out for Washington.
Atlanta @ Tampa Bay
Braves (2-2):
Wright is 0-3, 7.71 in 11 career games (4 starts).
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0
— Braves split their first four games, all on the road.
Rays (3-1):
Chirinos is 14-10, 3.71 in 44 career games (25 starts); he allowed five runs in five IP in one relief stint vs Atlanta.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Rays won three of first four games, scoring 20 runs in last two games.
Bronx @ Philadelphia
Bronx (2-1):
Former Phillie (2007-10) Happ is 5-0, 1.45 in five starts vs his old team.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0
— Bronx won two of first three games, despite scoring nine runs.
Phillies (1-2):
Arrieta is 4-2, 4.06 in six starts vs New York.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Phillies lost two of three at home vs Miami, giving up 17 runs.
Mets @ Boston
Mets (2-2):
Mets haven’t announced a starter yet.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0
— Mets split their first four games.
Red Sox (1-3):
Hall has allowed 36 runs in 31.1 IP in 21 career relief stints.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
— Boston lost its last three games, allowing 7-7-7 runs.
MLB public betting, line movement, sharp money for July 28
Patrick Everson
Walker Buehler set for his first start (14-4, 3.26 ERA in 2019) vs. Houston on Tuesday. Follow the latest odds trends for all the day's MLB action.
MLB betting odds for Tuesday’s games are on the board and seeing early action, as baseball tries to beat back COVID-19. Among the highlights is the opener of a quickie two-game set between the L.A. Dodgers and the Houston Astros.
PointsBet USA’s Patrick Eichner provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s matchups. Covers will update this action report with MLB sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout Tuesday.
MLB line movement
PointsBet USA opened the Dodgers -140 Monday night, and it didn’t take long for Los Angeles to reach -160, with Walker Buehler set for his first start (14-4, 3.26 ERA in 2019). The Astros, in turn, went from +120 to +135 home underdogs for a 9:10 p.m. ET start.
Later Monday, L.A. ticked back to -150 and Houston to +130.
The St. Louis Cardinals-Minnesota Twins tilt opened St. Louis -115 and host Minnesota even money, then flipped in pretty short order to Twins -125/Cards +105. First pitch is 8:10 p.m. ET.
And PointsBet USA opened the Atlanta Braves -145/Tampa Bay Rays +125, which didn’t hold up long at all, sprinting to Rays -131/Braves +110 for a 6:40 p.m. ET meeting in Tampa Bay.
MLB sharp money
Eichner said PointsBet USA saw early sharp money on the Twins, guiding Minnesota’s shift from underdog to favorite against St. Louis.