MLB Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Picks & Predictions for Sunday, July 22
By ATSSportsline.com
BOSTON, MA (ATS Consultants) - The Toronto Blue Jays wrap up a series in Fenway Park this afternoon when they take on the Boston Red Sox at 1:35. It'll be Henderson Alvarez for the Jays, while the Sox will send Jon Lester to the mound.
Odds: The oddsmakers have installed the Red Sox as a -170 favorite over the Blue Jays. The total is 9.5 in most books.
Line Movement: The Red Sox opened as a -170 favorite and remained there at most books. The total started at 9.5 and remained there at most books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 55% of public bettors favor the Red Sox. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB Free Pick: Boston is a heavy favorite at -175, with the total at 9.5. We'll take the OVER in this one, with two pitchers who haven't been sharp of late. Let's take a look at some of the trends heading in to this one. Over is 3-1-1 in Blue Jays last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 5-2-1 in Blue Jays last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Over is 4-1 in Alvarezs last 5 starts on grass. Over is 4-1 in Alvarezs last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. Over is 4-1 in Alvarezs last 5 starts overall. Alvarez has clearly been struggling, but the Red Sox seem to play high scoring games when Lester pitches as well. Let's take a look: Over is 5-0 in Lesters last 5 starts vs. American League East. Over is 4-1 in Lesters last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Over is 6-2 in Lesters last 8 starts as a home favorite. Over is 6-2 in Lesters last 8 home starts.
SUNDAY MLB FREE PICK: TORONTO/BOSTON OVER 9.5
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