MLB Diamondbacks vs. Reds Picks & Predictions for Wednesday, July 18
By ATSSportsline.com
CINCINNATI, OH (ATS Consultants) – This is the third game of a four-game series, with Cincinnati winning the second game, 4-0 on Tuesday night.
Ian Kennedy takes the mound for the D-backs against Mat Latos for the Reds. The opening pitch starts at 7:10pmET from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.
ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Reds as a -140 favorite over the Diamondbacks The total is 8 in most books. Arizona comes in with a 43-47 overall record and is 41-47 Under, while Cincinnati is 51-39 overall and is 34-52 Under.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Reds opened as a -146 favorite and moved down to -140 at most books. The total started at 8 and remained there at most books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 80% of public bettors favor the Reds. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB FREE PICK: Take the under. According to latest MLB trends, Arizona is 3-13 Under last 16 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 4-12-1 Under last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning record, 7-18-1 Under last 26 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 4-9 Under last 13 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game, 6-20 Under in Kennedy’s last 26 starts following a team loss in their previous game, 7-18-2 Under in Kennedy’s last 27 starts during game 3 of a series and is 7-16 Under in Kennedy’s last 23 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Reds are 4-21-2 Under last 27 overall, 3-13 Under last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 4-15-2 Under in Reds last 21 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game, 4-11 Under in Reds last 15 Wednesday games and is 7-18-1 Under last 26 games as a favorite. Mat Latos has put together 15 consecutive starts without a defeat since losing to the St. Louis Cardinals on April 18. The right-hander has limited batters to a .190 average in two July starts. Arizona has scored just 40 runs this month and was blanked in Tuesday’s loss. That’s not a good sign for the D-backs but a good one for the under.
WEDNESDAY MLB FREE PICK: DIAMONDBACKS/REDS UNDER 8
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