MLB Nationals vs. Braves Picks & Predictions for Sunday, September 16
By Anthony Rome
ATLANTA, GA (ATS Consultants) – This is the final game of a three-game series. The Braves have won the first two games of the series, including Saturday's 5-4 victory. Gio Gonzalez takes the mound for the Nationals, while Mike Minor goes to the hill for the Braves. The opening pitch starts at 8:05pmET from Turner Field in Atlanta.
ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Nats as a -110 favorite over the Braves. The total is 7.5 in most books. The Nats come in with a 89-56 overall record and are 70-66 Over, while the Braves are 83-63 overall and are 63-78 Under.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Nats opened as a -120 favorite and moved down to -110 at most books. The total started at 7.5 and remained there at most books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 82% of public bettors favor the Nationals. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB FREE PICK: Take Washington. According to latest MLB trends, the Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games, 20-7 in their last 27 games as a road favorite, are 22-8 in their last 30 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150, 11-4 in their last 15 vs. a team with a winning record, 10-4 in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 36-15 in their last 51 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 36-16 in their last 52 overall, 38-17 in their last 55 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 6-0 in Gonzalez's last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance, 5-0 in Gonzalez's last 5 starts as a favorite, 9-2 in Gonzalez's last 11 starts with 5 days of rest, 13-3 in Gonzalez's last 16 road starts and are 22-7 in Gonzalez's last 29 starts on grass. Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 Sunday games. Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 3-8 in Minor's last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record and are 0-4 in Minor's last 4 Sunday starts. This is a big game for the Nats, who are looking to not get swept. If the Braves win, they will be just 5.5 games behind in the NL East. Washington's ace Gio Gonzalez will attempt to become the majors' first 20-game winner when the National League East rivals conclude their set on national television. Gonzalez is 3-0 with an 0.41 ERA in his last three starts.
SUNDAY MLB FREE PICK: WASHINGTON NATIONALS –110