NATIONAL LEAGUE
San Francisco (17-10) at N.Y. Mets (15-13)
The surging Giants continue a six-game East Coast road trip with a stop at Citi Field for weekend series, with left-hander Jonathan Sanchez (2-2, 2.48) slated to start for opposite the Mets’ Mike Pelfrey (4-1, 2.40).
San Francisco completed a three-game sweep of the Marlins in Florida with Thursday’s 6-3 victory, as Matt Cain pitched 5 2/3 hitless innings and cruised to his second win of the season. The Giants have now won nine of 12 since a four-game losing streak (all on the road). They’re also on positive runs of 6-1 against the N.L. East, 5-1 against right-handed starters, 4-1 on Friday and 18-5 in series openers.
New York capped a six-game road trip with Wednesday’s 5-4 loss in Cincinnati as it dropped four of its last five the trip following a season-best eight-game winning streak. Seven of those eight wins came in the Mets’ most recent homestand, which they finished with a 9-1 record. Additionally, New York has won four straight against the N.L. West, five of six on Friday and five of seven after a day off, but is just 9-23 in its last 32 versus lefty starters.
The Mets took five of eight meetings with San Francisco last year, splitting a four-game series at Citi Field. Going back to 2008, New York is on a 10-3 roll in this rivalry, and it has won six of the last eight clashes in Queens.
Sanchez gave up three runs on three hits and five walks over 4 2/3 innings in Sunday’s 4-1 home loss to Colorado. He’s now walked five batters in each of his last two starts (both at home), and he’s issued more free passes (18) than hits (17) this season. On the bright side, the 27-year-old has held eight straight opponents to three runs or less.
San Francisco has won seven of Sanchez’s last nine starts overall and six in a row when he pitches on Friday, but it is just 6-18 in his last 24 road efforts. In his only previous road start this season, Sanchez allowed just one run on one hit while striking out 10 in San Diego, but was saddled with a 1-0 loss. He’s 2-1 with a 3.91 ERA in six games (four starts) against the Mets, with San Francisco losing the last three starts, including two in New York (5-0 in 2008; 3-2 in 2009).
Pelfrey is coming off by far his worst performance of the season, as he lasted just four innings in Saturday’s 10-0 loss in Philadelphia, giving up six runs on eight hits. The right-hander entered that contest with a scoreless streak of 24 innings and extended that to 27 before allowing six runs in the fourth inning. In fact, Pelfrey had surrendered just two runs and 17 hits in his first five appearances (four starts) starts spanning 26 innings.
The Mets are on a 6-2 roll at home behind Pelfrey, who is 3-0 with a scant 1.00 ERA in three starts at Citi Field (two runs allowed in 18 innings). Also, Pelfrey has dominated the Giants in three career starts (two last year), giving up a total of four runs on 14 hits and three walks in 20 1/3 innings (1.77 ERA). New York won two of the three contests, with both wins coming at home.
The Giants have stayed under the total in 13 of 17 overall, five of seven on the road, eight of 10 against right-handed starters and four of five in series openers. Also, the under is 4-0 in Sanchez’s last four starts overall and 6-1-1 in his last eight road outings.
Meanwhile, New York is on “over” runs of 3-1-1 overall, 5-2 against the N.L. West, 5-2 after a day off and 4-1 when Pelfrey pitches on Friday, but it also carries “under” streaks of 8-3-1 at home, 10-2-1 at home against lefty starters, 6-0 in series openers, 5-2 in Pelfrey’s last seven starts overall and 6-2 in his last eight starts against the N.L. West.
Finally, the over is 9-5 in the last 14 Mets-Giants meetings going back to the start of 2008.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
AMERICAN LEAGUE
N.Y. Yankees (19-8) at Boston (15-14)
The Yankees make their second trip of the season to Fenway Park for a three-game weekend series against the hated Red Sox, with the red-hot Phil Hughes (3-0, 1.44 ERA) scheduled to start opposite Boston ace Josh Beckett (1-0, 6.31).
New York brings a four-game winning streak to Beantown, having completed a three-game home sweep of Baltimore with Wednesday’s 7-5 victory. New York has followed up a 1-4 slump by winning seven of eight, with all seven wins being by multiple runs. In fact, all 19 of the Yankees’ victories this year – and 25 of their 27 contests overall – have been decided by at least two runs. The defending champs are on additional runs of 38-15 overall, 42-14 against divisional foes, 60-22 versus right-handed starters and 23-10 on Friday.
Boston completed a four-game sweep of the Angels with Thursday’s 11-6 victory, rallying from a 4-0 first-inning deficit. In addition to winning their last four on the heels of a three-game slide, the Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 games, going 8-2 at Fenway during this stretch, and they’ve also taken four of their last five series openers. On the downside, Terry Francona’s troops are in ruts of 6-16 against the A.L. East, 1-4 on Friday and 4-17 versus opponents with a winning percentage higher than .600.
These teams opened the 2010 season against each other in Boston, with the Yankees taking two of the three contests. Since losing the first eight meetings with the Red Sox last year, New York is on an 11-2 roll against their archrivals, winning four of the last six at Fenway. Still, the home team is 15-6 in the last 21 head-to-head battles.
Hughes delivered another gem on Sunday at Yankee Stadium, scattering four hits and a walk while striking out six in seven innings of a 12-3 victory. Over his last three outings, Hughes is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA, allowing just two runs and seven hits while whiffing 18 in 20 innings, and that includes both of his road starts this year (two runs and three hits allowed in 13 innings). For his career, Hughes has actually performed better on the road (9-6, 3.76 ERA in 37 games, 17 starts) than at home (15-7, 4.04 ERA in 39 games, 15 starts).
New York is 6-2 in Hughes’ last eight starts dating to early 2009, but they’ve lost five of his last seven against N.L. East rivals. Also, he’s 0-2 with a 7.62 ERA in eight appearances (two starts) against the Red Sox, including 0-1 with a 10.29 ERA in three games (one start) at Fenway Park. In the two starts against Boston, Hughes has given up 11 runs (nine earned) in six innings, losing 8-5 on the road (2008) and 6-4 at home (2009). As a team, the Red Sox bat .302 against Hughes.
Beckett bounced back from a two-start funk in which he gave up 15 runs in 10 innings with a solid outing at Baltimore on Sunday, holding the Orioles to two runs on six hits with no walks and six strikeouts in seven innings. However, he didn’t factor in the decision as the Red Sox fell 3-2 in 10 innings. Boston has split Beckett’s last four starts, winning the two games in which he gave up 15 runs and losing two contests in which the veteran right-hander allowed just two earned runs in 14 innings.
The Red Sox are still 23-11 in Beckett’s last 34 starts overall, 15-4 in his last 19 at home, 14-6 in his last 20 against the A.L. East and 8-1 in his last nine when he starts a series. The Texas native doesn’t have a decision in three home starts this year, posting a bloated 5.79 ERA. That includes an ugly Opening Night performance against the Yankees on April 4 (five runs, eight hits, three walks in 4 2/3 innings), though his offense bailed him out and prevailed 9-7.
In fact, Boston is 8-3 in Beckett’s last 11 starts against the Yankees, including 5-2 in the last seven at home. In 18 career regular-season starts versus the Bronx Bombers, Beckett is 9-5 despite a hefty 5.51 ERA.
New York is on “over” runs of 14-5-2 on the road, 6-2-1 when starting a series, 3-1-1 against righty starters and 7-0-1 after a day off. However, the under is 3-1-1 in Hughes’ last five starts and 4-0 in his last four Friday contests.
The Sox are on “under” runs of 3-1-1 against the A.L. East, 4-1-1 versus right-handed starters and 6-1 when Beckett pitches on Friday. On the other hand, the over is 3-1-1 in Boston’s last five series openers, and behind Beckett, the “over” is on stretches of 12-5 overall, 8-2 at home, 7-2 versus A.L. East rivals and 6-1 in series openers.
Finally, the over cashed twice in the three-game Yanks-Sox series back in early April, and six of the last seven clashes at Fenway have climbed over the total. Also, the over is 7-3 in Beckett’s last 10 home starts against New York.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
MLB RoundUp For 5/7
By Dan Bebe
National League
Braves @ Phillies (-138) with a total of 10
Matt Diaz is batting over .400 off Moyer in his career with a pair driven in;
Troy Glaus is 19-for-57 with 5 HR off Moyer in his long career;
Chipper Jones is betting just under .400 off Moyer since '05 with a HR and 3 RBI;
Brian McCann is batting .364 off Moyer excluding this year with a HR and 6 RBI;
Martin Prado was 7-for-16 with a HR and 4 RBI off Moyer before 2010;
Chase Utley is batting .391 off Lowe since '05 with 2 HR.
We had this pitching match-up before, and I don't believe my stats page updated the player numbers. Still, Lowe got burned by some awful defense behind him in Atlanta's loss to Moyer and the Phils a few weeks back, and his 6-1 lifetime mark against Philly is pretty impressive. Moyer managed to get line drives hit right at his defense the last time he faced the Braves, and that was when Atlanta wasn't in deep slump. The Braves are the worst in the East, and the Phils are crushing in May. Tough to fade them, but this situation and value might merit it.
Marlins (-128) @ Nationals with a total of 9.5
Chris Coghlan is 3-for-5 off Stammen before this year;
Hanley Ramirez was 4-for-5 off Stammen going into 2010 with a HR and 3 RBI;
Adam Dunn is 5-for-8 off Volstad with an RBI;
Ryan Zimmerman is 4-for-8 with a HR and 2 RBI off Volstad.
Florida wins with offense, Washington is trying to win with starting pitching and some tape and glue, so this should be an interesting series. I'm not sure there's enough info floating around to warrant a play in this game, as Volstad has been pretty consistently "okay" this year, and Stammen has been pretty bad. Not enough plus-money value to take the home dog, not enough reason to take the road team with no bullpen laying chalk.
Cardinals (-235) @ Pirates with a total of 8
Matt Holliday is 6-for-13 with a HR and 4 RBI off Duke;
Ryan Ludwick is 6-for-18 with a HR off Duke;
Albert Pujols is batting .471 in 34 AB off Duke with 3 HR and 4 RBI since '05;
Ryan Doumit is 5-for-16 with 2 HR off Carpenter.
Chris Carpenter is 11-1 lifetime against the Bucs, so there's no reason to fade him. I know Duke has pitched pretty well against the Redbirds in his own career, but after a nice start to 2010, Duke has fallen back where we all figured he would. Pass.
Cubs (-120) @ Reds with a total of 9
Alfonso Soriano is a perfect 3-for-3 with a HR and 3 RBI off Bailey;
Orlando Cabrera is batting .409 in 22 AB with a HR and 2 RBI.
Homer Bailey was one of baseball's best pitchers last September, but the offseason seems to have set him back a few months. Carlos Silva has been one of the brightest spots in early 2010. His 2.90 ERA is about 3 full runs lower than what I expected, to be honest. I'd like to back the home dog, here, but I don't trust Bailey, and Silva's been far better than I think anyone would have expected. Likely a pass.
Giants @ Mets (-118) with a total of 7
Henry Blanco is 2-for-2 off Sanchez with both hits leaving the park.
Considering Sanchez has faced the Mets a few times there isn't much of note, here. Pelfrey finally had a regression-style start against the Phils, serving up a handful of runs. I wonder if this won't be a follow-up dud for Pelfrey, who was rolling along with all the confidence in the world, but clearly had his stuff shaken the last time out. Psychologically, this game screams Giants. The line sort of says the same thing.
Padres (-131) @ Astros with a total of 9
This is the battle of two pitchers that can't throw enough pitches to satisfy themselves. Obviously, I kid, but Latos and Norris both have solid stuff, but neither can seem to have a 10-pitch inning, well, ever. It makes the bullpens far too important, and it makes those first 3-4 innings far too volatile. This is far too much road chalk for an unproven rookie, and even though the Astros are terrible, and Norris has only pitched well against the Cards, this isn't a good deal.
Brewers (-150) @ D'backs with a total of 9.5
Joe Inglett is 5-for-11 off Edwin Jackson;
Adam LaRoche is 5-for-15 with a HR off Gallardo.
Edwin Jackson's 8.07 ERA has been a bit of a wet blanket on an otherwise decent start this year for Arizona. They're not beating down, and the pitching staff needs serious help, but the D'backs can flat-out rake at the dish, and that's been carrying them to a poor/mediocre start, but not a terrible one. The Brewers are fully feast-or-famine, but Gallardo has never allowed an earned run to Arizona, so it's tough to fade that. Milwaukee and the chalk or nothing - so, most likely, nothing.
Rockies @ Dodgers (-175) with a total of 8.5
Ian Stewart is 3-for-5 with 3 RBI off Kuroda.
To be completely frank, I have no idea how Kuroda has a 0-2, 7.00 ERA against the Rockies, when the current crop of Rox has barely faced him. I've also been pretty excited about getting back from vacationing and noting that I did play by play for quite a few games against Esmil Rogers, since the Rockies have a club in the California League. This kid has good stuff, but he might be a tad young to be a full time Big League starter. This side is super-inflated, but Kuroda is the one Dodger I don't think there's much purpose in fading. Pass.
American League
Tigers (-120) @ Indians with a total of 9
Shin-Soo Choo is 3-for-8 off Bonderman with 2 RBI.
Most of the damage the Indians have done came way back before he missed a bunch of time with injury. He has a very poor career record against Cleveland, but we have to remember that the Indians are a largely young team, now, and not the same quality club Bonderman had to face repeatedly back in, say, 2006, for example. David Huff is one of the more unlucky pitchers in baseball, but more than the pitchers here, these two teams are both coming off getting swept. No need to waste our time trying to grab the lesser of two evils.
Yankees @ Red Sox (-110) with a total of 9
Robinson Cano hits near .340 off Beckett with 3 HR and 10 RBI since '05;
Derek Jeter is batting .314 off Becket with 2 HR and 4 RBI since '05;
Jorge Posada is batting .323 off Beckett since '05;
Mike Lowell is 2-for-5 with a HR off Hughes.
Phil Hughes looks pretty comfortable as a starter, doesn't he? 3-0, 1.44 ERA so far this season, and looking to exorcise some demons, as he's 0-2 against the Sox in his career with an ERA over 7. Beckett is 9-5 against the Yanks, but that 5.51 career ERA against them means he's been getting some help. Beckett's offense seems to bail him out quite often, and I wonder if the Yankees don't put the wood to Beckett's poorly located stuff one more time.
Royals @ Rangers (-125) with a total of 8
Jose Guillen is 3-for-6 with a HR and 2 RBI off C.J. Wilson;
Ryan Garko is 5-for-14 off Greinke.
Poor Zack Greinke. 2.27 ERA should be good for one win a month, right? Nope. 0-3 this year, still mowing down fools, and still with nothing to show for it. 3-4 in his career against the Rangers, so he must struggle against them, right? Nope. 2.68 lifetime ERA against Texas. C.J. Wilson is 2-1 to start 2010 with an ERA in the 1's, but you just have to know a regression to the mean is coming at some point. This is a heck of a deal to get on Greinke, and I think we have to at least take a short peek at dog prices on one of the best pitchers in baseball.
Orioles @ Twins (-250) with a total of 8.5
Michael Cuddyer is batting .435 with a HR off Millwood since '05;
Orlando Hudson is 6-for-8 off Millwood;
Jason Kubel is 5-for-15 with a HR off Millwood;
Justin Morneau is 7-for-19 with 3 HR and 10 RBI off Millwood since '05;
Nick Punto is 10-for-21 off Millwood;
Jim Thome is 5-for-8 off Millwood with 3 HR since '05.
This might be that rare game where you actually look at the home RL. Fact is, the Twins have killed Millwood (who is 0-7 against them in his career), and Liriano is dominating to begin 2010. It's not a great value, clearly, but a winner's a winner. This one needs a ton more thought, though, so let's not get crazy.
Blue Jays (-115) @ White Sox with a total of 8.5
Alex Gonzalez is 4-for-6 off Buerhle;
Vernon Wells is 10-for-20 off Buerhle since '05;
Juan Pierre is 3-for-6 off Marcum.
Shaun Marcum has outstanding numbers against the White Sox, going 3-0, 2.16 in his career, and the Jays are still playing decent baseball. Mark Buerhle is better at home than on the road, and is a solid 5-3 in his career against Toronto (2.68 ERA), but he has struggled after a solid 2 starts to open this season. I think this line is pretty accurate, and if we can maintain some value on Marcum and his nice change-up, we might want to give a peek to Toronto.
Rays (-163) @ Athletics with a total of 7.5
Jason Bartlett is a perfect 4-for-4 off Gonzalez.
David Price is really starting to figure things out. He's certainly got a ways to go, but at 3-1, 2.34 ERA, it's tough to argue with numbers. Gio Gonzalez is a nice young prospect, too, and the A's are getting nice home dog value, here, but Gonzalez needed big-time run support to beat the Rays previously, and I'm not sure it's going to come against one of the best young lefties in baseball. Pass, most likely.
Angels @ Mariners (-150) with a total of 7
Bobby Abreu is 7-for-20 with 4 RBI off Hernandez since '05;
Torii Hunter is 10-for-30 off Hernandez since '05;
Kendry Morales is batting .357 with a HR and 5 RBI off Hernandez;
Franklin Gutierrez is 4-for-11 with 3 RBI off Weaver;
Jose Lopez is batting .316 with 2 HR and 5 RBI off Weaver.
Interestingly, neither Weaver nor Hernandez has completely dominated the other team despite being some of the stronger right-handers out there. Weaver is indeed 8-3 against Seattle, but has an ERA of 4.61. King Felix has a 4-5 lifetime record against the Halos and a 4.20 ERA. Dare we explore the Over?
Friday's Tip Sheet
By Chris David
Even though the pro hockey and pro basketball playoffs garner most of the attention in May, the marathon of the pro baseball season rolls along in the fifth month of the year. Another bunch of series will kick off this weekend and a lot of the ball clubs are starting develop tendencies after one month of action. Let’s take a closer look some key trends and tips that we've seen on the diamond.
Surging Ahead
The AL East is beginning to show why it’s the toughest division in baseball again, with four of the five teams boasting records above .500. Tampa Bay (21-7), New York (19-8), Toronto (17-13) and Boston (15-14) all have current winning streaks of four games or more heading into the weekend. The Yankees and Red Sox square off against one another so the temperature should cool off a tad in the division. Tampa stays on the road for six more against the A's and Angels but that's a good thing for a team that has gone 12-1 outside of the Sunshine State this season. The Blue Jays will try to extend their five-game winning streak when it plays the White Sox in Chicago over the weekend.
Philadelphia slowed down a little bit after a hot start (8-2) but the club is heating up again. After taking two of three from the Mets last weekend, the Phillies grabbed three of four from the Cardinals this week. Pitching continues to be the key for the two-time defending National League Champions and Roy Halladay (6-1) has been sick so far. In the two losses during this recent span, the pitching staff gave up 15 runs but just 14 in the five wins.
If you head West across Interstate 80 in Pennsylvania, you’ll see another red-hot team, Pittsburgh. The Pirates complete a three-game sweep this week over the Cubbies at home, holding them to five runs in the series. St. Louis and Cincinnati come to town over the next six days so the celebration may be short lived but the Bucs certainly have confidence.
Looking for Answers
The Los Angles Angels have dominated the AL West in recent seasons, which is probably why this recent skid is even more alarming. The Halos have dropped seven straight, including four from Fenway Park this week that watched the Red Sox outscore them by 20 runs (36-16) in the series.
L.A. heads to Seattle for a weekend set and the Mariners have been just as bad, losing six in a row. The M's offense has mustered up nine runs in the six games and was blanked twice in front of the locals at Safeco Field.
Something has to give this weekend and if you’re smart, you might want to stay away from both squads. In case you’re wondering, Los Angeles went 14-5 against Seattle last year and that included a 7-3 record in Washington.
Total Talk
Arizona owns a 21-8 ‘over’ mark, which includes a 7-4 record at home.
The L.A. Dodgers continue to light up the scoreboard, which has helped the ‘over’ go 18-9.
St. Louis has watched the ‘under’ go 19-9 on the year.
Houston’s anemic offense has watched the ‘under’ go 17-8 after 25 games.
Run-Line Rewards
We mentioned the Yankees above in the red-hot AL East but what’s even more impressive is how their winning. All 19 of New York’s victories this season have come by two runs or more. Why is this important? Sportsbook.com oddsmaker Jeremy Martin answers. “Most pro baseball gamblers will still play the money-line more often than not but some savvy bettors like to limit their risk and increase their reward with run-line wagers. At the end of the season, most teams will earn a lot of one-run victories but the Yankees are proving otherwise so far.”
For those of you not familiar with the run-line wager, it’s fairly simple to understand. The Yankees were listed as $2.80 favorites over the Orioles on Wednesday. If you wanted to bet New York, you would have to lay $280 to win $100. Or even simpler, you put up $28 to win $10. It’s a hefty risk but New York is expected to win and they did so in 7-5 fashion. However, if you’re bankroll isn’t as big, you can take a shot with the run-line, which is always 1 ½ runs, sometimes 2 ½ but that’s in extreme circumstances (email me if you want to know).
In that same contest above, the Yankees were listed as $1.50 favorites (Bet $150 to win $100) on the run-line. You don’t risk as much but you still win the same amount. However, if New York wins by one run, you would lose your wager. If they lose outright, you would lose the $150 but that’s not as bad as dropping $280, right?
Sportsbook.com has some competitive run-line prices, and you could really increase your bankroll with plus-money prices too. One piece of advice is to always take the road team with the run-line since you’re going to get the extra at bat in the top of the ninth.
Pick your Poison
Houston (9-18) is already 8 ½ games out of first place in the NL Central and it’s safe to say that it won’t be catching up anytime soon. The Astros only have nine wins on the season, but six have come at home. San Diego visits Minute Maid Park this weekend and it has been one of the early season surprises. However, the Padres were 1-6 in their seven encounters against the Astros last year. Certainly different teams on the field this season, but the home team could have value in the three-game set.
Baltimore owns the worst record in the majors with an 8-21 record but to its credit, 15 of the games have come against the Rays, Red Sox and Yankees. The Orioles showed some pride by sweeping Boston at Camden Yards last weekend but unfortunately they got the same treatment in the Bronx to New York in the very next series. To make matters worst, Baltimore has a four-game road set at Minnesota but they did blank the Twins 2-0 on Thursday in the series opener as a $1.90 underdog. Last night’s win could be silenced quickly when the O’s face Minnesota lefthander Francisco Liriano, who’s been nearly unhittable (4-0, 1.50 ERA) this season.
vegasinsider.com
Diamond Trends - Friday
By Vince Akins
Padres at Astros – The Padres are 5-0 since August 25, 2009 on the road after a loss in which their opponent left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $800. The Padres are 5-0 since August 28, 2009 on the road after a loss in which they allowed 12+ hits for a net profit of $725. The Astros are 0-6 since April 10, 2009 as a dog after a loss in which they allowed 12+ hits and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $600 when playing against.
Rays at Athletics – The Athletics are 0-7 since May 18, 2009 as a dog vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $700 when playing against.
Brewers at Diamondbacks – The Diamondbacks are 0-7 since April 28, 2009 as a home dog after scoring 6+ runs win for a net profit of $700 when playing against.
Rockies at Dodgers – The Dodgers are 0-6 since June 01, 2009 as a 140+ favorite when they are off a win in which they never trailed and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $990 when playing against.
Tigers at Indians – The Tigers are 6-0 since August 01, 2009 within 20 cents of pickem after a loss in which they allowed 5+ walks for a net profit of $635. The Indians are 0-9 since August 14, 2009 as a dog after a loss and it is the first game of the series for a net profit of $900 when playing against.
Angels at Mariners – The League is 0-6 since September 28, 2009 as a 140+ dog after a loss in which they left 18+ men on base and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $600 when playing against.
Giants at Mets – The Giants are 0-6 since April 26, 2009 on the road after a win in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent as a dog for a net profit of $640 when playing against.
Marlins at Nationals – The Marlins are 0-7 since July 21, 2008 when Christopher Volstad starts as a favorite in the first game of a series for a net profit of $860 when playing against. The League is 0-7 since October 07, 2009 on the road when they are off two losses in which they never led and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $720 when playing against. The Nationals are 5-0 since September 30, 2009 when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start for a net profit of $740
Braves at Phillies – The Braves are 0-8 since April 17, 2009 within 20 cents of pickem when they are off a loss in which they never led and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $810 when playing against.
Cardinals at Pirates – The League is 8-0 since August 18, 2009 as a away 200+ favorite when they won the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $800. The Cardinals are 6-0 since July 19, 2009 as a 200+ favorite after a loss in which they used 5+ pitchers for a net profit of $600
Royals at Rangers – The Royals are 0-10 since June 27, 2005 when Zack Greinke starts as a dog after losing as an away dog in his last start for a net profit of $1000 when playing against. The Royals are 6-0 since April 08, 2009 on the road within 20 cents of pickem when they are off a loss in which they held the lead and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $630. The Rangers are 0-6 since August 26, 2009 after a one run win for a net profit of $755 when playing against.
Yankees at Red Sox – The Yankees are 0-7 since August 15, 2007 when Philip Hughes starts after he had a WHIP of less than one his last start for a net profit of $970 when playing against. The Yankees are 7-0 since April 28, 2009 on the road vs a team that has won at least their last three games for a net profit of $715. The Red Sox are 0-6 since September 29, 2009 at home vs a team that has won at least their last four games for a net profit of $830 when playing against.
Cubs at Reds – The Cubs are 0-6 since July 21, 2009 on the road after a 5+ run loss for a net profit of $650 when playing against. The Reds are 0-7 since April 24, 2009 after a win in which they had 12+ hits and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $725 when playing against.
Orioles at Twins – The Orioles are 0-11 since April 09, 2009 as a dog when they are off a win in which they never trailed and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1100 when playing against. The Twins are 9-0 since June 18, 2009 as a favorite after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $900.
Blue Jays at White Sox – The White Sox are 6-0 since April 25, 2009 as a favorite vs a team that has won at least their last three games and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $600.