Wednesday Afternoon Tips
By Kevin Rogers
The Wednesday afternoon baseball card gives bettors plenty of action to wager on with seven games under the sun. The top pitching duel takes place in San Francisco as Tim Lincecum takes his 4-0 record against the Phillies. We'll take a quick overview of some of the key matchups to help you profit in the Wednesday matinees.
Padres at Marlins - 12:05 PM EST
Florida and San Diego conclude a three-game set at Sun Life Stadium as the Padres look to end their six-game road trip on a winning note. The Marlins rolled in the opener on Monday, 10-1, behind a complete-game effort from Josh Johnson. The win was the second straight Game 1 victory for the Fish after dropping five consecutive series openers.
Nate Robertson gets the ball for the Marlins, as the former Tigers lefty has pitched into the sixth inning just once in four starts. Robertson is coming off a shaky outing at Colorado last Saturday, allowing five hits and five earned runs in four innings of an 8-1 setback. The lone start Robertson has made as a favorite came in a 10-8 loss to the Reds back on April 13 as the lefty lasted five innings and yielded a pair of homers.
The Padres will trot out Kevin Correia, who has turned into the pseudo-ace of this staff. Correia has won three straight starts since losing his season debut at Arizona, including a 10-4 blowout at Cincinnati his last time out. The righty hasn't gone deep into any start, not going past the sixth inning in any outing, while not compiling one quality start. Correia picked up a victory in South Florida last August over the Marlins, despite scattering 11 hits and four earned runs in 6.2 innings.
San Diego is 6-3-1 to the 'under' on the road this season, while Florida has finished 'over' the total in seven of eight home contests.
Nationals at Cubs - 2:20 PM EST
Washington has been pitching very well over the last couple of series, as the Nats look to keep up their low-scoring ways against the Cubs. Chicago pulled out a walk-off win on what else - a walk in Monday's extra-inning triumph over Washington, 4-3, the fifth straight 'under' for the Nats.
Rookie Luis Atilano makes his second start for Washington after beating Los Angeles in his debut. Atilano allowed five hits and one earned run in six innings against the Dodgers, replacing the injured Jason Marquis. Over this five-game 'under' stretch, Washington pitching has yielded just 11 runs, including two victories over the Dodgers.
Ryan Dempster has delivered three quality starts in four trips to the mound for the Cubs, allowing one run in three separate outings. In two of those losses to the Braves and Astros, the Cubs' offense provided the righty with just two runs. Dempster hasn't faced Washington since 2008, as he was listed as a ridiculously high favorite of $3.45, but cashed with a 9-2 victory.
The Cubs have won eight of the past ten meetings, while the Nationals have claimed five of six Game 3's this season. Taking away the six 'overs' against the Phillies, the Nats have finished 'under' the total in ten of 14 games.
Diamondbacks at Rockies - 3:10 PM EST
Each team's ace has taken the mound through the first two games of this series as a pair of journeymen hurlers toe the rubber in the series finale at Coors Field. The D-Backs picked up only their second road victory of the season on Monday as Dan Haren shut down the Rockies' bats with a 5-3 win.
Veteran righty Kris Benson has delivered a pair of quality starts, including a home victory over the powerful Phillies lineup, 7-4. Benson has tossed six innings in each outing, but hasn't faced the Rockies since 2005. The loss to the Padres in his season debut on April 17 wasn't a horrible start, but Arizona provided no run support for Benson, the only game the D-Backs have been shut out this season.
Greg Smith has struggled to find his footing in the Rockies' rotation, compiling an ERA of 5.24, while the Rockies have lost three of his four starts. Smith has turned in only one quality outing with a home victory over the Mets on April 13. Past that win, the lefty has been less than efficient by tossing 15.1 innings and giving up 11 earned runs.
Arizona owns a 1-3 mark against southpaw starters, while Colorado has finished 'under' the total in 11 of the last 17 games.
Phillies at Giants - 3:45 PM EST
The day's best battle on the mound takes place by the Bay as the Giants and Phillies wrap up their series in San Francisco. The Giants handed Roy Halladay his first loss of the season in a dominating 5-1 performance on Monday night. Now, the Phillies face the hottest pitcher in all of baseball.
Tim Lincecum hasn't missed a beat since capturing his second career Cy Young Award winner last season. The Giants' ace has given up just four earned runs in four starts, all victories. The last two wins were shut-down outings against the Dodgers and Cardinals, allowing one earned run in 13 innings of work. Since dropping his first three career starts to the Phillies, the Giants are 2-1 the previous three outings against Philadelphia when Lincecum has started. Despite two outstanding performances last season, the Giants split a pair of his starts against the NL Champs.
Philadelphia sends out struggling lefty Cole Hamels to the hill, trying to improve on his 5.11 ERA. Hamels gave up four homers and six earned runs in a 7-4 loss at Arizona his last time out, the second straight loss after a 2-0 start to the season. The former World Series MVP has had success against the Giants in his career, with the Phillies owning a 5-1 career mark when Hamels goes against San Francisco. The lone loss came at AT&T Park last August as the Giants chased Hamels after five innings by scoring seven runs on the lefty in a 7-3 San Francisco victory.
In the last 29 victories the Giants have recorded when Lincecum starts dating back to 2008, San Francisco has won 28 of those games by at least two runs. That means if you want to back the Giants in this contest, taking a look at the run-line isn't a bad idea since San Francisco usually beats teams convincingly when the Freak takes the mound.
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Minnesota (14-6) at Detroit (11-10)
The Twins continue their nine-game A.L. Central road trip when they send Scott Baker (2-2, 4.81 ERA) to the Comerica Park mound while the Tigers counter with Max Scherzer (1-1, 2.62) in the middle game of a three-game series.
Minnesota began its road trip by taking two of three in Kansas City over the weekend, then opened this series with Tuesday’s 2-0 victory behind a dominating pitching performance from Francisco Liriano (eight shutout innings, 10 strikeouts. The Twins are 14-5 overall and 8-2 on the highway since losing at the Angels on Opening Day. Additionally, Ron Gardenhire’s team is on surges of 42-20 in divisional contests, 31-12 against right-handed starters and 5-1 in the second game of a series.
Detroit has been playing average baseball of late, alternating wins and losses in its last six games and going 5-8 in the last 13. The Tigers have played just seven home games, winning four of them, and they’ve dropped nine of 13 games at home against right-handed starters.
Minnesota staged a furious rally over the final week of the 2009 season to catch the freefalling Tigers in the divisional race. Then in an epic one-game playoff in Minneapolis, the teams went into the 12th inning tied at 4-4 when Detroit scored in the top of the 12th to take the lead, only to see the Twins answer with two in the bottom of the inning to steal the 6-5 victory and the division title.
Including the one-game playoff and Tuesday’s contest, the Twins are now on a 13-7 roll against Detroit since the start of last season, with the home team winning 13 of the last 19 contests.
Baker is coming off his worst out of the season, as he got drilled for six runs on 10 hits in a 5 2/3 innings of Thursday’s 8-1 home loss to the Indians. Prior to that, the right-hander had surrendered a combined three runs on 12 hits in 14 innings in victories over the White Sox and Royals. He’s 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in two road starts, and with Baker on the bump, the Twins are on positive runs of 11-4 overall, 5-2 on the road, 20-8 against the A.L. Central and 7-0 in the second game of a series, but they’ve lost nine of his last 11 as an underdog.
Bakers started the one-game playoff against Detroit in October and gave up three runs on six hits in six innings. However, on the season, he went just 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA in five starts versus the Tigers. For his career, he’s 5-4 with a 4.34 ERA in 17 starts against Detroit, including 3-1 with a 3.76 ERA in six games at Comerica Park.
Scherzer was traded from Arizona to Detroit in the offseason, and he hasn’t disappointed his new team, giving up just seven earned runs in 24 innings with a 17-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio. However, Detroit has lost three of the four games, and going back to last year with the Diamondbacks, Scherzer’s squads are just 1-7 in his last eight trips to the mound.
Three of Scherzer’s four games this season have been on the road. In his lone start in Motown, he gave up five runs (two earned) in five innings of a 10-5 loss to Kansas City. The right-hander has never faced Minnesota in his young career.
Minnesota carries “under” trends of 5-0 against winning teams and 3-0-2 on Wednesday, but is otherwise on “over” runs of 12-6-2 versus A.L. Central foes, 4-1-2 with Baker on the mound overall, 19-7-2 when Baker starts against divisional foes and 4-0-1 when Baker pitches on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Detroit is on “over” stretches of 4-1-1 overall, 4-1 at home, 4-1 versus A.L. Central foes and 7-3-1 against right-handed starters, but the under is 14-4-1 in its last 19 on Wednesday.
In this rivalry, the over in surges of 3-1-1 overall, 5-2-1 in Detroit and 4-0 with Baker facing the Tigers.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
Oakland (12-9) at Tampa Bay (14-5)
Dallas Braden (3-0, 2.77) looks to continue his red-hot start to the season when he returns to the mound to lead the A’s against James Shields (2-0, 3.96) and the Rays as these squads conclude a quick two-game series at Tropicana Field.
After a travel day Monday, Oakland kicked off a six-game road trip (Tampa Bay and Toronto) with Tuesday’s 8-6 loss to the Rays. The A’s got off to a blistering 9-3 start, but have cooled a bit in losing five of their last eight, and they’ve also dropped three straight on the road. Going back to last year, Oakland has lost eight of 11 on the highway, and they’re also in slumps of 1-4 on Wednesday, 1-4 in the second game of a series and 2-10 versus winning teams.
Tampa Bay has now won 12 of its last 14 games – with 11 of the 12 victories coming by multiple runs – but the team has actually been more successful on the road (9-1) so far than at Tropicana Field (6-4). Still, the Rays remain 116-53 in their last 169 home games and they’re on additional runs of 21-7 overall, 5-0 on Wednesday and 38-13 in the second game of a series, but Joe Maddon’s club has lost 17 of 25 against winning teams and 14 of 21 to A.L. West foes.
Braden has been dominant from the get-go this season, delivering four straight quality starts, including an impressive 4-2 home win over the Yankees on Thursday, as he surrendered just two runs on six hits in six innings. The southpaw has walked a single batter in all four games while striking out 18. The A’s have won five straight games behind Braden going back to last year, and with last week’s win over the Yankees, they’re 5-1 in his last six starts against the A.L. East.
Braden’s lone road start this year came in Anaheim on April 11, and he gave up three runs on five hits in six innings en route to a 9-4 win over the Angels. Last year, the 26-year-old Phoenix native went 2-5 with a 4.13 ERA in 10 starts on the highway. Braden has faced the Rays six times (five starts), going 3-1 with a 3.72 ERA (2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in three starts at The Trop). In four starts versus Tampa since 2008, he’s allowed seven runs in 23 2/3 innings (2.66 ERA), with the A’s winning three times.
Shields cruised to a 10-2 victory at the White Sox on Thursday, giving up two runs on six hits in seven innings. The right-hander has gone at least six innings in three of his four outings, with the Rays winning all three of those games. Tampa Bay is 4-1 in Shields’ last five starts overall dating to last season, but it has lost seven of his last 10 at home and five of his last six against the A.L. West.
Shields has not recorded a decision in two home starts this year, giving up five runs in 11 1/3 innings (3.97 ERA). Last year, he was 6-6 with a 3.75 ERA in 18 starts at Tropicana Field, and in two contests against Oakland (both at home) he gave up just three runs in 14 2/3 innings (1.84 ERA), failing to get a decision in either game with the Rays losing both by scores of 4-1 and 7-3. Prior to that, Tampa Bay had won five straight games against the A’s behind Shields, who is 3-1 with a 3.88 ERA in eight lifetime starts versus Oakland.
Oakland is on “under” runs of 9-5 overall, 4-2 on the highway, 7-4 against right-handed starters, 9-4 versus the A.L. West, 8-3 on Wednesday and 16-5 in the second game of a series. However, the over is 4-1 in Braden’s last five home contests and 5-2 in his last seven versus the A.L. East. Meanwhile, it’s been all “overs” for the Rays, including 5-1 overall, 6-1 at home, 5-0 versus the A.L. West, 5-2 versus lefty starters, 11-2 against winning teams and 9-3 with Shields starting.
Lastly, the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these teams (all in Tampa), and the over is 3-1-1 in Braden’s last five starts against the Rays.
ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY and OVER
MLB RoundUp For 4/28
By Dan Bebe
National League
Padres @ Marlins (-110) with a total of 9
David Eckstein is 3-for-5 with a HR and 3 RBI off Robertson;
Hanley Ramirez is 4-for-12 with a HR and 2 RBI off Correia;
Cody Ross is 3-for-8 off Correia.
Correia has been a model of consistency with the Padres, and Robertson has been a nice little breath of fresh air for the Marlins to start the season. However, both have struggled mightily with this opponent. Correia is 1-2, 6.89 ERA against Florida, and Robertson (though it wasn't recent) is 1-0, 7.50 ERA against San Diego. This game is basically a Pick, and it should be.
Dodgers @ Mets (N/A) with a total of N/A
Ronnie Belliard is 9-for-15 with a HR and 3 RBI off Maine;
Rafael Furcal is 6-for-11 with a HR and an RBI off Maine;
Casey Blake is 2-for-4 with a HR off Maine and 3 RBI.
This is an interesting spot, with a Dodgers starter potentially making his Major League Debut (unless LA decides to go a different way between now and first pitch). You can usually get some value on a guy making his debut since no one has faced him, and no one knows what to expect. John Maine has been awful so far this year, and I'm inclined to think the Dodgers have a shot to score a few, and maybe even take this afternoon tilt.
Pirates @ Brewers (-160) with a total of 9.5
Ryan Braun is batting .381 off Maholm with a HR and 8 RBI before this season;
Corey Hart is 11-for-34 with a HR and 3 RBI off Maholm.
Interestingly, Prince Fielder is batting near .100 against Maholm, so that's the only reason the Brewers didn't score 30 (yeah, I know). Chris Narveson gets the start for Milwaukee, and he's a -160 home favorite against an established starter. That just goes to show the type of full-on ownage the Brewers have over Pittsburgh. I can't go against this level of complete beatdown, but I also don't think I can lay 160 with this Narveson joker.
Nationals @ Cubs (-200) with a total of N/A
Adam Dunn is 3-for-10 with a HR off Dempster since '05;
Ryan Zimmerman (if he plays) is 5-for-10 off Dempster.
Luis Atilano had a typical debut with a strong 6 innings against the Dodgers, and again those scouting reports (or lack thereof) can really go a long way. Now, he gets to face the Cubbies, who have a little information on him, though still not much. Dempster is a perfect 6-0 against the Nats throughout his career, with an ERA around 3, so I'm not sure fading him is wise, but if the wind is blowing in, maybe an Under might be worth a look?
D'backs @ Rockies (-150) with a total of 10.5
Jason Giambi is 4-for-11 off Benson with 2 HR and 4 RBI since '05.
There isn't much experience in this game, either, which makes that 10.5 total look exceptionally high. Still, the difference between these guys and Atilano in the game above is that there's plenty of scouting on both of these pitchers. Greg Smith has been in the League long enough to give guys some prep material, and Kris Benson has been out of the League almost as long as he'd been in it. Pass you very much.
Phillies @ Giants (-175) with a total of 7
Ryan Howard has homered twice off Lincecum;
Jayson Werth is 3-for-6 with a HR off Lincecum.
The current Giants have done absolutely nothing against Hamels, despite his struggles. Edgar Renteria bats under .200, as does Mark DeRosa and Eugenio Velez. Lincecum is destroying teams so far this season, and it seems like he could do it again with Philly. If he keeps Howard in the yard, and pitches carefully to Werth, Lincecum could get win #5. Probably a pass, as I just can't trust Hamels to keep his team in it, even against a club that he's beaten 4 of 5 times.
Reds @ Astros (-125) with a total of 9
Jay Bruce is 3-for-8 with 2 HR and 4 RBI off Paulino;
Laynce Nix is 5-for-9 with a HR and 4 RBI off Paulino.
Mike Leake came back to Earth in his last start, getting ripped apart pretty good by the hot-hitting Dodgers. I don't think that means his time is up. The kid has good stuff, and the Reds still feel he's strong enough to stay in the Bigs. Here, as an underdog to one of the worst starting pitchers in the Majors over the past 2 seasons, I think you have to at least take a look at Cincinnati to score some runs. Paulino is 1-3 against Cincy, ERA of 5.86. Lean to the Li'l Red Machine.
Braves @ Cardinals (-165) with a total of 8
Between the two teams, there is a grand total of 1 AB against these pitchers, and surprisingly, it's Nate McLouth against Garcia. Go figure. In any case, we're going off momentum here, and barring a big upset (as I'm typing this before Tuesday's game), the Braves have none. The Cardinals have consistently strong pitching, and Kawakami, like many Japanese pitchers, has that battler mentality, but the Braves just continue to play ugly baseball, and that will lose you games every single time. This is too steep a price for me to pay for Garcia, who isn't really established, but unless the Braves start cleaning up their act, it's a definite pass.
American League
Mariners (-115) @ Royals with a total of 9.5
Chone Figgins is 9-for-27 off Meche;
Jose Lopez is 6-for-17 with 3 RBI off Meche;
Ichiro is 9-for-14 with a HR and 4 RBI off Meche since '05;
Billy Butler is 4-for-8 off Smith;
David DeJesus is 3-for-9 with 4 RBI off Smith.
Gil Meche shouldn't be close to a Pick against any Major League pitcher right now. His ERA of 11.37 is actually pretty accurate, since he's not getting anyone out, and his career 5.77 ERA against the Mariners means he hasn't really "dealt" against them, either. Rowland-Smith hasn't been great so far this year, but he hasn't been awful, either, and I think people still have no idea who this guy is. Lean to Mariners.
Indians @ Angels (-175) with a total of 9
Mark Grudzielanek is 4-for-9 with an RBI off Santana;
Andy Marte is 3-for-5 with a HR and 2 RBI off Santana;
Hideki Matsui is 3-for-5 off Westbrook.
Jake Westbrook has had surprising success against the Halos in his career, firing a 3.11 ERA against them (though bad teams have led to a 3-5 record). Santana hates Cleveland, going 0-6, 6.03 ERA lifetime against the Indians. The current crop hasn't seen a ton of him, but this is a heck of a value on a guy that has never...I repeat...never pitched well against Cleveland.
Twins @ Tigers (-115) with a total of 8.5
Miguel Cabrera is 7-for-21 with 2 HR and 6 RBI off Baker;
Johnny Damon is 3-for-8 off Baker;
Magglio Ordonez is 19-for-42 with 2 HR and 7 RBI off Baker since '05;
Ramon Santiago is 6-for-17 with 2 RBI off Baker.
Max Scherzer is extremely hit-or-miss, and he throws a ton of pitches, but when he's on, his stuff is as devastating as almost anyone in the Bigs. Scott Baker is the classic Twins starter, throwing strikes, hoping the defense comes through, and needing at least 2-3 line drives hit AT people to have a great game, and maybe 1-2 for a good one. I think the Tigers take care of business here, as Detroit can hit Baker.
Yankees (-215) @ Orioles with a total of 8.5
Curtis Granderson is 4-for-11 with a HR and 2 RBI off Guthrie;
Derek Jeter is batting .306 off Guthrie since '05, but no real power numbers to speak of;
Nick Swisher is 9-for-19 with 2 HR and 6 RBI off Guthrie;
Adam Jones is 4-for-9 off Sabathia;
Nolan Reimold is 4-for-8 off Sabathia;
Ty Wigginton is 7-for-19 with a HR off Sabathia since '05.
C.C. is a career 9-1, 2.55 ERA pitcher against the Orioles, so while Guthrie has actually been notably "okay" against the Yanks in his career, I can't bring myself to fade C.C. anywhere other than Oakland. The Yankees are the better team, with the better starter, the better offense and better pen. This is a monster price to lay with a road favorite, but Baltimore isn't a live dog. Pass.
Red Sox (-160) @ Blue Jays with a total of 9
J.D. Drew is 2-for-2 with 2 HR and 3 RBI off Cecil - yikes;
Mike Lowell is 2-for-5 with a HR off Cecil;
Jason Varitek is 2-for-2 off Cecil, also with 2 HR;
Jose Molina is 5-for-11 off Lester.
Jon Lester has owned the Jays, but he's started 2010 very slowly. Cecil has an ERA of 12.00 against the Sox, and his one start this year was, well, alright, I guess. This is a steep price to pay for a struggling starter on an underachieving team, but if indeed the bats come out for Boston, as they have been over the last week or so, this might be our first candidate for a RL. If they win, Boston would seemingly win by a handful.
Athletics @ Rays (-165) with a total of 8.5
Ryan Sweeney is 3-for-10 off Shields;
Gabe Kapler is 3-for-7 with 2 RBI off Braden;
Ben Zobrist is 4-for-6 off Braden.
Braden has pitched well against Tampa, and Shields has pitched well against the A's. I suppose if Shields continues to give up "a couple" runs just about every time out, the A's would actually be a live dog, here. I'm not saying it would be an easy one, but if Braden continues to pitch as well as he has been, and if the A's pen continues to pitch to their current level of mild success, this one could be decided late, and that means we've got a 50/50 shot. At this price, that's a deal. The Under is also a possibility.
White Sox @ Rangers (-120) with a total of 9
Matt Treanor is 3-for-8 with 3 RBI off Peavy;
Josh Hamilton is 2-for-4 off Peavy.
Not much exposure in this one, so we're working off trends. Rich Harden continues to throw way too many pitches to get through 4 innings, and should probably be an overpaid setup man at this point, or maybe a closer. Peavy seems to continue to fight to get back to health (or maybe there's a psychological issue), so you have to think Texas will get at least a couple runs. This low spread, to me, seems to say that folks don't really know who's going to pitch well. I'm inclined to go with the hotter team, and that was, arguably the Sox. I don't want to back Peavy, so add those factors up, and you get to a Pass.
Diamond Trends - Wednesday
By Vince Akins
Indians at Angels – The Indians are 0-9 since August 30, 2009 on the road when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start for a net profit of $900 when playing against.. The Angels are 0-6 since July 21, 2008 when Ervin Santana starts as a home 140+ favorite after the team won his last two starts for a net profit of $915 when playing against.
Reds at Astros – The Reds are 7-0 since September 01, 2009 within 20 cents of pickem after scoring 6+ runs for a net profit of $710. The Astros are 7-0 since June 07, 2009 at home within 20 cents of pickem after allowing 6+ runs for a net profit of $715.
Red Sox at Blue Jays – The Red Sox are 9-0 since July 05, 2009 when Jon Lester starts as a 140+ favorite after more strike outs than hits allowed for a net profit of $900. The Red Sox are 7-0 since August 02, 2009 as a road favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games for a net profit of $700. The Blue Jays are 0-7 since May 21, 2009 as a 140+ dog after a loss and it is the last game of the series for a net profit of $700 when playing against.
Pirates at Brewers – The League is 6-0 since April 12, 2010 as a home 140+ favorite after a loss in which they drew 5+ walks for a net profit of $600.
Braves at Cardinals – The Cardinals are 9-0 since May 23, 2009 as a home 140+ favorite after a win in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent for a net profit of $900
Nationals at Cubs – The Nationals are 4-0 since June 18, 2009 as a road dog after playing as a dog and it is the last game of a three game series when they split the first two for a net profit of $800. The Cubs are 0-5 since August 31, 2009 as a favorite after a loss in which they were shut out in the last 6 innings for a net profit of $760 when playing against.
Phillies at Giants – The Phillies are 0-6 since May 20, 2009 as a road dog when they blew a lead in their starter's last start and lost for a net profit of $600 when playing against.
Padres at Marlins – The Padres are 6-0 since September 06, 2009 as a road dog when they won the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $880. The Marlins are 9-0 since May 30, 2009 as a favorite after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $900.
Dodgers at Mets – The Dodgers are 1-7 since September 28, 2009 on the road after a loss in which they used 5+ pitchers for a net profit of $720 when playing against. The Mets are 7-0 since April 27, 2009 when John Maine starts at home vs a team that has hit more grounders than fly balls season-to-date for a net profit of $740
Yankees at Orioles – The Yankees are 10-0 since April 17, 2009 as a 200+ favorite vs a team that has won at least their last two games for a net profit of $1000. The Orioles are 0-6 since September 19, 2009 as a 170+ dog when they lost the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $600 when playing against.
White Sox at Rangers – The Rangers are 9-0 since April 08, 2009 at home within 20 cents of pickem when they are off a win in which they never trailed and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $955
Athletics at Rays – The Athletics are 4-0 since May 31, 2009 as a road 140+ dog after a loss in which they allowed 12+ hits and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $765. The Rays are 0-6 since April 14, 2009 as a home favorite when they are off two wins in which they never trailed for a net profit of $970 when playing against.
Diamondbacks at Rockies – The Rockies are 9-0 since May 06, 2009 as a 140+ favorite when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start for a net profit of $900.
Mariners at Royals – The Mariners are 10-0 since June 03, 2009 as a favorite after a win and it is the last game of the series for a net profit of $1000. The Royals are 0-8 since May 21, 2009 at home after a one run loss and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $890 when playing against.
Twins at Tigers – The Twins are 6-0 since September 22, 2009 on the road when they are off a win in which they never trailed for a net profit of $690. The Tigers are 10-0 since May 02, 2009 as a favorite after a loss in which they had fewer than five team-left-on-base for a net profit of $1000. The Tigers are 0-8 since May 07, 2009 within 20 cents of pickem when they lost by one run in their starter's last start for a net profit of $820 when playing against..