Wednesday’s Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
Streaking
Brett Myers (7-6, 3.35), Houston Astros
Myers is on the radar of many teams in the trade market looking for a quality starter. The guy isn’t going to pitch no-hit ball every night but he tends to be a bullpen’s best friend.
“He came here with a reputation of being an innings eater and I think now he’s gone and almost taken it to another level,” said Houston manager Brad Mills. “The way he’s gone about it is very special.”
Myers hasn’t given up more than two runs in three July starts, compiling a 2-0 record with a nifty 2.08 ERA. True to form, the right-hander worked no fewer than 6.0 innings in each of those outings and is the only pitcher in MLB to go at least six innings in every start this year.
The under is 3-0 in Myers’ last three starts and he’s 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA against the Cubs this season.
Gavin Floyd (5-8, 4.10), Chicago White Sox
Chicago’s turnaround has directly coincided with Floyd’s resurgence. After accruing a 2-6 record through June 3, the Sox righty has gone 3-2 since but the team won five of those eight starts.
Floyd has not surrendered more than one earned run in seven of his previous eight outings. The start that he gave up more than one was a two-earned run performance. Even more impressive, Floyd has not allowed a single long ball in eight consecutive starts while striking out 46 hitters.
Slumping
Tommy Hanson (8-6, 4.19), Atlanta Braves
The ace of the Braves staff has been far from good over his last five outings. Hanson has gone 1-3 in that stretch, allowing 39 hits and 22 runs (19 earned). He didn’t get past the fourth inning in two of those starts.
“The biggest thing today was, I was just inconsistent with all my pitches,” Hanson said after a 9-3 loss to Milwaukee last Friday. “The second inning, just getting behind too many guys kind of got me in trouble there.”
Some analysts feel that Hanson is playing through a knee injury that could be affecting his pitching. The righty has a career 2-0 record with a 2.25 ERA versus the Padres.
Ted Lilly (3-4, 3.22), Chicago Cubs
Chicago’s lefty is auditioning for a job on a contender but his trade value continues to plummet. Lilly put together a pretty good line in his last outing (7.0 innings, 3 earned) but that performance followed a couple of stinkers.
In July, the southpaw is 0-2 with an 8.95 ERA. Lilly was tagged for nine earned runs, including four homers, in first start of the month. He didn’t get out of the fourth inning in his next outing against L.A. when he gave up seven total runs.
Lilly definitely looked better last Friday after recording 10 strikeouts but this guy is too hot and cold to get behind from a betting perspective.
Wednesday Tips
By Kevin Rogers
The Wednesday card is separated by six daytime games and nine contests under the lights. The division and playoff races heat up with a handful of night games that involve teams in postseason contention. The Braves and Padres continue their series at Turner Field, while the Rangers try to stay hot in Detroit. We'll start with the games' most talked about phenom as a road favorite in Cincinnati.
Nationals at Reds - 7:10 PM EST
The Nats have definitely made strides this season, but Jim Riggleman's squad sits in last place of the NL East. The one thing to look forward to when watching Washington is rookie standout Stephen Strasburg, who takes the all against a tough Cincinnati lineup.
Strasburg (4-2, 2.03 ERA) continues to baffle hitters as he is coming off a scoreless six-inning performance against the Marlins in a 4-0 victory. The former San Diego State star has tossed at least six innings in six of his eight starts, while turning in six quality performances. Strasburg has cashed in each of his first two outings as a road favorite, winning at Cleveland and Florida, but faces only his second over .500 team on the road after losing at Atlanta on June 28.
Bronson Arroyo (10-4, 3.96 ERA) has been on fire in the month of July by winning all three of his starts. The Reds' righty has allowed three earned runs in this stretch, a span of 21 innings, while beating the Rockies, Mets, and Cubs. For some reason, Arroyo has pitched better on the road than at home, as Cincinnati is just 5-4 in his home starts (compared to an 8-2 mark on the highway). Arroyo's career numbers against Washington are spectacular, going 6-1 including four scoreless outings.
The Reds have won three of four meetings this season, while avenging a home series loss to the Nationals last season in which Washington took three of four at the Great American Ballpark. Cincinnati will try to find some consistency on offense, as the Reds have scored at least seven runs three times in the last 10 games, but have been shut out four times in this span.
Padres at Braves - 7:10 PM EST
These two division leaders meet for the second of a three-game series in Atlanta as both clubs are trying to open up the gap behind the teams that are chasing them. A pair of up-and-down pitchers takes the mound as Jon Garland and Tommy Hanson toe the rubber at Turner Field.
Garland (9-6, 3.45 ERA) has struggled following a 6-2 start, winning three times in his last nine outings. The Padres' veteran finally put together a solid start his last time out, limiting Arizona to three hits and one earned run in six innings of a 12-1 blowout. The road hasn't been as kind to Garland recently, as San Diego is 1-3 in his previous four away starts, while three of those appearances have finished 'under' the total.
Hanson (8-6, 4.19 ERA) has been a frustrating pitcher to back this season, as you don't know which guy you're going to get. The Braves went through a stretch from late May until mid-June winning six straight starts made by Hanson, but Atlanta is just 2-3 in his last five outings. Hanson fell as a $1.75 home favorite his last time out against the Brewers, lasting five innings and allowing four runs in a 9-3 setback. Facing the Padres has been a positive for Hanson, who is 2-0 in his short career against San Diego, including a 6-1 victory at Petco Park in April.
Each of these teams has fared well in the second game of a series this season with the Braves going 21-9 and the Padres owning a 20-10 record. San Diego is riding a nice 'over' streak by hitting it in eight of the last nine games.
Rangers at Tigers - 7:10 PM EST
Texas and Detroit are going in opposite directions as the Rangers have won four of five games to hold a five-game advantage over the Angels in the AL West. The Tigers are headed backwards quickly after losing the first five games following the All-Star Break.
The Rangers' pitching staff is coming together with the acquisition of Cliff Lee from Seattle. Past the former Cy Young Award winner, the Rangers have mixed in young arms to go along with veterans like Colby Lewis (9-5, 3.42 ERA). The 30-year old is coming off consecutive wins over the Indians and Red Sox, while striking out 15 in those victories. Texas is 3-2 in Lewis' five starts as a road underdog, as the veteran struck out 10 in 6.1 innings of an 8-4 victory over Detroit in late April.
Max Scherzer (6-7, 4.74 ERA) has been pretty solid at Comerica Park, with the Tigers winning each of his last five starts at home. The ex-Diamondbacks righty gave up just six earned runs while striking out 44 in this span. Scherzer put up a quality outing the last time he faced the Rangers in Arlington, tossing seven innings and striking out seven in a 5-4 defeat.
Texas ended an 11-game skid at Comerica Park with Monday's extra-innings victory, as four of the five meetings this season have finished 'over' the total. The Tigers own a 17-3 mark the last 20 games as a home favorite, but have dropped two straight as 'chalk' at Comerica.
Phillies at Cardinals - 8:15 PM EST
The Redbirds are making their push at the right time, winning six straight games as St. Louis and Philadelphia continue a four-game series. Following a four-game sweep of the Reds prior to the break, the Phillies have lost four of five to begin the second half to fall six games behind the Braves in the NL East.
Bettors never know what they're going to get with Cardinals' rookie Jaime Garcia (8-4, 2.27 ERA), as St. Louis has alternated wins and losses in each of his previous 10 starts. Garcia received a no-decision his last time out as the Cards beat the Dodgers, 8-4. The southpaw lasted just 3.1 innings, but left with a 5-2 lead, as the 'over' hit for the fourth time in his last five starts. That's a steady change from the 'under,' which cashed in 11 of Garcia's first 12 outings of the season. Garcia won at Philadelphia in May, scattering three hits and one earned run in six innings of a 6-3 victory as a short road favorite.
The Phillies send out Joe Blanton (3-5, 6.21 ERA), who tries to improve on a 7.03 road ERA. Blanton turned in his best performance on the highway his last time out, allowing five hits and three earned runs in seven innings of a 4-3 defeat to the Cubs. That loss ended an eight-game 'over' streak for Blanton, as his previous eight outings saw at least ten runs combined each time. Blanton was on the losing end of that 6-3 setback to Garcia and the Cards on May 3, the first loss for the righty in four career starts against St. Louis.
vegasinsider.com
MLB RoundUp For 7/21
By Dan Bebe
National League
Astros @ Cubs (-155) with a total of N/A
If the Cubs could beat a bad team, we might not look at them so disfavorably. As it stands, though, Chicago just keeps coming up short to the clubs they should beat. Now, a potential trade piece, Ted Lilly, well get the daytime nod against one of the most consistent starters that most folks aren't talking about, Brett Myers. Myers is 7-6 this year with a 3.35 ERA, and 8-3 lifetime (2.63 ERA) against the Cubbies, including a win this year over Randy Wells where Myers went 6.2 innings and allowed just 2 runs. Lilly is equally solid against this opponent, 7-1, 2.49 ERA lifetime against the Astros, though he hasn't faced them this year. He is coming off a nice start against the Phillies, a 10-strikeout effort that was his high water mark for the year. If the wind is blowing in, runs could be at a premium.
Brewers (-140) @ Pirates with a total of 8.5
This is Randy Wolf's 5th start against the Pirates this year. Just mull that over for a moment, while I recite a few numbers. 8-2, 3.57 ERA lifetime against Pittsburgh, started the year with 14 innings against them, only allowing 2 runs, finished his work against Pittsburgh with a 6.1 inning, 6 run, 10 hit, 5 walk clunker and a 6 inning, 4 run mediocre performance a week ago. So, which Wolf shows up? Well, the line has dropped 13 cents at a few books before we could even get an opinion written on it. But why, I'm not completely sure. The Pirates didn't hit at all in the opener of this series, and the verdict is still out on Tuesday's game, not to mention Zach Duke is 3-7 with a 6.33 ERA against the Brewers in his career, including 2 miserable starts against them a few months back.
Rockies @ Marlins (-115) with a total of 8.5
You may be surprised to hear these career numbers - Hammel is 0-2 with an 8.71 ERA against the Marlins, and Nolasco is 4-0 with a 2.27 ERA against the Rockies. Considering Colorado usually hits righties pretty hard, Nolasco is certainly the exception. He went 8 innings of 1-run ball at Coors earlier this year, so the hopes are high that he'll get it done at home. Hammel has been much, much better since missing a few starts in early May, but those career numbers, and the fact that Hanley Ramirez is 5-for-6 off him make me think that the Marlins should be able to score at least a couple. My concern, of course, is that Hammel is coming off a 10-strikeout game, and the Marlins definitely swing-and-miss.
Padres @ Braves (-150) with a total of 8
Jon Garland, meet my friend "a challenge." Garland is 0-2 against the Braves lifetime with an ERA of, yikes, 14.04. That's bad. Eric Hinske has hit him hard, Omar Infante has hit him harder; Troy Glaus has a few homers off Garland, too. He hasn't faced them all too recently, but the history is there, and I can't imagine this is a ballpark or a team he's excited to face. Hanson, 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA against the Padres, beat them 6-1 back in early April, but really hasn't dominated anyone this month despite pitching slightly better than he did in June. It might be a tad on the expensive side to get behind Hanson, though both bullpens can carry a decent load, and I don't expect either starter to really go too deep in the game.
Nationals (-120) @ Reds with a total of 7
This is a rather low line on Strasburg, isn't it? It's not as though he's gone to hell - his ERA is still 2.03, and he's coming off 6 innings of 4-hit ball in Florida, also as a -120 road favorite. I suppose oddsmakers are accounting for the likely large chunks of "sharp" money that are going to come in on the opposite side in a standard public fade. Arroyo is definitely up to the task of facing the Nats, 3-1 with a 3.16 ERA against them lifetime, and dealing 8 sterling innings in Washington back in early June. Arroyo is on a roll, too, and that's a dangerous time to fade him. Then, of course, you look at the Under, but that darn total of 7 is already pretty stinking low. The Reds are prime to wake up, offensively, at some point, and the Nats pen seems like a potential culprit.
Phillies @ Cardinals (-165) with a total of 8.5
The Cardinals bats are wide freaking awake, all of the sudden. They've been mashing since the Break, rattling off 4 straight wins over the Dodgers, and then cleaning the Phils' collective clock in the opener. Thanks to typing this blog before Tuesday's games even begin, we don't know how day 2 of this series goes, but my guess would be that the Cards will continue to hit. Now, that being said, Blanton is 3-1 with a 2.60 ERA against St. Louis in his career, including 6 innings of 4 run ball this year -- not great, but considering it was his first game off the DL, not too bad. Garcia beat Philly this year once already, and though the line might be a tiny bit inflated, not sure we can really venture into this side unless it's a pure volume play.
Mets @ D'backs (-120) with a total of 9
Good lord, Haren, when will you get it together in 2010? Ever? Maybe not. He's 7-8 with a 4.60 ERA, simply not good enough. He's 1-0 with a 3.77 ERA against the Mets, completely shutting down Jose Reyes, Carlos Beltran and Jeff Francoeur, and I just keep wanting to back Haren, and I just keep getting reminded that he's not the same, this season. Jon Niese, meanwhile, is finally living up to that massive potential, and has been a beast since a stint on the DL a few months back. There's very little reason to think that everything goes to pieces in this one, and normally I'm all about backing an ace at a cheap price, but I just don't think Haren is an ace, at least not now.
Giants @ Dodgers (-130) with a total of 7.5
Rematch! You know, despite his 6-5, 4.13 lifetime mark against the Dodgers, Zito has actually pitched quite well against LA this year. He went 7.1 innings of 1-run ball here in LA back in April in a game the Dodgers would go on to win 2-1, and then allowed just 2 runs in 6 innings in San Francisco, and the Dodgers went on to win that one, 4-2, behind a nice effort from tonight's opponent, Chad Billingsley. Billingsley's always pitched fairly well against the Giants, though Zito, prior to 2010, had been a little hit-or-miss with the Dodgers, and I can't help but wonder if the 3rd time's the charm. I mean, again, it's not as though Zito has been getting hit hard, at all, and he's coming off an incredible start against the Mets while Billingsley is off an ugly outing in St. Louis. I love my Dodgers, but this doesn't feel like a very good price on a rematch game, where the loser of the last meeting is the hot arm.
American League
Rays (-209) @ Orioles with a total of 9.5
I have to say, I'm pretty tired of handicapping Brad Bergesen. The guy shouldn't be a Major League starter. Maybe someday, but not now. This will be his 15th start, and he's turned in 4 quality starts to this point, 3 of which came in a row in May. He's 0-2 with a 9.35 ERA against the Rays, and he's probably going to give up at least 4 runs, because a quality start tonight would be too much to ask. Shields has been struggling, so I don't like the Rays, either, but heck, if Baltimore can find a way to score 3-4 runs of their own, this one could potentially get over an already-beefy total. Probably a pass, though. Plus, it's at 12:30ET, so barely any time to even down that caffeine fix before this one is already over.
Angels @ Yankees (-180) with a total of 9.5
This is actually a rematch, but it's been so darn long, I didn't even want to put an exclamation point. Pineiro won the first match, going 7 innings of 1-run ball in New York back in April. Of course, he faced the Yankees again a couple weeks later, and got pounded for 6 runs. A little inconsistency is always fun to handicap, isn't it? Vazquez has been bad against the Angels both times he's seen them this year, and he's 0-3 with a 4.38 ERA against the Halos, overall. Vazquez's last few starts have been pretty impressive, though, and I worry he's turning the corner. There might very well be some value with the dog, here, but the Yankees are just too damn tough.
Indians @ Twins (-210) with a total of 8
This is sort of a cookie-cutter write-up. This price is too high for a team that isn't pitching well, though Liriano did his part 5 days ago against the White Sox. He has also done well against the Indians this year, while Westbrook hasn't faced Minnesota, somehow. He's 7-9 with a 3.62 ERA against the Twins, but both Michael Cuddyer and Jim Thome have hit him hard. This one has too many competing angles, really. Both teams have been hitting well, but both pitchers have decent history against the other club. Which prevails? Probably a coin flip everywhere you look.
Blue Jays @ Royals (-175) with a total of 8.5
This is another line that seems awfully steep. Marc, as we'll call him, didn't get off to the world's finest start, surrendering 4 runs in just under 6 innings of work against the Twins in his only start this year. Greinke, backed by some shaky defense, got his 2nd half started in zero-surprise fashion, with a loss. He's just 2-4 with a 4.80 ERA against Toronto, though he did go 7 innings of 2-run ball versus the Jays this year. You guys know how I feel about large favorites, and I don't believe Greinke's season makes him worth a play, here. I also don't trust Marc R enough to keep the Royals from pounding out 8-9 hits. The Over is about the only number I'd check out, since I believe Greinke does get hit a little.
Red Sox (-118) @ Athletics with a total of 8.5
This line is freakishly low, given the starters. I mean, I know the Red Sox have been a bit of a mess lately, but -118? Come on. I can't believe I'm saying this, too, but this line is so very low that I'm actually tempted to go public. Hah. In any case, a quick look at the players - Buchholz is coming back from his baserunning injury, so there's obviously a little concern there that, perhaps, he's not going to get the same drive on his pitches. He hasn't thrown since late June. Gonzalez gave up 3 runs to the Sox in just 5 innings at Fenway in June, but he's a total beast at home, except against the Yankees. I think a lot of folks might make a play on the A's just based on the weirdness of the line, and I'm not sure I can talk them out of it, but I would advise digging a little deeper before pulling any triggers.
Rangers (-120) @ Tigers with a total of 9
I struggled to decide where to start this writeup because I feel like there's a lot going on beneath the surface in this particular game. First, the surging Rangers are still getting a fairly inflated road line, considering Tommy Hunter went off as a favorite of roughly this size against the lackluster right arm of Armando Galarraga. Max Scherzer has a significant edge over Galarraga in stuff, and his recent work, especially at home, has been a large step up from where he was in April. Speaking of, Scherzer went 7 innings against Texas in April, and gave up 3 runs. Lewis went 6.1 innings against Detroit in April, allowing 4 runs, but striking out 10. I wonder if Lewis will hit a wall any time soon. He's been pitching long seasons, but hasn't had that MLB grind in a few years, and his starts in July have been shorter, on average, than other months. This game has that feeling of the one where the Tigers finally snap out of their haze, doesn't it? Maybe a little?
White Sox @ Mariners (-132) with a total of 6.5
Gavin Floyd is 1-4 with a 7.41 ERA against the Mariners, somehow. The Mariners! Something weird about that. I suppose the one real question that a person needs to ask himself when capping this game, outside of the standard stuff, is whether Floyd is going to keep up his June push, or start to swoon. He allowed 4 runs in 5 innings in Minnesota, but only 1 of those runs was earned, so it's tough to say that he got blasted, just wasn't spot on, and very few pitchers have been great out of the Break. In any case, Hernandez is still rolling right along, going 8 innings against the Halos and allowing 3 runs in a losing effort. He's just 7-6 on the year, but that ERA is down to 2.90, and he might very well be the hottest pitcher in the AL over the last month and a half.
Tips and Trends
Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs
Astros: Despite having the 6th worst record in baseball at 38-55 SU, the Astros are actually playing good baseball right now. Houston has won 6 of their past 10 games, and is quite likely going to be a spoiler team down the stretch of the regular season. Houston is -4.26 and -9.85 units both SU and on the RL respectively this season. Houston has dominated the Cubs this season, winning 5 of the 7 games played between the two teams this year. P Brett Myers will take the mound tonight, as he looks to keep up his fine form. Houston actually has a winning record when Myers is on the hill, as they are 10-9 this season. Myers is 7-6 this season, with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.28. The Astros are 6-2 in their last 8 games against a team with a losing record. Houston is 3-7 in their last 10 games during game 3 of a series. The Astros are 5-13 in their last 18 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Astros are 5-2 in Myers' last 7 starts against the National League Central. Houston is 1-4 in Myers' last 5 road starts against a team with a losing record. The Astros are 1-6 in Myers' last 7 road starts overall.
Astros are 11-1 last 12 Wednesday games.
Over is 5-2 last 7 road games against a team with a losing home record.
Key Injuries - SS Tommy Manzella (finger) is out.
PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (Side of the Day)
Cubs (-145, O/U na): Right when it seemed that Chicago was gaining momentum, they laid an egg against the Houston Astros. Chicago quite simply can't help but trip over their own feet, as they are the most disappointing team in all of baseball. The Cubs are 42-52 SU this year, placing them 10.5 games behind the National League Central lead. Chicago is -20.88 and -11.45 units both SU and on the RL overall this year. P Ted Lilly might be making his final start at Wrigley Field, as he is likely to be traded to a contending team. Lilly is only 3-8 this season, despite an ERA of 4.07 and a WHIP of 1.12. The Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series. Chicago is 6-2 in their last 8 games against a right-handed starter. The Cubs are 6-0 in Lilly's last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. The Cubs are 8-3 in Lilly's last 11 home starts against a team with a losing record. Chicago is 36-15 in Lilly's last 51 home starts overall. Chicago is 3-7 in Lilly's last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
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Cubs are 8-21 last 29 games against the National League Central.
Over is 4-0 last 4 games against a team with a losing record.
Key Injuries - None.
PROJECTED SCORE: 4
Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees
Angels: Los Angeles needs to pick up their winning ways, as they are falling further and further behind Texas in the American League West division. The Angels are 50-45 SU this season, 5 games behind the Rangers. Los Angeles is +1.79 and -3.63 units both SU and on the RL respectively this season. The Angels appear to be buyers as the trading deadlines draws closer. Los Angeles could use more pitching, and an upgraded bat in the daily lineup. P Joel Pineiro has been brilliant of late, as the Angels keep winning his starts. For the season, Pineiro is 10-6 with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.27. The Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%. The Angels are 6-2 in their last 8 Wednesday games. Los Angeles is 3-7 in their last 10 games against the American League East. The Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 road games against a right-handed starter. Houston is 6-0 in Pineiro's last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Angels are 4-0 in Pineiro's last 4 starts against a team with a winning record. Houston is 8-0 in Pineiro's last 8 starts overall.
Angels are 1-7 last 8 road games.
Over is 7-3-1 last 11 road games.
Key Injuries - LF Chris Pettit (shoulder) is out.
PROJECTED SCORE: 3
Yankees (-172, O/U 9.5): New York continues to win, regardless of the distractions taking place off the field. New York has won 8 of their past 10 games, and stand 58-33 SU overall this season. The Yankees have the best record in baseball, and lead the American League East division by 2.5 games. New York is +8.44 and +12.64 units both SU and on the RL this season. The Yankees have split 6 games with the Angels so far this season. P Javier Vazquez will look to keep the form he's shown of late, as he has an ERA under 2.00 in his past 3 starts combined. Vazquez is 7-7 this season, with an ERA of 4.45 and a WHIP of 1.22. The Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 games against the American League West. The Yankees are 45-13 in their last 58 home games against a right-handed starter. New York is 46-16 in their last 62 Wednesday games. New York is 3-7 in Vazquez's last 10 starts against the American League West. The Yankees are 1-5 in Vazquez's last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
Yankees are 41-13 last 54 home games against a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-0 last 6 games against a team with a winning record.
Key Injuries - 1B Nick Johnson (wrist) is out.
PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (UNDER - Total of the Day)
Diamond Trends - Wednesday
By Vince Akins
Red Sox at Athletics – The Athletics are 0-7 since July 30, 2009 when Gio Gonzalez starts after a quality start on the road for a net profit of $700 when playing against.
Padres at Braves – The Padres are 7-0 since September 08, 2009 on the road after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $925. The Braves are 10-0 since April 11, 2009 as a home 140+ favorite after a win in which they drew 5+ walks and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1000. The Braves are 7-0 since July 20, 2009 when Tommy Hanson starts as a 140+ favorite after facing 25 or fewer hitters for a net profit of $700.
Phillies at Cardinals – The Cardinals are 0-4 since May 08, 2010 when Jaime Garcia starts as a 140+ favorite after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $665 when playing against.
Astros at Cubs – The Cubs are 0-6 since August 27, 2009 as a home 140+ favorite after a 5+ run win and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1095 when playing against.
Mets at Diamondbacks – The Mets are 0-7 since June 11, 2009 within 20 cents of pickem when they are off a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $710 when playing against. The Diamondbacks are 0-7 since April 13, 2010 when they are off a win in which they scored in at most two separate innings for a net profit of $700 when playing against. The Diamondbacks are 6-0 since June 07, 2009 when Dan Haren starts as a favorite after losing as an away dog in his last start for a net profit of $600
Giants at Dodgers – The Giants are 0-9 since August 03, 2009 on the road when they won by one run in their starter's last start for a net profit of $1005 when playing against. The Giants are 6-0 since April 22, 2009 when Barry Zito starts as a dog vs a team that has lost at least their last two games for a net profit of $695. The Dodgers are 7-0 since October 16, 2009 at home after a loss in which they allowed 5+ walks and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $710.
White Sox at Mariners – The Mariners are 0-11 since May 06, 2010 after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1170 when playing against. The Mariners are 6-0 since July 09, 2009 when Felix Hernandez starts vs a team that has won at least their last two games for a net profit of $605. The Mariners are 0-5 since July 25, 2009 as a favorite after a loss in which they were shut out in the last 6 innings for a net profit of $710 when playing against.
Rockies at Marlins – The Rockies are 0-6 since July 01, 2009 when Jason Hammel starts on the road after a quality start for a net profit of $605 when playing against.
Rays at Orioles – The League is 9-0 since August 18, 2009 as a away 200+ favorite when they won the last time they faced this starting pitcher for a net profit of $900. The Orioles are 0-7 since May 02, 2009 when Bradley Bergesen starts as a dog when the bullpen allowed at least three runs yesterday for a net profit of $700 when playing against.
Brewers at Pirates – The Brewers are 0-5 since April 17, 2010 when Randy Wolf starts as a favorite after a quality start and they won in his previous start for a net profit of $710 when playing against. The Pirates are 0-8 since June 05, 2009 within 20 cents of pick ‘em after a win in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent for a net profit of $800 when playing against.
Nationals at Reds – The Reds are 8-0 since April 09, 2009 when Bronson Arroyo starts within 20 cents of pick ‘em after going at least eight innings in his previous start vs. this team for a net profit of $855.
Blue Jays at Royals – The Royals are 0-5 since May 21, 2009 when Zack Greinke starts as a favorite the last game of a three game series when they split the first two for a net profit of $670 when playing against.
Indians at Twins – The Indians are 0-10 since May 02, 2009 as a road dog vs. a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1000 when playing against.
Angels at Yankees – The Angels are 9-0 since June 04, 2009 as a dog after a 5+ run win and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1120. The Angels are 9-0 since May 05, 2009 on the road after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $1070. The Yankees are 13-0 since September 13, 2009 when they are off a loss in which they held the lead and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1335. The Yankees are 10-0 since June 19, 2009 after a loss in which they were shut out in the last 6 innings for a net profit of $1000.