MLB Orioles vs. Rays Picks & Predictions for Saturday, August 4, 2012
By ATSSportsline.com
ST. PETERSBURG, FL (ATS Consultants) –This is the second game of a three-game series after the Rays won the opener 2-0 over the Orioles on Friday night.
Wei-Yen Chen takes the mound for the Orioles against Jeremy Hellickson for the Rays. The second game starts on Saturday at 7:10pmET from Tropicana Field from St. Petersburg, Fla.
ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Rays as a -135 favorite over the Orioles. The total is 7.5 in most books. The Orioles come in with a 55-51 overall record and are 45-57 Under, while the Rays are 56-50 overall and 41-60 Under.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Rays opened as a -130 favorite and moved to -135 in most books. The total started at 7.5 and remained there in most books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 73% of public bettors favor the Rays. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB FREE PICK: Take the under. According to latest MLB trends, Tampa Bay is 1-5 Under in Hellickson's last 6 starts vs. Orioles, 6-21-2 Under in the last 29 meetings in Tampa Bay, 15-34-2 Under in the last 51 meetings, 0-6-1 Under in Hellickson's last 7 starts vs. American League East and is 4-21-1 Under in Hellickson's last 27 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Baltimore is 2-10 Under the last 12 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 4-12 Under last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning record, 7-20-1 Under last 28 road games vs. a right-handed starter, 6-17 Under last 22 games as a road underdog and 7-18-1 Under last 26 road games. The Rays have one of the best pitching staffs in baseball but are still missing a big bat in 3B Evan Longoria. Baltimore also misses DH Jim Thome and they have scored just six runs in their last four games at the Trop. Baltimore is sending Chen to the mound, who had a career-high 12 strikeouts in his last out at home against Oakland. The lefty will be tough once again in this matchup.
SATURDAY MLB FREE PICK: RAYS/ORIOLES UNDER 7.5
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