MLB Picks & Predictions for Thursday, September 16, 2010
By Drew Sharper
The playoff picture should become a little more clear on Thursday and our team of writers have three picks for key games in Major League Baseball.
San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:15PM ET
SAN DIEGO is 36-28 (+9.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN DIEGO is 19-16 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 82-64 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 40-32 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 80-63 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 54-44 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 54-46 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 73-70 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 71-69 (-27.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 48-45 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-1 (+1.5 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
TIM STAUFFER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
STAUFFER is 0-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 10.13 and a WHIP of 2.026.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)
JAKE WESTBROOK vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
WESTBROOK is 0-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)
MLB Free Pick: San Diego | Best Line: +112 SBGGLOBAL.com
L.A. Dodgers at San Francisco Giants, 10:15PM ET
LA DODGERS are 15-27 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
LA DODGERS are 44-54 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA DODGERS are 18-32 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
LA DODGERS are 74-74 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 5-15 (-10.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season.
LA DODGERS are 74-74 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 78-50 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 82-65 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 105-72 (+35.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 95-57 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 81-63 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 57-40 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SANCHEZ is 14-5 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 79-50 (+18.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-8 (+0.7 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.9 Units)
TED LILLY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LILLY is 3-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.65 and a WHIP of 1.345.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)
JONATHAN SANCHEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
SANCHEZ is 1-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.471.
His team's record is 3-7 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.8 units)
MLB Free Pick: San Francisco | Best Line: -135 SBGGLOBAL.com
Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox, 8:10PM ET
MINNESOTA is 13-24 (-16.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 34-56 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PAVANO is 1-6 (-8.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 80-64 (+14.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 37-30 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 79-67 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 26-11 (+16.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 75-63 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 62-48 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BUEHRLE is 116-59 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
BUEHRLE is 43-18 (+22.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
BUEHRLE is 116-59 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 38-29 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 17-10 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 87-58 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 13-3 (+9.6 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
MINNESOTA is 27-13 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 42-20 (+14.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 83-53 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 58-38 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PAVANO is 134-106 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
PAVANO is 66-41 (+24.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
PAVANO is 31-20 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PAVANO is 16-9 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PAVANO is 18-11 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-36 (-11.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 12-5 (+5.8 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
10 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)
CARL PAVANO vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
PAVANO is 5-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.49 and a WHIP of 1.094.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.7 units)
MARK BUEHRLE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BUEHRLE is 25-17 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.328.
His team's record is 27-17 (+8.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 22-22. (-2.0 units)
MLB Free Pick: Minnesota | Best Line: -109 SBGGLOBAL.com