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mlb plays 4 fri. 8/19 with notes

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(@timmy1961)
Posts: 36449
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plenty of games went over, my numbers didn't support those plays split our plays 2-2, mon. line plays blank, not 2 day boys here we go overs- cards/phils, ari/sd, hou/balt, tor/clev, oak/chisox, mets/sf, minn/kc, mil/sea sf will get the over themselves in that game, mon. line- cards, col, tor, hou, minn, good luck as always,

 
Posted : August 19, 2016 9:47 am
(@timmy1961)
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just saw page 2 from yesterday, hey pizza guy saw the amount of picks you had, r sure that's oregano ur putting on them pies brother, and not something else lol. l been doing this 37 yrs. booked and bet 4 26 of them, now just bet like mike, i've been 2 vegas more times then i can count, i have a contact there, 1 in clevland, and 1 in brooklyn, and boca, you might want say a small organization, for the young guys, read lines and watch movement, especially sharp money moves, i don't give a shit who's pitching, look at the 5 plays we used that 1 week against 5 of the best in the league, we went 4-1, i don't give a shit who's quarterbacking, fuck all them stats except for a very few that mean anything, watch line movement,more so correct line movment, that will tell you where sharp money goes, and watch public perception, if your not sure about reading line movement, and this is 4 the young guys, i'll be glad 2 show u some examples,i wanna c u young guys win as much as possible

 
Posted : August 19, 2016 3:08 pm
(@ttombobadly)
Posts: 274
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Timmy .. it's been well documented (by you) that you've been doing this "over 37 years" at this point .. is this required on every post? It was also proven by Cash earlier when you started posting that you don't understand line movements (confusing % of bets vs. actual line movement).

 
Posted : August 19, 2016 3:21 pm
(@sharkey11)
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here here he speakith the truth .very good advice from timmy . pitching is way over rated and the books know this and ajust it. most of the sharps are useing hitting

 
Posted : August 19, 2016 3:23 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 36449
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hey tom the mon. line plays r the line movement bets, the over bets r based on high era's, high whip's, and runs scored by each team, base on mlb ranking, i think your confused a little, understand now

 
Posted : August 19, 2016 3:25 pm
(@sharkey11)
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always some 1 to question a guy trying to help . prob. a bookie lol :blink:

 
Posted : August 19, 2016 3:27 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 36449
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you hit the nail right on the head sharkey, that's just what the fuck they r doing

 
Posted : August 19, 2016 3:30 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 36449
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i don't think tom understands my money line plays, r based on line movement, and they r never in the fav. role, the over plays, r based on era's, whips, and team runs scored, most of the time i try and stay with the top 10 teams in the league in scoring, but ur right shark always 1 sourgrape, he must be taken a beating this year, u know i'm for us guys, the bettor,am passionate about us guys staying in front if we can

 
Posted : August 19, 2016 3:39 pm
(@ttombobadly)
Posts: 274
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You're joking right? You've never once mentioned "line movement" since Cash put you in your place, and then it pops up on the boards yesterday and now you're saying your ML plays are based on line movements? Seems a bit coincidence right? And pitching matchups do mean something .. just because one team averages 4 runs per game, doesn't mean they're gonna get that many off somebody's ace. I'm not confused about anything, I see someone who relies on "been doing this 37 years" to justify plays that don't make any sense (re: Orioles on a 15-1 under run and you continue to push the over). If you put 1-2 sentences together on your picks maybe there wouldn't be so much talk around it.

Sharkey, your input makes no sense. "here here he speakith the truth .very good advice from timmy . pitching is way over rated and the books know this and ajust it" - wtf are you talking about? the books open with a line based on the matchups, pitching being the highest contributor to each line.

 
Posted : August 19, 2016 3:46 pm
(@sharkey11)
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we have been around the block once or twice lol. old saying ya cant shit a shitter . anyway best of luck today .and im sure ur not going to let that fella let u lose any sleep lol

 
Posted : August 19, 2016 3:48 pm
(@sharkey11)
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tommy boy post some plays so we can see if you r the mentle giant u come off to be saying :sick:

 
Posted : August 19, 2016 3:51 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 36449
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this guy is another statman caruthers, college boy sounds like to me, not street smart by any strecth of the imagination, hey idiot what the fuck you think i based the mlb season on look at the money line picks read the opening line and when the line moved the wrong way i made it a pick, you think i just pull these out of thin air knucklehead, who gives a fuck about baltimore they had a under run idiot, like teams that win 10 in row or lose 10 in arow or go over the total 10 in row, your an idiot son, you must be losing ur ass off this year, don't take it out on us that win at the end of every week, all but 3 weeks

 
Posted : August 19, 2016 4:08 pm
(@michael-cash)
Posts: 7610
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Lol. I think this might be our first fight too. It's like watching my kids grow up, so cute.

I don't have a dog in this fight so I don't want to take sides. But I will say that like I mentioned in the other thread, I have seen a million different ways to pick games and there really is no right or wrong way except for maybe just throwing shit at the wall to see if it will stick or not.

I also think it's natural for people to question other peoples opinions posted publicly. And that goes for whether you are winning or losing. If you are hot people want to know your secret if you are running cold they want to know if you are a fucking moron. That's just natural.

I'd definitely prefer though if we all try to keep it classy and not get off track and start talking about peoples mothers, that doesn't give anyone a good experience.

Carry on

 
Posted : August 19, 2016 4:15 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 36449
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hey knuclehead read the 5th post on the screen, then maybe u will get it, is my sentence structure ok now, mike didn't correct me on anything , he agreed with me about line movement, i will lay it again for you, i use high era's, high whip's, and team runs scored game average, for over plays, when aline moves in my direction as a dog bettor and it shouldn't cause the public is all over the side, it becomes a take, a play, a bet, ok dunce when the line drops on the fav, but betting increases on the fav, i bet the dog

 
Posted : August 19, 2016 4:24 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 36449
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did this guy mention something about my mother, she died in a car accident with me, post that i am just trying to get good info to all the guys, if you taken notice he has been the only 1 with neg. remarks, it's ashame, but we should allow a learning curve, none of us r exsperts, some r a little better then others it's not a competition, we r all in this 2 gether boys, win win win

 
Posted : August 19, 2016 4:40 pm
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