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MLB TRENDS AUGUST 18

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(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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NY METS (68 - 56) at PITTSBURGH (55 - 69) - 12:35 PM
JOHN MAINE (R) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 10-17 (-11.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 33-35 (+8.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 239-252 (+30.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MAHOLM is 9-3 (+7.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 4-2 (+0.4 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JOHN MAINE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
MAINE is 2-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.279.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. NY METS since 1997
MAHOLM is 3-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.16 and a WHIP of 1.280.
His team's record is 3-1 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (52 - 71) at ATLANTA (56 - 68) - 4:35 PM
BARRY ZITO (L) vs. JORGE CAMPILLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 123-162 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-30 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 123-162 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ZITO is 3-16 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 123-70 (+52.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 359-343 (+44.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
ZITO is 5-0 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 56-68 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 118-108 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 55-66 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 16-23 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 31-36 (-9.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 26-30 (-9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-2 (+2.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

BARRY ZITO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
ZITO is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

JORGE CAMPILLO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

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HOUSTON (63 - 61) at MILWAUKEE (71 - 54) - 8:05 PM
RANDY WOLF (L) vs. CC SABATHIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 71-54 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 70-52 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 63-61 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 13-4 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
HOUSTON is 61-60 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 47-42 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 34-28 (+9.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 34-30 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-6 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

RANDY WOLF vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
WOLF is 5-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.289.
His team's record is 12-3 (+9.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-10. (-6.0 units)

CC SABATHIA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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BOSTON (71 - 53) at BALTIMORE (60 - 63) - 7:05 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 7-14 (-9.0 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
BOSTON is 27-34 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BOSTON is 6-15 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 20-30 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 60-63 (+5.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 55-53 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 49-36 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 70-41 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 39-13 (+23.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LESTER is 13-2 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 25-8 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 21-7 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 15-2 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 27-10 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 5-14 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games in August games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 164-217 (-65.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 49-80 (-34.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 88-152 (-40.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 5-7 (+0.6 Units) against BOSTON this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

JON LESTER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LESTER is 4-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.444.
His team's record is 5-1 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. BOSTON since 1997
GUTHRIE is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.598.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

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LA ANGELS (76 - 46) at TAMPA BAY (75 - 48) - 7:10 PM
JON GARLAND (R) vs. ANDY SONNANSTINE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 75-48 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 45-17 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 27-18 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 45-18 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 47-33 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 49-20 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 55-30 (+21.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 30-14 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 37-21 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SONNANSTINE is 16-8 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 76-46 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 35-14 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 39-23 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA ANGELS are 16-6 (+10.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 52-36 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 53-36 (+10.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 30-15 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 38-19 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA ANGELS are 17-6 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
GARLAND is 13-5 (+9.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-2 (+2.4 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

JON GARLAND vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GARLAND is 5-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.03 and a WHIP of 1.171.
His team's record is 6-4 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-1. (+6.8 units)

ANDY SONNANSTINE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
SONNANSTINE is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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DETROIT (60 - 64) at TEXAS (62 - 63) - 8:05 PM
KENNY ROGERS (L) vs. SCOTT FELDMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 60-64 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 82-128 (-37.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 5-11 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
DETROIT is 57-54 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 37-50 (-21.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 29-34 (-11.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 62-63 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 40-22 (+14.6 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 79-62 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 56-57 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 46-45 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 36-27 (+14.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ROGERS is 197-148 (+36.0 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 173-127 (+36.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

KENNY ROGERS vs. TEXAS since 1997
ROGERS is 5-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.551.
His team's record is 9-4 (+5.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-11. (-10.3 units)

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

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OAKLAND (56 - 67) at MINNESOTA (70 - 53) - 8:10 PM
JUSTIN DUCHSCHERER (R) vs. NICK BLACKBURN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 56-67 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 89-109 (-27.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 8-22 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 70-53 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 44-22 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 44-22 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
MINNESOTA is 49-34 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 44-22 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
MINNESOTA is 48-38 (+12.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 41-28 (+13.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MINNESOTA is 37-27 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OAKLAND is 200-127 (+62.2 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-1 (+0.5 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JUSTIN DUCHSCHERER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

NICK BLACKBURN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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SEATTLE (46 - 77) at CHI WHITE SOX (70 - 53) - 8:11 PM
JARROD WASHBURN (L) vs. MARK BUEHRLE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 46-77 (-31.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 13-32 (-17.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 41-70 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 32-52 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 12-24 (-12.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 0-10 (-11.5 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more this season.
SEATTLE is 29-47 (-17.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SEATTLE is 17-33 (-14.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
WASHBURN is 3-17 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
WASHBURN is 11-23 (-13.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WASHBURN is 6-17 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 70-53 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 42-19 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 66-40 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 25-15 (+8.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 43-27 (+13.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 41-24 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BUEHRLE is 16-1 (+14.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

JARROD WASHBURN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
WASHBURN is 6-7 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.216.
His team's record is 9-9 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-11. (-5.5 units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
BUEHRLE is 6-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.84 and a WHIP of 1.255.
His team's record is 8-4 (+4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-0.9 units)

 
Posted : August 18, 2008 9:39 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Hot Pitchers
-- Maine is 2-0, 2.20 in his last three starts. Pirates are 8-3 when Maholm starts at home.
-- Astros are 4-0 in Wolf starts (2-2, 4.03). Sabathia is 7-0, 1.83 in eight starts as a Brewer.
-- Guthrie is 4-0, 1.23 in his last four starts. Red Sox won six of last seven Lester starts (5-1, 2.77).
-- Rays are 8-2 in last ten Sonnanstine home starts. Angels are 4-1 in last five Garland starts, scoring 35 runs.
-- Twins won eight of last ten Blackburn home starts.
-- White Sox won eight of last nine Buehrle home starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Campillo is 1-1, 7.94 in his last two starts. Zito is 1-3, 6.46 in his last four starts.
-- Rogers is 0-4, 8.06 in his last four starts. Rangers lost the last four Feldman starts (0-2, 9.86).
-- Oakland lost last six Duchscherer starts (0-3, 4.74).
-- Washburn is 0-1, 3.94 in his last five starts.

Hot Teams
-- Mets won their last six games, outscoring weak foes 38-11.
-- Brewers won nine of their last twelve games. Astros won last nine of their last eleven games.
-- Red Sox won four of their last six games. Orioles won four of last five games, scoring 47 runs.
-- Angels are 10-5 in their last fifteen road games. Rays won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Twins won eight of their last ten games.
-- White Sox won six of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost eleven of their last fifteen games.
-- Braves lost twelve of last fifteen home games. Giants lost 13 of their last 19 road games.
-- Tigers are 5-12 in their last seventeen games. Rangers lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Oakland is 5-24 in its last 29 games.
-- Mariners lost seven of their last eight games.

Totals
-- Five of last six Maine starts went over the total.
-- Under is 9-3 in last twelve San Francisco road games.
-- Over is 12-5 in Houston's last seventeen games.
-- Three of last four Guthrie home starts went over the total.
-- Three of last four Garland starts went over the total.
-- Four of last five Rogers starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 13-6 in Oakland's last nineteen games.
-- Under is 8-2 in Washburn's road starts.

 
Posted : August 18, 2008 9:39 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Trend Sheet

12:35 PM NY METS vs. PITTSBURGH
NY Mets are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games when playing NY Mets

4:35 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. ATLANTA
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Atlanta's last 17 games at home

7:05 PM BOSTON vs. BALTIMORE
Boston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games

7:10 PM LA ANGELS vs. TAMPA BAY
LA Angels are 16-7 SU in their last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels

8:05 PM DETROIT vs. TEXAS
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Texas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

8:05 PM HOUSTON vs. MILWAUKEE
Houston is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Houston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Milwaukee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Houston

8:10 PM OAKLAND vs. MINNESOTA
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home

8:11 PM SEATTLE vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Seattle is 6-15 SU in their last 21 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home

 
Posted : August 18, 2008 9:40 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

National League

NY Mets at Pittsburgh, 12:35 ET
John Maine (R) vs. Paul Maholm (L)
Maine: 38-16 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10
Maholm: Pit 8-25 as a home underdog of +125 or more

San Francisco at Atlanta, 4:35 ET
Barry Zito (L) vs. Jorge Campillo (R)
Zito: 3-16 TSR in day games
Campillo: Atl 19-8 Over as a favorite of -200 or more

Houston at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Randy Wolf (L) vs. CC Sabathia (L)
Wolf: 13-4 Under in night games
Sabathia: Mil 44-15 as a favorite of -150 or more

American League

Boston at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Jon Lester (L) vs. Jeremy Guthrie (R)
Lester: 13-2 TSR vs. division
Guthrie: Bal 1-12 after scoring and allowing 8+ runs

LA Angels at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Jon Garland (R) vs. Andy Sonnanstine (R)
Garland: Angels 14-5 Under after a loss by 2 runs or less
Sonnanstine: TB 30-14 at home off win

Detroit at Texas, 8:05 ET
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Scott Feldman (R)
Rogers: Det 13-26 as an underdog
Feldman: Tex 31-13 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

Oakland at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Justin Duchscherer (R) vs. Nick Blackburn (R)
Duchscherer: Oak 1-10 after a loss by 8+ runs
Blackburn: Min 27-10 as a home favorite

Seattle at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Jarrod Washburn (L) vs. Mark Buehrle (L)
Washburn: Sea 3-23 as a road underdog of +175 to +250
Buehrle: 16-1 TSR as a home favorite of -175 to -200

 
Posted : August 18, 2008 10:15 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tips and Trends

Los Angeles Angels at Tampa Bay Rays [7:10 PM ET]

Angels: Jon Garland will be looking to win his third straight road start and help his rebound after losing a series for the first time since the end of May. Garland has enjoyed a lot of success on the road this season with a 7-2 mark despite a 4.57 ERA in 10 starts. He has also done very well against the Rays during his career, going 5-1 with a 3.03 ERA. Garland walked away with a no-decision in his last start at Tampa Bay back on May 9 despite pitching eight scoreless innings in an eventual 2-0 loss.

Angels are 7-2 in their last 9 games following a loss.
The OVER is 6-2 in LA's last 8 games vs. AL East.

Key Injuries - 3B Maicer Izturis (.269; thumb) is OUT for the season.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (Side Play of the Day)

Rays (-125, O/U 9): Andy Sonnanstine has bounced back nicely following a personal three-game losing streak, going 2-0 in his last three outings after allowing two runs or less each time. He made two starts in the team's recently completed road trip, giving up three runs and 11 hits in 13.1 innings with one walk and 10 strikeouts. Sonnanstine has been solid at home this year with a 6-3 mark and 4.46 ERA in 12 starts.

Rays are 41-10 in their last 51 home games.
The UNDER is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Key Injuries - 3B Evan Longoria (.278; wrist) is on the 15-day DL.
OF Carl Crawford (.273; hand) is OUT for the season.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Houston Astros at Milwaukee Brewers [ESPN2 | 8:05 PM ET]

Astros: Randy Wolf is 2-0 in four starts since joining Houston with a 3.63 ERA. Wolf was roughed up in a previous trip to Milwaukee on July 27, surrendering four runs and seven hits in 4.1 innings. However, the Astros scored seven runs in the fifth inning of that game to win 11-6. He is 1-6 in 12 road starts with an inflated 6.54 ERA but owns a 5-3 career mark against the Brewers.

Astros are 16-5 in their last 21 games overall.
Astros are 3-11 in the last 14 meetings at Milwaukee.

Key Injuries - OF Carlos Lee (.314; finger) is on the 15-day DL.
2B Kaz Matsui (.285; back) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Brewers (-280, O/U 7.5): Outside of a no-decision against the Cubs at home back on July 28, CC Sabathia has been outstanding. Sabathia has allowed two earned runs or less in seven of his eight starts with Milwaukee, going 7-0 with a stellar 1.55 ERA. He will need to deal with a Houston lineup that he has never faced, which has scored an NL-high 70 runs in the last 11 games. Sabathia has won 10 straight decisions.

Brewers are 9-3 in their last 12 games on grass.
The OVER is 7-2-1 in Milwaukee's last 10 home games.

Key Injuries - OF Ryan Braun (.301; back) has returned.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers [8:05 PM ET]

Tigers: Kenny Rogers will be trying to end a personal four-game losing streak when he visits his former team. Rogers is 6-3 lifetime vs. Texas with a 4.24 ERA, but he has struggled a bit on the road this season with a 5-6 mark and 5.40 ERA. He has dropped his last two starts at home after going 2-2 in his previous four outings - all away from home. Rogers escaped a loss the last time he faced the Rangers after giving up six runs and nine hits in just 3.1 innings back on April 23, as the Tigers erupted for 11 runs in the fifth inning of a 19-6 win.

Tigers are 3-7 in Rogers' last 10 road starts.
The UNDER is 6-2 in Rogers' last 8 road starts.

Key Injuries - OF Magglio Ordonez (.317; rest) is expected to return.
1B Carlos Guillen (.284; rest) is expected to return.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Rangers (-115, O/U 12): Scott Feldman hopes to rebound from an unforgettable performance last time out at Boston. Feldman surrendered 12 runs and 10 hits in only 2.2 innings of an eventual 19-17 loss last Tuesday, the fourth setback in his last four starts for the Rangers. He has pitched slightly better at home this season, going 1-2 with seven no-decisions in 10 starts with a 4.57 ERA. This will be his first career start vs. Detroit.

Rangers are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings at Texas.
The UNDER is 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings at Texas.

Key Injuries - OF Milton Bradley (.317; illness) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

 
Posted : August 18, 2008 10:16 am
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ATSDatabase.com 80% Club Winning Stats

New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh: When PITTSBURGH team played as a Home team - Vs Conference Opponent - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Coming off a Loss vs. NL EAST opponent - Coming off 1 under; The OVER is 9-1-1 for the Pirates in this role.

San Francisco vs. Atlanta: When SAN FRANCISCO team played as a Road team - Coming off vs. National League opponent - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Coming off a 2 run win - Coming off 1 under; The OVER is 8-2-0 for the Giants in this spot.

Houston vs. Milwaukee: When MILWAUKEE team played as a Home team - Last 5 years - Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 - Coming off a 1 game loss - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series; Milwaukee is 12-2 SU the L5Y in this position.

Boston vs. Baltimore: When BOSTON team Played as Road team as a Favorite - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Coming off a Home loss - Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite; The Red Sox are 7-3 SU in this role.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay: When ANY MLB Team played as a 100 to 120 Road Underdog - 1st game of a series - Coming off vs. American League opponent - Vs AL Conference - Scored 3 or less runs FOR in their last game - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series - Coming off lost vs. Left handed pitcher; The OVER is 21-14-3 for the Road Underdog in this spot.

Detroit vs. Texas: When TEXAS team Played as Home team as a Underdog - After a non division game - During a night game - Coming off a Loss vs. AL EAST opponent - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series; The OVER is 6-4-0 for the Rangers in this role.

Oakland vs. Minnesota: When MINNESOTA team Played as home team as a Favorite - During the 2008 season - 1st game of a series; The Twins are 11-2 SU in this position this year.

Seattle vs. Chicago White Sox: When SEATTLE team played as a Road team - Vs Conference Opponent - 1st game of a series - Coming off a Road loss - Coming off a 3 run lost; The UNDER is 7-3-2 for the Mariners in this position since ’97.

 
Posted : August 18, 2008 10:23 am
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