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MLB Trends Friday 10/9

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MINNESOTA (87 - 77) at NY YANKEES (104 - 59)

NICK BLACKBURN (R) vs. A.J. BURNETT (R)

Top Trends for this game.
BLACKBURN is 11-25 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BLACKBURN is 10-23 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BLACKBURN is 1-12 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 68-36 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY YANKEES are 17-3 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY YANKEES are 104-59 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 60-45 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 59-44 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 74-67 (+8.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 87-77 (+1.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 18-8 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
MINNESOTA is 27-10 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 8-0 (+8.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

NICK BLACKBURN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BLACKBURN is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.89 and a WHIP of 1.799.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BURNETT is 2-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.371.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.7 units)

BOSTON (95 - 67) at LA ANGELS (97 - 65)

JOSH BECKETT (R) vs. JERED WEAVER (R)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 5-4 (+1.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BECKETT is 3-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.80 and a WHIP of 1.251.
His team's record is 4-6 (-5.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)

JERED WEAVER vs. BOSTON since 1997
WEAVER is 2-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.299.
His team's record is 3-6 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.7 units)

 
Posted : October 9, 2009 7:14 am
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MINNESOTA vs. NY YANKEES
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

BOSTON vs. LA ANGELS
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 7-15 SU in their last 22 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games

 
Posted : October 9, 2009 9:16 am
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Posts: 318493
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Minnesota at NY Yankees

Nick Blackburn (R) vs. AJ Burnett (R)

Blackburn:
11-25 TSR in road games
12-2 Under Away when the total is 8.5 to 10

Burnett:
9-0 Under at home on Friday
NYY 8-0 vs. Minnesota

Boston at LA Angels

Josh Beckett (R) vs. Jered Weaver (R)

Beckett:
11-2 TSR working on 5 or 6 days rest
12-3 TSR off team loss

Weaver:
4-10 TSR after giving up no earned runs last outing
13-4 Over off 3+ team wins

 
Posted : October 9, 2009 12:46 pm
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Tips and Trends

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels

Red Sox: Boston is 9-2 against the Angels in the post-season since 2004. The Red Sox did lose the season-series to the Angels, 5-4. However, six of those games were played during the first six weeks of the season. Josh Beckett (17-6, 3.86 ERA) has been inconsistent this season. He had an ordinary second half, going 6-3 with a 4.35 ERA in his last 14 starts. There was a stretch where he allowed 14 homers in five starts. The right-hander did strikeout 199 batters in 212 1/3 innings. Beckett, however, is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA in two starts versus the Angels this season. Boston is 10-1 when Beckett has taken the mound with five days rest. Boston is 19-8 in Beckett’s last 27 starts. The Red Sox have lost the past four times Beckett has pitched on the road against a team with a winning record.

The Over has cashed in 8 of Beckett’s last 10 starts.
The Red Sox are 0-5 in Beckett’s past five starts versus the Angels.

Key Injuries - Tim Wakefield (back) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

Angels(-$1.08, O/U 8.5 under -$1.20): Jered Weaver (16-8, 3.75 ERA) halted a three-game losing streak in his last start throwing five scoreless innings in a 5-2 victory against Oakland last Friday. Weaver was much sharper during the first half of the season going 10-3 with a 3.22 ERA in 18 starts before the All-Star break. The right-hander was 6-5 with a 4.47 ERA in 15 starts following the All-Star Game. Weaver is 2-2 with a 3.99 ERA in four career regular-season starts versus Boston. He has allowed two runs in seven innings against Boston in playoff competition. Los Angeles is 35-16 in Weaver’s last 51 home starts. The Angels were third in the American League in steals with 148. They can take advantage of the Red Sox’s weakness throwing out base-runners. Los Angels is 2-12 in its last 14 postseason games versus Boston. The Angels have won five of their last six Friday games.

The Angels are 2-10 in their last 12 playoff games.
The Under is 5-0-1 in Weaver’s last six starts.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (OVER - Total of the Day)

 
Posted : October 9, 2009 12:47 pm
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