MLB Trends Friday 7/17

SEATTLE (46 - 43) at CLEVELAND (36 - 54)
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. DAVID HUFF (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 2-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.94 and a WHIP of 1.517.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

DAVID HUFF vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

BOSTON (54 - 34) at TORONTO (44 - 46)
CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. RICKY ROMERO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 12-25 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 3-12 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 1-9 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 1-10 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 32-17 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ROMERO is 7-1 (+7.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 22-9 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 70-36 (+23.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 9-19 (-11.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-2 (+1.8 Units) against TORONTO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 0-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.551.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

RICKY ROMERO vs. BOSTON since 1997
ROMERO is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 11.25 and a WHIP of 2.750.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

DETROIT (48 - 39) at NY YANKEES (51 - 37)
LUKE FRENCH (L) vs. A.J. BURNETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 122-127 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 76-84 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 78-95 (-31.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 80-47 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 46-31 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 44-35 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

LUKE FRENCH vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

A.J. BURNETT vs. DETROIT since 1997
BURNETT is 3-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 8.03 and a WHIP of 1.744.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

MINNESOTA (45 - 44) at TEXAS (48 - 39)
GLEN PERKINS (L) vs. VICENTE PADILLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 48-39 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 115-92 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 47-37 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 36-26 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 41-25 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 65-57 (+14.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PADILLA is 29-15 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 25-15 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 19-12 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 15-7 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 11-3 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
MINNESOTA is 91-74 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GLEN PERKINS vs. TEXAS since 1997
PERKINS is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.46 and a WHIP of 0.973.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

VICENTE PADILLA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PADILLA is 3-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.168.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (+0.0 units)

TAMPA BAY (48 - 41) at KANSAS CITY (37 - 51)
JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 4-13 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 76-85 (-22.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 153-114 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 29-11 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 110-67 (+36.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 37-51 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 11-28 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 39-51 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 64-94 (-25.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 19-31 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SHIELDS is 5-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GREINKE is 0-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.399.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

BALTIMORE (40 - 48) at CHI WHITE SOX (45 - 43)
JASON BERKEN (R) vs. JOHN DANKS (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

JASON BERKEN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

JOHN DANKS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
DANKS is 2-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.099.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

LA ANGELS (50 - 37) at OAKLAND (37 - 50)
JOE SAUNDERS (L) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 50-37 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 68-36 (+26.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 74-51 (+28.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 27-10 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 190-140 (+42.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 47-31 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 54-38 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 101-74 (+17.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 16-10 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
LA ANGELS are 38-21 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAUNDERS is 35-15 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 16-4 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 21-11 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 34-13 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 26-12 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 22-41 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 58-79 (-26.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 32-45 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 14-32 (-16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-2 (+2.2 Units) against OAKLAND this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

JOE SAUNDERS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SAUNDERS is 7-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.355.
His team's record is 8-3 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.4 units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
CAHILL is 0-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

National League

CHICAGO CUBS at WASHINGTON
ZAMBRANO: 38-19 TSR AWAY when the total is 8.5 to 10
OLSEN: WAS 9-28 in July

SAN FRANCISCO at PITTSBURGH
LINCECUM: 31-14 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5
MAHOLM: PIT 8-26 after 3+ consecutive road games

MILWAUKEE at CINCINNATI
SUPPAN: 12-5 TSR as a road underdog of +100 to +150
ARROYO: 20-6 UNDER when working on 5 or 6 days rest

PHILADELPHIA at FLORIDA
HAMELS: PHI 18-9 AWAY when the money line is +125 to -125
NOLASCO: FLA 6-14 at home on Friday

NY METS at ATLANTA
PELFREY: 9-3 TSR as a road underdog
JURRJENS: ATL 2-9 after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7

ARIZONA at ST LOUIS
GARLAND: ARI 8-17 after having won 2 of their last 3
CARPENTER: STL 25-16 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5

COLORADO at SAN DIEGO
JIMENEZ: COL 11-3 after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8
GEER: SD 5-18 after a loss by 4+ runs

HOUSTON at LA DODGERS
OSWALT: HOU 17-7 against NL West
BILLINGSLEY: LAD 53-35 OVER as a favorite of -150 or more

American League

SEATTLE at CLEVELAND
HERNANDEZ: 8-2 TSR in road games
HUFF: CLE 3-11 after allowing 2 runs or less

BOSTON at TORONTO
BUCHHOLZ: BOS 10-4 as an underdog
ROMERO: TOR 9-19 against division opponents

DETROIT at NY YANKEES
FRENCH: DET 42-29 when the total is 8.5 to 10
BURNETT: NYY 0-5 after 4+ consecutive overs

MINNESOTA at TEXAS
PERKINS: MIN 7-23 AWAY after scoring 12+ runs
PADILLA: TEX 19-9 after having lost 2 of their last 3

TAMPA BAY at KANSAS CITY
SHIELDS: TB 29-11 when playing on Friday
GREINKE: KC 11-28 when playing on Friday

BALTIMORE at CHI WHITE SOX
BERKEN: 2-7 TSR in all games
DANKS: CHW 10-4 UNDER after allowing 8+ runs

LA ANGELS at OAKLAND
SAUNDERS: 16-4 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5
CAHILL: OAK 7-22 after having won 2 of their last 3

CHI CUBS vs. WASHINGTON
Chi Cubs are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games when playing Washington
Washington is 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing Chi Cubs
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

DETROIT vs. NY YANKEES
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 14 games
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Detroit

SAN FRANCISCO vs. PITTSBURGH
San Francisco is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 17 games

SEATTLE vs. CLEVELAND
No trends available
Cleveland is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home
Cleveland is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games

BOSTON vs. TORONTO
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
Toronto is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Boston

MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Cincinnati is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

PHILADELPHIA vs. FLORIDA
Philadelphia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Florida
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Florida is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

NY METS vs. ATLANTA
NY Mets are 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

MINNESOTA vs. TEXAS
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Texas is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas's last 10 games when playing Minnesota

TAMPA BAY vs. KANSAS CITY
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Kansas City's last 17 games

BALTIMORE vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 15-8 SU in their last 23 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Chi White Sox are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games

ARIZONA vs. ST. LOUIS
Arizona is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona

COLORADO vs. SAN DIEGO
Colorado is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
San Diego is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Colorado
San Diego is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games

LA ANGELS vs. OAKLAND
LA Angels are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games on the road
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
Oakland is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Angels
Oakland is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels

HOUSTON vs. LA DODGERS
Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home

Tips and Trends

Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees

Tigers: The AL Central-leading Detroit Tigers are hoping the New York Yankees don’t make toast out of starting pitcher Luke French when the two clubs resume playing for the first time after a four-day All-Star break. French, a rookie southpaw making just his third big-league start, will be trying to fry a Yankees lineup that has been hitting homers out of the new Yankee Stadium in record numbers. He also must be aware that the Yankees are 17-10 against southpaw starters this season. French recorded his first big-league win in his last start when he held the Royals to one run on six hits in 6 1/3 innings. Detroit is 21-26 in its first 47 road games and 30-29 versus right-handed starters.

The Under is 7-1 in Detroit’s last eight road games.

Key Injuries - None

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Yankees (-$2.10 O/U 9.5 over -$1.20): The Yankees will begin the season’s second half trying to snap a three-game losing skid. Joe Torre’s troops traveled to Los Angeles prior to the All-Star break and were swept by the Angels by a combined score of 29-18 during the three-game weekend series. New York’s hurlers allowed 10 runs in the series opener and 14 runs in the middle game. A.J. Burnett, whose 11 wins are tied for the AL lead, had a 5.73 ERA against the Tigers last season - but won both starts against them. However, Burnett has a bloated 8.03 career ERA against the Tigers. The Yankees captured two of three against Detroit at Comerica Park in April, with two games going ‘over’ the closing total

The Yankees are 21-9 in their last 30 meetings with the Tigers.

Key Injuries - None

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (Side of the Day)

Hot Pitchers
-- Lincecum is 6-1, 1.61 in his last seven starts.
-- Jurrjens is 2-1, 3.32 in his last three starts. Pelfrey is 2-0, 1.35 in his last two road starts.
-- Nolasco is 3-0, 1.57 in his last three home starts.
-- Garland has a 2.25 RA in his last three starts, but Arizona lost his last five road outings. Carpenter is 2-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.
-- Oswalt is 2-0, 1.86 in his last four starts.
-- Hernandez is 4-0, 1.50 in his last eight starts.
-- Romero is 4-0, 1.98 in his last five starts.
-- Burnett is 4-1, 1.60 in his last five starts. Detroit won French's first two starts (1-0, 2.45).
-- Padilla is 3-1, 3.10 in his last five starts. Perkins is 2-0, 1.29 in his last couple road starts.
-- Danks is 2-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Cubs lost Zambrano's last three road starts (0-1, 3.98). Stammen has a 0-2, 7.15 mark in his four home starts.
-- Maholm has 7.57 RA in his last five starts.
-- Arroyo is 1-2, 6.58 in his last four home starts. Suppan is 0-2, 6.14 in his last five outings.
-- Hamels is 1-3, 5.53 in his last seven starts.
-- Rockies lost eight of last nine Jimenez road starts. Geer is 0-3, 6.47 in his last seven starts.
-- Billingsley is 0-1, 5.51 in his last five starts.
-- Ohka is 0-3, 7.40 in four starts this season.
-- Buchholz is making first '09 start; he was 7-2, 2.36 in 16 AAA starts, but is 5-10, 5.56 in 18 big league starts, which includes a no-hitter.
-- Greinke is 2-4, 5.16 in his last eight starts. Rays are 1-5 in Shields' last six road outings.
-- Berken is 0-6, 6.37 in his last eight starts.
-- Cahill is 0-3, 13.50 in his last three starts, Saunders is 0-1, 12.21 in his last three starts.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won three of their last four games.
-- Giants won five of their last seven games.
-- Braves won their last five home games.
-- Phillies won 10 of their last 11 games. Marlins won ten of their last twelve home games.
-- Arizona won seven of its last nine games. Cardinals won eight of 12.
-- Rockies are 28-9 in their last 37 games, 14-4 in last 18 on road.
-- Astros won seven of their last nine games. Dodgers won seven of their last eleven games.
-- Indians won three of their last four home games.
-- Red Sox won five of their last six games.
-- Bronx Bombers won five of last seven home games.
-- Twins won five of their last seven road games. Rangers won their last five home games.
-- Orioles won four of their last five games. White Sox won six of their last eight home games.
-- Angels won eight of their last eleven games.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Reds lost seven of their last nine games. Brewers lost eight of last 12.
-- Mets lost eight of their last ten road games.
-- Padres lost eleven of their last thirteen games.
-- Mariners are 14-23 in their last 37 road games.
-- Blue Jays lost four of their last five home games.
-- Tigers lost 10 of their last 14 road games.
-- Royals lost nine of their last twelve home games. Rays lost 14 of last 20 road games.
-- Oakland lost eight of its last ten home games.

Totals
-- Under is 12-4-1 in Cubs' last seventeen road games.
-- Seven of last eight games at PNC Park stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last twelve Cincinnati home games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Arizona road games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Colorado road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight games at Dodger Stadium stayed under the total.
-- Under is 19-6-1 in Seattle's last 26 road games.
-- Five of last seven Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Detroit road games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Minnesota road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Royals' last seven home games.
-- Five of last six White Sox games went over the total.
-- 13 of Oakland's last 16 home games stayed under the total.