Hot Pitchers
-- Arroyo is 3-0, 3.71 in his last three starts.
-- Nolasco is 5-0, 2.66 in his last seven starts. Moyer has a 2.63 RA in his last two starts.
-- Braves are 7-2 in Hudson home starts. Redding is 1-0, 0.75 in his last two starts; Nationals are 14-4 in his last 18 starts.
-- Lilly has 1.98 RA in his last four road starts. Astros won four of last five Moehler home starts.
-- Davis has 2.36 RA in his last four home starts. Kuroda is 2-0, 1.19 in his last three starts; LA is 2-6 in his last eight on road.
-- Sabathia is 5-0, 2.29 in his last seven starts. Cain has 2.14 RA in his last three starts.
-- Mussina has 2.00 RA in his last three starts.
-- Orioles won Guthrie's last three home starts. Detroit is 6-2 on the road when Galarraga starts.
-- Rays are 9-1 at home when Shields starts.
-- Perkins is 4-0, 3.55 in his last five starts.
-- Buerhle is 4-2, 2.08 in his last seven starts. Greinke has a 2.84 RA in his last six starts.
-- Hernandez is 2-0, 1.82 in his last five starts.
Cold Pitchers
-- Maine is 0-1, 6.91 in his last three starts.
-- Looper is 0-2, 4.86 in his last three starts. Maddux is 0-4, 6.44 in his last six starts; his last win was May 10, 13 starts ago.
-- Rusch is 1-1, 5.06 in two starts for the Rockies. Pirates lost six of last seven Snell road starts.
-- Toronto lost Burnett's last four road starts.
-- Millwood is 1-2, 7.97 in his last four starts.
-- Red Sox are 0-5 when Buchholz starts on the road. Lackey is 0-1, 9.26 in his last two starts.
-- Indians lost four of last five Laffey starts.
Hot Teams
-- Mets won their last ten games. Reds are 7-4 in their last 11 home games.
-- Marlins won six of their last eight games. Phillies won four of their last five games.
-- Cubs won five of their last seven games. Astros won three of their last four games.
-- Colorado won six of its last seven home games.
-- Arizona is 4-1 in game after its last five losses. Dodgers won five of their last six road games.
-- Bronx won its last four home games.
-- Blue Jays won five of their last six games.
-- Twins won their last five games at the Metrodome. Rangers won six of their last nine games.
-- White Sox are 11-2 in their last thirteen home games.
-- Angels won three of their last four games.
Cold Teams
-- Braves lost six of their last nine home games. Nationals lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Cardinals are 2-4 in second game of home series if they won the opener. Padres lost six of their last eight games overall.
-- Pirates lost ten of their last thirteen road games.
-- Brewers are 1-5 in last six road series openers. Giants lost six of their last seven games.
-- Oakland lost six of last nine road games.
-- Orioles lost eight of their last nine games. Tigers are 1-6 in the second game of a road series, if they won the opener.
-- Rays were 0-7 last week, but are 32-7 in last 39 at home.
-- Royals lost five of last seven road games.
-- Red Sox lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Indians lost their last nine road games, but won four in a row at home right before All-Star break. Mariners are 2-6 in their last eight games.
Totals
-- Over is 6-2 in Cincinnati's last eight games.
-- Six of last seven Florida home games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in Atlanta's last ten games.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five games at Minute Maid Park.
-- Under is 6-2 in Cardinals' last eight games.
-- Four of last five games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1 in Arizona's last five home games.
-- Five of last six Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six games in the Bronx.
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine games at Camden Yards.
-- Four of last five Tampa home games went over total.
-- Three of last four Texas games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1 in White Sox' last six home games.
-- Four of last five Angel home games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1 in Cleveland's last six road games.
Trend Sheet
7:05 PM
DETROIT vs. BALTIMORE
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Detroit is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
7:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oakland's last 11 games
Oakland is 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 13 games when playing at home against Oakland
7:10 PM
NY METS vs. CINCINNATI
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Mets are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Cincinnati is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Mets
7:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. FLORIDA
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida's last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
7:10 PM
TORONTO vs. TAMPA BAY
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 17 games when playing Toronto
7:35 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
8:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. HOUSTON
Chi Cubs are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
Chi Cubs are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games on the road
Houston is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
8:10 PM
TEXAS vs. MINNESOTA
Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Texas is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Texas
8:11 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 15 games
Kansas City is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
8:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ST. LOUIS
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego
9:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. COLORADO
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
9:40 PM
LA DODGERS vs. ARIZONA
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Arizona's last 21 games
10:05 PM
BOSTON vs. LA ANGELS
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Angels's last 12 games when playing Boston
10:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. SEATTLE
Cleveland is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 10 games
10:15 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
NY METS (52 - 44) at CINCINNATI (46 - 51) - 7:10 PM
JOHN MAINE (R) vs. BRONSON ARROYO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 41-25 (+21.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 16-5 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 53-29 (+21.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 12-2 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
MAINE is 8-0 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
MAINE is 17-6 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARROYO is 7-15 (-9.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)
JOHN MAINE vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
MAINE is 0-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 10.00 and a WHIP of 2.333.
His team's record is 0-2 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)
BRONSON ARROYO vs. NY METS since 1997
ARROYO is 3-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.122.
His team's record is 3-3 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)
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PHILADELPHIA (52 - 44) at FLORIDA (50 - 45) - 7:10 PM
JAMIE MOYER (L) vs. RICKY NOLASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 26-19 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
FLORIDA is 427-484 (+29.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FLORIDA is 229-243 (+40.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
FLORIDA is 50-45 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 19-14 (+9.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
FLORIDA is 49-43 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 37-35 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NOLASCO is 13-5 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 12-5 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 10-5 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 7-1 (+8.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 7-1 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 80-66 (+27.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-20 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 102-77 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MOYER is 44-19 (+23.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 18-5 (+15.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 47-37 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 3-3 (+1.9 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)
JAMIE MOYER vs. FLORIDA since 1997
MOYER is 9-0 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 3.03 and a WHIP of 0.994.
His team's record is 9-0 (+9.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+3.0 units)
RICKY NOLASCO vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
NOLASCO is 3-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 1.141.
His team's record is 3-1 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)
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WASHINGTON (36 - 60) at ATLANTA (45 - 50) - 7:35 PM
TIM REDDING (R) vs. TIM HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 36-60 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-58 (-30.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HUDSON is 110-45 (+35.5 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 183-104 (+39.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 59-17 (+23.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 53-53 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
REDDING is 10-2 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 7-1 (+7.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 15-5 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 15-5 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 11-5 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 44-48 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 28-36 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 61-66 (-16.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 45-50 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 (+3.6 Units) against ATLANTA this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.4 Units)
TIM REDDING vs. ATLANTA since 1997
REDDING is 2-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)
TIM HUDSON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HUDSON is 7-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.933.
His team's record is 8-3 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-7. (-3.8 units)
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CHICAGO CUBS (57 - 38) at HOUSTON (44 - 51) - 8:05 PM
TED LILLY (L) vs. BRIAN MOEHLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 461-442 (-97.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 266-310 (-84.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 135-194 (-61.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 57-38 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 55-34 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 59-81 (-21.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-3 (+0.9 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)
TED LILLY vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LILLY is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.026.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)
BRIAN MOEHLER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
MOEHLER is 1-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.208.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)
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MILWAUKEE (52 - 43) at SAN FRANCISCO (40 - 55) - 10:15 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. MATT CAIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 50-72 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 36-55 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 22-38 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 25-39 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 28-34 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 22-33 (-21.5 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 53-75 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 9-22 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 16-23 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 641-527 (+87.4 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 147-83 (+43.3 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-28 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 58-90 (-26.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 111-146 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-28 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-42 (-19.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
CAIN is 16-36 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 9-18 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 16-36 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 11-23 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 5-13 (-9.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 7-24 (-18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)
C.C. SABATHIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
SABATHIA is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 0.875.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
MATT CAIN vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
CAIN is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 6.43 and a WHIP of 1.429.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
OAKLAND (51 - 44) at NY YANKEES (50 - 45) - 7:05 PM
GREG SMITH (L) vs. MIKE MUSSINA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 44-59 (-20.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 15-25 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 17-26 (-22.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 127-100 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 35-35 (-12.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 61-55 (-16.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 50-45 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MUSSINA is 83-72 (-34.1 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)
GREG SMITH vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.
MIKE MUSSINA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
MUSSINA is 8-7 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.162.
His team's record is 9-11 (-9.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-8. (+2.2 units)
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DETROIT (48 - 47) at BALTIMORE (45 - 49) - 7:05 PM
ARMANDO GALARRAGA (R) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 29-40 (-18.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 17-5 (+11.4 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 25-17 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 10-4 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
BALTIMORE is 40-39 (+5.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 36-28 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 36-33 (+9.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 26-38 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 117-213 (-92.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 47-83 (-23.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)
ARMANDO GALARRAGA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.
JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.
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TORONTO (47 - 48) at TAMPA BAY (55 - 39) - 7:10 PM
A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 20-35 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-15 (-10.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TORONTO is 28-37 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BURNETT is 39-65 (-27.6 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 3-13 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 13-31 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 14-34 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 36-15 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 38-16 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 40-26 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 55-40 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 55-39 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 36-14 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 18-6 (+9.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 24-17 (+8.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SHIELDS is 25-12 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 31-23 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 35-55 (-24.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 18-38 (-20.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-1 (+4.4 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)
A.J. BURNETT vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BURNETT is 6-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.022.
His team's record is 7-7 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-4. (+3.5 units)
JAMES SHIELDS vs. TORONTO since 1997
SHIELDS is 3-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.937.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)
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TEXAS (50 - 46) at MINNESOTA (53 - 42) - 8:10 PM
KEVIN MILLWOOD (R) vs. GLEN PERKINS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 38-26 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 32-18 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
MINNESOTA is 40-28 (+16.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 23-17 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 53-42 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 30-26 (+7.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 32-18 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 24-7 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-4 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
MINNESOTA is 32-18 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TEXAS is 38-30 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 27-23 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 28-22 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 50-46 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 25-25 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 16-30 (-15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 4-3 (+1.4 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+7.3 Units)
KEVIN MILLWOOD vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MILLWOOD is 0-5 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.86 and a WHIP of 1.796.
His team's record is 3-6 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.5 units)
GLEN PERKINS vs. TEXAS since 1997
PERKINS is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 0.948.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
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KANSAS CITY (43 - 53) at CHI WHITE SOX (54 - 40) - 8:11 PM
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. MARK BUEHRLE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 51-30 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 745-633 (+78.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 32-18 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 54-40 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 32-13 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 26-12 (+15.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
KANSAS CITY is 17-12 (+9.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 100-139 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 42-36 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 5-1 (+4.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)
ZACK GREINKE vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
GREINKE is 2-7 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.95 and a WHIP of 1.252.
His team's record is 4-8 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.3 units)
MARK BUEHRLE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BUEHRLE is 16-7 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.189.
His team's record is 22-10 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 15-16. (-2.6 units)
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BOSTON (57 - 40) at LA ANGELS (57 - 38) - 10:05 PM
CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. JOHN LACKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 15-26 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 6-17 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 20-28 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA ANGELS are 67-46 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 57-38 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 175-129 (+40.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 52-33 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 116-82 (+16.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 164-109 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 56-28 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 10-15 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)
CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
JOHN LACKEY vs. BOSTON since 1997
LACKEY is 1-7 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 6.24 and a WHIP of 1.915.
His team's record is 1-11 (-10.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-1.7 units)
National League
NY Mets at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
John Maine (R) vs. Bronson Arroyo (R)
Maine: Mets 12-2 in July
Arroyo: Cin 7-15 after a team loss
Philadelphia at Florida, 7:10 ET
Jamie Moyer (L) vs. Ricky Nolasco (R)
Moyer: 31-15 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +125
Nolasco: 10-4 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10
Washington at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Tim Redding (R) vs. Tim Hudson (R)
Redding: 13-3 TSR as an underdog of +100 or higher
Hudson: 12-3 OVER as a favorite of -175 to -250
Chicago Cubs at Houston, 8:05 ET
Ted Lilly (L) vs. Brian Moehler (R)
Lilly: CHC 38-22 when the total is 8.5 to 10
Moehler: HOU 59-81 when the total is 9 to 9.5
San Diego at St. Louis, 8:15 ET
Greg Maddux (R) vs. Braden Looper (R)
Maddux: SD 3-13 after a team loss
Looper: 13-5 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5
Pittsburgh at Colorado, 9:05 ET
Ian Snell (R) vs. Glendon Rusch (L)
Snell: 33-25 TSR in night games
Rusch: 13-24 TSR at home with a money line of -100 to -150
LA Dodgers at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Hiroki Kuroda (R) vs. Doug Davis (L)
Kuroda: LAD 20-26 when the money line is -100 to -150
Davis: 13-2 TSR at home with a money line of -100 to -125
Milwaukee at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
CC Sabathia (L) vs. Matt Cain (R)
Sabathia: 2-1 TSR; 3.13 ERA L/3 games
Cain: 5-18 TSR as an underdog of +100 or higher
American League
Oakland at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Greg Smith (L) vs. Mike Mussina (R)
Smith: OAK 24-12 after a one run loss
Mussina: 6-12 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175
Detroit at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Armando Galarraga (R) vs. Jeremy Guthrie (R)
Galarraga: Det 29-40 vs. righties
Guthrie: Bal 17-5 at home with a money line of -100 to -125
Toronto at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
AJ Burnett (R) vs. James Shields (R)
Burnett: 12-30 TSR as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Shields: TB 14-2 at home after scoring 2 runs or less
Texas at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Kevin Millwood (R) vs. Glen Perkins (L)
Millwood: Tex 7-0 Over vs. Minnesota
Perkins: Min 13-1 L14 home games
Kansas City at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Zach Greinke (R) vs. Mark Buehrle (L)
Greinke: KC 29-9 Under as a road underdog of +125 to +150
Buehrle: White Sox 32-13 in home games
Boston at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Clay Buchholz (R) vs. John Lackey (R)
Buchholz: Bos 15-26 road vs. righties
Lackey: 9-0 Under when the total is 7 to 8.5
Cleveland at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Aaron Laffey (L) vs. Felix Hernandez (R)
Laffey: Cke 18-3 Under after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games
Hernandez: 13-3 Under this season
Tips and Trends
Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins [7:10 PM ET]
Phillies: Jamie Moyer brings a perfect 9-0 lifetime record against the Marlins into this one. Moyer snapped a personal thee-game losing streak last time out against the Cardinals, allowing just one run and seven hits in seven innings of a 4-1 victory last Thursday. He has allowed three runs or less in his last seven starts and is 4-3 in nine road starts this season with a 3.13 ERA.
Phillies are 8-1 in their last 9 games as an underdog.
Phillies are 9-0 in Moyer's last 9 starts vs. Florida.
Key Injuries - OF Geoff Jenkins (.237; elbow) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 3 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)
Marlins (-130, O/U 9): Florida has won seven straight with Ricky Nolasco on the mound, and he has given up more than two runs just once during that stretch. Nolasco started the winning streak by failing to allow an earned run in six innings of a 5-4 victory against the Phillies back on June 10th. He is 4-2 in six home starts with a 3.35 ERA and 3-2 lifetime vs. Philadelphia with a 4.23 ERA.
Marlins are 2-7 in their last 9 Friday games.
The OVER is 38-15-5 in Florida's last 58 games on grass.
Key Injuries - SS Hanley Ramirez (.311; shoulder) is probable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 4
Chicago Cubs at Houston Astros [WGN | 8:05 PM ET]
Cubs (-130, O/U 9.5): Chicago has dropped the last two games Ted Lilly has started after winning his previous five starts. Lilly is coming off his worst start since May 30th, as he allowed four runs and six hits in just 2.2 innings of work against the Reds last Thursday. He has pitched a bit better on the road though, going 4-3 in 10 starts with a 4.07 ERA. Lilly is also 2-1 lifetime vs. Houston with a 3.55 ERA.
Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 Friday games.
Cubs are 4-9 in their last 13 road games.
Key Injuries - Closer Kerry Wood (24 saves; finger) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 6
Astros: Brian Moehler will try to win his third straight home start when he faces Lilly and the Cubs at home for the second time this season. Moehler was on the wrong side of a 7-2 loss when they last met back on May 19th, giving up three runs and seven hits in five innings. He has allowed just one run in each of his last two home starts against the Red Sox and Rangers, putting in 12 innings of work between them with five walks and 10 strikeouts.
Astros are 7-20 in their last 27 games as an underdog.
The UNDER is 7-1 in Houston's last 8 Friday games.
Key Injuries - C Humberto Quintero (.244; concussion) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 4
Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks [9:40 PM ET]
Dodgers: Hiroki Kuroda will look to build on his first road win in five starts when he visits Arizona. Kuroda pitched seven scoreless inning in his last road start at Houston on July 2nd, allowing just five hits with one walk and one strikeout. He followed that outing up with a one-hit, complete game shutout against the Braves before suffering a home loss to the Marlins last time out, giving up three runs in 6.2 innings. Kuroda is 2-6 in nine road starts overall with a 4.29 ERA.
Dodgers are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.
The UNDER is 17-6 in LA's last 23 games following a win.
Key Injuries - Closer Takashi Saito (17 saves; arm) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 4
Diamondbacks (-110, O/U 8.5): Doug Davis has been incredibly consistent in his last four starts, giving up three runs each time out. Unfortunately for Arizona, three of those outings resulted in losses. Run support has been a bit of a concern, as the Diamondbacks have scored less than five runs in seven of his last nine starts. On the positive side, Davis is 4-2 in six career starts against the Dodgers with a stellar 1.33 ERA.
Diamondbacks are 19-6 in Davis' last 25 home starts.
The OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Key Injuries - OF Justin Upton (.242; oblique) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 5
Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels [NESN | 10:05 PM ET]
Red Sox: Clay Buchholz figures to play a big role for Boston in the second half of the season or else he will end up back in the minors. If he is going to start turning things around, there is no better place than the road, where he is 0-3 in five starts with an 8.64 ERA. In fact, the Red Sox are just 2-7 when he toes the rubber this season, losing three straight. However, Buchholz beat the Angels in his only career start against them, giving up three earned runs and eight hits in six innings of work.
Red Sox are 2-7 in their last 9 road games.
Red Sox are 2-8 in Buchholz's last 10 starts.
Key Injuries - SS Julio Lugo (.268; quad) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (Side Play of the Day)
Angels (-155, O/U 8): John Lackey has been hit hard in each of his last two starts, which is quite surprising considering how well he pitched in his previous nine starts. Lackey had allowed no more than three runs in any of those outings, but he has surrendered a combined 12 runs and 23 hits in his last two starts against Toronto and Texas. He has also struggled mightily during his career against the Red Sox, going 1-6 in 11 starts with a 6.27 ERA.
Angels are 1-11 in Lackey's last 12 starts vs. Boston.
The OVER is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.
Key Injuries - 3B Chone Figgins (.275; personal) is expected to return.
PROJECTED SCORE: 4
Around the Horn ATS Style
By Ron Raymond
Today’s Baseball Pick
Philadelphia – Florida: OVER 9.5 +105
Action on game.
Keys to selection: The Sportsbook follow one thing and that’s money! The bookmakers opened this total at 8.5 and it’s not been bet up to 9.0. The Phillies are riding a 3 game over streak; while the Marlins last 2 games have gone OVER the total. In fact, seven of the last 10 games for the Marlins have gone OVER the total and because the law of average seems to be more friendly in the totals betting, let’s review some past situational trends backing up our over selection this evening.
I have a saying in sports betting; “use past mistakes for current profits”. With parity being in every sport at the Pro and College level, you really have to threat sports betting like the stock market today. Here’s a past situational trend which backs up our pick.
Whenever a MLB Road team (Phillies) are facing a Right handed pitcher the last 2 years, during a night game, coming off a 3 run win , Coming off a series win and they are coming off a day game in their last outing, the OVER is 33-13-3 (71%).
The OVER is 11-8 for Jamie Moyer starts this season and 12-7 for Nolasco when he gets the nod for the Marlins. Plus, both pitchers are getting run support from their respective teams, as Moyer averages 5.53 runs per game and Nolasco receives 5.05.
Play the OVER and good luck.
Baseball Streakers
Who’s Hot: NY Mets 10 SU Wins, Cleveland 4 SU Wins.
Who’s Not: Tampa Bay 7 SU Losses, Baltimore 3 SU Losses, and San Diego 3 SU Losses.
O/U Streaks: Arizona 4 Over, Philadelphia 3 Over, Colorado 4 Under.
Today’s Stats and Trends
New York vs. Cincinnati: When NY METS team played as a 100 to -120 road Favorite - 2nd game of a series - Vs. Right handed pitchers; The OVER is 9-4-2 for the Mets in this spot.
Philadelphia vs. Florida: When FLORIDA team played as Home team as a Favorite - Vs Conference Opponent - During a night game - Coming off a Loss vs. NL WEST opponent - Scored 1 or less runs FOR in their last game; The UNDER is 7-3-1 for the Marlins.
Washington vs. Atlanta: When WASHINGTON team played as a Road team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off a series loss - Coming off a Loss vs. NL CENTRAL opponent; The UNDER is 11-1-0 for the Nationals.
Chicago Cubs vs. Houston: When HOUSTON team played as a Home team - During a night game - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Coming off 1 under - Coming off a day game; The UNDER is 10-2-1 for the Astros in this situation.
San Diego vs. St.Louis: When ANY MLB Team played as a -120 to -140 Home Favorite - Last 4 years - During a night game - During the month of July - Coming off a 2 game winning streak - Coming off a Home win; The Home Fave (Cards) are 21-7 SU in this spot L4Y.
Pittsburgh vs. Colorado: When PITTSBURGH team Played as road team as a Underdog - 2nd game of a series - During the 2008 season; The OVER is 12-2-0 for the Pirates in this situation this season.
Los Angeles vs. Arizona: When LOS ANGELES team played as a Road team - Before a non division game - Playing on Friday - Scored 9 or less runs FOR in their last game - Coming off a Win vs. NL EAST opponent; The Dodgers are 13-5 SU in this spot.
Milwaukee vs. San Francisco: When MILWAUKEE team played as a -120 to -140 road Favorite - 1st game of a series - Last 5 years; The Brewers are 8-3 SU in this role L5Y.
Oakland vs. New York Yankees: When OAKLAND team played as a road team - After a conference game - During the 2008 season; The UNDER is 13-3-1 for the A’s in this spot this season.
Detroit vs. Baltimore: When DETROIT team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Before a non division game - During a night game - Allowed 5 runs or less AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a 2 game winning streak; The UNDER is 21-5-1 for the Tigers in this role.
Toronto vs. Tampa Bay: When TORONTO team played as a Road team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - 1st game of a series - Allowed 1 runs or more AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a 3 run win; The Jays are 3-7 SU in this spot.
Texas vs. Minnesota: When TEXAS team played as a Road team - Vs. Left handed pitchers - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a 1 run win - Coming off a day game; The Rangers are 2-8 SU in this position.
Kansas City vs. Chicago White Sox: When CHI WHITE SOX team Played as Home team as a Favorite - 1st game of a series - After a non division game - Coming off a 1 game loss - Coming off a Loss vs. AL WEST opponent; The White Sox are 13-2 SU in this role.
Boston vs. Los Angeles Angels: When BOSTON team played as a 120 to 140 road Underdog - During the month of July - Vs. Right handed pitchers; The UNDER is 12-2-1 for the Red Sox in this spot.
Cleveland vs. Seattle: When SEATTLE team played as a -120 to -140 home Favorite - During the month of July - Vs. Left handed pitchers; The Mariners are 8-2 SU in this spot since ’99.