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MLB TRENDS JULY 7

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(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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Hot Pitchers
-- Jimenez has 2.67 RA in his last five starts, but Colorado is 0-9 in his road starts this year. McClung is 3-0, 2.89 in his last three starts at Miller Park.
-- Florida won last five Nolasco starts (4-0, 2.95).
-- Kuroda is 2-0, 1.14 in his last three home starts.

-- Rays won six of Garza's last seven home starts.
-- Matsuzaka is 1-0, 0.90 in his last two starts. Baker is 3-0, 3.50 in his last three starts.
-- Santana is 3-1, 3.51 in his last seven starts.
-- Eveland is 2-0, 2.42 in his last four starts. Seattle won last five Washburn starts (4-0, 1.64).

Cold Pitchers
-- Hernandez is 0-2, 6.30 in two starts for Astros. Dumatrait has a 7.48 RA in his last four starts.
-- Mets are 1-4 in Martinez road starts (1-1, 7.99). Eaton is 1-3 in his last five starts, with a 5.16 RA.
-- Maddux is 0-2, 8.10 in his last four starts.
-- Campillo is 1-3, 5.05 in his last six starts.

-- Royals lost four of Meche's last five road starts.
-- Texas is 0-4 in Mendoza starts (0-2, 13.81).

Hot Teams
-- Mets won three of their last four games.
-- Brewers won nine of their last ten home games.
-- Rockies won five of their last six games.
-- Dodgers won five of their last six games.

-- Rays won eleven of last twelve games.
-- Twins won 18 of their last 21 games.
-- Angels won five of their last seven games. Rangers are 5-2 in their last seven home games.
-- Seattle is 9-4 in its last thirteen games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Phillies lost seven of last eight home games.
-- Astros are 4-13 in their last seventeen road games.
-- Florida is 7-15 in its last twenty-two road games. San Diego is 3-11 in its last fourteen games.
-- Braves are 6-14 in their last twenty road games.

-- Royals lost four of their last five games.
-- Red Sox lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Oakland lost six of last nine games.

Totals
-- Five of last six Houston road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-1 in Phillies' last six home games.
-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen games at Miller Park.
-- Over is 8-0-1 in Florida's last nine road games.
-- 11 of last 14 Dodger games stayed under the total.

-- Six of Royals' last eight games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-1-2 in last twelve Boston games.
-- Seven of last nine Angel road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-2 in Oakland's last seven games.

 
Posted : July 7, 2008 8:38 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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Trend Sheet

12:40 PM KANSAS CITY vs. TAMPA BAY
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Kansas City

7:05 PM HOUSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games when playing at home against Houston

7:05 PM MINNESOTA vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games at home

7:05 PM NY METS vs. PHILADELPHIA
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing NY Mets

8:05 PM COLORADO vs. MILWAUKEE
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado

8:05 PM LA ANGELS vs. TEXAS
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
Texas is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing LA Angels

10:05 PM FLORIDA vs. SAN DIEGO
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing at home against Florida

10:05 PM SEATTLE vs. OAKLAND
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Seattle is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oakland's last 13 games

10:10 PM ATLANTA vs. LA DODGERS
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 12 games
LA Dodgers are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

 
Posted : July 7, 2008 8:39 am
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Around the Horn ATS Style
By Ron Raymond
July 7th, 2008

Today’s Baseball Pick

Atlanta – Los Angeles: UNDER 7.5 -120
Keys to selection: When ANY MLB Team played as a 100 to 120 Road Underdog - 1st game of a series - Total is between 7.5 to 8.0 - Coming off vs. National League opponent - Coming off a Home win - Coming off a 1 run win; The UNDER is 12-4-1 for the Road Dog in this spot since ’97.

Baseball Streakers

Who’s Hot: Tampa Bay 7 SU Wins, Minnesota 5 SU Wins, Cincinnati 4 SU Wins, Milwaukee 3 SU Wins

Who’s Not: Cleveland 8 SU Losses, Washington 5 SU Losses, Kansas City 3 SU Losses, Pittsburgh 3 SU Losses,

O/U Streaks: Florida 4 Over, Colorado 4 Over, San Diego 5 Under, Chicago White Sox 4 Under, Oakland 4 Under, Detroit 3 Under, Seattle 3 Under, Arizona 3 Under.

Today’s Stats and Trends

Houston vs. Pittsburgh: When HOUSTON team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs NL Conference - During the 2008 season - Coming off a Road loss - Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog; The UNDER is 10-2-0 for the Astros in this spot this year.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia: When NY METS team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs NL Conference - Last 4 years - Coming off a Win vs. NL EAST opponent - Coming off a Road win as a Underdog; The Mets are 9-1 SU in this role L4Y.

Colorado vs. Milwaukee: When MILWAUKEE team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Vs Conference Opponent - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a 3 game winning streak - Coming off a Home win; The Brewers are 9-1 SU in this role since ’97.

Florida vs. San Diego: When SAN DIEGO team played as a -120 to -140 home Favorite - During the 2008 season - Vs. Right handed pitchers; The UNDER is 8-2-0 for the Padres in this situation this season.

Atlanta vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: When ATLANTA team played as a road team - 1st game of a series - During the 2008 season; The UNDER is 9-1-0 for the Braves this season.

Kansas City vs. Tampa Bay: When TAMPA BAY team Played as home team as a Favorite - Vs Conference Opponent - During the month of July; The Rays are 15-1 SU in this spot since ’98.

Minnesota vs. Boston : When BOSTON team played as a Home team - 1st game of a series - During a night game - Coming off a night game - Coming off 1 over; The Red Sox are 21-5 SU in this position since ’97.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas: When TEXAS team played as a Home team - Last 5 years - During a night game - Coming off a day game - Coming off a Road win; The Rangers are 9-2 SU the L5Y in this role.

Seattle vs. Oakland: When SEATTLE team played as a Road team - Coming off vs. American League opponent - Before a conference game - Scored 1 or more runs FOR in their last game - Coming off a lost in game 4 of a series; The OVER is 11-4-0 for the Mariners in this role since ’97.

 
Posted : July 7, 2008 10:02 am
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HOUSTON (41 - 48) at PITTSBURGH (40 - 47) - 7:05 PM
RUNELVYS HERNANDEZ (R) vs. PHILLIP DUMATRAIT (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 309-320 (-72.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 25-19 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 68-49 (+21.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 25-19 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 338-319 (+36.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 54-36 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

RUNELVYS HERNANDEZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

PHILLIP DUMATRAIT vs. HOUSTON since 1997
DUMATRAIT is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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NY METS (44 - 44) at PHILADELPHIA (48 - 41) - 7:05 PM
PEDRO MARTINEZ (R) vs. ADAM EATON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 44-44 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 16-23 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 52-53 (-24.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 44-44 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 87-82 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 28-34 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 19-26 (-12.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MARTINEZ is 6-13 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARTINEZ is 65-59 (-49.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARTINEZ is 81-67 (-30.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 34-14 (+18.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 100-75 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 6-3 (+2.1 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)

PEDRO MARTINEZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
MARTINEZ is 4-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.84 and a WHIP of 1.038.
His team's record is 4-7 (-8.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-7. (-4.8 units)

ADAM EATON vs. NY METS since 1997
EATON is 5-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.134.
His team's record is 8-1 (+8.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.4 units)

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COLORADO (37 - 52) at MILWAUKEE (49 - 39) - 8:05 PM
UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. SETH MCCLUNG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 16-35 (-20.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
COLORADO is 36-52 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 13-24 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
COLORADO is 107-162 (-41.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 11-30 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 4-16 (-12.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
COLORADO is 42-104 (-50.0 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 36-52 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 23-42 (-21.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
JIMENEZ is 5-13 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
JIMENEZ is 0-8 (-8.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
JIMENEZ is 5-13 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 47-24 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 49-39 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 28-13 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 48-37 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 77-61 (+27.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 45-22 (+27.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 97-89 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 99-109 (-27.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 45-64 (-30.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
JIMENEZ is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

SETH MCCLUNG vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

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FLORIDA (45 - 43) at SAN DIEGO (35 - 54) - 10:05 PM
RICKY NOLASCO (R) vs. GREG MADDUX (R)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 44-41 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 34-30 (+9.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
FLORIDA is 45-43 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NOLASCO is 11-5 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 10-5 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 10-25 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 35-53 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 35-53 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 23-39 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
NOLASCO is 0-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 7.59 and a WHIP of 1.781.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.1 units)

GREG MADDUX vs. FLORIDA since 1997
MADDUX is 13-15 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.068.
His team's record is 16-19 (-20.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-19. (-7.9 units)

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ATLANTA (42 - 47) at LA DODGERS (43 - 45) - 10:10 PM
JORGE CAMPILLO (R) vs. HIROKI KURODA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 60-64 (-15.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-18 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ATLANTA is 42-47 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 12-29 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 41-45 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 26-33 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 115-76 (+27.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 91-51 (+26.1 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-0 (+3.2 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

JORGE CAMPILLO vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

HIROKI KURODA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
KURODA is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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KANSAS CITY (39 - 50) at TAMPA BAY (55 - 32) - 12:40 PM
GIL MECHE (R) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 17-32 (-12.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 36-13 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 18-5 (+11.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 15-3 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in home games in day games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 36-14 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 38-15 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 40-23 (+14.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 25-10 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 55-32 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 98-137 (+18.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 38-35 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 22-24 (+17.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 over the last 3 seasons.
MECHE is 22-13 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MECHE is 55-46 (+21.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 35-50 (-18.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

GIL MECHE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
MECHE is 1-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.65 and a WHIP of 1.442.
His team's record is 2-6 (-6.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.6 units)

MATT GARZA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GARZA is 0-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.068.
His team's record is 0-3 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

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MINNESOTA (50 - 38) at BOSTON (52 - 39) - 7:05 PM
SCOTT BAKER (R) vs. DAISUKE MATSUZAKA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 14-27 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 36-11 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-14 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-10 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 19-5 (+11.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BOSTON is 51-27 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 50-38 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 27-22 (+7.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 37-24 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 39-25 (+18.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 29-20 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MINNESOTA is 12-5 (+8.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
MINNESOTA is 21-14 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BAKER is 13-4 (+10.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 (+2.5 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

SCOTT BAKER vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

DAISUKE MATSUZAKA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MATSUZAKA is 2-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.133.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

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LA ANGELS (53 - 35) at TEXAS (46 - 43) - 8:05 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. LUIS MENDOZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 35-27 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 36-26 (+17.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 56-55 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 24-19 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 46-43 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 68-52 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 38-24 (+13.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 24-15 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 41-39 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 53-35 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 27-15 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA ANGELS are 48-30 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 113-80 (+15.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 20-7 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
LA ANGELS are 63-43 (+16.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 19-7 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-2 (+0.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. TEXAS since 1997
SANTANA is 5-4 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 6.44 and a WHIP of 1.446.
His team's record is 6-5 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-2. (+5.6 units)

LUIS MENDOZA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MENDOZA is 0-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.85 and a WHIP of 1.499.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

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SEATTLE (35 - 53) at OAKLAND (47 - 41) - 10:05 PM
JARROD WASHBURN (L) vs. DANA EVELAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 35-53 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 31-51 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 24-37 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHBURN is 16-27 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 27-17 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
WASHBURN is 77-62 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 27-31 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 11-22 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 33-48 (-19.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 (+0.3 Units) against OAKLAND this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

JARROD WASHBURN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
WASHBURN is 8-13 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.08 and a WHIP of 1.328.
His team's record is 14-17 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 15-15. (-1.7 units)

DANA EVELAND vs. SEATTLE since 1997
EVELAND is 1-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 5.07 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

 
Posted : July 7, 2008 10:04 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

National League

Houston at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Runelvys Hernandez (R) vs. Phillip Dumatrait (L)
Hernandez: HOU 39-61 AWAY when the money line is +125 to -125
Dumatrait: PIT 12-3 as a home favorite of -110 or higher

NY Mets at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Pedro Martinez (R) vs. Adam Eaton (R)
Perez: Mets 34-26 as an underdog of +100 to +150
Kendrick: PHI 18-25 when the money line is -100 to -150

Colorado at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Ubaldo Jiminez (R) vs. Seth McClung (R)
McClung: MIL 26-11 at home when the total is 8.5 to 10
Jimenez: 0-8 TSR in AWAY games

Florida at San Diego, 10:05 ET
Ricky Nolasco (R) vs. Greg Maddux (R)
Nolasco: 11-5 TSR in all games
Maddux: SD 3-12 after a one run loss

Atlanta at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Jorge Campillo (R) vs. Hiroki Kuroda (R)
Campillo: ATL 91-51 AWAY in July
Kuroda: LAD 3-12 revenging 2 straight losses where team scored 2 or less

American League

Kansas City at Tampa Bay, 12:40 ET
Gil Meche (R) vs. Matt Garza (R)
Meche: 8-0 TSR as a road underdog of +150 to +200
Garza: TB 11-1 UNDER after scoring 8+ runs

Minnesota at Boston, 7:05 ET
Scott Baker (R) vs. Daisuke Matsuzaka (R)
Baker: MIN 31-29 as an underdog of +100 or higher
Matsuzaka: BOS 4-11 revenging a loss

LA Angels at Texas, 8:05 ET
Ervin Santana (R) vs. Luis Mendoza (R)
Santana: LAA 20-8 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175
Mendoza: TEX 38-24 at home when the total is 10 to 10.5

Seattle at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Jarrod Washburn (L) vs. Dana Eveland (L)
Washburn: SEA 10-26 after a one run loss
Eveland: OAK 27-17 when the total is 8 to 8.5

 
Posted : July 7, 2008 10:04 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tips and Trends

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies [7:05 PM ET]

Mets: It's hard to believe that Pedro Martinez has been one of the worst pitchers in MLB over the last month, but that's been the case. In his last 15 innings pitched, Martinez has given up an unacceptable 17 runs. Back in the day, Pedro used to give up 17 runs in half a season. In his seven starts this year, Martinez has allowed four runs or more five times. Pedro has been hammered in five road starts, going 1-1 with a 8.37 ERA. The OVER is 4-2-1 in games with Martinez on the mound.

Mets are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

The OVER is 16-5-1 in Martinez's last 22 road starts.

Key Injuries - OF Ryan Church (.307; illness) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Phillies (-130, O/U 10.5): Adam Eaton comes into today's game losing three of his last four outings. Over that stretch, Eaton has allowed 14 runs in 23.2 innings of work. The good news for Phillies backers is Eaton has owned the Mets throughout his career. He's a perfect 5-0 with a 3.29 ERA in nine starts against New York. Eaton is one of the few Philly pitchers who hasn't received a ton of run support. Because of that, the UNDER is 9-1 in his last 10 starts.

Phillies are 1-7 in their last 8 home games.
The UNDER is 14-2-1 in Eaton's 17 starts this season.

Key Injuries - RP Tom Gordon (5-4; elbow) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox [ESPN | 7:05 PM ET]

Twins: Scott Baker comes into this game with the Red Sox on a three-game winning streak. In his last 18 innings on the mound, Baker has allowed seven runs, while striking out 15. He's been sensational at home but just average on the road, going 2-2 with a 4.58 ERA in six starts away from the Metrodome. Baker has been consistent all year. He's allowed three runs or less nine times in his last 10 outings. The UNDER is 5-2 in Baker's last seven starts.

Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 games as an underdog.
Twins are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Key Injuries - OF Michael Cuddyer (.252; finger) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Red Sox (-175, O/U 9): After a terrible outing against St. Louis in his first start back from the DL, Daisuke Matsuzaka has regained the form he had before his injury. In his last two starts, Dice-K has only given up one run in 10 innings of work. Matsuzaka is 5-1 at Fenway Park, although his ERA is a less than impressive 4.10. Overall, the Red Sox are 11-3 in games Matsuzaka has started this season.

Red Sox are 2-7 in their last 9 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-2-2 in Boston's last 11 games on grass.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)

Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers [8:05 PM ET]

Angels (-140, O/U 10): After a sizzling start to the season, Ervin Santana has been average in his last 10 outings. Over that span, Santana has allowed four runs or more five times. Santana was dismal on the road last season but has turned it around in 2008, going 6-1 with a 3.36 ERA away from home. Santana was known as a pitcher who had control issues heading into this year, but he seems to have corrected that problem, striking out 106 and walking just 30 in 115.1 innings of work.

Angels are 11-4 in their last 15 road games.
The UNDER is 21-7-2 in LA's last 30 road games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6

Rangers: There is the old good news, bad news when it comes to Luis Mendoza. The good news is he's been terrific as a relief pitcher. The bad news is he's been awful as a starter. Unfortunately for the Rangers, he'll be starting today. In his three starts this season Mendoza has allowed a ridiculous 17 runs in just 12.2 innings pitched. His last time out the Yankees hammered Mendoza, scoring six runs before he was lifted in the fourth inning. Two of Mendoza's three starts this year easily went OVER the total.

Rangers are 2-7 in their last 9 Monday games.
The UNDER is 7-3-1 in Texas' last 11 games following a win.

Key Injuries - C Gerald Laird (.306; hamstring) is on the 15-day DL.
OF Milton Bradley (.320; knee) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers [10:10 PM ET]

Braves: Jorge Campillo began the year on fire but he's come back to earth over the last month. Campillo has lost three of his last four starts, allowing 11 runs in 18.1 innings pitched. He has, however, been phenomenal away from home, possessing a road ERA of 1.00 in 10 appearances as a starter and reliever. Overall, the Braves have lost five of the last six games Campillo has started.

Braves are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 games overall.

Key Injuries - SS Omar Infante (.282; hamstring) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Dodgers (-130, O/U 7.5): Hiroki Kuroda makes his second start since coming off the DL. The Dodgers are hoping it goes as well as his last outing against the Astros where Kuroda pitched five scoreless innings. Kuroda has been tough at home this season, going 2-0 with a solid 3.00 ERA. The UNDER has been a moneymaking proposition with Kuroda on the mound, going 9-4-2 in his 15 starts this season.

Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games overall.
The UNDER is 11-3 in LA's last 14 games overall.

Key Injuries - OF Juan Pierre (.277; knee) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

 
Posted : July 7, 2008 10:05 am
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