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MLB Trends June 16

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(@mvbski)
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ATLANTA (34 - 36) at COLORADO (28 - 41) - 2:05 PM
JAIR JURRJENS (R) vs. UBALDO JIMENEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 6-15 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 4-14 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ATLANTA is 118-114 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 93-100 (-24.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-25 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 7-14 (-8.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 24-45 (-27.6 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-25 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 6-17 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 7-16 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 27-14 (+11.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 88-81 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 68-55 (+17.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 27-41 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 27-41 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 19-33 (-15.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
JIMENEZ is 3-11 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
JIMENEZ is 3-11 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

JAIR JURRJENS vs. COLORADO since 1997
JURRJENS is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.571.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
JIMENEZ is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 7.59 and a WHIP of 1.968.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

BOSTON (44 - 28) at PHILADELPHIA (41 - 30) - 7:05 PM
BARTOLO COLON (R) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 41-53 (-19.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 2-11 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 93-68 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-40 (+19.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 151-97 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-9 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 43-19 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLON is 15-3 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BARTOLO COLON vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
COLON is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.370.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

COLE HAMELS vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

NY METS (33 - 35) at LA ANGELS (42 - 28) - 10:05 PM
MIKE PELFREY (R) vs. JERED WEAVER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 33-35 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 13-21 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
NY METS are 3-12 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 33-35 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 7-14 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
NY METS are 18-26 (-13.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PELFREY is 8-17 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PELFREY is 8-17 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PELFREY is 2-11 (-11.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 42-28 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 37-23 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 63-30 (+32.8 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MIKE PELFREY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

JERED WEAVER vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

FLORIDA (37 - 32) at SEATTLE (24 - 45) - 10:10 PM
ANDREW MILLER (L) vs. CARLOS SILVA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 37-32 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 28-17 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
FLORIDA is 115-90 (+30.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
FLORIDA is 36-30 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 28-25 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
FLORIDA is 28-21 (+12.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 24-45 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 7-19 (-11.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 14-22 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 0-7 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in home games in June games this season.
SEATTLE is 20-43 (-28.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 16-31 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 4-12 (-10.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 16-28 (-13.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SEATTLE is 12-27 (-14.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ANDREW MILLER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MILLER is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

CARLOS SILVA vs. FLORIDA since 1997
SILVA is 1-0 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.571.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

DETROIT (32 - 37) at SAN FRANCISCO (30 - 40) - 10:15 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. TIM LINCECUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 32-37 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 21-32 (-16.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
VERLANDER is 3-11 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 3-10 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 120-68 (+50.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 633-519 (+85.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
DETROIT is 45-22 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 34-13 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 101-131 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 52-64 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 101-131 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-17 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 53-77 (-22.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 71-84 (-23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

TIM LINCECUM vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

 
Posted : June 16, 2008 8:26 am
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Posts: 43756
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National League

Atlanta at Colorado, 8:05 ET
Jair Jurrjens (R) vs. Ubaldo Jiminez (R)
Jurrjens: Atl 43-18 Under when the total is 8.5 to 10
Jiminez: 3-11 TSR this season

Interleague Play

Boston at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET ESPN
Bartolo Colon (R) vs. Cole Hamels (L)
Colon: 15-3 TSR Away in interleague play
Hamels: Phi 11-3 Under in June

NY Mets at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Mike Pelfrey (R) vs. Jered Weaver (R)
Pelfrey: 8-17 TSR L25 starts
Weaver: Angels 35-14 Under in night games

Florida at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Andrew Miller (L) vs. Carlos Silva (R)
Miller: Florida 7-0 Over on Mondays
Silva: Sea 0-7 at home in June

Detroit at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Justin Verlander (R) vs. Tim Lincecum (R)
Verlander: 0-5 TSR, 5.79 ERA in road starts
Lincecum: Det 63-36 Under as road underdog

 
Posted : June 16, 2008 8:26 am
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Hot Pitchers
-- Jimenez has 1.80 RA in his last three home starts.
-- Hamels is 2-1, 3.16 in his last six starts; Phillies won four of his last five home outings. Colon is 4-1, 4.34 in his five starts.
-- Pelfrey is 0-0, 1.71 in his last thee starts, but Mets are 0-4 in his road outings. Angels won three of Weaver's last four home outings (2-1, 3.33).
-- Lincecum is 3-0, 2.10 in his last five starts. Verlander has 2.50 RA in his last five starts, but Tigers are 0-5 in his road starts-- they scored 0-1-1-0-0 runs in those five games.

Cold Pitchers
-- Jurrjens sprained his ankle last week; he has an 8.40 RA in his last three starts.
-- Miller is 0-1, 6.52 in his last two road starts. Silva is 0-7, 9.21 in his last eight starts; Seattle lost his last four starts at home.

Hot Teams
-- Rockies won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Phillies won 14 of their last 20 games, but lost last two. Red Sox are 12-4 in their last sixteen games.
-- Detroit won six in row, eight of last nine games.
-- Angels won ten of their last fourteen games.

Cold Teams
-- Braves lost ten of their last thirteen road games.
-- Giants lost twelve of their last fourteen home games.
-- Mets lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Marlins are 4-12 in their last sixteen road games; Mariners lost eight of their last nine home games. .

Totals
-- Last four Jurrjens starts all went over the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in Colon starts.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Pelfrey starts.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in Miller's last nine starts.
-- Six of last eight Lincecum starts went over the total.

 
Posted : June 16, 2008 8:26 am
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Posts: 43756
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Topic starter
 

Trend Sheet

7:05 PM BOSTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

8:05 PM ATLANTA vs. COLORADO
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Colorado is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

10:05 PM NY METS vs. LA ANGELS
NY Mets are 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home

10:10 PM FLORIDA vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Florida's last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

10:15 PM DETROIT vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

 
Posted : June 16, 2008 8:27 am
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Posts: 43756
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Tips and Trends

Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies [ESPN | 7:05 PM ET]

Red Sox: Bartolo Colon has added another solid arm to the Red Sox rotation, winning four of his five starts this season. Colon has allowed two runs or less in three of his starts, while recording 22 strikeouts in 29 innings of work. He's pitched well in his two road starts, going 2-0 with an ERA of 3.46. Colon, who has been known to be wild in the past, is demonstrating good control this season, giving up just seven walks.

Key Injuries - NONE

Phillies (-165, O/U 9): Cole Hamels has been solid for the Phillies in 2008, although he's hit a wall of late, going 1-1 with three no-decisions in his last five starts. Hamels had a two-game stretch against the Astros and Marlins where he gave up 13 runs but he returned to form in his last two outings, allowing just two runs in 17 innings of work. The UNDER is 4-2 the last six times Hamels has taken the mound.

Key Injuries - NONE

Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies [8:05 PM ET]

Braves: Jair Jurrjens hasn't lost a game since May 12 but strong run support has helped the Braves overcome some poor outings from him over the last month. Jurrjens has allowed 18 runs over his last 32 innings pitched but Atlanta is 4-1 over that span. Jurrjens has been much better at home than on the road this season, where he's 1-3 with an ERA of 4.84. The OVER is 4-0 in Jurrjens' last four starts.

Key Injuries - NONE

Rockies (-120, O/U 9.5): Ubaldo Jimenez is winless in his last 10 starts, going 0-4 with six no-decisions. Jimenez pitched seven innings of shutout ball twice over that span but didn't factor in the decision after receiving no run support. The road hasn't been kind to Jimenez. He's 0-5 with an ERA of 6.75 in eight starts. Despite his struggles, the UNDER is 5-2 in Jimenez's last seven starts.

Key Injuries - NONE

New York Mets at Los Angeles Angels [10:05 PM ET]

Mets: Mike Pelfrey hasn't recorded a win since April 15 but he's been extremely effective in his last three starts. Pelfrey has three no-decisions in those games but pitched well enough to win, allowing just four runs in 21 innings of work. Pelfrey has been lit up on the road, going 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA in four starts. The UNDER is 5-2 in Pelfrey's last seven starts.

Key Injuries - NONE

Angels (-150, O/U 8.5): Jared Weaver has been solid recently, going 4-1 over that span. In his last 31.1 innings of work, Weaver has allowed 13 runs, while giving out just seven walks. Weaver is an even 3-3 at home but does possess a solid 3.05 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in seven starts. Weaver is coming off one of his best performances of the season, giving up just one run over eight innings against a powerful Rays' lineup.

Key Injuries - NONE

Detroit Tigers at San Francisco Giants [10:15 PM ET]

Tigers: Justin Verlander is having a tough season but he's actually pitched pretty well over the last month. In his previous six starts, Verlander has allowed three runs or less five times and just a single run in three of those outing. As a matter of fact, Verlander has only allowed a total of 12 runs in his last 42 innings of work but is just 2-3 with one no decision over that span. The UNDER is 8-2 in Verlander's last 10 starts.

Key Injuries - NONE

Giants (-115, O/U 7): Young Tim Linecum has certainly lived up to the hype, going 8-1 with a minuscule 1.99 ERA. Linecum has been close to unhittable over his last three starts, allowing just two runs in 21 innings of work. However, he only recorded one win to go along with two no-decisions in those three games. The Giants have won four of the last five games overall with Linecum on the hill. Despite his dominance, the OVER is 6-2 in Linecum's last eight starts.

Key Injuries - NONE

 
Posted : June 16, 2008 8:27 am
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