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MLB Trends June 9

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(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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Hot Pitchers
-- Johnson has 2.39 RA in his last four starts. Pirates won three of last four Duke home starts.
-- Volquez is 8-1, 1.47 in twelve starts this season.

-- Bronx won three in row and eight of last nine Mussina starts.
-- Danks has a 2.54 RA in his last five starts.
-- Litsch is 2-1, 1.69 in his last three starts.
-- Indians are 9-2 in Lee's starts, but he has 6.94 RA in his last four outings.
-- Angels won ten of twelve Saunders starts this season.

Cold Pitchers
-- Hendrickson has 11.66 RA in his last three starts, but Florida won his last six home starts.
-- Clippard was 3-1, 6.33 in six starts with Bronx, walking 17 in 27 innings, allowing 19 runs. Giants lost last four Cain starts (0-1, 5.76); bullpen lost three of the four games.

-- Hochevar is 0-3, 8.22 in his last four starts.
-- Washburn is 0-3, 10.61 in his last four starts.
-- Perkins is 0-1, 11.25 in his last couple starts.
-- Willis is 0-0, 4.00 in three starts this season (nine IP).
-- Jackson is 1-2, 6.19 in his last three starts.

Hot Teams
-- Pirates are 13-7 in their last 20 home games.
-- Marlins won seven of their last nine home games.
-- Giants won nine of their last eleven road games.

-- Bronx won nine of their last eleven home games.
-- White Sox won eleven of their last thirteen home games.
-- Angels won seven of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Arizona lost eleven of last fifteen road games.
-- Reds are 4-17 in their last twenty-one road games.
-- Nationals lost seven of their last nine games.

-- Royals lost thirteen of their last fourteen road games.
-- Twins lost last four games, allowing 36 runs.
-- Mariners are 2-15 in their last seventeen road games. Jays lost six of their last eight games.
-- Indians are 4-13 in their last seventeen road games. Tigers are 5-8 in last thirteen games.
-- Rays lost five of their last seven road games.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Arizona games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 9-3 in last twelve Florida home games.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in Giants' last nine road games.

-- Over is 4-1-2 in Royals' last seven road games.
-- Eight of last ten Danks starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Washburn starts went over the total.
-- Over is 9-4 in Cleveland's last thirteen games.
-- Four of last five Saunders starts stayed under the total.

 
Posted : June 9, 2008 5:48 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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Trend Sheet

12:35 PM
ARIZONA vs. PITTSBURGH
Arizona is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

1:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. NY YANKEES
Kansas City is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games
Kansas City is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
NY Yankees are 21-2 SU in their last 23 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 14 games when playing at home against Kansas City

2:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games

7:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. DETROIT
Cleveland is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cleveland

7:07 PM
SEATTLE vs. TORONTO
Seattle is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Seattle is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Seattle

7:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. FLORIDA
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

7:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. WASHINGTON
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of San Francisco's last 20 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Washington's last 24 games

10:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. LA ANGELS
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games at home

 
Posted : June 9, 2008 5:52 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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Tips and Trends

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox [2:05 PM ET]

Twins: Glen Perkins has gotten plastered in his last two starts, giving up 19 hits and 10 runs over just eight innings of work. Perkins has made only one road start this season, allowing just one run in 7.2 innings pitched versus the Tigers. Perkins has faced the White Sox three times as a relief pitcher but this will be his first ever start against Chicago. Three of Perkins' last four outings have gone OVER the total.

Key Injuries - NONE

White Sox (-200, O/U 9.5): John Danks has been sensational this season with a 2.88 ERA but he can't buy any run support whatsoever. Danks has only allowed eight runs in his last 29 innings pitched but has just one win to show for it. Danks faced the Twins earlier this year and got the win after allowing just two runs over five innings. He hasn't had great numbers overall in his career against Minnesota though, going 2-3 with an unimpressive 7.33 ERA.

Key Injuries - NONE

Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers [ESPN | 7:05 PM ET] | Full Matchup

Pitching Tips Top Trends Key Injuries -
Indians: Cliff Lee is cruising towards an All-Star game start, sporting a 9-1 record with a 2.45 ERA on the year. Lee has won his last three starts but he hasn't been sharp in his two most recent outings, giving up 19 hits and 11 runs in just 11 innings of work. Lee has been remarkable on the road this season, going a stellar 6-1 with a 2.85 ERA. Even though he has a low ERA, three of Lee's last four starts have gone OVER the total.

Indians are 7-3 in their the last 10 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

Tigers (-115, O/U 9.5): Dontrelle Willis has started three games in 2008 but hasn't factored in any of the decisions. Willis made his first start last week against the A's since returning from the DL and allowed just two hits and no runs in four innings pitched. Because of injuries, Willis has pitched just 10 innings this year but he's been wild, giving up 16 walks. Willis has pitched well in two career starts versus the Tribe, striking out 13 batters in 12 innings.

Key Injuries - NONE

Cincinnati Reds at Florida Marlins [7:10 PM ET]

Reds (-145, O/U 9): A strong argument can be made that Edinson Volquez is the best pitcher in baseball right now. Volquez is 8-2 with a minuscule 1.32 ERA in 2008 and has allowed one run or less in nine of his 12 starts. Volquez is coming off a stellar performance against the explosive Phillies where he didn't allow a run and gave up just two hits in seven innings of work. Being on the road isn't a problem for Volquez. He has a ridiculous 0.96 ERA away from home this season.

Key Injuries - NONE

Marlins: Mark Hendrickson got off to a strong start this season but he's come crashing back to earth in recent weeks. In Hendrickson's last 14.2 innings pitched he's given up an alarming 25 hits and 19 runs. Hendrickson has been helped out by strong run support, as the Marlins have won nine of his 13 starts. Hendrickson is 5-1 at home this season but the Reds have hammered him over his career. In five starts against Cincinnati Hendrickson is 0-2 with an elevated ERA of 8.49.

Key Injuries - NONE

Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels [10:05 PM ET]

Rays: Edwin Jackson has lost his last two starts, allowing four runs in each outing. Overall, Jackson hasn't pitched great in his last three appearances. He's allowed 10 walks and 11 runs in his last 16 innings of work. Jackson hasn't had much success on the road this season, going 1-2 in five starts. Even though he's been smacked around in his two most recent starts, both of those games went UNDER the total.

Key Injuries - NONE

Angels (-140, O/U 8.5): Joe Saunders has been one of the AL's top hurlers in 2008, going 9-2 with a 2.63 ERA. Interestingly, Saunders has been much better on the road this season. While he's 4-1 at home, Saunders' ERA is 3.48, compared to 1.77 on the road. There aren't going to be many runs scored in games with Saunders on the hill. Four of his last five starts have gone UNDER the total.

Key Injuries - NONE

 
Posted : June 9, 2008 5:53 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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MLB LONG SHEET

ARIZONA (34 - 29) at PITTSBURGH (30 - 33) - 12:35 PM
RANDY JOHNSON (L) vs. ZACH DUKE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 234-244 (+32.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ARIZONA is 68-41 (+20.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 127-105 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 127-105 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 22-14 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

RANDY JOHNSON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
JOHNSON is 8-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.76 and a WHIP of 0.770.
His team's record is 8-3 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-10. (-10.6 units)

ZACH DUKE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
DUKE is 0-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.55 and a WHIP of 1.727.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

CINCINNATI (30 - 34) at FLORIDA (34 - 28) - 7:10 PM
EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R) vs. MARK HENDRICKSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 6-16 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
CINCINNATI is 11-24 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CINCINNATI is 11-24 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 34-28 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 25-15 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
FLORIDA is 20-13 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
FLORIDA is 15-7 (+8.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
FLORIDA is 34-28 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 26-22 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
FLORIDA is 26-18 (+12.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HENDRICKSON is 7-1 (+6.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
HENDRICKSON is 8-0 (+8.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 279-320 (+28.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
VOLQUEZ is 10-2 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
VOLQUEZ is 10-2 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-2 (+2.0 Units) against FLORIDA this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.2 Units)

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. FLORIDA since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 1-0 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MARK HENDRICKSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HENDRICKSON is 0-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 8.48 and a WHIP of 2.185.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

SAN FRANCISCO (28 - 35) at WASHINGTON (25 - 39) - 7:10 PM
MATT CAIN (R) vs. TYLER CLIPPARD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 69-82 (-23.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CAIN is 13-32 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 6-19 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 5-16 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 13-32 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 8-21 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 48-39 (+20.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-18 (+10.2 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 119-68 (+49.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 632-515 (+88.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 348-329 (+44.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 13-49 (-29.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-27 (-19.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-0 (+3.1 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MATT CAIN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
CAIN is 1-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 0.975.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)

TYLER CLIPPARD vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

KANSAS CITY (24 - 39) at NY YANKEES (32 - 31) - 1:05 PM
LUKE HOCHEVAR (R) vs. MIKE MUSSINA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 14-28 (-12.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 11-27 (-15.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
KANSAS CITY is 7-18 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KANSAS CITY is 19-17 (+23.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +200 to +225 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 127-102 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 110-88 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MUSSINA is 11-14 (-22.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -225 to -250 since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-3 (+1.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

LUKE HOCHEVAR vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

MIKE MUSSINA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
MUSSINA is 8-6 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.197.
His team's record is 9-8 (-10.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-6. (+4.0 units)

SEATTLE (22 - 41) at TORONTO (33 - 32) - 7:07 PM
JARROD WASHBURN (L) vs. JESSE LITSCH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 14-26 (-12.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SEATTLE is 22-41 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 8-22 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SEATTLE is 15-28 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 18-29 (-12.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHBURN is 8-18 (-12.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 18-27 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 95-107 (-27.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 47-51 (-15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JARROD WASHBURN vs. TORONTO since 1997
WASHBURN is 2-7 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.663.
His team's record is 2-7 (-7.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-2. (+3.7 units)

JESSE LITSCH vs. SEATTLE since 1997
LITSCH is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 8.31 and a WHIP of 2.079.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

CLEVELAND (28 - 35) at DETROIT (26 - 36) - 7:05 PM
CLIFF LEE (L) vs. DONTRELLE WILLIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 28-35 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-13 (-12.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CLEVELAND is 27-35 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-33 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 12-22 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DETROIT is 37-19 (+17.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 59-37 (+25.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.
LEE is 43-29 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
LEE is 22-11 (+14.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
LEE is 37-22 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 26-36 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 9-22 (-17.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 7-18 (-17.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
DETROIT is 24-31 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CLIFF LEE vs. DETROIT since 1997
LEE is 3-6 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.520.
His team's record is 4-10 (-8.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-8. (-3.9 units)

DONTRELLE WILLIS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
WILLIS is 0-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

TAMPA BAY (37 - 26) at LA ANGELS (39 - 25) - 10:05 PM
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. JOE SAUNDERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 62-130 (-41.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 50-111 (-39.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 39-25 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 34-20 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAUNDERS is 10-2 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 9-1 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 24-7 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 11-2 (+9.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 18-6 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 37-26 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
JACKSON is 0-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.56 and a WHIP of 2.188.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.4 units)

JOE SAUNDERS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SAUNDERS is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

 
Posted : June 9, 2008 8:58 am
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