MLB WRITE-UP
Hot Pitchers
-- Lilly is 3-0, 3.60 in his last three starts. Moehler is 1-0, 2.70 in two starts this season.
-- Nationals won five of last seven Redding starts.
-- Wellemeyer is 2-0, 2.50 in his last three starts.
-- Arroyo is 1-0, 0.60 in his last two starts.
-- Lester is 1-0, 2.84 in his last four starts. Hochever is 3-1, 2.52 in his last four starts.
-- Feldman has 2.79 RA in his last three starts.
-- Blanton has 2.84 RA in his last two starts, but A's are 1-5 in his home starts this season. Shields has 1.10 RA in his last two starts, but is 1-2, 7.37 in his last three road starts.
Cold Pitchers
-- Myers is 0-3, 8.86 in his last four starts.
-- de la Rosa is 1-2, 9.42 in three starts this season.
-- Misch is 0-0, 6.19 in three starts (SF bullpen lost all three).
-- Ledezma allowed one run in four IP in his first '08 start (63 PT) at Atlanta, in game Padre bullpen later lost.
-- Penny is 0-2, 12.66 in his last two starts; he skipped start on Sunday due to some arm problem.
-- Bonser is 0-1, 9.56 in his last three starts.
Hot Teams
-- Astros are 12-4 in their last sixteen games, 8-1 in last nine at home. Cubs won four of last five, but are 3-7 in last ten on road.
-- Reds had a 6-0 homestand last week, but are 1-7 in last eight games on the road.
-- Red Sox won their last six home games. Royals won six of last seven games.
-- Rangers won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Rays are 8-3 in last 11 games, but lost last two.
Cold Teams
-- Phillies are 4-6 in their last ten games. Nationals are 5-8 in last thirteen games.
-- Giants lost six of their last seven games. Rockies lost six of their last eight games, but won last two.
-- Cardinals lost five of last six road games. San Diego lost four of its last five games.
-- Dodgers lost their last four home games.
-- Twins lost five of their last six games..
-- A's lost five of their last six games.
Totals
-- Under is 7-1-2 in Cubs' last ten away games.
-- Over is 6-3-2 in last eleven Washington games.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Colorado games.
-- Five of last seven St Louis games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Cincinnati road games went over total.
-- Five of last six Fenway games went over the total.
-- Last four Minnesota road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
Trend Sheet
7:05 PM CHI CUBS vs. HOUSTON
Chi Cubs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games
Houston is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
7:05 PM KANSAS CITY vs. BOSTON
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Kansas City is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
7:10 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
8:10 PM TEXAS vs. MINNESOTA
Texas is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
8:35 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
10:05 PM ST. LOUIS vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 9 games at home
10:05 PM TAMPA BAY vs. OAKLAND
Tampa Bay is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games at home
10:10 PM CINCINNATI vs. LA DODGERS
Cincinnati is 3-11 SU in their last 14 games when playing LA Dodgers
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Tips and Trends
Chicago Cubs at Houston Astros
Cubs (-125, O/U 10): Ted Lilly is on a roll lately, winning four of his last five starts. His only loss over that span was a tough 2-0 defeat to the Nationals. In Lilly's last 32 innings pitched, he's allowed only 11 runs. The key to Lilly's turnaround has been control. In his last two wins, he's struck out 21 and walked just three. Because of his recent success, Lilly's ERA has dropped from 9.95 to 5.33.
Key Injuries - NONE
Astros: Brian Moehler will be making his third start of the year (all on the road) after two impressive performances against the Dodgers and Giants. In his 10 innings pitched as a starter, Moehler has given up just one walk and three runs, with Houston winning both games. This is the first time Moehler has been in a starting rotation since 2006, when he went a disappointing 7-11 with the Marlins.
Key Injuries - NONE
San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies
Giants: Patrick Misch is starting his fourth game of the season on Monday and the Giants are hoping things go better than they have in his previous three outings, all San Fran losses. Misch hasn't been awful, giving up 13 runs in 22 innings pitched. He's kept the Giants in every game he's started but all have resulted in close defeats. Misch, himself, hasn't factored into a decision yet this year and was 0-4 in four starts last season.
Key Injuries - NONE
Rockies (-135, O/U 10.5): The Rockies haven't received much help from their starting rotation this season and Jorge De La Rosa heads the list of disappointments. In three starts, De La Rosa is 1-2 with an unacceptable 9.42 ERA. De La Rosa has actually performed worse at Coors Field, where his ERA jumps to 10.24. Not surprisingly, two of De La Rosa's three starts have easily gone over the total.
Key Injuries - NONE
Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics
Rays: James Shields has been a horse for the Rays, already logging 59 innings pitched this season. He's pitched two complete game shutouts in his last four outings. Shields is coming off a tough 2-1 loss to the Yankees, where he gave up just six hits and two runs in 7 1/3 innings of work. Take out one poor outing against the Red Sox and Shields hasn't given up more than three runs in any start this season.
Key Injuries - NONE
A's (-150, O/U 8.5): Joe Blanton hasn't had much luck, or run support, for that matter in 2008. Blanton has allowed four runs or less in eight of his 10 starts but he's still just 3-6, although he does possess a respectable 3.69 ERA. Blanton's games have been a nightmare for over bettors, with seven of those contests coming in under the total. Blanton has only given up two runs in three of his last four starts, although he's just 1-2 over that span.
Key Injuries - NONE
ATSDatabase Winning 80% Club Stats
Here are today's ATS Baseball Stats and Trends for Monday, May 19, 2008
When BOSTON team played as a Home team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a Win vs. NL CENTRAL opponent - Coming off a Home win
SU Record: 9-1
O/U/P Record: 6-4-0
When KANSAS CITY team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Before a conference game - After a non division game - Coming off a 1 game win - Coming off a 6 run win
SU Record: 7-3
O/U/P Record: 9-1-0
When LOS ANGELES team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite - 1st game of a series - After a non division game - Coming off a 1 game loss - Coming off a series loss
SU Record: 8-2
O/U/P Record: 6-4-0
When CINCINNATI team played as a Road team - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Allowed 4 runs AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a day game
SU Record: 11-8
O/U/P Record: 1-17-1
When SAN DIEGO team Played as Home team as a Favorite - After a non conference game - During a night game - Coming off a day game - Allowed 3 runs or more AGAINST in their last game
SU Record: 5-5
O/U/P Record: 2-8-0
When CHICAGO CUBS team played as a Road team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - During a night game - Coming off a 3 game over - Coming off a Win vs. NL CENTRAL opponent
SU Record: 3-7
O/U/P Record: 2-8-0
When OAKLAND team played as a 100 to 120 home Underdog - After a non conference game - During a night game
SU Record: 6-5
O/U/P Record: 1-9-1
When OAKLAND team played as a home team - After a non conference game - Total is between 7.5 to 8.0
SU Record: 11-2
O/U/P Record: 9-4-0
When SAN DIEGO team Played as home team as a Favorite - During the 2008 season - Vs. Right handed pitchers
SU Record: 7-5
O/U/P Record: 1-11-0
When WASHINGTON team played as a 100 to 120 home Underdog - After a non conference game - During a night game
SU Record: 6-5
O/U/P Record: 8-2-1
When PHILADELPHIA team played as a -120 to -140 road Favorite - Vs Conference Opponent - During the month of May
SU Record: 12-2
O/U/P Record: 6-8-0
When PHILADELPHIA team played as a -120 to -140 road Favorite - Vs. Right handed pitchers - During the month of May
SU Record: 14-3
O/U/P Record: 11-6-0
When HOUSTON team played as a 100 to 120 home Underdog - After a non division game - 1st game of a series
SU Record: 6-5
O/U/P Record: 2-8-1
SAN DIEGO When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite - During the 2008 season - After a non conference game - During the month of May - Allowed 3 runs or more AGAINST in their last game
SU Record: 10-16
O/U/P Record: 13-3-10