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MLB Trends Monday 4/4

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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ATLANTA (1 - 1) at MILWAUKEE (0 - 2)

BRANDON BEACHY (R) vs. CHRIS NARVESON (L)

Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 86-85 (-30.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 14-24 (-13.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 80-82 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 46-66 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 80-82 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 56-62 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRANDON BEACHY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS NARVESON vs. ATLANTA since 1997
NARVESON is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ARIZONA (1 - 1) at CHICAGO CUBS (1 - 1)

BARRY ENRIGHT (R) vs. RANDY WELLS (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 66-99 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 26-57 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 14-32 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 64-98 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 160-166 (-33.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 37-47 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 613-609 (-113.2 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 37-47 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-31 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BARRY ENRIGHT vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997 ENRIGHT is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.411.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

RANDY WELLS vs. ARIZONA since 1997
WELLS is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 0.923.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

PITTSBURGH (1 - 1) at ST LOUIS (0 - 2)

CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. KYLE LOHSE (R)

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 3-16 (-11.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 4-28 (-21.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 18-65 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 15-45 (-21.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 21-59 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 18-65 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 12-46 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 39-81 (-25.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MORTON is 2-15 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MORTON is 0-11 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MORTON is 2-15 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LOHSE is 56-32 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 85-78 (-25.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 39-39 (-24.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 83-77 (-25.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHARLIE MORTON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MORTON is 1-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.77 and a WHIP of 2.045.
His team's record is 1-4 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-4. (-4.7 units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LOHSE is 5-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.241.
His team's record is 6-3 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-2. (+5.0 units)

DETROIT (0 - 2) at BALTIMORE (2 - 0)

RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 102-161 (-47.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 30-54 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 2-12 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 20-40 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RICK PORCELLO vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
PORCELLO is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.583.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. DETROIT since 1997
ARRIETA is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 1.422.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MINNESOTA (0 - 2) at NY YANKEES (2 - 0)

SCOTT BAKER (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SCOTT BAKER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BAKER is 2-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.346.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)

IVAN NOVA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

SEATTLE (2 - 0) at TEXAS (2 - 0)

ERIK BEDARD (L) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L)

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 64-100 (-32.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 19-40 (-20.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 61-94 (-31.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-36 (-19.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ERIK BEDARD vs. TEXAS since 1997
BEDARD is 4-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.236.
His team's record is 6-5 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.5 units)

DEREK HOLLAND vs. SEATTLE since 1997
HOLLAND is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 0.886.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

 
Posted : April 4, 2011 8:51 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Hot pitchers
-- Narveson is 3-2, 3.07 in his last seven starts.
-- Wells is 2-1, 1.59 in his last three starts.

-- Arrieta is 2-0, 2.60 in his last three starts.
-- Baker is 6-0, 3.45 in his last ten starts.
-- Bedard is 51-41, 3.71 in 144 career starts, but he missed LY with an injury. He was 28-16 in '06-'07, was 11-7 in '08-'09.

Cold pitchers
-- Beachy was 0-2, 5.40 in three starts LY.
-- Saunders is 1-3, 6.07 in his last five starts.
-- Morton is 1-7, 7.79 in his last eleven starts. Lohse is 2-3, 6.69 in his last seven starts.

-- Porcello is 1-1, 7.64 in his last three starts.
-- Nova is 0-1, 6.31 in his last five starts.
-- Holland is 1-3, 5.72 in his last six starts.

Totals
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Narveson's last eight home starts.
-- Under is 9-3 in last dozen Wells starts.
-- Over is 4-1-2 in Morton's last seven road starts. Eight of Lohse's last ten starts went over the total.

-- First three Baltimore games stayed under the total. Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Porcello starts.
-- First three Bronx games went over the total.
-- Over is 2-0-1 in Seattle's first three games.

Hot teams
-- None

-- Orioles won first three games, allowing three runs.
-- Rangers won their first three games, outscoring Boston 26-11.

Cold teams
-- Brewers lost their first three games, allowing 23 runs.

-- None.

 
Posted : April 4, 2011 8:52 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

ATLANTA vs. MILWAUKEE
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

ARIZONA vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi Cubs's last 12 games at home

DETROIT vs. BALTIMORE
Detroit is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home

MINNESOTA vs. NY YANKEES
Minnesota is 1-13 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Minnesota is 2-17 SU in their last 19 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
NY Yankees are 17-2 SU in their last 19 games when playing Minnesota

SEATTLE vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Texas is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Seattle

PITTSBURGH vs. ST. LOUIS

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games at home

 
Posted : April 4, 2011 8:53 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

ATLANTA at MILWAUKEE
BEACHY: ATLANTA 5-1 at Milwaukee
NARVESON: MILWAUKEE 14-4 Over at home after allowing 9+ runs

ARIZONA at CHICAGO CUBS
SAUNDERS: 25-12 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150
WELLS: CUBS 36-45 as a favorite

PITTSBURGH at ST LOUIS
MORTON: 0-11 TSR in road games
LOHSE: ST LOUIS 8-0 Under after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games

DETROIT at BALTIMORE
PORCELLO: DETROIT 9-23 Away off a win
ARRIETA: BALTIMORE 16-3 at home after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games

MINNESOTA at NY YANKEES
BAKER: 13-3 Over off a team win
NOVA: YANKEES 17-2 vs. Minnesota

SEATTLE at TEXAS
BEDARD: SEATLLE 10-0 Under Away after a game where bullpen allowed 4+ runs
HOLLAND: TEXAS 71-41 Under vs. lefties

 
Posted : April 4, 2011 3:16 pm
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