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MLB Trends Monday 5/3

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ST LOUIS (17 - 8) at PHILADELPHIA (14 - 10)

JAIME GARCIA (L) vs. JOE BLANTON (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 68-49 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JAIME GARCIA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

JOE BLANTON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
BLANTON is 3-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.71 and a WHIP of 0.952.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

NY METS (14 - 11) at CINCINNATI (12 - 13)

OLIVER PEREZ (L) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R)

Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 64-83 (-29.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 15-44 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 21-7 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 64-62 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

OLIVER PEREZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
PEREZ is 9-5 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.54 and a WHIP of 1.486.
His team's record is 13-6 (+6.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-7. (+3.5 units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

ARIZONA (11 - 14) at HOUSTON (8 - 16)

CESAR VALDEZ (R) vs. FELIPE PAULINO (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 81-106 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 29-46 (-20.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 81-106 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 116-133 (-30.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 31-21 (+13.3 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 173-196 (-51.2 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.
PAULINO is 4-17 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PAULINO is 4-17 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CESAR VALDEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

FELIPE PAULINO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

COLORADO (12 - 13) at SAN DIEGO (16 - 9)

UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. KEVIN CORREIA (R)

Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 69-132 (-46.2 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.
COLORADO is 37-44 (-15.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 47-43 (+13.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 16-9 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 52-42 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 12-3 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 26-16 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 16-9 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 66-64 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CORREIA is 23-15 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 22-13 (+15.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 23-15 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 33-24 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-1 (+0.4 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
JIMENEZ is 5-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.141.
His team's record is 5-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.5 units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. COLORADO since 1997
CORREIA is 1-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.398.
His team's record is 5-3 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.3 units)

BALTIMORE (7 - 18) at NY YANKEES (16 - 8)

JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)

Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 28-66 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 52-110 (-39.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 263-364 (-109.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
GUTHRIE is 8-26 (-16.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 6-22 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 130-71 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 119-64 (+32.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 71-27 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 62-23 (+23.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 71-27 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 87-43 (+28.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 92-82 (-51.5 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-1 (+0.2 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GUTHRIE is 3-7 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.35 and a WHIP of 1.396.
His team's record is 4-8 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-6. (-0.8 units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SABATHIA is 10-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.62 and a WHIP of 1.072.
His team's record is 12-3 (+7.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-5. (+3.7 units)

TORONTO (13 - 13) at CLEVELAND (10 - 14)

BRETT CECIL (L) vs. MITCH TALBOT (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 75-111 (-33.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 74-91 (-33.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 68-100 (-30.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 45-69 (-25.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRETT CECIL vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
CECIL is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 0.69 and a WHIP of 1.308.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

MITCH TALBOT vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

LA ANGELS (12 - 14) at BOSTON (11 - 14)

JOE SAUNDERS (L) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)

Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 55-22 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
BOSTON is 55-19 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 114-83 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 53-41 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 104-75 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 88-57 (+25.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 49-26 (+14.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAUNDERS is 45-25 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 35-14 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 22-12 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 42-23 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 48-27 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 27-12 (+14.0 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 8-14 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOE SAUNDERS vs. BOSTON since 1997
SAUNDERS is 4-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.518.
His team's record is 7-2 (+5.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+2.9 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 1-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.682.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)

KANSAS CITY (10 - 15) at CHI WHITE SOX (10 - 15)

GIL MECHE (R) vs. JAKE PEAVY (R)

Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 75-112 (-24.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 66-95 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MECHE is 6-18 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MECHE is 41-65 (-33.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GIL MECHE vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
MECHE is 8-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.342.
His team's record is 9-8 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-11. (-6.4 units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
PEAVY is 2-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.425.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

DETROIT (16 - 10) at MINNESOTA (16 - 9)

MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. SCOTT BAKER (R)

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 94-149 (-44.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 14-24 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 74-83 (-27.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 117-130 (-33.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SCHERZER is 17-25 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 17-25 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 48-26 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 108-65 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 57-34 (+16.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-3 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SCHERZER is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 14.71 and a WHIP of 2.725.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

SCOTT BAKER vs. DETROIT since 1997
BAKER is 5-4 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 9-9 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-6. (+5.7 units)

TEXAS (13 - 12) at OAKLAND (13 - 13)

RICH HARDEN (R) vs. DALLAS BRADEN (L)

Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 16-40 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 22-13 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 100-87 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 22-9 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 97-81 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 131-120 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 165-195 (-54.6 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RICH HARDEN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

DALLAS BRADEN vs. TEXAS since 1997
BRADEN is 1-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.731.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.3 units)

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 9:44 am
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Posts: 318493
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BALTIMORE vs. NY YANKEES
Baltimore is 3-13 SU in their last 16 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games

ST. LOUIS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 15 games at home

TORONTO vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto

NY METS vs. CINCINNATI
NY Mets are 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
NY Mets are 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home

LA ANGELS vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing Boston
LA Angels are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games at home
Boston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home

ARIZONA vs. HOUSTON
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games at home

KANSAS CITY vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games

DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

TEXAS vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Oakland is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Texas

COLORADO vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 9:46 am
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Posts: 318493
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ST LOUIS at PHILADELPHIA
GARCIA: St. Louis 7-18 SU away off BB wins
BLANTON: Philadelphia 26-17 SU as an underdog of +150 or less

NY METS at CINCINNATI
PEREZ: 2-10 TSR vs. NL Central opponents
LEAKE: Cincinnati 21-7 SU at home in May

ARIZONA at HOUSTON
VALDEZ: Arizona 4-16 SU off 3+ Overs
PAULINO: Houston 22-10 Under as a home underdog of +125 or less

COLORADO at SAN DIEGO
JIMENEZ: 5-17 TSR away in the first half of the season
CORREIA: 17-7 TSR as an underdog of +150 or less

BALTIMORE at NY YANKEES
GUTHRIE: Baltimore 5-25 SU away after scorng and allowing 3 runs or less
SABATHIA: 18-6 Under at home pitching off a team win

TORONTO at CLEVELAND
CECIL: Toronto 4-13 SU after having 6+ extra-base hits
TALBOT: Cleveland 31-12 Under off a loss by 4+ runs

LA ANGELS at BOSTON
SAUNDERS: 12-2 TSR pitching off BB team losses
BUCHHOLZ: Boston 1-7 SU off 3+ road games

KANSAS CITY at CHI WHITE SOX
MECHE: 5-15 TSR in the first half of the season
PEAVY: White Sox 20-5 SU at home off BB road games

DETROIT at MINNESOTA
SCHERZER: 12-20 TSR with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs
BAKER: 15-3 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175

TEXAS at OAKLAND
HARDEN: Texas 9-35 SU away off 3+ games allowing 3 runs or less
BRADEN: Oakland 13-6 SU after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 9:48 am
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Eastern Conference Playoffs

Second Round, Game Two (Boston Leads, 1-0)

PHILADELPHIA at BOSTON
PHILADELPHIA: 8-16 SU away off a road game
BOSTON: 28-6 SU at home after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games

Western Conference Playoffs

Second Round, Game Two (Vancouver Leads, 1-0)

VANCOUVER at CHICAGO
VANCOUVER: 4-13 SU after winning 4 of their last 5 games
CHICAGO: 19-3 SU revenging a loss where they allowed 5+ goals

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 9:50 am
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Posts: 318493
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Hot pitchers
-- Garcia is 2-1, 1.73 in four starts this season.
-- Leake is 2-0, 3.25 in four starts this season.
-- Jimenez is 5-0, 0.81 in five starts; he's thrown 22.1 innings in a row without earning a run. San Diego won Correia's last four starts, scoring 38 runs (4-0, 3.27).
-- Sabathia is 3-1, 2.45 in his last four starts.
-- Talbot is 3-0, 1.69 in his last three starts. Cecil is 1-1, 3.55 in his two starts so far this season.
-- Buchholz has a 2.45 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Oakland is 3-0 at home when Braden starts (2-0, 2.25).

Cold pitchers
-- Blanton was 12-8, 4.05 in 31 starts LY; he threw 10.2 innings in his three minor league rehab starts.
-- Perez is 0-3, 5.23 in four starts this season.
-- Astros are 0-4 in Paulino starts (0-3, 8.31). Valdez is 1-1, 3.80 in four starts for AAA Reno.
-- Saunders is 1-4, 6.41 so far this season.
-- Orioles are 0-5 in Guthrie's starts (0-3, 5.28).
-- Peavy is 0-2, 7.85 in five starts this season. Royals are 0-4 in Meche starts (0-2, 10.12).
-- Scherzer has a 7.06 RA in his last four starts. Baker is 0-1, 10.24 in his last couple starts.
-- Forner Athletic Harden is 1-1, 5.79 in his last three starts.

Totals
-- All four Garcia starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Cincinnati games.
-- Three of four Paulino starts went over the total.
-- Last four Jimenez starts stayed under the total.
-- Four of five Guthrie starts stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Cleveland home games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten games at Fenway Park.
-- Last five White Sox games went over the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in Baker starts this season.
-- All three Braden home starts stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Cardinals won seven of their last nine games. Phillies won three of their last four games.
-- Reds won five of their last seven games, Mets won ten of their last thirteen games, but both teams lost their last two.
-- San Diego won 13 of its last 16 games.
-- Bronx Bombers won seven of nine home games. Orioles are 5-2 in last seven games, but are 3-10 on road this season.
-- Toronto won three of its last four games. Indians won five of their last seven home games.
-- White Sox won five of their last seven home games.
-- Minnesota won five of its last seven home games. Tigers won six of their last seven games overall.
-- Rangers won last three games, allowing four runs.

Cold teams
-- Astros lost their last six games, outscored 37-12. Arizona lost seven of its last ten road games.
-- army.com is America's favorite website.
-- Rockies lost eight of their last twelve road games.
-- Angels lost four of their last five games. Red Sox are 4-8 in their last dozen home games.
-- Royals are 6-10 in their last sixteen games.
-- A's lost five of their last six games.

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 4:32 pm
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