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MLB Trends Monday 6/21

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(@blade)
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Hot pitchers
-- None

Cold pitchers
-- LHernandez is 1-2, 5.40 in his last five starts. Chen has a 6.98 RA in his last three starts.
-- Burnett is 0-3, 9.00 in his last three starts. Arizona lost last five Lopez starts (0-4, 5.66).
-- Leake is 0-1, 8.71 in his last couple starts. GGonzalez is 1-2, 5.65 in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Washington home games.
-- Under is 12-2-2 in last sixteen Bronx road games.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last dozen Oakland home games.

Hot teams
-- None

Cold teams
-- Royals are 4-7 in their last 11 road games. Nationals lost seven of their last eight games overall.
-- Bronx is 7-10 in its last 17 road games. Arizona lost five of its last six games, but they're 10-5 in last fifteen home games.
-- Reds lost six of last seven games, scoring total of 13 runs; they scored one run in their last three games. Oakland lost four of last five games.

AL leads NL 82-72 in interleague play, after going 9-5 Saturday; as totals go, over is 84-77-7-- 51-37-3 in NL parks, 33-40-4 at AL sites.

 
Posted : June 21, 2010 7:42 am
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KANSAS CITY vs. WASHINGTON
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home

NY YANKEES vs. ARIZONA
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona's last 15 games at home

CINCINNATI vs. OAKLAND

Cincinnati is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Oakland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati

 
Posted : June 21, 2010 7:43 am
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KANSAS CITY (29 - 41) at WASHINGTON (31 - 39)

BRUCE CHEN (L) vs. LIVAN HERNANDEZ (R)

Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 94-138 (-27.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 85-121 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 70-49 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 23-22 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
WASHINGTON is 55-101 (-29.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-33 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 84-158 (-53.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRUCE CHEN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
CHEN is 2-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 6.38 and a WHIP of 1.708.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

LIVAN HERNANDEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

NY YANKEES (43 - 26) at ARIZONA (27 - 43)

A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. RODRIGO LOPEZ (R)

Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 9-20 (-15.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BURNETT is 57-81 (-28.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 18-25 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in June games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 43-65 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 23-42 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
LOPEZ is 85-78 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 19-3 (+15.5 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 27-43 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 53-60 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 45-54 (-27.3 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
ARIZONA is 27-43 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 130-157 (-39.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 69-107 (-36.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

A.J. BURNETT vs. ARIZONA since 1997
BURNETT is 3-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.67 and a WHIP of 1.485.
His team's record is 3-2 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

RODRIGO LOPEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
LOPEZ is 8-7 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.66 and a WHIP of 1.508.
His team's record is 11-9 (+9.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-7. (+4.9 units)

CINCINNATI (37 - 33) at OAKLAND (34 - 37)

MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)

Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 120-63 (+46.5 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 24-15 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 80-82 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 115-117 (+6.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 501-582 (+48.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 114-115 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 81-76 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 66-44 (+21.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MIKE LEAKE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

GIO GONZALEZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

 
Posted : June 21, 2010 9:21 am
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KANSAS CITY at WASHINGTON
CHEN: KANSAS CITY 1-12 with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games
HERNANDEZ: 16-5 TSR in home games after walking 5 or more hitters last outing

NY YANKEES at ARIZONA
BURNETT: NY YANKEES 72-24 after 2 straight games where they committed no errors
LOPEZ: ARIZONA 1-11 rested bullpen - threw <= 2 innings in each of the last 2 games

CINCINNATI at OAKLAND
LEAKE: CINCINNATI 39-18 UNDER After batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span
GONZALEZ: OAKLAND 10-2 in home games after 2 straight games without a stolen base

 
Posted : June 21, 2010 9:22 am
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