MLB Trends Monday, July 3rd, 2017

NY METS (38 - 43) at WASHINGTON (48 - 34) - 6:05 PM

STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)

Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 38-43 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 29-33 (-12.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 7-20 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 34-14 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
STRASBURG is 31-9 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 18-3 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 27-15 (+13.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 31-12 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 35-22 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 423-435 (+36.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 172-152 (-50.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 9-12 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-3 (+2.8 Units) against NY METS this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.9 Units)

STEVEN MATZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MATZ is 1-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.86 and a WHIP of 1.045.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. NY METS since 1997
STRASBURG is 8-4 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.69 and a WHIP of 1.058.
His team's record is 10-4 (+5.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-4. (+5.2 units)

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PITTSBURGH (37 - 45) at PHILADELPHIA (27 - 53) - 7:05 PM

IVAN NOVA (R) vs. AARON NOLA (R)

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 22-33 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 86-107 (-32.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-53 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-16 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-34 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-40 (-19.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

IVAN NOVA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
NOVA is 2-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.1 units)

AARON NOLA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
NOLA is 0-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.273.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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MIAMI (36 - 44) at ST LOUIS (39 - 42) - 7:15 PM

JEFF LOCKE (L) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)

Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 86-105 (-26.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WAINWRIGHT is 178-104 (+37.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 87-44 (+28.5 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 125-118 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 23-30 (-21.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 60-64 (-29.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 12-17 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-0 (+3.1 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

JEFF LOCKE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LOCKE is 2-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.509.
His team's record is 5-5 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+1.0 units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. MIAMI since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 5-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.48 and a WHIP of 1.133.
His team's record is 7-2 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.4 units)

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CINCINNATI (35 - 46) at COLORADO (48 - 36) - 8:10 PM

LUIS CASTILLO (R) vs. JEFF HOFFMAN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 48-36 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 33-25 (+6.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 227-301 (-79.5 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

LUIS CASTILLO vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

JEFF HOFFMAN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

TORONTO (37 - 44) at NY YANKEES (43 - 37) - 7:05 PM

MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. MASAHIRO TANAKA (R)

Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 37-44 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 10-16 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 13-24 (-15.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 21-30 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 4-11 (-11.9 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
STROMAN is 10-15 (-13.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 47-30 (+14.5 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 36-17 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TANAKA is 31-16 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TANAKA is 16-2 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 4-3 (+0.8 Units) against TORONTO this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

MARCUS STROMAN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
STROMAN is 5-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.074.
His team's record is 7-3 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.8 units)

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. TORONTO since 1997
TANAKA is 7-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.65 and a WHIP of 1.074.
His team's record is 8-3 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-9. (-7.4 units)

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BOSTON (47 - 35) at TEXAS (40 - 42) - 8:05 PM

RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. YU DARVISH (R)

Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 22-24 (-8.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
PORCELLO is 4-9 (-7.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 2-9 (-10.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 135-112 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 37-21 (+16.8 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 75-47 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 96-78 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 103-84 (+22.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 98-88 (+20.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 54-44 (+20.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PORCELLO is 77-41 (+24.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
DARVISH is 4-11 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. TEXAS since 1997
PORCELLO is 6-4 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.49 and a WHIP of 1.684.
His team's record is 6-5 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+2.8 units)

YU DARVISH vs. BOSTON since 1997
DARVISH is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.119.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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LA ANGELS (43 - 43) at MINNESOTA (41 - 40) - 8:10 PM

ALEX MEYER (R) vs. ADALBERTO MEJIA (L)

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 26-18 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 528-501 (+46.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 35-30 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 24-18 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 100-143 (-25.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-48 (-21.1 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-25 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-20 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 53-90 (-28.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 (+2.1 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

ALEX MEYER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MEYER is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ADALBERTO MEJIA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MEJIA is 0-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (36 - 45) at OAKLAND (35 - 47) - 9:05 PM

CARLOS RODON (L) vs. JHAREL COTTON (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 404-407 (+38.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
OAKLAND is 172-234 (-55.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 31-40 (-25.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 90-114 (-36.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 41-66 (-25.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 17-30 (-13.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
OAKLAND is 69-96 (-30.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CARLOS RODON vs. OAKLAND since 1997
RODON is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.727.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

JHAREL COTTON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
COTTON is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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KANSAS CITY (41 - 40) at SEATTLE (41 - 42) - 10:10 PM

IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. ANDREW MOORE (R)

Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 41-40 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 161-131 (+28.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 66-57 (+13.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 616-564 (-92.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 48-55 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

IAN KENNEDY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
KENNEDY is 1-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

ANDREW MOORE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

BALTIMORE (40 - 41) at MILWAUKEE (44 - 40) - 2:10 PM

WADE MILEY (L) vs. BRENT SUTER (L)

Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 49-75 (-26.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 44-40 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 41-29 (+14.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 38-28 (+19.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 63-65 (+9.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 128-115 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 71-57 (+15.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

WADE MILEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MILEY is 3-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.17 and a WHIP of 1.340.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

BRENT SUTER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

BALTIMORE vs. MILWAUKEE
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games

NY METS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Washington
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against NY Mets

TORONTO vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games

PITTSBURGH vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

MIAMI vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home

BOSTON vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston

CINCINNATI vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
Colorado is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati

LA ANGELS vs. MINNESOTA
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
LA Angels are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Minnesota's last 20 games

CHI WHITE SOX vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games when playing Oakland
Chi White Sox are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

KANSAS CITY vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

BALTIMORE @ MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore

NY METS @ WASHINGTON
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets

TORONTO @ NY YANKEES
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

PITTSBURGH @ PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

MIAMI @ ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Miami
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

BOSTON @ TEXAS
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

CINCINNATI @ COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

LA ANGELS @ MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels's last 9 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home

CHI WHITE SOX @ OAKLAND
Chi White Sox is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home

KANSAS CITY @ SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

NY METS @ WASHINGTON
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets

StatFox Super Situations

BOSTON at TEXAS
Play On - Any team (BOSTON) average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start 86-48 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.2% | 37.5 units ) 11-6 this year. ( 64.7% | 3.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

KANSAS CITY at SEATTLE
KANSAS CITY is 30-22 (+16.4 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. The average score was: KANSAS CITY (4.3) , OPPONENT (4.5)

Diamond Trends - Monday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

TOP SU TREND

The Yankees are 11-0 since Jul 22, 2011 as a home favorite coming off a road loss in which they never led.

TOP OU TREND

The White Sox are 0-10 OU (-4.20 rpg) off a game as a favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last four games - since Jun 08, 2015.

TOP STARTER TREND

The Blue Jays are 0-8 RUN LINE AGAINST since Jun 26, 2016 when Marcus Stroman starts after the team’s bullpen allowed 3+ runs in yesterday’s game.

TOP CHOICE TREND

The Red Sox are 11-0 since Aug 19, 2016 as a favorite coming off a road game in which Hanley Ramirez had multiple hits.