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MLB Trends Monday, October 12

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies

The fans at Coors Field will be treated to Game 4 of the NLDS between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Colorado Rockies when they take their seats on Monday.

The Phillies will pin their hopes on the pitching of lefthander Cliff Lee in this game. Lee has a 15-13 record and a 3.14 ERA this season.

Starting this game for the Rockies will be Ubaldo Jimenez. The righthander has a 3.59 ERA to go along with a 15-13 record this season.

The Phillies defeated Colorado 6-5 as a -110 favorite on Sunday to take a 2-1 series lead. The 11 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (9).

Chase Utley was 2-3 with a solo home run and two runs scored for Philadelphia, while Ryan Howard and Carlos Ruiz each drove in a pair of runs.

Carlos Gonzalez was 3-4 with a solo home run and three runs scored for Colorado and Garrett Atkins had a pair of RBI.

Team records:
Philadelphia: 93-69 SU
Colorado: 92-70 SU

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Colorado are 6-4
After playing Colorado are 8-2
After a win are 4-6

Colorado most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Philadelphia are 5-5
After playing Philadelphia are 2-8
After a loss are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games at home
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Next up:
Colorado at Philadelphia, Tuesday, October 13

 
Posted : October 12, 2009 6:26 am
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PHILADELPHIA (95 - 70) at COLORADO (93 - 72)

CLIFF LEE (L) vs. UBALDO JIMENEZ (R)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-3 (+1.9 Units) against COLORADO this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)

CLIFF LEE vs. COLORADO since 1997
LEE is 2-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.813.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
JIMENEZ is 0-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 6.33 and a WHIP of 1.688.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

 
Posted : October 12, 2009 7:52 am
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PHILADELPHIA vs. COLORADO

Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

 
Posted : October 12, 2009 7:52 am
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Philadelphia at Colorado

Cliff Lee (L) vs. Ubaldo Jiminez (R)

Lee:
9-1 TSR vs. NL West
29-14 Away when the money line is +125 to -125

Jiminez:
2-7 TSR on Monday
13-4 Under 2nd half of season

 
Posted : October 12, 2009 10:49 am
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Tips and Trends

Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies

Phillies: Game Four starter Cliff Lee dominated the Rockies in the opening game of the series. Thanks to Saturday’s postponed game, Lee will pitch on his normal four days rest. The 31-year-old left-hander beat Ubaldo Jimenez and the Rockies on Wednesday, 5-1. Lee went the distance holding Colorado to one run on six hits with five strikeouts and no walks. Lee, the reigning American League Cy Young Award winner, finished the regular season 14-13 with a 3.22 ERA. He will be pitching at Coors Field for the first time. The Rockies are batting .253 against southpaws compared to .264 versus right-handed starters. The Phillies are 9-4 in Lee’s last 13 starts, including 5-2 during his past seven road outings. The past six Phillies-Rockies game at Coors Field have gone over the total. The Phillies have defeated the Rockies in 11 of their last 14 meetings.

The Phillies are 19-7 in their last 26 Monday games.
The Over is 10-2-2 in Philadelphia’s last 14 games.

Key Injuries - Relief pitcher Scott Eyre (leg) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

Rockies (-$1.10, O/U 8.5 under -$1.20): Game-time temperatures at Coors Field are expected to be in the low 50s after Sunday night’s game was played in 35-degree weather. The Rockies have won 16 of their last 22 games at Coors when facing a left-handed starter. They are 7-3 in their past 10 games versus National League Eastern Division clubs. Colorado has won 42 of its past 59 home contests. Ubaldo Jimenez was strong for four innings during Wednesday’s Game 1, but surrendered five runs in the fifth inning. Jimenez went 15-12 during the regular season with a 3.47 ERA. He went at least six innings in 29 of his 33 starts. The right-hander was 8-5 at home this season with a 3.34 ERA. Colorado has won nine of Jimenez’s past 13 starts, including six of his last eight with four days rest. The under has cashed in nine of Jimenez’s last 10 home starts.

The Rockies are 11-1 during Game 4 of a series.
The Under is 18-7-1 in Ubaldo Jimenez’s last 26 starts.

Key Injuries - Pitcher Jorge De La Rosa (groin) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (OVER - Total of the Day)

 
Posted : October 12, 2009 10:49 am
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