MLB TRENDS SEPTEMBER 4

Hot Pitchers
-- Suppan is 5-0, 3.00 in his last six starts.
-- Santana is 1-0, 2.05 in his last three starts.
-- Slowey is 4-0, 2.32 in his last five starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Reds lost last six Fogg starts (0-5, 8.13). Pirates lost seven of nine Gorzelanny road starts.
-- Bergmann is 0-2, 10.80 in his last four starts. Braves lost last eight Reyes starts (0-6, 7.32).
-- Estes is 0-1, 3.64 in his last three starts, last of which was 5/28
-- Rogers is 1-6, 8.03 in his last seven starts.
-- Bronx lost seven of last nine Rasner road starts.
-- Bannister is 0-5, 8.10 in his last five starts. Davies is 0-4, 8.00 in his last four starts. Oakland lost six of last eight Eveland road starts. Meyer is 0-3, 10.03 in three starts this season.

Hot Teams
-- Nationals won eight of their last nine games.
-- Angels won four of their last six games.
-- Blue Jays won last four games, scoring 25 runs.
-- Rays won five of their last seven games. Bronx won seven of their last eight road games.

Cold Teams
-- Braves lost 18 of their last 23 games.
-- Pirates lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Padres lost their last nine games on road. Brewers just got swept three in row at home by the Mets.
-- Tigers lost seven of their last ten home games.
-- Twins lost eight of their last eleven road games.
-- Royals lost ten of their last thirteen games. A's are 7-22 in last 29 road games.

Totals
-- Over is 9-3 in last twelve Cincinnati home games.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Reyes starts.
-- Last three Suppan starts went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in Angels' last ten games.
-- Last six Toronto home games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-1 in last seven Bronx road games.
-- Under is 6-1 in Royals' last seven home games.

Trend Sheet

12:35 PM PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games at home

1:05 PM LA ANGELS vs. DETROIT
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
LA Angels are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games on the road
Detroit is 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing LA Angels
Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

7:07 PM MINNESOTA vs. TORONTO
Minnesota is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Minnesota is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

7:10 PM NY YANKEES vs. TAMPA BAY
NY Yankees are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees

7:10 PM WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Washington is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games at home

8:05 PM SAN DIEGO vs. MILWAUKEE
San Diego is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
Milwaukee is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

8:10 PM OAKLAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Oakland is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Oakland is 16-4-1 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 3-12-1 SU in its last 16 games

PITTSBURGH (59 - 79) at CINCINNATI (61 - 78) - 12:35 PM
TOM GORZELANNY (L) vs. JOSH FOGG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 18-38 (-17.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 38-43 (+6.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 61-78 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 70-89 (-24.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 74-77 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 239-258 (-60.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 21-38 (-21.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 65-92 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 60-76 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 33-44 (-14.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CINCINNATI is 25-41 (-23.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
FOGG is 3-13 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 9-5 (+6.9 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.1 Units)

TOM GORZELANNY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
GORZELANNY is 2-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 7.58 and a WHIP of 1.789.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.1 units)

JOSH FOGG vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
FOGG is 1-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 10.42 and a WHIP of 1.842.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

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WASHINGTON (54 - 86) at ATLANTA (60 - 80) - 7:10 PM
SHAIRON MARTIS (R) vs. JO-JO REYES (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 10-4 (+9.6 Units) against ATLANTA this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)

SHAIRON MARTIS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JO-JO REYES vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
REYES is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 14.22 and a WHIP of 3.318.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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SAN DIEGO (53 - 86) at MILWAUKEE (80 - 59) - 8:05 PM
SHAWN ESTES (L) vs. JEFF SUPPAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 53-85 (-32.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 21-47 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 53-85 (-32.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 35-63 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 37-54 (-16.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 33-51 (-18.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN DIEGO is 18-42 (-22.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 80-59 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 79-57 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 68-73 (-20.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

SHAWN ESTES vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ESTES is 5-6 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 6.01 and a WHIP of 1.704.
His team's record is 6-8 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-9. (-5.1 units)

JEFF SUPPAN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
SUPPAN is 5-4 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 5.70 and a WHIP of 1.683.
His team's record is 5-6 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-1.0 units)

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LA ANGELS (84 - 54) at DETROIT (67 - 72) - 1:05 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. KENNY ROGERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SANTANA is 0-8 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 112-60 (+34.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 174-129 (+33.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 84-54 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 38-15 (+20.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 41-26 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA ANGELS are 16-7 (+9.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 25-11 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
LA ANGELS are 78-47 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 35-18 (+14.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 67-72 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 31-36 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 36-34 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 22-27 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
DETROIT is 64-62 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 44-55 (-22.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 18-33 (-19.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DETROIT is 6-16 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ROGERS is 2-10 (-10.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 5-3 (+2.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.7 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. DETROIT since 1997
SANTANA is 4-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.162.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)

KENNY ROGERS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
ROGERS is 8-11 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.401.
His team's record is 11-19 (-10.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 16-11. (+4.3 units)

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MINNESOTA (77 - 62) at TORONTO (72 - 66) - 7:07 PM
KEVIN SLOWEY (R) vs. JESSE LITSCH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 56-46 (+6.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 44-35 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 77-62 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 53-42 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 46-25 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
MINNESOTA is 50-43 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 32-27 (+8.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 115-126 (-29.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 17-32 (-19.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-0 (+5.1 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

KEVIN SLOWEY vs. TORONTO since 1997
SLOWEY is 0-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.90 and a WHIP of 1.218.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

JESSE LITSCH vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
LITSCH is 2-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.118.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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NY YANKEES (75 - 64) at TAMPA BAY (84 - 53) - 7:10 PM
DARRELL RASNER (R) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 75-64 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 25-30 (-21.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 45-46 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY YANKEES are 39-40 (-15.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 84-53 (+26.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 33-22 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 19-1 (+17.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 52-21 (+25.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 33-22 (+12.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TAMPA BAY is 52-22 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 53-37 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 56-24 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 60-34 (+22.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 32-20 (+12.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 43-26 (+16.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KAZMIR is 35-21 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 12-2 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 18-8 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 45-26 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 9-5 (+1.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.7 Units)

DARRELL RASNER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
KAZMIR is 3-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.339.
His team's record is 4-6 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.8 units)

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OAKLAND (63 - 75) at KANSAS CITY (58 - 79) - 8:10 PM
DAN MEYER (L) vs. KYLE DAVIES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 139-161 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 46-63 (-22.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 128-145 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 92-115 (-28.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 57-61 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 26-20 (+13.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 17-33 (-14.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 23-48 (-25.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 34-56 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DAVIES is 4-15 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIES is 0-9 (-9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-3 (+1.4 Units) against OAKLAND this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

DAN MEYER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
MEYER is 0-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.750.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.4 units)

KYLE DAVIES vs. OAKLAND since 1997
DAVIES is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.781.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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OAKLAND (63 - 75) at KANSAS CITY (58 - 79) - 5:10 PM
DANA EVELAND (L) vs. BRIAN BANNISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 139-161 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 128-145 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 92-115 (-28.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 57-61 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 33-30 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 24-23 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 26-20 (+13.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BANNISTER is 13-6 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-3 (+1.4 Units) against OAKLAND this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

DANA EVELAND vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
EVELAND is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

BRIAN BANNISTER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
BANNISTER is 1-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.2 units)

Tips and Trends

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays [FOX | 3:55 PM ET]

Yankees: Darrell Rasner hasn?t tasted victory since July 12. In his last two starts, Rasner has allowed 10 runs in just 9.1 innings of work. Being on the road won?t help Rasner?s slump. He?s just 2-6 with an ERA of 5.53 away from Yankee Stadium this year. Rasner has had success facing the Rays as a relief pitcher, going 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA. The OVER is a smart bet with Rasner on the hill. The OVER is 7-2-1 in his last 10 starts.

The Yankees are 0-5 in Rasner?s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
The Yankees are 5-11 in Rasner's last 16 starts.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Rays (-170, O/U 9): The Rays have won seven of the last eight games that Scott Kazmir has started. In his last 10 outings, Kazmir has allowed three runs or less eight times. Kazmir has been money at home, going 6-1 with a minuscule 2.30 ERA. Kazmir has been unlucky against the Yankees. He has an impressive 2.76 ERA in 10 starts versus the Bombers, yet his record is just 3-4. The OVER is 2-0-1 in Kazmir?s last three starts.

The Rays are 16-5 in Kazmir's last 21 starts.
The Rays are 10-2 in their last 12 during Game 3 of a series.

Key Injuries - OF Carl Crawford (.273; hand) is OUT indefinitely.
3B Evan Longoria (.278;wrist) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5