MLB Trends Sunday 5/2

MINNESOTA (15 - 10) at CLEVELAND (11 - 13)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. DAVID HUFF (L)

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 10-23 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HUFF is 10-3 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 56-34 (+15.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 75-110 (-32.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 68-99 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 26-49 (-22.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 38-64 (-21.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 (+0.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
LIRIANO is 3-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.582.
His team's record is 3-4 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

DAVID HUFF vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
HUFF is 2-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.85 and a WHIP of 1.699.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

LA ANGELS (12 - 14) at DETROIT (16 - 10)

JERED WEAVER (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)

Top Trends for this game.
VERLANDER is 25-5 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 114-82 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 53-40 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 15-4 (+12.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 39-18 (+20.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 42-19 (+25.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 104-74 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 88-56 (+26.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 106-80 (+22.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 55-69 (-30.4 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
DETROIT is 116-130 (-34.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-2 (+2.7 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

JERED WEAVER vs. DETROIT since 1997
WEAVER is 2-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.34 and a WHIP of 1.653.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (+0.1 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
VERLANDER is 2-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.10 and a WHIP of 1.653.
His team's record is 3-4 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.7 units)

CHI WHITE SOX (11 - 14) at NY YANKEES (15 - 9)

MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. PHIL HUGHES (R)

Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 118-64 (+31.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 61-23 (+22.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 24-3 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 91-82 (-52.5 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 1-1 (+0.4 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BUEHRLE is 1-6 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.43 and a WHIP of 1.696.
His team's record is 1-9 (-8.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.6 units)

PHIL HUGHES vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
HUGHES is 0-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

OAKLAND (14 - 12) at TORONTO (12 - 14)

BEN SHEETS (R) vs. SHAUN MARCUM (R)

Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 165-194 (-53.6 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.
TORONTO is 11-20 (-13.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

BEN SHEETS vs. TORONTO since 1997
SHEETS is 2-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 1.214.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

SHAUN MARCUM vs. OAKLAND since 1997
MARCUM is 1-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.338.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

BOSTON (11 - 14) at BALTIMORE (7 - 18)

JOSH BECKETT (R) vs. KEVIN MILLWOOD (R)

Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 8-13 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 26-45 (-19.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 70-116 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 129-209 (-69.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 508-560 (-119.4 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 16-38 (-19.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 51-110 (-40.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 30-65 (-30.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 508-560 (-119.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-2 (+2.3 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BECKETT is 6-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.70 and a WHIP of 1.182.
His team's record is 9-3 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+0.8 units)

KEVIN MILLWOOD vs. BOSTON since 1997
MILLWOOD is 6-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.84 and a WHIP of 1.358.
His team's record is 8-7 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-9. (-4.8 units)

KANSAS CITY (11 - 14) at TAMPA BAY (17 - 8)

ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. WADE DAVIS (R)

Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 122-62 (+32.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 123-65 (+30.1 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 133-73 (+32.8 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 143-97 (+30.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 25-34 (-18.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 (+3.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GREINKE is 0-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.621.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.9 units)

WADE DAVIS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

TEXAS (13 - 12) at SEATTLE (11 - 14)

C.J. WILSON (L) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 31-14 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 96-90 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 55-37 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 91-82 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 99-87 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 21-9 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 96-81 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 67-53 (+16.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 19-39 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 4-1 (+4.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

C.J. WILSON vs. SEATTLE since 1997
WILSON is 0-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 3.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

DOUG FISTER vs. TEXAS since 1997
FISTER is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 9.64 and a WHIP of 2.355.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

LA ANGELS vs. DETROIT
LA Angels are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
LA Angels are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels

MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Cleveland's last 21 games
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota

CHI WHITE SOX vs. NY YANKEES
Chi White Sox are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home
NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

OAKLAND vs. TORONTO
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games at home

WASHINGTON vs. FLORIDA
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida
Washington is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Florida
Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington

HOUSTON vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

BOSTON vs. BALTIMORE
Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing Boston
Baltimore is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston

KANSAS CITY vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Kansas City's last 17 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Tampa Bay's last 17 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

CINCINNATI vs. ST. LOUIS
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of St. Louis's last 22 games
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

ARIZONA vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona
Chi Cubs are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona

MILWAUKEE vs. SAN DIEGO
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
San Diego is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games at home

COLORADO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Colorado is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

TEXAS vs. SEATTLE
Texas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing at home against Texas
Seattle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

PITTSBURGH vs. LA DODGERS
Pittsburgh is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Pittsburgh is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
LA Dodgers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games

NY METS vs. PHILADELPHIA
NY Mets are 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
NY Mets are 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against NY Mets

WASHINGTON at FLORIDA
LANNAN: Washington 14-49 SU after scoring 1 or 0 runs
JOHNSON: 19-5 TSR pitching off a team win

HOUSTON at ATLANTA
NORRIS: Houston 16-4 SU off BB games committing 2+ errors
LOWE: 4-9 TSR as a home favorite of -150 to -200

CINCINNATI at ST LOUIS
HARANG: Cincinnati 15-7 SU off BB games with 0 home runs
CARPENTER: 29-13 Over on Sundays

ARIZONA at CHICAGO CUBS
JACKSON: Arizona 4-15 SU off 3+ Overs
GORZELANNY: Cubs 27-8 SU at home in May

MILWAUKEE at SAN DIEGO
WOLF: Milwaukee 20-8 Over after the bullpen allowed 0 runs
GARLAND: 21-9 TSR pitching off a team loss

COLORADO at SAN FRANCISCO
CHACIN: Colorado 19-48 SU away off 3+ division losses
SANCHEZ: San Francisco 13-2 SU at home off 6+ home games

PITTSBURGH at LA DODGERS
KARSTENS: Pittsburgh 19-49 SU away vs. right-handed starters
KURODA: Dodgers 23-8 SU at home off BB games allowing 3 runs or less

NY METS at PHILADELPHIA
SANTANA: Mets 15-43 SU away in night games
MOYER: 8-2 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175

MINNESOTA at CLEVELAND
LIRIANO: Minnesota 10-23 SU away vs. left-handed starters
HUFF: 10-3 TSR in day games

LA ANGELS at DETROIT
WEAVER: Angels 31-11 SU off a loss by 1 run
VERLANDER: Detroit 6-14 SU after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

CHI WHITE SOX at NY YANKEES
BUEHRLE: 15-4 Under pitching off a team win
HUGHES: Yankees 24-3 SU at home on Sundays

OAKLAND at TORONTO
SHEETS: Oakland 20-10 Over off a win by 2 runs or less
MARCUM: Toronto 11-20 SU at home with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs

BOSTON at BALTIMORE
BECKETT: Boston 12-22 SU off BB games hitting 3+ home runs
MILLWOOD: Baltimore 13-5 SU after losing 15+ of their last 20 games

KANSAS CITY at TAMPA BAY
GREINKE: Kansas City 1-17 SU off BB games allowing 3 runs or less
DAVIS: Tampa Bay 33-9 SU at home after scoring 2 runs or less

TEXAS at SEATTLE
WILSON: Texas 11-24 SU off BB games where the bullpen allowed 0 runs
FISTER: Seattle 12-3 SU at home off BB losses

Hot pitchers
-- JJohnson is 2-0, 2.14 in his last three starts.
-- Cardinals won last three Carpenter starts (2-0, 2.70).
-- Wolf is 1-0, 1.29 in his last couple starts.
-- Karstens allowed two runs in 6.2 IP in his first 2010 start.
-- San Diego won last three Garland starts (2-0, 2.50).
-- JSanchez is 2-1, 0.90 in his last three starts.
-- JSantana is 2-0, 0.47 in his last three starts.
-- Liriano is 3-0, 0.93 in four starts; he's tossed 23 consecutive scoreless innings.
-- Marcum has a 2.57 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Hughes is 2-0, 2.00 in three starts this season.
-- Weaver is 2-0, 2.08 in his last four starts.
-- Greinke has a 1.29 RA in his last couple starts. Davis is 2-0, 2.81 in his last three starts.
-- Fister is 2-0, 1.17 in his last three starts. Wilson is 2-1, 2.45 in four starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Lannan has a 5.53 RA in five starts this season.
-- Lowe is 1-2, 7.88 in his last three starts. Norris is 0-1, 8.10 in his last couple starts.
-- Harang is 1-3, 7.81 in five starts this season.
-- Jackson is 0-1, 12.20 in his last couple starts. Gorzelanny is 0-3, 4.60 in his last three starts.
-- Kuroda is 1-1, 5.30 in his last three starts.
-- Chacin was 3-0, 1.69 in four starts at AAA, with 21 Ks/21.1 IP.
-- Moyer is 1-2, 5.50 in his last three starts.
-- Huff is 1-3, 5.13 in four starts this season.
-- Sheets is 0-1, 9.90 in two road starts for the A's.
-- Buehrle is 1-3, 7.01 in his last four starts; Sox were outscored 22-4 in his last three outings.
-- Verlander is 1-2, 5.93 in five starts this season.
-- Orioles are 1-4 in Millwood starts (0-3, 4.50). Beckett has 7.53 RA in his five starts.

Totals
-- Last four Jackson starts went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Mets' last six road games.
-- Seven of eleven Florida home games went over the total.
-- Nine of last thirteen Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Cincinnati games.
-- 10 of last 11 San Francisco games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- Last four White Sox games went over the total.
-- All four Huff starts stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last eleven games in Toronto stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in Millwood starts this season. Four of five Beckett starts went over; Red Sox scored 39 runs in the five games.
-- Six of last eight games in Detroit went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Tampa Bay home games went over the total.
-- Seven of ten Seattle home games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Mets won ten of their last twelve games.
-- Reds won five of their last six games. Cardinals won nine of their twelve home games.
-- Cubs won six of their last nine games.
-- San Diego won 12 of its last 15 games.
-- Giants won nine of their last twelve home games.
-- Bronx Bombers won six of eight home games.
-- Orioles are 4-2 in last six games, after starting season 2-16.
-- Tampa Bay won 14 of its last 18 games, but lost last two. Royals won three of their last four road games.
-- Twins are 10-4 in their last 14 road games. Indians won five of their last six home games.
-- Tigers won five of their last six games.

Cold teams
-- Phillies lost four of their last six games.
-- Marlins lost four of their last six games.
-- Braves lost nine of their last eleven games, but won last two. Astros lost their last five games, outscored 30-11.
-- Arizona lost seven of its last ten road games.
-- Pirates lost seven of last ten road games. Dodgers lost seven of their last ten games overall.
-- Brewers lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Rockies lost eight of their last eleven road games.
-- Oakland lost six of its last seven road games. Blue Jays lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Angels lost three of their last four games.
-- Red Sox lost last three games against the Orioles.
-- White Sox lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Mariners lost six of their last eight games. Rangers lost six of their last nine road games, but won last two.

Umpires
-- Hst-Atl-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Everitt games.
-- Az-Cubs-- Isn't enough data to analyze umpire BWelke.
-- Cin-StL-- Favorites won three of four Darling games.
-- NY-Phil-- Home favorites won all four Tichenor games, with three of the four going over total.
-- Colo-SF-- Underdogs won three of last four Tschida games.
-- Wsh-Fla-- Last four Campos games went over total, with underdogs winning all four games.
-- Mil-SD-- Four of last five West games stayed under the total.
-- Pitt-LA-- Visiting team won four of last five Demuth games.
-- Chi-NYY-- Favorites won all four Iassogna games.
-- A's-Tor-- Three of Davis' last four games went to extra innings.
-- LA-Det-- Three of four Hickox games went over the total.
-- Tex-Sea-- Totals in Joyce games this season: 5-7-12-13.
-- KC-TB-- Favorites won five of six O'Nora games.
-- Bos-Balt-- Road teams won three of last four Fairchild games.
-- Min-Clev-- All four Diaz games went over total, with visiting team winning all four games.