MLB Trends Sunday 6/28

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MLB Baseball Trends

The Highs and Lows of things

by Charles Jay
Which pitchers have produced the most profit, based on $100 plays and what prices were available on their games?

Rookie Matt Palmer of the Los Angeles Angels (-130 to win the AL West at BetUS) is the pitcher who has "gotten the money" the best. Los Angeles was 8-2 in his first ten starts and that was good for a positive gain of $930.

The big right-hander, Josh Johnson of the Florida Marlins (+850 to win the NL East at BetUS) has made 15 starts, with his team winning twelve of them, for a net gain of $889. The Boston Red Sox (-140 to win the AL East at BetUS) are 11-3 in knuckleball specialist Tim Wakefield's 14 starts, and they are up $798 in those games. Matt Cain of the San Francisco Giants (+1600 in the NL West at BetUS) is one of the favorites to win the Cy Young Award, and he has been bringing home the bacon for his team, up $719 on an 11-3 team mark.

Other rookies aside from Palmer are doing well. Jeff Niemann of Tampa Bay (+900 to win the AL East at BetUS) has made 14 starts, of which the Rays have won ten, for a profit of $660. Josh Outman of the Oakland Athletics (+2500 in the AL West at BetUS) has been in 67% winning efforts, with $526 profit, and Rick Porcello of the Detroit Tigers (-175 to win the AL Central at BetUS) has gone to the mound 13 times, with the Tigers winning nine, and that has produced $484.

The big losers? Remembering that this is a function of price, last year's American League Cy Young winner, Cliff Lee of the Cleveland Indians (+1400 in the AL Central at BetUS), is a big looser considering the team is 5-10 in his starts with a net loss of $638. Chien-Ming Wang of the New York Yankees (+140 in the AL East at BetUS) has been a disaster, as the Bombers have won one of his six starts, with a net loss of #684. His teammate C.C. Sabathia, who has been a favorite plenty, has been an even worse value with a net loss of $737 on his team's record of 7-8 in his outings.

The worst is Manny Parra of the Milwaukee Brewers (+275 to win the NL Central at BetUS), whose team is 3-10 and down $870 as a result of his efforts.

As far as totals are concerned, the biggest "over" pitcher has been Scott Kazmir of the Tampa Bay Rays. He has made nine starts, and all nine have gone over the total, with an average run count of 13.3 per game. Of course, a 1.95 WHIP ratio tends to contribute to that. Kazmir is currently on the disabled list, having last started on May 20. He has done rehab stints in the minors and on Monday he allowed just a single run in six innings at Triple-A Durham. He may be back in the Rays' dugout by the end of this week or at some point next week.

Interestingly, Roy Halladay, who was a leading Cy Young candidate before going on the DL himself, has been associated with a lot of "overs." Halladay's 14 starts have included ten games that have gone over the total.

The "under" pitcher in the majors right now is rookie Vin Mazzaro, creating quite a sensation as one of the youngsters in the Oakland Athletics' rotation. All five of his starts have gone under, with an average total of 4.2 runs. Scott Feldman, who seems to have found himself as a member of the rotation with the Texas Rangers (Even money to win the AL West at BetUS) has made eleven starts, with ten of them going "under". Teammate Kevin Millwood has made eleven unders, with two overs and two pushes in his 15 outings.

Much has been about how much of a hitters' park Yankee Stadium has been, and that is not an exaggeration. The new Stadium has produced 3.4 homers per game, which is highest in the major leagues. In fact, there are only three other ballparks in the majors that are within one homer of it. Not surprisingly, it also yields 11.06 runs per game and the highest OPS (on-base average plus slugging percentage) in all the majors at .818. However, the highest figure of runs per game is turned in by Coors Field in Denver, home of the Colorado Rockies (+1600 in the NL West at BetUS), which is averaging 11.31 runs, even though only 2.2 homers per game are being hit there.

The team playing the most unders is the Texas Rangers, and that is something no one would have forecast at the beginning of the season. Texas had 24 overs and 42 unders (with three pushes), which is kind of unusual, since half the games are played at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, and that building has seen 2.8 round-trippers per game (third in ML as well as an .807 OPS (fourth). Well, maybe that's not so unusual, considering that oddsmakers have set totals there well too high.

The Seattle Mariners (+900 in the AL West at BetUS) have played 27 overs and 41 unders (with two pushes) and the Chicago White Sox (+500 to win the AL Central at BetUS) have been in 27 overs as well, with 42 games falling under the total. At Safeco Field in Seattle, 7.56 runs per game have been scored (a major league low). Next in line is San Diego's Petco Park (7.67 - it is also last with a .660 OPS) and U.S. Cellular Field in Chicago (7.83 runs/game). Atlanta's Turner Field is the toughest place to hit a homer, presumably, at 1.1 per game, and the Braves are 29-37-4 in the "over/under" scale.

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MLB Series To Watch

Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox

Most Recent Series Result:
White Sox 5-1 last six games vs. Cubs (1-1 this year)
White Sox 3-0 last three home games vs. Cubs
Key Day/Month Stat:
Cubs 14-6 on Sundays; White Sox 0-4 home on Sundays
Best Arm in the Series:
Cubs’ Lilly 8-2, 5.94 ERA career team starts vs. White Sox;
Pitching Today
Zambrano 2-0, 3.33 ERA last two away vs. White Sox
Worst Arm in the Series:
White Sox’ Buerhle 1-4, 5.27 ERA last four starts vs. Cubs

Florida Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays

Most Recent Series Result:
Rays 9-2 last 11 games vs. Marlins (2-1 this year)
Marlins 4-2 last six games away vs. Rays
Key Day/Month Stat:
Rays 16-2 home on Fridays; Marlins 1-5 on Fridays
Best Arm in the Series:
Rays’ Sonnanstine 4-0, 3.09 ERA career team starts vs. Marlins;
Garza 2-0, 1.13 ERA career team starts vs. Marlins
Worst Arm in the Series:
Marlins’ Johnson 0-1, 1.37 ERA away career start vs. Rays

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians

Most Recent Series Result:
Reds 8-2 last 10 games vs. Indians (2-1 this year)
Indians 10-6 last 16 home games vs. Reds
Key Day/Month Stat:
Indians 5-1 home on Sundays; Reds 1-7 on Sundays
Best Arm in the Series:
Reds’ Cueto 3-0, 2.33 ERA career team starts vs. Indians
Worst Arm in the Series:
Indians’ Sowers 0-2, 9.00 ERA home career team starts vs. Reds;
Indians’ Pavano 0-2, 13.10 ERA career team starts vs. Reds

New York Yankees at New York Mets

Most Recent Series Result:
Yankees 4-2 last six games vs. Mets (2-1 this year)
Yankees 3-1 last four away games vs. Mets
Key Day/Month Stat:
Mets 9-1 on Fridays (5-0 home)
Best Arm in the Series:
Yankees’ Pettite 6-3, 2.63 ERA last nine away team starts vs. Mets
Worst Arm in the Series:
Mets’ Maine 0-2, 16.50 ERA career team starts vs. Mets

CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Cleveland is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

PHILADELPHIA vs. TORONTO
Philadelphia is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia

BOSTON vs. ATLANTA
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Boston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

KANSAS CITY vs. PITTSBURGH
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Kansas City is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

WASHINGTON vs. BALTIMORE
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

FLORIDA vs. TAMPA BAY
Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Florida is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Florida

DETROIT vs. HOUSTON
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

CHI CUBS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games
Chi Cubs are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Chi White Sox are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs

SAN FRANCISCO vs. MILWAUKEE
San Francisco is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Milwaukee
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Milwaukee is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Francisco

MINNESOTA vs. ST. LOUIS
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

SEATTLE vs. LA DODGERS
Seattle is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing LA Dodgers
Seattle is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing Seattle
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle

COLORADO vs. OAKLAND
Colorado is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

LA ANGELS vs. ARIZONA
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Arizona is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels

NY YANKEES vs. NY METS
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Mets
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
NY Mets are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees

SAN DIEGO vs. TEXAS
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Texas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego

SAN FRANCISCO (39 - 34) at MILWAUKEE (40 - 34)
JONATHAN SANCHEZ (L) vs. JEFF SUPPAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 20-8 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SUPPAN is 19-10 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-34 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 82-85 (+7.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-34 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

JONATHAN SANCHEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
SANCHEZ is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 15.09 and a WHIP of 2.471.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

JEFF SUPPAN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
SUPPAN is 3-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.64 and a WHIP of 1.576.
His team's record is 3-6 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-6. (-3.5 units)

CINCINNATI (36 - 37) at CLEVELAND (31 - 45)
MICAH OWINGS (R) vs. DAVID HUFF (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 78-102 (-32.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 468-543 (+44.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 228-245 (+39.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 31-45 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 3-11 (-11.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-31 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-24 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 29-47 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 28-39 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-37 (-15.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-2 (+1.3 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

MICAH OWINGS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

DAVID HUFF vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HUFF is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 2.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

PHILADELPHIA (38 - 34) at TORONTO (41 - 35)
JAMIE MOYER (L) vs. BRIAN TALLET (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-24 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 50-32 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-14 (+10.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-12 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-9 (+9.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-23 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-8 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-9 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MOYER is 241-167 (+42.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 17-9 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 44-20 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 54-42 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 142-166 (-56.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 (+4.5 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JAMIE MOYER vs. TORONTO since 1997
MOYER is 10-6 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.64 and a WHIP of 1.459.
His team's record is 17-10 (+5.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 17-9. (+7.3 units)

BRIAN TALLET vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

NY YANKEES (42 - 32) at NY METS (37 - 36)
CHIEN-MING WANG (R) vs. LIVAN HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 4-14 (-12.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HERNANDEZ is 25-20 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 15-7 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 4-1 (+1.9 Units) against NY METS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

CHIEN-MING WANG vs. NY METS since 1997
WANG is 1-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.96 and a WHIP of 0.979.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

LIVAN HERNANDEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 0-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.94 and a WHIP of 1.829.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.2 units)

BOSTON (46 - 28) at ATLANTA (34 - 40)
BRAD PENNY (R) vs. TOMMY HANSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 46-28 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 42-21 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 63-32 (+22.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PENNY is 26-11 (+13.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 34-40 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 17-21 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 9-15 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
ATLANTA is 49-56 (-29.5 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
ATLANTA is 34-40 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 20-29 (-14.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 16-23 (-11.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 27-37 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-1 (+2.9 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

BRAD PENNY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
PENNY is 8-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.13 and a WHIP of 1.637.
His team's record is 12-7 (+7.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-7. (+3.3 units)

TOMMY HANSON vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

KANSAS CITY (31 - 42) at PITTSBURGH (35 - 39)
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 59-90 (-27.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 13-25 (-13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 21-13 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 9-2 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in home games in June games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 21-13 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 (+2.3 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

CHARLIE MORTON vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

FLORIDA (38 - 38) at TAMPA BAY (41 - 35)
ANDREW MILLER (L) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 146-108 (+28.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 33-8 (+19.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 87-40 (+34.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 20-5 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in home games in June games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 32-9 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 88-43 (+31.7 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 92-48 (+31.0 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 55-28 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 122-115 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 57-59 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 128-103 (+32.9 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
FLORIDA is 18-9 (+10.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
FLORIDA is 63-52 (+18.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 61-58 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-1 (+2.9 Units) against FLORIDA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

ANDREW MILLER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

DAVID PRICE vs. FLORIDA since 1997
No recent starts.

WASHINGTON (21 - 51) at BALTIMORE (34 - 40)
JOHN LANNAN (L) vs. DAVID HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 21-51 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 8-28 (-17.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 33-82 (-29.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-48 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 15-36 (-17.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 14-35 (-18.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LANNAN is 14-32 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 12-3 (+8.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 76-80 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 7-29 (-22.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 18-47 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

JOHN LANNAN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LANNAN is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.054.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

DAVID HERNANDEZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

DETROIT (41 - 33) at HOUSTON (35 - 37)
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. RUSS ORTIZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 115-121 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 74-92 (-32.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 53-65 (-21.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 121-112 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 25-12 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 36-29 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 117-110 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 89-84 (+13.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 65-54 (+15.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 57-57 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 36-17 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-7 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
DETROIT is 40-27 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. HOUSTON since 1997
JACKSON is 2-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.261.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

RUSS ORTIZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
ORTIZ is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

CHICAGO CUBS (35 - 36) at CHI WHITE SOX (36 - 38)
CARLOS ZAMBRANO (R) vs. JOHN DANKS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 35-36 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 14-23 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 35-36 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 493-468 (-103.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 119-91 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 66-45 (+16.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ZAMBRANO is 67-45 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 67-43 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-2 (+0.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

CARLOS ZAMBRANO vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
ZAMBRANO is 5-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 6-4 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+2.9 units)

JOHN DANKS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
DANKS is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 0.769.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

MINNESOTA (38 - 38) at ST LOUIS (41 - 35)
FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. JOEL PINEIRO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 127-111 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 127-111 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-10 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
PINEIRO is 6-16 (-11.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

JOEL PINEIRO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PINEIRO is 2-5 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.45 and a WHIP of 1.542.
His team's record is 4-9 (-6.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-7. (-2.2 units)

COLORADO (39 - 35) at OAKLAND (31 - 42)
AARON COOK (R) vs. VIN MAZZARO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 200-147 (+50.8 Units) against the money line in June games since 1997.
COLORADO is 19-6 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
COLORADO is 115-95 (+18.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 9-26 (-17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-0 (+2.5 Units) against OAKLAND this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

AARON COOK vs. OAKLAND since 1997
COOK is 0-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.625.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

VIN MAZZARO vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

SEATTLE (38 - 36) at LA DODGERS (48 - 27)
GARRETT OLSON (L) vs. HIROKI KURODA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 99-137 (-35.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 41-59 (-22.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 43-76 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 91-126 (-34.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 65-97 (-31.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 48-27 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 48-27 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 72-57 (-33.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

GARRETT OLSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

HIROKI KURODA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

LA ANGELS (40 - 32) at ARIZONA (30 - 45)
MATT PALMER (R) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 40-32 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 64-34 (+25.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 71-49 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 20-9 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games in June games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 87-73 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 13-4 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 43-18 (+27.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 37-26 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 95-69 (+17.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 46-26 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 36-21 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PALMER is 8-2 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
PALMER is 8-2 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 30-45 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 14-22 (-9.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 15-27 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 9-17 (-10.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 19-32 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 13-23 (-14.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 43-52 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
ARIZONA is 30-45 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 9-20 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 33-53 (-25.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

MATT PALMER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

MAX SCHERZER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

SAN DIEGO (32 - 41) at TEXAS (40 - 33)
CHAD GAUDIN (R) vs. TOMMY HUNTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 95-139 (-41.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-27 (-16.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 39-79 (-30.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 7-25 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 95-139 (-41.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 66-103 (-33.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 4-18 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 35-65 (-25.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 40-33 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 39-31 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 88-80 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 83-74 (+19.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 62-54 (+14.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 56-45 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-1 (+0.5 Units) against TEXAS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

CHAD GAUDIN vs. TEXAS since 1997
GAUDIN is 2-4 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 6.18 and a WHIP of 1.779.
His team's record is 2-5 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.5 units)

TOMMY HUNTER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

Good morning BT "Good stuff" especially so early in the AM. One question, do you know if any one keeps longer term records on the cappers? Thanks

National League

SAN FRANCISCO at MILWAUKEE
SANCHEZ: SF 18-10 off blown save
SUPPAN: MIL 14-5 Over vs. SF

Interleague

CINCINNATI at CLEVELAND
OWINGS: CIN 7-0 Under Away in day games
HUFF: CLE 5-14 as a favorite of -125 to -175

PHILADELPHIA at TORONTO
MOYER: 17-9 TSR in road games
TALLET: TOR 2-9 after scoring one run or less

NY YANKEES at NY METS
WANG: Yankees 4-14 Away when the total is 10 to 10.5
HERNANDEZ: Mets 25-6 after a game where they had 2 or less hits

BOSTON at ATLANTA
PENNY: BOS 10-4 as an underdog
HANSON: ATL 9-15 in June

KANSAS CITY at PITTSBURGH
GREINKE: KC 5-15 off BB Unders
MORTON: PIT 9-2 at home in June

FLORIDA at TAMPA BAY
MILLER: FLA 20-9 Over in Interleague Play
PRICE: TB 46-11 as a home favorite of -150 or more

WASHINGTON at BALTIMORE
LANNAN: 19-7 Under off team loss
HERNANDEZ: BAL 7-29 on Sundays

DETROIT at HOUSTON
JACKSON: DET 19-7 in day games
ORTIZ: HOU 21-9 Under in Interleague Play

CHICAGO CUBS at CHI WHITE SOX
ZAMBRANO: Cubs 2-12 as an underdog
DANKS: White Sox 20-5 at home after scoring 8+ runs

MINNESOTA at ST LOUIS
LIRIANO: MIN 10-1 Under on Sundays
PINEIRO: STL 22-10 Under when the total is 9 to 9.5

COLORADO at OAKLAND
COOK: 7-0 TSR Away off BB team wins
MAZZARO: Oak 62-33 Under off an Over

SEATTLE at LA DODGERS
OLSON: SEA 43-76 in road games
KURODA: Dodgers 26-8 as home favorite

LA ANGELS at ARIZONA
PALMER: 7-1 TSR as an underdog
SCHERZER: ARI 9-20 at home vs. righties

SAN DIEGO at TEXAS
GAUDIN: SD 7-25 in Interleague Play
HUNTER: TEX 11-0 Under off loss by 4+ runs

Tips and Trends

New York Yankees at New York Mets

Yankees (-$1.30, O/U 10 under -$1.15): Chien-Ming Wang goes for his long awaited first victory of the season. The Yankees have destroyed the Mets in the first two games of this series. The Yankees have outscored the Mets, 14-1, and out-hit them, 22-4. The Yankees are 62-30 in their last 92 games during Game 3 of a series. However, Wang has been dreadful this season with a 0-6 mark and 11.20 ERA. The right-hander has yet to reach the sixth inning in a start this season. The Yankees are 1-4 in Wang’s past five interleague starts and 0-4 in his last four road outings. Wang is 1-1 with a 4.96 ERA in two career starts versus the Mets. The over is 9-3-1 in Wang’s last 13 starts. The Yankees have won six of the last eight meetings between the two teams. Derek Jeter has missed the past two games because of illness.

The Yankees are 4-7 in their last 11 road games against a right-handed starter.

Key Injuries - Derek Jeter (illness) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side of the Day)

Mets: Playing without injured outfielder Carlos Beltran, first baseman Carlos Delgado and shortstop Jose Reyes, the Mets have not been competitive with the Yankees. Veteran right-hander Livan Hernandez will try to get the Mets on the right track, although he is 0-3 with a 6.94 ERA in six lifetime starts versus the Yankees. Hernandez is 5-2 on the season with a 4.05 ERA. His only two losses have come to the Cardinals. Hernandez faced the Yankees on June 12 and didn’t get a decision in a 9-8 Yankees win. The Yankees scored six runs on seven hits against Hernandez in 5 1/3 innings. Robinson Cano, Mark Teixeira and Jeter all smacked home runs off Hernandez. The over has cashed in five of Hernandez’s last seven starts when he’s faced teams with a winning record. The Mets are 3-10 in their last 13 Sunday games.

The Mets are 11-6 in their last 17 home games when going against a right-handed starter.

Key Injuries - Carlos Delgado (hip), Carlos Beltran (knee) and Jose Reyes (calf) are all on the DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

San Diego Padres at Texas Rangers

Padres: There are multiple reasons why the Padres are such big underdogs. Not only has San Diego scored the fewest runs, but the Padres are 18-41 in their last 59 away matchups. The Padres also have lost 37 of their past 52 interleague games, including going 4-10 this season. Erratic Chad Gaudin gets the start. He’s 3-6 with a 5.60 ERA on the season. He has been worse on the road away from pitcher-friendly Petco Park going 2-4 with a 6.18 ERA. Gaudin, though, tied his career-high with 11 strikeouts in his last start at Seattle. He was the winning pitcher in a 9-7 victory against Seattle on Tuesday. Gaudin yielded two runs on four hits, while going seven innings. Gaudin has an 11-to-three strikeout-to-walk ratio in his last two starts, both against the Mariners. The Padres are 7-20 in their last 27 games versus AL West clubs.

The Padres are 5-17 in their last 22 interleague games against a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries - Brian Giles (knee), Nick Hundley (wrist) and Jake Peavy (ankle) are all on the DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

Rangers (-$1.55, O/U 11 over -$1.25): Texas is 17-6 (74 percent) in its last 23 home games versus an opponent with a losing mark. The Rangers are 11-5 in their last 16 interleague games as chalk. Texas also has won 17 of its past 26 home contests. The Rangers have improved their defense and pitching, while missing the bat of injured slugger Josh Hamilton. This has contributed to the under being 42-17-1 in the Rangers’ last 60 games. Tommy Hunter was called up from Triple-A Oklahoma City to replace Matt Harrison, who was put on the disabled list with a sore left shoulder. Hunter was 3-2 with a 3.83 ERA for Oklahoma City. Hunter also stepped in for Harrison on May 29. The right-hander didn’t get a decision in Texas’ 6-3 victory against the Athletics. Hunter allowed three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings, giving up seven hits and three walks to go with one strikeout.

The Under is 22-6-1 in the Rangers’ last 29 home games.
The Under is 9-1 in Fieldin Culbreth’s lasts 11 games behind home plate.

Key Injuries - Josh Hamilton (abdominal) is on the DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (UNDER - Total of the Day)

With interleague play here, remember there are DHs in games played in the American League parks, no DHs in National League parks. Under is 66-46-3 in NL parks, 56-55-5 in AL. As far as wins/losses go, the AL leads the NL, 131-106. Under was 7-0 in NL parks Saturday.

Hot Pitchers
-- Huff is 3-0, 3.20 in his last four starts.
-- Tallet is 1-0, 0.82 in his last couple starts.
-- Hanson is 3-0, 1.06 in his last three starts. Penny is 1-0, 2.16 in his last three starts.
-- Greinke is 3-2, 2.49 on the road this season.
-- Lannan is 2-0, 2.43 in his last four starts.
-- Zambrano is 2-0, 2.31 in his last five starts. Danks has 2.53 RA in his last three starts.
-- Jackson is 2-1, 2.06 in his last five starts. Ortiz has a 2.95 RA in his last three starts.
-- Pineiro has a 2.82 RA in his last three starts.
-- Cook is 4-0, 1.93 in his last four starts.
-- Scherzer is 3-0, 1.46 in his last four starts.
-- Hernandez is 2-1, 2.45 in his last three home starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Sadowski was 5-2, 4.11 in 13 starts at AAA Fresno this year.
-- Cincinnati is 1-7 on road when Owings starts.
-- Moyer is 0-0, 13.03 in three daytime starts (Phils 3-0 in the games).
-- Miller is 0-3, 6.75 in his last three road starts. Price is 0-2, 8.02 in his last four starts.
-- Morton is 0-0, 3.00 in two starts (only six IP).
-- Hernandez is 1-1, 4.91 in two starts this season.
-- Suppan is 0-1, 8.18 in his last two starts.
-- Liriano is 1-2, 7.11 in his last four road starts.
-- Kuroda is 1-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Palmer has a 5.86 RA in his last five starts.
-- Massaro is 0-2, 4.50 in his last three starts.
-- Olson has a 6.65 RA in his last four starts.
-- Gaudin is 1-3, 8.14 in his last four starts. Harrison is 0-3, 10.61 in his last four starts.
-- Wang is 0-6, 14.66 in seven starts this season.

Hot Teams
-- White Sox won five of their last seven games.
-- Pirates won six of their last seven home games.
-- Bronx won their last four games, scoring 32 runs.
-- Orioles won their last four home games.
-- Red Sox won ten of their last twelve road games.
-- Tampa Bay won 12 of its last 16 games. Marlins won six of nine. .
-- Tigers won seven of their last nine games. Astros are 12-6 in their last eighteen games.
-- Rangers won three of their last four games.
-- Angels won eleven of their last fourteen games.
-- Rockies won 19 of their last 22 games.
-- Mariners won eight of their last eleven games.

Cold Teams
-- Giants are 0-5 in third game of series if they lost first two.
-- Phillies lost nine of their last eleven games. Toronto is 6-9 in its last fifteen home games.
-- Cardinals are 6-8 in last 14 home games. Minnesota is 3-8 on Sunday.
-- Brewers lost seven of their last eleven home games.
-- Cubs lost six of their last seven road games.
-- Mets are 6-11 in their last seventeen games, were outscored 29-1 in last three games against Bronx Bombers.
-- Indians lost nine of their last eleven games. Reds are 6-15 in their last twenty-one road games.
-- Nationals lost five of their last six games.
-- Royals lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Braves lost 12 of their last 17 games.
-- Padres lost ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Dodgers lost three of their last four games.
-- Arizona lost 18 of its last 24 home games.
-- Oakland lost five of its last six games.

Totals
-- Seven of last eight Toronto home games went over total.
-- Five of last seven St Louis home games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last twelve Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-4-1 in Cubs' last thirteen road games.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in Cleveland's last eleven games.
-- Five of last six Washington games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Royals' last seven road games.
-- Four of last six Bronx Bomber games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Boston road games went over the total.
-- Ten of last fifteen Florida games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Houston games.
-- Eleven of last twelve Texas home games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Arizona home games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten games at Oakland.
-- Under is 7-4 in Dodgers' last eleven home games.

Umpires
-- SF-Mil-- Five of last six Rapuano games went over the total.
-- Phil-Tor-- Five of last six Davidson games went over the total.
-- Min-StL-- Under is 11-1-1 in last thirteen Gorman games.
-- Chi-Chi-- Six of last eight Runge games stayed under the total.
-- Bos-Atl-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Fairchild games.
-- LAA-Az-- Three of last four Marsh games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Balt-- Underdog won 10 of last 12 Joyce games.
-- Fla-TB-- Home team won seven of last eight Dimuro games.
-- Cin-Clev-- Nine of last ten Fletcher games stayed under the total.
-- Det-Hst-- Under is 11-5-1 in last seventeen Hoye games.
-- KC-Pitt-- Three of last four Hallion games went over the total.
-- NY-NY-- Home team won four of last five Winters games.
-- SD-Tex-- Under is 8-1-1 in last nine Culbreth games.
-- Colo-A's-- Six of last seven Wegner games stayed under the total.
-- Sea-LA-- Over is 8-5-1 in Diaz games this season.