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MLB Trends Sunday, October 11

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(@blade)
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LA ANGELS (99 - 65) at BOSTON (95 - 69)

SCOTT KAZMIR (L) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 7-4 (+3.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.5 Units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. BOSTON since 1997
KAZMIR is 8-7 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.415.
His team's record is 14-11 (+10.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 14-11. (+2.6 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 1-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.765.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

NY YANKEES (105 - 59) at MINNESOTA (87 - 78)

ANDY PETTITTE (L) vs. CARL PAVANO (R)

Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 139-90 (-49.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 105-65 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 60-46 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 107-70 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 38-16 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 74-68 (+7.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 87-78 (+0.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 102-61 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 56-31 (+17.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-11 (+15.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
PAVANO is 19-14 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 10-4 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 69-36 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY YANKEES are 105-59 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 53-26 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 9-0 (+9.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

ANDY PETTITTE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PETTITTE is 10-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.342.
His team's record is 12-6 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-7. (+3.3 units)

CARL PAVANO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PAVANO is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.044.
His team's record is 3-2 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)


PHILADELPHIA (94 - 70) at COLORADO (93 - 71)

J.A. HAPP (L) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)

Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 93-71 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 110-92 (+28.3 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 93-71 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 186-162 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 55-36 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
COLORADO is 124-112 (+26.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 70-55 (+20.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 (+8.9 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-33 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-6 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 45-30 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 70-52 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-16 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 57-37 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 (+0.9 Units) against COLORADO this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. COLORADO since 1997
HAPP is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
HAMMEL is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.349.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 8:51 am
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Posts: 318493
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LA Angels at Boston

Scott Kazmir (L) vs. Clay Buchholz (R)

Kazmir:
LAA 35-15 in day games
LAA 5-1 when trying to close out playoff series

Buchholz:
3-7 TSR working on 5 or 6 days rest
1-5 TSR off BB team losses

NY Yankees at Minnesota

Andy Pettitte (L) vs. Carl Pavano (R)

Pettitte:
NYY 35-10 as a favorite of -175 to -250
NYY 9-0 vs. Minnesota

Pavano:
13-6 TSR as an underdog
12-5 TSR 2nd half of season


Philadelphia at Colorado

J.A. Happ (L) vs. Jason Hammel (R)

Happ:
PHI 38-26 Under off BB Home games
PHI 9-13 revenging one run loss

Hammel:
15-6 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10
Col 28-14 after win by two runs or less

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 8:52 am
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Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

LA ANGELS vs. BOSTON
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games
Boston is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

NY YANKEES vs. MINNESOTA
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games

PHILADELPHIA vs. COLORADO
Philadelphia is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 8:53 am
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