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MLB Trends Thursday 3/31

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For first week or two of any season, not lot of stats make sense, but I'll be giving you pitching stats that refer back to LY. We'll start the umpire stats in late April-- will give you pitcher vs team stats until some of the other stats start to become relevant. We're here every day-- enjoy!!!

Hot Pitchers
-- Lowe is 5-2, 1.73 in his last seven starts.
-- Gallardo is 3-0, 3.77 in his last five starts. Volquez has a 3.07 RA in his last five starts, but only one win.
-- Stauffer is 2-1, 1.37 in his last three starts.
-- Lincecum is 9-2, 2.30 in his last eleven starts. Kershaw was 4-3, 2.50 in his last eight starts.

-- Verlander is 4-1, 1.80 in his last five starts.
-- Weaver is 3-1, 2.55 in his last five starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- LHernandez is 2-4, 6.51 in his last eight starts.
-- Carpenter is 1-4, 6.83 in his last five starts.

-- Sabathia has a 5.70 RA in his last five starts, but Bronx is still 11-3 in his last 14 outings.
-- Hochevar is 1-3, 5.19 in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Lowe's last four starts stayed under the total.
-- Last Volquez starts stayed under total; over is 8-3-1 in Gallardo's last dozen outings.
-- All seven Stauffer starts LY stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Kershaw starts stayed under the total. 5:00 local time start means lot of shadows if its a sunny day.

-- Six of last nine Verlander starts went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1 in Hochever's last six home starts. Under is 16-2-1 in last 19 Weaver starts.

Pitchers vs teams last year
-- Lowe was 2-3, 3.52 vs Washington LY. LHernandez was 2-1, 2.64 in five starts against the Braves.
-- Gallardo was 0-2, 9.58 in three starts vs Reds LY. Volquez was 1-0, 3.86 in two starts against Milwaukee.
-- Stauffer lost 4-0 in St Louis Sept 16, allowing four runs in five IP.
-- Lincecum was 2-0, 3.57 in three starts vs LA last season. Kershaw was 1-1, 2.17 in four starts against the Giants LY.

-- Verlander was 1-1, 2.31 against Bronx LY. Sabathia was 1-1, 5.54 in two starts against Detroit LY.
-- Weaver was 1-0, 0.60 in two '10 starts against the Royals (15 IP). Hochever lost 7-1 to Angels May 31 (five runs/seven IP).

 
Posted : March 31, 2011 8:19 am
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DETROIT vs. NY YANKEES
Detroit is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games at home
NY Yankees are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing Detroit

ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home

MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home

LA ANGELS vs. KANSAS CITY
LA Angels are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Kansas City is 2-9 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against LA Angels

SAN DIEGO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. Louis's last 10 games when playing at home against San Diego
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

SAN FRANCISCO vs. LA DODGERS

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 12 games

 
Posted : March 31, 2011 8:23 am
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National League

ATLANTA at WASHINGTON
LOWE: ATLANTA 56-27 as a favorite of -125 to -175
HERNANDEZ: 12-0 Under vs. division opponents

MILWAUKEE at CINCINNATI
GALLARDO: 10-16 TSR in day games
VOLQUEZ: 19-7 TSR vs. division opponents

SAN DIEGO at ST LOUIS
STAUFFER: 7-0 Under in all starts last year
CARPENTER: 54-31 Under as a home favorite of -150 or more

SAN FRANCISCO at LA DODGERS
LINCECUM: 14-4 TSR in road games
KERSHAW: 17-9 TSR vs. division

American League

DETROIT at NY YANKEES
VERLANDER: 43-19 TSR on grass
SABATHIA: YANKEES 31-18 Over at home vs. righties

LA ANGELS at KANSAS CITY
WEAVER: 60-35 Under as favorite
HOCHEVAR: KC 4-16 vs. Angels

 
Posted : March 31, 2011 8:52 am
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