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MLB Trends Thursday 4/29

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ATLANTA (8 - 13) at ST LOUIS (14 - 7)

JAIR JURRJENS (R) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 94-89 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 61-63 (-20.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 41-46 (-20.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-16 (-15.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 94-89 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 13-25 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in road games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
JURRJENS is 14-22 (-14.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JURRJENS is 1-9 (-12.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 48-25 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
WAINWRIGHT is 41-18 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 41-18 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 14-18 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

JAIR JURRJENS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
JURRJENS is 1-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.14 and a WHIP of 1.238.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. ATLANTA since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 4-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.73 and a WHIP of 1.269.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

ARIZONA (10 - 11) at CHICAGO CUBS (10 - 12)

IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. TED LILLY (L)

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 80-103 (-25.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 19-33 (-17.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 29-49 (-24.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 80-103 (-25.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LILLY is 40-15 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 412-370 (-78.3 Units) against the money line in home games in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 93-90 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 73-71 (-18.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 529-498 (-114.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 93-90 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 563-509 (-121.5 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

IAN KENNEDY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

TED LILLY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LILLY is 2-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.03 and a WHIP of 1.382.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.5 units)

CINCINNATI (10 - 11) at HOUSTON (8 - 12)

BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. ROY OSWALT (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 25-22 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 48-33 (+16.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 491-571 (+49.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 51-40 (+17.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 430-516 (+34.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 327-371 (+38.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 66-67 (+9.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-0 (+2.2 Units) against HOUSTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
ARROYO is 7-6 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.01 and a WHIP of 1.311.
His team's record is 9-8 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-8. (+0.6 units)

ROY OSWALT vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
OSWALT is 22-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.65 and a WHIP of 1.116.
His team's record is 23-7 (+10.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 14-14. (-1.1 units)

MILWAUKEE (9 - 12) at SAN DIEGO (13 - 8)

DOUG DAVIS (L) vs. WADE LEBLANC (L)

Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 88-95 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 64-63 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 45-42 (+12.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 88-95 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DOUG DAVIS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
DAVIS is 9-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.94 and a WHIP of 1.306.
His team's record is 12-5 (+8.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-8. (+0.5 units)

WADE LEBLANC vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

PITTSBURGH (9 - 12) at LA DODGERS (8 - 13)

BRIAN BURRES (L) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 38-87 (-35.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 25-64 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 15-43 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 31-58 (-24.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 26-66 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 26-6 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 38-39 (-18.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KERSHAW is 9-15 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+1.8 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

BRIAN BURRES vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
KERSHAW is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.463.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

MINNESOTA (14 - 7) at DETROIT (12 - 10)

CARL PAVANO (R) vs. DONTRELLE WILLIS (L)

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 21-42 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 55-32 (+17.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PAVANO is 27-18 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 60-38 (+23.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 18-11 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 59-41 (+29.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 73-83 (-28.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 114-130 (-36.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

CARL PAVANO vs. DETROIT since 1997
PAVANO is 4-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.048.
His team's record is 5-1 (+5.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

DONTRELLE WILLIS vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
WILLIS is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 2.141.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

CHI WHITE SOX (8 - 13) at TEXAS (10 - 11)

GAVIN FLOYD (R) vs. SCOTT FELDMAN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 94-80 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 66-52 (+15.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 97-86 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

GAVIN FLOYD vs. TEXAS since 1997
FLOYD is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 9.34 and a WHIP of 2.307.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
FELDMAN is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 0.943.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

NY YANKEES (13 - 7) at BALTIMORE (4 - 17)

A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. BRIAN MATUSZ (L)

Top Trends for this game.
BURNETT is 41-63 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 22-39 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 85-43 (+26.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 240-307 (-97.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 212-307 (-85.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 4-17 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 506-559 (-121.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 4-17 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
BALTIMORE is 49-109 (-42.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 3-15 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-1 (+0.7 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BURNETT is 9-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.415.
His team's record is 10-3 (+4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-4. (+5.0 units)

BRIAN MATUSZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
MATUSZ is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-0 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)


OAKLAND (12 - 10) at TORONTO (10 - 12)

JUSTIN DUCHSCHERER (R) vs. RICKY ROMERO (L)

Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 40-28 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JUSTIN DUCHSCHERER vs. TORONTO since 1997
DUCHSCHERER is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

RICKY ROMERO vs. OAKLAND since 1997
ROMERO is 2-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.071.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

KANSAS CITY (8 - 13) at TAMPA BAY (16 - 5)

LUKE HOCHEVAR (R) vs. MATT GARZA (R)

Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 46-73 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 73-110 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 122-63 (+34.6 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 132-71 (+37.2 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 142-95 (+34.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-1 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 16-5 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 121-60 (+37.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 16-5 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
GARZA is 2-9 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

LUKE HOCHEVAR vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
HOCHEVAR is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.46 and a WHIP of 1.435.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

MATT GARZA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GARZA is 0-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.513.
His team's record is 1-5 (-7.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)

 
Posted : April 29, 2010 9:42 am
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Posts: 318493
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MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Minnesota

ATLANTA vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of St. Louis's last 10 games at home

CHI WHITE SOX vs. TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing Texas
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Texas is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

ARIZONA vs. CHI CUBS
Arizona is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games

NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 15 of NY Yankees's last 20 games on the road
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 3-12 SU in their last 15 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing NY Yankees

OAKLAND vs. TORONTO
Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing at home against Oakland

KANSAS CITY vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Kansas City's last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games at home

CINCINNATI vs. HOUSTON
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cincinnati's last 15 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 15 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati

MILWAUKEE vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Milwaukee is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

PITTSBURGH vs. LA DODGERS
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 18 of LA Dodgers's last 24 games

 
Posted : April 29, 2010 9:43 am
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Posts: 318493
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Hot pitchers
-- Wainwright is 3-1, 1.97 in four starts this season.
-- Kennedy has a 1.38 RA in his last two starts. Lilly threw six shutout innings at Miller Park in his first 2010 start.
-- Oswalt is 23-1, 2.58 in his career against the Reds; he spent most of last week in Mississippi, cleaning up his mom's home that was wrecked by a tornado Saturday.
-- San Diego won both LeBlanc starts (1-0, 0.82).
-- Dodgers won last three Kershaw starts (1-0, 2.45).
-- Pavano is 2-0, 1.93 in two road starts this season.
-- Burnett is 2-0, 2.66 in his last three starts. Matusz is 2-0, 4.38 in four starts this season.
-- Duchscherer is 2-0, 0.95 in his last three starts. Romero is 1-1, 1.80 in four starts this season.
-- Garza is 3-1, 2.48 in four starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Jurrjens is 0-2, 7.00 in his last three starts.
-- Arroyo is 0-2, 10.80 in his last three starts.
-- Davis is 0-1, 12.38 in two road starts this season.
-- Burres allowed six runs in four IP in his first '10 start.
-- Willis is 0-1, 4.24 in three starts this season.
-- Floyd is 0-2, 10.80 in his last three starts. Feldman is 0-2, 18.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Hochevar has a 6.62 RA in his last three starts.

Totals
-- Eight of last ten Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six games at Wrigley Field.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Cincinnati games.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Five of six Dodger home games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Detroit games.
-- Four of last five Texas home games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-4-1 in Bronx Bomber road games.
-- Seven of last eight games in Toronto stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Tampa Bay home games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Padres won ten of their last twelve games.
-- Cubs won four of their last six games.
-- Cardinals won seven of nine home games.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last nine games.
-- Tampa Bay won 13 of its last 15 games.
-- Twins won eight of their last eleven road games.

Cold teams
-- Cincinnati lost five of its last seven road games. Astros are 5-9 this season at home.
-- Braves lost last eight games, scoring total of thirteen runs.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last seven games. Pirates are 2-7 in last nine games, but won last two in last inning.
-- Brewers lost five of their last six games.
-- Diamondbacks lost five of their last seven road games. .
-- Detroit lost four of its last five home games.
-- Bronx Bombers lost four of their last six games. Orioles are 4-17 this season, 1-7 at home.
-- Oakland lost its last four road games, outscored 25-11. Blue Jays lost six of their last seven games.
-- White Sox lost their last six road games. Rangers are 5-8 in their last thirteen games overall.

 
Posted : April 29, 2010 9:44 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

ATLANTA at ST LOUIS
JURRJENS: 1-9 TSR pitching off 3+ team losses
WAINWRIGHT: St. Louis 24-4 SU as a favorite of -175 to -250

ARIZONA at CHICAGO CUBS
KENNEDY: Arizona 10-20 SU after scoring 8+ runs
LILLY: 40-15 TSR at home pitching off a team loss

CINCINNATI at HOUSTON
ARROYO: Cincinnati 1-9 SU with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs
OSWALT: Houston 27-12 Under in April

MILWAUKEE at SAN DIEGO
DAVIS: Milwaukee 5-19 SU after blowing a save
LEBLANC: San Diego 16-6 Under at home after winning 2 of their last 3 games

PITTSBURGH at LA DODGERS
BURRES: Pittsburgh 18-40 SU off 3+ division games
KERSHAW: Dodgers 26-6 SU at home off a loss

MINNESOTA at DETROIT
PAVANO: Minnesota 21-42 SU away vs. left-handed starters
WILLIS: 49-27 Over vs. division opponents

CHI WHITE SOX at TEXAS
FLOYD: White Sox 11-26 SU after the bullpen allowed 0 runs in BB games
FELDMAN: Texas 15-6 Over off a one-run win

NY YANKEES at BALTIMORE
BURNETT: 11-32 TSR away pitching on 5 or 6 days rest
MATUSZ: Baltimore 11-4 SU after losing 15+ of their last 20 games

OAKLAND at TORONTO
DUCHSCHERER: Oakland 24-42 SU away with a line of +125 to -125
ROMERO: Toronto 8-1 SU off 5+ division losses

KANSAS CITY at TAMPA BAY
HOCHEVAR: 10-2 Over with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs
GARZA: 2-10 TSR vs. AL Central opponents

 
Posted : April 29, 2010 11:00 am
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