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MLB Trends Thursday 4/7

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(@blade)
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Hot pitchers
-- Myers is 4-1, 3.86 in his last six starts.
-- Maholm is 2-0, 1.31 in his last three starts.
-- Hanson has a 2.02 RA in his last four starts.
-- Halladay is 3-1, 1.70 in his last five starts.
-- JJohnson has a 2.42 RA in his last three starts. Lannan is 3-1, 3.80 in his last four starts.

-- Toronto won last four Romero starts (3-0, 3.91). Cahill is 4-2, 3.48 in his last seven starts.
-- White Sox won last four EJackson starts (1-0, 4.56).
-- Tillman is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts he tossed six no-hit innings in his first '11 start.

Cold pitchers
-- Lecure is 0-4, 5.27 in his last five starts.
-- Rogers is 0-2, 6.84 in his last five starts.
-- Marcum is 1-2, 5.10 in his last five starts.
-- Niese is 0-3, 7.86 in his last five starts.

-- Carmona is 1-2, 7.32 in his last four starts. Lester is 0-1, 12.54 in his last couple starts.
-- Liriano is 0-3, 7.36 in his last four starts. Burnett is 1-3, 8.41 in his last five starts.
-- Price is 0-3, 5.49 in his last three starts.

Totals
-- Three of Lecure's four home starts LY went over total.
-- Four of last five Rogers starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Hanson starts stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Niese starts went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine JJohnson starts went over the total.

-- Five of last seven Lester starts went over the total.
-- Last five Cahill starts went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Liriano starts went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Price starts.
-- Four of last five Tillman starts stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Phillies won four of their first five games. Mets won three of their last four games.
-- Rockies won three of their first four games. Pirates are 4-2 so far.
-- Reds won their first five games, scoring 43 runs.
-- Braves won three of their last four games.

-- Orioles won four of their first five games.
-- Indians won last three games, outscoring foes 18-6.
-- Blue Jays won four of their first five games.

Cold teams
-- Nationals lost four of their first five games.
-- Astros lost their first five games, allowing 41 runs.
-- Brewers lost four of their first six games.

-- Rays lost their first five games, scoring a total of seven runs.
-- Oakland lost four of its first five games.
-- Red Sox lost their first five games, allowing 37 runs.

 
Posted : April 7, 2011 8:00 am
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Posts: 318493
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BOSTON vs. CLEVELAND
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

HOUSTON vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

OAKLAND vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oakland's last 12 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing Oakland

MINNESOTA vs. NY YANKEES
Minnesota is 2-7-1 SU in its last 10 games ,
Minnesota is 2-14-1 SU in their last 17 games ,when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees14-2-1 SU in their last 17 games when playing at home against Minnesota
NY Yankees18-3-1 SU in their last 22 games when playing Minnesota

COLORADO vs. PITTSBURGH
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Colorado is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Colorado

ATLANTA vs. MILWAUKEE

Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 18 games
Milwaukee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

TAMPA BAY vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Chi White Sox are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home

NY METS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games on the road
NY Mets are 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against NY Mets

DETROIT vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

WASHINGTON vs. FLORIDA
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games at home

 
Posted : April 7, 2011 8:02 am
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Posts: 318493
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HOUSTON (0 - 5) at CINCINNATI (5 - 0)

BRETT MYERS (R) vs. SAM LECURE (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 63-30 (+26.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 97-74 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 54-30 (+21.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 97-74 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 120-110 (+17.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 45-35 (+19.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MYERS is 20-14 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MYERS is 13-5 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MYERS is 20-14 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MYERS is 13-6 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MYERS is 12-6 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 262-293 (-70.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

BRETT MYERS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
MYERS is 3-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.412.
His team's record is 4-5 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.7 units)

SAM LECURE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LECURE is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

COLORADO (3 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 2)

ESMIL ROGERS (R) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)

Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 64-92 (-38.4 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 31-50 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 31-50 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 9-22 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 283-301 (+37.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 29-22 (+14.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 86-155 (-42.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ESMIL ROGERS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
ROGERS is 1-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. COLORADO since 1997
MAHOLM is 1-6 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.11 and a WHIP of 1.850.
His team's record is 1-7 (-5.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.5 units)

ATLANTA (3 - 3) at MILWAUKEE (2 - 4)

TOMMY HANSON (R) vs. SHAUN MARCUM (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 87-86 (-30.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-25 (-13.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 23-37 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 57-63 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

TOMMY HANSON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
HANSON is 1-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.5 units)

SHAUN MARCUM vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

NY METS (3 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 1)

JON NIESE (L) vs. ROY HALLADAY (R)

Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 579-566 (+32.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NY METS are 45-36 (+11.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-1 (+0.7 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

JON NIESE vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
NIESE is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.14 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

ROY HALLADAY vs. NY METS since 1997
HALLADAY is 6-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.196.
His team's record is 6-2 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+2.8 units)


WASHINGTON (1 - 4) at FLORIDA (3 - 2)

JOHN LANNAN (L) vs. JOSH JOHNSON (R)

Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 477-471 (+48.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
FLORIDA is 34-16 (+18.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 30-37 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

JOHN LANNAN vs. FLORIDA since 1997
LANNAN is 2-3 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 5.34 and a WHIP of 1.531.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

JOSH JOHNSON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
JOHNSON is 7-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.36 and a WHIP of 1.160.
His team's record is 10-3 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-3. (+5.9 units)

 
Posted : April 7, 2011 8:52 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Topic starter
 

BOSTON (0 - 5) at CLEVELAND (3 - 2)

JON LESTER (L) vs. FAUSTO CARMONA (R)

Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 78-72 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 22-13 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 (+3.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

JON LESTER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
LESTER is 3-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.53 and a WHIP of 1.358.
His team's record is 6-2 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+1.0 units)

FAUSTO CARMONA vs. BOSTON since 1997
CARMONA is 2-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.731.
His team's record is 3-4 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+1.1 units)

OAKLAND (1 - 4) at TORONTO (4 - 1)

TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. RICKY ROMERO (L)

Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 89-79 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 146-102 (+29.0 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997.
TORONTO is 74-56 (+21.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 36-20 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CAHILL is 21-10 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CAHILL is 18-5 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CAHILL is 24-14 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. TORONTO since 1997
CAHILL is 0-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 8.05 and a WHIP of 1.916.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

RICKY ROMERO vs. OAKLAND since 1997
ROMERO is 3-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.150.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

MINNESOTA (2 - 3) at NY YANKEES (3 - 2)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. A.J. BURNETT (R)

Top Trends for this game.
BURNETT is 14-21 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 13-19 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 (+0.9 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
LIRIANO is 0-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.567.
His team's record is 0-5 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BURNETT is 3-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.367.
His team's record is 7-2 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.6 units)

TAMPA BAY (0 - 5) at CHI WHITE SOX (3 - 2)

DAVID PRICE (L) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 33-19 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DAVID PRICE vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
PRICE is 0-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-3 (-4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
JACKSON is 2-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

DETROIT (2 - 3) at BALTIMORE (4 - 1)

BRAD PENNY (R) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 67-102 (-31.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 9-24 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 116-118 (-46.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 258-328 (-95.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

BRAD PENNY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
PENNY is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 7.72 and a WHIP of 1.715.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. DETROIT since 1997
TILLMAN is 1-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.118.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

 
Posted : April 7, 2011 8:54 am
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Posts: 318493
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Topic starter
 

National League

HOUSTON at CINCINNATI
MYERS: HOUSTON 17-5 Under off BB division losses
LECURE: CINCINNATI 24-9 vs. Houston

COLORADO at PITTSBURGH

ROGERS: COLORADO 9-22 Away off win
MAHOLM: PITTSBURGH 16-3 Under off 6+ road games

ATLANTA at MILWAUKEE
HANSON: ATLANTA 133-84 Away off BB losses
MARCUM: MILWAUKEE 23-37 in day games

NY METS at PHILADELPHIA
NIESE: METS 13-1 Under off game with 17+ total runs
HALLADAY: PHILADELPHIA 32-15 Under off game with 15+ total runs

WASHINGTON at FLORIDA
LANNAN: WASH 5-15 at Florida
JOHNSON: FLORIDA 31-8 Over off BB wins

American League

BOSTON at CLEVELAND
LESTER: BOSTON 6-17 revenging loss as road favorite
CARMONA: 23-9 TSR off BB team wins

OAKLAND at TORONTO
CAHILL: OAKLAND 36-20 in day games
ROMERO: 14-5 Over when the total is 8 to 8.5

MINNESOTA at NY YANKEES

LIRIANO: 21-7 Under in day games
BURNETT: 12-18 TSR as favorite

TAMPA BAY at CHI WHITE SOX
PRICE: TB 60-37 Under in day games
JACKSON: WHITE SOX 18-8 after scoring 10+ runs

DETROIT at BALTIMORE
PENNY: DETROIT 9-24 Away off win
TILLMAN: BALTIMORE 9-16 as a home favorite of -125 to -175

 
Posted : April 7, 2011 10:00 am
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