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MLB Trends Thursday 5/28

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TAMPA BAY vs. CLEVELAND
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

BOSTON vs. MINNESOTA
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

DETROIT vs. BALTIMORE
Detroit is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

LA DODGERS vs. CHI CUBS
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
Chi Cubs are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games at home
Chi Cubs are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games

ATLANTA vs. ARIZONA
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta

 
Posted : May 28, 2009 7:10 am
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Hot Pitchers
-- Wolf is 1-0, 2.59 in his last five starts. Wells has a 1.50 RA in his first three starts, but no wins.
-- Lowe is 2-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Swarczak shut Milwaukee out for seven innings in his first '09 start. Beckett is 1-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Tampa Bay won last four Niemann starts, scoring 39 runs.

Cold Pitchers
-- Haren is 0-1, 4.91 in his last four starts.
-- Huff allowed 13 runs in 6.2 IP in his first two '09 starts.
-- Galarraga is 0-4, 7.19 in his last five starts. Hernandez was 3-1, 2.91 at AAA Norfolk (13 walks, 60 K's).

Hot Teams
-- Dodgers won seven of their last eight road games.
-- Arizona is 7-4 in its last eleven games.
-- Twins won six of their last seven games.
-- Indians won four of their last five games.
-- Orioles won five of their last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Braves lost last three games, outscored 18-5.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last eight road games.
-- Rays lost last four games, allowing 19 runs in last ten innings.
-- Detroit lost four of its last six road games, allowing 36 runs.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Arizona home games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve Tampa Bay games.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Red Sox games.
-- Seven of last nine Detroit games stayed under the total.

 
Posted : May 28, 2009 7:11 am
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LA DODGERS (33 - 15) at CHICAGO CUBS (23 - 22)
RANDY WOLF (L) vs. RANDY WELLS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 24-6 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 33-15 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 22-10 (+11.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA DODGERS are 33-15 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 18-7 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
WOLF is 96-78 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 59-49 (+19.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 476-502 (-116.4 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 980-1031 (-189.7 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 527-478 (-108.5 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 923-947 (-167.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RANDY WOLF vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WOLF is 3-7 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.452.
His team's record is 5-10 (-4.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (+0.3 units)

RANDY WELLS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

ATLANTA (23 - 23) at ARIZONA (20 - 27)
DEREK LOWE (R) vs. DAN HAREN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 64-77 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-13 (-8.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ATLANTA is 95-113 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 94-111 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 48-22 (+26.5 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
ARIZONA is 70-78 (-22.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 103-107 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 31-38 (-13.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 10-17 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 22-31 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 10-17 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 5-13 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

DEREK LOWE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LOWE is 6-7 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.318.
His team's record is 9-8 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-2.9 units)

DAN HAREN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HAREN is 2-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 6.88 and a WHIP of 1.647.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

TAMPA BAY (23 - 26) at CLEVELAND (20 - 28)
JEFF NIEMANN (R) vs. DAVID HUFF (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 66-79 (-23.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 3-12 (-10.8 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
CLEVELAND is 17-7 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 19-4 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 128-99 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 26-41 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 14-24 (-11.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-3 (+1.6 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

JEFF NIEMANN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

DAVID HUFF vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
HUFF is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 17.17 and a WHIP of 2.997.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

BOSTON (27 - 20) at MINNESOTA (24 - 24)
JOSH BECKETT (R) vs. ANTHONY SWARZAK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 6-18 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 10-23 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 74-40 (+25.5 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 74-43 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 36-14 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 72-38 (+25.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 38-19 (+17.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BECKETT is 2-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.74 and a WHIP of 1.368.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

ANTHONY SWARZAK vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

DETROIT (26 - 19) at BALTIMORE (21 - 26)
ARMANDO GALARRAGA (R) vs. DAVID HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 100-107 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 87-136 (-39.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 62-70 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 64-80 (-29.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 72-74 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-13 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 480-521 (-107.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 67-124 (-40.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 480-521 (-107.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ARMANDO GALARRAGA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
GALARRAGA is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.199.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

DAVID HERNANDEZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

 
Posted : May 28, 2009 8:59 am
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Tips and Trends

Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins

Red Sox (-115, O/U 9): In his best start of the season, Josh Beckett (4-2, 5.01 ERA) surrendered an unearned run and five hits in eight innings of a 3-2 loss to the Mets on Saturday. He walked just one in that contest, but he has issued 24 bases on balls in 55 2-3 innings. Beckett is 2-1 with a 4.74 ERA in three starts against the Twins. This will be his first career appearance at the Metrodome. The Red Sox have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last six games. Slumping slugger David Ortiz has batted sixth in the order the last two games, going 1 for 7 to drop his average to .193.

The Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Under is 6-1-1 in Boston's last 8 games following a loss.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 3 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Twins: The Twins have won six of seven, averaging 8.1 runs during that span. Anthony Swarzak (1-0, 0.00) will make his second major league start. The right-hander won his debut, giving up five hits in seven scoreless innings of a 6-2 victory over Milwaukee on Saturday. "He came up here and showed he belongs," catcher Joe Mauer said of Minnesota's second-round draft pick in 2004. In his first full season as a starter, leadoff hitter Denard Span is batting .316 with 22 RBIs and 11 stolen bases. He's hitting .483 (14 for 29) in his last eight games.

The Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
The Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Key Injuries - 3B Joe Crede (hand) is QUESTIONABLE.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

 
Posted : May 28, 2009 9:27 am
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