Hot Pitchers
-- Vazquez is 2-2, 3.35 in his last six starts, but Braves scored total of only four runs in his last three outings. Pirates are 5-2 in Maholm's road starts this season.
-- Dempster is 1-0, 2.07 in his last two starts.
-- Brewers won last three Gallardo starts (2-0, 0.84). Cook is 2-2, 3.10 in his last four starts.
-- Lannan has 2.57 RA in his last two starts, but Nationals are 1-10 if they give him less than seven runs.
-- Moyer is 1-0, 2.07 in his last two starts, but allowed 12 runs in eight IP in two starts against the Mets this year.
-- Jackson is 5-1, 1.79 in his last six starts. Floyd is 2-1, 2.12 in his last four starts.
-- Blackburn is 3-0, 1.67 in his last four starts. Cahill has 3.25 RA in his last four starts.
-- Sowers is 0-4, 7.20 in four starts this season.
-- Santana has 1.17 RA in two road starts. Price is 1-0, 3.68 in his three starts, but hasn't finished sixth inning in any of them.
-- Sabathia is 4-0, 2.68 in his last six starts.
-- Millwood is 1-0, 2.89 in his last three starts.
Cold Pitchers
-- Miller is 1-1, 5.63 in his last three starts. Wellemeyer is 0-2, 7.43 in his last two starts.
-- Ortiz has 5.82 RA in his four starts this season.
-- Owings is 0-3, 6.86 in his last four starts.
-- Sanchez is 0-5, 7.77 in his five road starts this season. Scherzer is 0-2, 4.66 in two '09 starts against the Giants.
-- Redding is 0-2, 8.59 in his last three starts.
-- Greinke is 0-1, 8.25 in his last two starts, allowing 11 runs, after he had allowed total of eight runs in his first ten starts.
-- Orioles lost six of last seven Uehara starts. Mariners are 0-3 if Olson starts (0-1, 5.19).
-- Romero is 1-2, 7.16 in his last three starts.
-- Penny is 0-2, 6.17 in his last couple starts.
Hot Teams
-- Braves won seven of their last eleven home games.
-- Marlins won seven of their last eleven home games.
-- Phillies won nine of their last twelve games. Mets won 12 of their last 16 home games.
-- Cubs won four of their last six games. Astros won seven of their last ten games.
-- Rockies won their last seven games, scoring 50 runs.
-- Giants are 11-4 in their last fifteen games.
-- Angels are 9-6 in their last fifteen road games. .
-- Red Sox won seven of their last nine games.
-- Blue Jays won four of their last five games.
-- Tigers won five of their last six games.
-- A's won seven of their last nine games, but lost last two.
Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost 11 of their last 13 games. Reds lost eight of their last eleven road games.
-- Cardinals lost five of their last six games.
-- Pirates lost four of their last six games.
-- Brewers lost their last three games, 8-7/3-2/4-2.
-- Arizona is 5-12 in its last seventeen home games.
-- Rays lost three of their last four games.
-- Bronx is 0-7 against the Red Sox this season.
-- Rangers lost their last three home games.
-- Orioles lost six of their last seven games, scoring total of twelve runs. Mariners lost 14 of their last 20 road games.
-- Royals lost ten of their last twelve games. Indians are 10-12 in their last 22 home games.
-- White Sox lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Minnesota lost 13 of its last 18 road games, but won last two.
Totals
-- Eight of last ten Cincinnati games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Florida home games.
-- Three of last four games at Citi Field went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven games at Turner Field.
-- Eleven of last fourteen Cub road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-3 in Milwaukee's last twelve home games.
-- Over is 10-3 in Arizona's last thirteen home games.
-- Seven of last eight games at Tropicana Field stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine games at Camden Yards stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Nine of last twelve games at Fenway Park stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Texas home games.
-- Eight of of last eleven Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Eleven of last fifteen Minnesota games stayed under the total.
ST. LOUIS vs. FLORIDA
St. Louis is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of St. Louis's last 16 games when playing Florida
Florida is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 9 games when playing at home against St. Louis
PITTSBURGH vs. ATLANTA
Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home
CHI CUBS vs. HOUSTON
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Houston is 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games when playing Chi Cubs
COLORADO vs. MILWAUKEE
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Colorado
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
DETROIT vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Detroit is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 11 games
MINNESOTA vs. OAKLAND
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
CINCINNATI vs. WASHINGTON
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Washington is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
KANSAS CITY vs. CLEVELAND
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
SEATTLE vs. BALTIMORE
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
LA ANGELS vs. TAMPA BAY
LA Angels are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels
NY YANKEES vs. BOSTON
NY Yankees are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 9 games when playing Boston
Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY METS
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets
Philadelphia is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games on the road
NY Mets are 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
TORONTO vs. TEXAS
Toronto is 4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Toronto is 2-9-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Texas is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Texas is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games
Thursday's MLB Trends
Did you see Colorado’s recent six-game winning streak coming? How about the Cardinals recent implosion? Or what about Seattle’s 20-6 ‘under’ record in the last 26 (including five straight ‘under’ plays in the last six games)?
Whether you caught one or all of those trends or missed the boat entirely, don’t worry because Thursday is chock full of action to capitalize on. Focusing on the afternoon hours, eight games will challenge our wallets. Are you prepared to take this card to the bank?
Pittsburgh at Atlanta – 1:00 p.m. EDT
Having taken three in a row as $2.07, $1.36 and $1.13 favorites (in descending order) against the Pirates (26-32, -162), the Braves (29-28, -300) will shift focus to improving on their 7-3 record in the last 10 home games. Atlanta is packing the second best BA at .296 during the daytime and a middle of the pack, 103 runs scored has actually stimulated a 4-1 ‘over’ record when the total has been placed at eight runs during the daytime. Even when a 10-run total has been set, the ‘over’ is cashing at a 4-2 clip (again, at home during the day).
Atlanta is planning to start Javier Vazquez (4-5, 3.54). The Braves are 0-3 in his last three starts, losing backers a total of minus-4.34 units on the money line. But giving up 2.3 runs per game isn’t all that poor. A 2-4 ‘under’ record in his last six starts has been a result.
Pittsburgh is just 9-12 during the day. A 4.23 ERA and .271 BAA followed by the hitting department making contact for a .262 BA while scoring 93 runs helps explain daytime problems in the standings. Lefty, Paul Maholm (4-2, 3.94) is 10-12 lifetime with a 5.01 ERA in 37 starts during day games. But a .298 BAA and a .806 on base percentage allowed are numbers to watch out for (all daytime figures).
The Braves are tagging southpaws for a .276 BA and 91 RBIs is fifth best in the Majors.
Pittsburgh is 9-28 in its last 37 meetings in Atlanta.
Colorado at Milwaukee – 2:05 p.m. EDT
We begin the preview by stating Milwaukee’s (33-25, +868) league leading, 2.84 ERA during day games. Ok, with the obvious number in the open, the Brewers have been less then impressive. A 7-10 record in the last 17 coupled with being listed as the underdog six times in the last eight games has placed a “buyers beware” tag on this franchise. At least starting pitcher, Yovani Gallardo (6-2, 2.84 ERA) could end up making or braking Thursday’s bets. Gallardo is an outstanding 2-0 in four starts during the day. And how can you beat a 0.33 ERA and a.162 BAA during these day time shifts?
The Rockies (26-32, -485) are six games deep in a winning streak thanks to sweeping St. Louis in a four-game series (now six straight victories versus the Cards in the last six meetings). Colorado will entrust Aaron Cook (4-3, 4.50) for the 27th win of the season. His 2-3 record while surrendering 6.4 runs per game (including runs surrendered by relief pitchers) adds to the volatility in backing the team but it’s not like the Rockies haven’t been faced with adversity before.
The ‘over’ is 9-2-1 in Cook’s last 12 starts and 3-1 in the last four head-to-head meetings. The Rockies have reign dominance in this matchup, tendering an 8-3 performance in the last 11mettings. However, the Brewers have countered at home in head-to-head meetings by going 10-4.
Minnesota at Oakland – 3:35 p.m. EDT
The first problem surrounding the Twins (29-31, -303), a 7-22 record playing on natural grass. That means that Minnesota’s 21-12 home record and 8-19 away performance are stark contrasts to how this team plays at home versus on the road. Starting slinger Nick Blackburn is 2-1 with a 2.21 ERA on the road this season. Even more inspiring is his personal 3-0 record in his last four starts and the Twins’ three wins and one loss during the same stretch. The ‘under’ is also 3-0 in Blackburn’s last three starts and 6-2-1 in the last nine. Not hard to picture when Blackburn is responsible for allowing just 1.9 earned runs per game in the same nine starts.
Beginning with three straight wins as $1.22, $1.25 and $1.56 visiting underdogs against the White Sox, Oakland (26-31, -267) was able to string out four more victories for a total of seven in a row. A loss against Minnesota on Tuesday (10-5) ended the run. Now the Twinkies will be looking to Trevor Cahill (3-5, 4.21) to get them back on track. The problem here is that Cahill is 1-3 with a 4.23 ERA during day games. Getting 4.5 runs of support per start overall equates to a run difference of plus-1.7 on the season. So although the offense hasn’t been blistering in his starts, Cahill is getting almost a two run cushion to work with.
Take into account that without home field advantage in its favor, Minnesota and its opponents have excelled at hitting the ‘over’, currently standing at 18-7-2 this year. But coming off a road win, the Twins are 5-0 on the ‘under’ in the following road game. So pay attention to Wednesday’s results which will be posted ASAP.
Extra Innings
-- San Francisco (30-27, +281) looks to stretch out a 5-2 record in the last seven when it encounters Arizona (25-34, -1076). The Giants have opened the books as $1.30 visiting underdogs. A run total of nine has been set in the early hours on the board.
-- Arizona is 7-3 on the ‘over’ during the day and at home when the total has been posted at nine runs. The club is averaging a total of 10 ½-runs during day games at home (runs produced combined with runs alloweed). What this says is the pitching staff has logged in a 4.25 ERA during the day this season.
-- Max Scherzer (2-4, 4.10) takes the ball on Thursday. His 2-2 record in the last seven starts is far from effective although the Diamondbacks are 4-2 in his last six starts. And a 1-2 record followed by a 7.46 ERA at home could be partial importance for the fade alert to be signaled.
-- The talk of the town could be the Giants’ 5-2 stranglehold on ‘Zona this season, but Thursday’s starter must be addressed. Jonathan Sanchez (2-5, 5.19) giving up 3.6 runs per game isn’t the strongest of stats and a 1.65 WHIP despite both righties and lefties hitting for a .248 BA could justify the +130 price on San Fran (bet $100 to make $130). But the D-backs are struggling hardcore against southpaws with a .230 BA and a .323 OBP.
-- The ‘under’ is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings in Arizona. The Diamondbacks are just 3-8 in their last 11 home games. But don’t be so surprised. Arizona has 12-20 overall home record can be partially attributed to owning the worst home cooking ERA at 5.49. Another damaging stat for the fade play include the D-backs going 1-10 when coming off a home win in their next home stand.
ST LOUIS (32 - 28) at FLORIDA (29 - 32)
TODD WELLEMEYER (R) vs. ANDREW MILLER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 60-49 (+17.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 55-52 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 113-109 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 69-52 (+24.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 112-107 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 7-14 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-1 (-0.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)
TODD WELLEMEYER vs. FLORIDA since 1997
WELLEMEYER is 2-0 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 1.72 and a WHIP of 0.830.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)
ANDREW MILLER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MILLER is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
PITTSBURGH (27 - 32) at ATLANTA (29 - 29)
PAUL MAHOLM (L) vs. JAVIER VAZQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 54-113 (-39.6 Units) against the money line in road games in June games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 37-84 (-34.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
ATLANTA is 53-63 (-17.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 43-52 (-21.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 101-119 (-29.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-19 (-9.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 83-82 (-39.7 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
ATLANTA is 100-117 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-3 (+0.9 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.0 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)
PAUL MAHOLM vs. ATLANTA since 1997
MAHOLM is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.150.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.0 units)
JAVIER VAZQUEZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
VAZQUEZ is 6-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.220.
His team's record is 9-5 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-5. (+3.3 units)
CHICAGO CUBS (29 - 27) at HOUSTON (26 - 31)
RYAN DEMPSTER (R) vs. RUSS ORTIZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 929-952 (-167.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 488-462 (-100.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 986-1036 (-189.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 290-333 (-92.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 148-206 (-61.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
HOUSTON is 110-105 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 60-50 (+13.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 112-106 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DEMPSTER is 107-101 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 39-27 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 59-49 (+17.6 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 6-3 (+1.6 Units) against HOUSTON this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)
RYAN DEMPSTER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
DEMPSTER is 4-9 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.05 and a WHIP of 1.521.
His team's record is 4-12 (-8.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-4. (+6.8 units)
RUSS ORTIZ vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
ORTIZ is 4-6 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.51 and a WHIP of 1.699.
His team's record is 5-7 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-7. (-2.4 units)
COLORADO (27 - 32) at MILWAUKEE (33 - 26)
AARON COOK (R) vs. YOVANI GALLARDO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 27-42 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 100-121 (-27.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 66-89 (-23.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 100-121 (-27.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 33-23 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 22-14 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 11-5 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-0 (+2.5 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)
AARON COOK vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
COOK is 3-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.477.
His team's record is 4-3 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.5 units)
YOVANI GALLARDO vs. COLORADO since 1997
GALLARDO is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 37.08 and a WHIP of 5.618.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)
SAN FRANCISCO (31 - 27) at ARIZONA (25 - 35)
JONATHAN SANCHEZ (L) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 78-78 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 5-12 (-9.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 31-49 (-22.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 25-35 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 12-21 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 11-20 (-11.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 25-35 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SCHERZER is 5-13 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 5-13 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-2 (+4.4 Units) against ARIZONA this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)
JONATHAN SANCHEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 2-5 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.88 and a WHIP of 1.794.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+2.9 units)
MAX SCHERZER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
SCHERZER is 0-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.65 and a WHIP of 1.448.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
CINCINNATI (31 - 27) at WASHINGTON (15 - 42)
MICAH OWINGS (R) vs. JOHN LANNAN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 56-44 (+18.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 98-97 (+31.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 405-483 (+33.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 228-243 (+41.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 16-9 (+8.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CINCINNATI is 466-536 (+49.6 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 15-42 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 11-30 (-18.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 11-29 (-16.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
WASHINGTON is 21-44 (-19.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-27 (-18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 15-42 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 9-22 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LANNAN is 12-31 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LANNAN is 12-30 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)
MICAH OWINGS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
OWINGS is 1-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.029.
His team's record is 1-3 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)
JOHN LANNAN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LANNAN is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.285.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)
PHILADELPHIA (34 - 23) at NY METS (31 - 26)
JAMIE MOYER (L) vs. TIM REDDING (R)
Top Trends for this game.
REDDING is 21-16 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 14-7 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 21-16 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 22-9 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-6 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-5 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-7 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-6 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 137-96 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 (+7.8 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-9 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-17 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MOYER is 239-166 (+41.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 11-2 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 52-42 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 43-51 (-23.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 41-46 (-34.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 46-45 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 4-2 (+2.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)
JAMIE MOYER vs. NY METS since 1997
MOYER is 5-4 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.98 and a WHIP of 1.317.
His team's record is 9-6 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-5. (+4.3 units)
TIM REDDING vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
REDDING is 5-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.173.
His team's record is 6-5 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-5.5 units)
DETROIT (33 - 26) at CHI WHITE SOX (27 - 33)
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. GAVIN FLOYD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 41-55 (-24.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 67-87 (-34.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 107-114 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 110-86 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 12-3 (+9.8 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 37-17 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FLOYD is 18-6 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLOYD is 13-3 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLOYD is 18-6 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLOYD is 14-6 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 16-5 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
DETROIT is 32-20 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-3 (+1.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)
EDWIN JACKSON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
JACKSON is 1-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.45 and a WHIP of 1.970.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)
GAVIN FLOYD vs. DETROIT since 1997
FLOYD is 5-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.483.
His team's record is 9-1 (+9.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.3 units)
MINNESOTA (30 - 31) at OAKLAND (26 - 32)
NICK BLACKBURN (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 20-39 (-17.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 195-137 (+56.4 Units) against the money line in June games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)
NICK BLACKBURN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
BLACKBURN is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.170.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
TREVOR CAHILL vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.
KANSAS CITY (25 - 33) at CLEVELAND (26 - 35)
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. JEREMY SOWERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 20-4 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 24-23 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 45-37 (+19.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 51-47 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 52-43 (+19.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 33-31 (+17.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
GREINKE is 17-5 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 13-4 (+10.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 82-82 (-36.9 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-5 (+0.4 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)
ZACK GREINKE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
GREINKE is 4-7 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.403.
His team's record is 6-9 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-4. (+6.4 units)
JEREMY SOWERS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SOWERS is 2-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.381.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)
LA ANGELS (29 - 28) at TAMPA BAY (30 - 31)
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 84-47 (+24.7 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 99-62 (+30.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 45-19 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 135-104 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 79-39 (+28.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 80-42 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 58-33 (+23.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 34-20 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 130-93 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 57-31 (+21.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 66-48 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 16-5 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 49-35 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 23-13 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)
ERVIN SANTANA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SANTANA is 3-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.51 and a WHIP of 1.449.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.7 units)
DAVID PRICE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.
SEATTLE (29 - 30) at BALTIMORE (25 - 34)
GARRETT OLSON (L) vs. KOJI UEHARA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 82-120 (-37.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 57-91 (-33.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 59-92 (-32.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 90-131 (-38.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 39-71 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 10-32 (-20.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 76-80 (+7.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 483-524 (-107.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 228-286 (-87.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 5-11 (-12.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 483-524 (-107.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)
GARRETT OLSON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.
KOJI UEHARA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.
NY YANKEES (34 - 25) at BOSTON (35 - 24)
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. BRAD PENNY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 124-71 (+30.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 55-25 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 78-36 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 29-10 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 15-3 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
PENNY is 49-23 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-0 (+7.1 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)
C.C. SABATHIA vs. BOSTON since 1997
SABATHIA is 2-6 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.415.
His team's record is 2-7 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-2. (+3.8 units)
BRAD PENNY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PENNY is 3-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.673.
His team's record is 3-0 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)
TORONTO (34 - 27) at TEXAS (33 - 25)
RICKY ROMERO (L) vs. KEVIN MILLWOOD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 36-70 (-33.3 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
TEXAS is 32-23 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 81-74 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 59-49 (+16.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 33-25 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 57-36 (+20.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 90-71 (+13.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 (+2.4 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)
RICKY ROMERO vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.
KEVIN MILLWOOD vs. TORONTO since 1997
MILLWOOD is 1-4 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 6.25 and a WHIP of 1.567.
His team's record is 3-5 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.6 units)
National League
ST LOUIS at FLORIDA
WELLEMEYER: STL 19-6 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5
MILLER: FLA 7-14 at home against right-handed starters
PITTSBURGH at ATLANTA
MAHOLM: PIT 12-7 against NL East
VAZQUEZ: 15-6 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5
CHICAGO CUBS at HOUSTON
DEMPSTER: 34-15 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175
ORTIZ: 28-13 OVER as an underdog of +125 to +175
COLORADO at MILWAUKEE
COOK: COL 8-1 AWAY after 6+ consecutive wins
GALLARDO: MIL 10-2 UNDER after a loss by 2 runs or less
SAN FRANCISCO at ARIZONA
SANCHEZ: SF 9-2 AWAY after 7+ consecutive road games
SCHERZER: ARI 4-9 as a home favorite of -125 to -175
CINCINNATI at WASHINGTON
OWINGS: 13-4 OVER after 2+ consecutive wins
LANNAN: WAS 9-22 at home
PHILADELPHIA at NY METS
MOYER: PHI 10-2 AWAY with a money line of -100 to -150
REDDING: NYM 16-6 OVER when playing on Thursday
American League
DETROIT at CHI WHITE SOX
JACKSON: DET 16-5 in day games
FLOYD: CHW 13-22 after 1+ consecutive unders
MINNESOTA at OAKLAND
BLACKBURN: MIN 20-39 as a road underdog of +100 to +125
CAHILL: OAK 54-39 after BB home games
KANSAS CITY at CLEVELAND
GREINKE: 17-5 TSR when the total is 8 to 8.5
SOWERS: 6-17 TSR in the first half of the season
LA ANGELS at TAMPA BAY
SANTANA: 16-4 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10
PRICE: TB 63-30 as a home favorite
SEATTLE at BALTIMORE
OLSON: SEA 21-10 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10
UEHARA: BAL 5-11 as a home favorite of -150 to -175
NY YANKEES at BOSTON
SABATHIA: NYY 14-4 OVER off a one run division loss
PENNY: BOS 15-3 at home against division opponents
TORONTO at TEXAS
ROMERO: TOR 36-70 AWAY after 3+ consecutive wins
MILLWOOD: TEX 13-6 after having lost 2 of their last 3
Tips and Trends
Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians
Royals (-$1.30, O/U 8): The Royals have lost 22 of their last 29 games, but have ace Zack Greinke on the hill. Greinke has the lowest ERA in the majors at 1.55. In his last 12 starts, Greinke has yielded 71 hits, 13 walks and struck out 91 in 87 innings. Greinke, however, is off his worst start of the season. He allowed five earned runs in five innings against the Blue Jays on Friday. Even the outs he got were on hard hit balls. He also gave up his first two homers of the season. Greinke talked about making adjustments following that game. He’s been tough on an Indians squad that lacks a true lead-off hitter and is very weak at the bottom of the order. Greinke is 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA in two starts against Cleveland this season. The Royals are 17-7 (70 percent) in Greinke’s last 24 starts as a favorite.
The Over has cashed 15 of the past 21 times when the Royals have been road chalk.
The Under has cashed in 10 of Greinke’s past 13 starts versus Cleveland.
Key Injuries - Alex Gordon (hip) is on the DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 5
Indians: Cleveland has beaten Kansas City in 24 of its last 35 times at home. The Indians will try to do it again behind lefty Jeremy Sowers. In his final minor league option year, Sowers is striving to be consistent to stay up in the big leagues. Since being called up from the minors on May 23, Sowers is 1-1 with a 1.69 ERA in three outings. Sowers is 2-1 with a 3.43 ERA in four career starts versus Kansas City. In his last start on Saturday, Sowers gave up three runs in six innings in a 4-2 road loss to the White Sox. The Indians are 11-3 in their last 14 games as a home underdog in the price range of +$1.10 to $1.50. They’ve won seven of their last 10 games at Progressive Field. However, the Indians are 1-10 in Sowers’ last 11 starts versus AL Central Division foes.
The Over is 9-2 during the past 11 Royals-Indians games in Cleveland.
Key Injuries - Asdrubal Cabrera (shoulder) is on the DL.
Grady Sizemore (elbow) is on the DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 3 (OVER - Total of the Day)