MLB Trends Thursday 7/2

ROCKETMAN SPORTS ( 1-0 )
4* WHITE SOX

ARIZONA vs. CINCINNATI
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona

NY METS vs. PITTSBURGH
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing NY Mets

HOUSTON vs. SAN DIEGO
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
San Diego is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home

SEATTLE vs. NY YANKEES
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games when playing Seattle
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

PHILADELPHIA vs. ATLANTA
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

SAN FRANCISCO vs. ST. LOUIS
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

MILWAUKEE vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Chi Cubs are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home

CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 10 games when playing Kansas City
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

BALTIMORE vs. LA ANGELS
Baltimore is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Baltimore is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 9 games when playing Baltimore

Hot Pitchers
-- Davis has 1.29 RA in his last two starts, but Arizona is 2-9 in his last eleven outings.
-- Correia is 4-1, 2.41 in his last five starts.
-- Happ is 1-0, 1.20 in his last two starts. Vazquez has a 2.11 RA in his last six starts.
-- Maholm is 3-1, 2.18 in his six home starts.
-- Sabathia is 2-0, 2.81 in his last three starts.
-- White Sox won five of Buehrle's six road starts.
-- Guthrie is 2-0, 3.00 in his last couple starts. Lackey is 1-1, 3.27 in his last three starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Harang is 0-4, 5.90 in his last six starts.
-- Rodriguez is 1-3, 8.24 in his last four road starts.
-- Wellemeyer is 1-3, 7.18 in his last six starts. Zito has a 6.86 RA in his last seven starts.
-- Dempster is 0-2, 4.11 in his last five starts. McClung allowed three runs in four IP in his first '09 start, against the Giants.
-- Redding is 1-1, 5.84 in his last four starts.
-- Vargas is 1-2, 4.27 in his last four starts.
-- Chen lost 6-2 in Pittsburgh Saturday (four runs in six IP) in his first major league start in three years.

Hot Teams
-- Pirates won seven of their last ten home games..
-- Marlins won their last seven home games.
-- Giants won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Brewers won four of their last five games.
-- Astros won four of their last six road games.
-- Rockies won 21 of their last 25 games.
-- Bronx won its last six games, outscoring foes 45-19. Mariners won four of their last five games.
-- White Sox won eight of their last ten games.
-- Tampa Bay won 15 of its last 19 games.
-- Orioles won five of their last seven home games. Red Sox are 11-4 in their last fifteen road games.
-- Twins are 9-5 in their last fourteen road games.
-- Angels won 13 of their last 17 games.
-- Tigers won eight of their last eleven games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost eight of their last ten road games.
-- Diamondbacks lost eight of their last ten games. Reds lost four of last five home games.
-- Nationals lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Braves lost four of their last six games. Phillies lost 12 of their last 16 games.
-- Mets are 6-14 in their last 20 games, losing the last five.
-- Cardinals are 6-11 in their last seventeen home games.
-- Padres lost eleven of their last seventeen games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last seven games, but are 9-2 against Rockies so far this season. .
-- Indians lost twelve of their last fourteen games.
-- Toronto is 6-12 in its last eighteen home games.
-- Royals lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Rangers are 6-9 in their last fifteen home games.
-- Oakland lost seven of its last nine games.

Totals
-- Under is 10-4-1 in Cubs' last fifteen road games.
-- Under is 8-3 in Cincinnati's last eleven home games.
-- Six of last eight Washington road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Atlanta's last eleven home games.
-- Eleven of last fifteen Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Three of Giants' last four games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Houston road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-4 in Dodgers' last fourteen home games.
-- Under is 15-4-1 in Seattle's last twenty road games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in White Sox' last six games.
-- Four of last five Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eleven Toronto home games went over the total.
-- 13 of last 15 Texas home games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Kansas City home games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen games at Oakland.

ARIZONA (31 - 47) at CINCINNATI (38 - 38)
DOUG DAVIS (L) vs. AARON HARANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 31-47 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 35-42 (-14.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 10-26 (-14.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 50-66 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-29 (-16.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 35-42 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 31-47 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 78-94 (-31.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIS is 15-27 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIS is 15-27 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HARANG is 55-39 (+19.0 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 225-262 (-68.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 80-103 (-31.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-1 (+3.8 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

DOUG DAVIS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
DAVIS is 6-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.277.
His team's record is 10-5 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-9. (-4.2 units)

AARON HARANG vs. ARIZONA since 1997
HARANG is 2-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.66 and a WHIP of 0.939.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-0. (+8.0 units)

HOUSTON (37 - 39) at SAN DIEGO (34 - 43)
WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. KEVIN CORREIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 11-2 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
CORREIA is 22-11 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 22-11 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 23-15 (+14.2 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 123-114 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 57-60 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 36-30 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 119-112 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 91-86 (+13.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 65-56 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 59-42 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 97-141 (-41.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 19-33 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 97-141 (-41.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 51-70 (-22.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-1 (+4.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 2-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.192.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
CORREIA is 0-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.184.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

PHILADELPHIA (39 - 36) at ATLANTA (37 - 40)
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. JAVIER VAZQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-14 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-19 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-11 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-11 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-9 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 53-37 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 37-40 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 16-26 (-17.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 11-16 (-10.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 37-40 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 74-89 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
VAZQUEZ is 110-128 (-35.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
VAZQUEZ is 7-17 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-2 (+4.5 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HAPP is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 0.868.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

JAVIER VAZQUEZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
VAZQUEZ is 11-7 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.45 and a WHIP of 1.277.
His team's record is 13-12 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-14. (-6.8 units)

SAN FRANCISCO (42 - 35) at ST LOUIS (42 - 38)
BARRY ZITO (L) vs. TODD WELLEMEYER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 42-35 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 42-35 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 686-579 (+84.5 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 85-86 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-14 (+6.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-2 (+3.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

BARRY ZITO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ZITO is 0-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.57 and a WHIP of 2.030.
His team's record is 0-4 (-4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

TODD WELLEMEYER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
WELLEMEYER is 2-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.111.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

MILWAUKEE (42 - 36) at CHICAGO CUBS (37 - 38)
SETH MCCLUNG (R) vs. RYAN DEMPSTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DEMPSTER is 64-37 (+28.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 32-15 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 9-1 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 21-10 (+10.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 32-21 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 37-38 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 534-483 (-108.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 37-38 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 734-771 (-131.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 482-510 (-120.2 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
DEMPSTER is 5-11 (-8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 5-11 (-8.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-3 (+0.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

SETH MCCLUNG vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

RYAN DEMPSTER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
DEMPSTER is 9-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.277.
His team's record is 10-5 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-5. (+3.5 units)

SEATTLE (39 - 38) at NY YANKEES (45 - 32)
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 100-139 (-35.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 44-78 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-35 (-21.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 92-128 (-34.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 64-97 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 23-53 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 75-43 (+20.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SABATHIA is 7-17 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

C.C. SABATHIA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SABATHIA is 5-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.311.
His team's record is 7-5 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.8 units)

CHI WHITE SOX (40 - 38) at KANSAS CITY (33 - 44)
MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. BRUCE CHEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 47-40 (+17.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHEN is 31-19 (+13.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 61-43 (+16.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 123-91 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 70-45 (+21.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 61-109 (-35.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 33-60 (-27.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 21-35 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 24-37 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 4-4 (+0.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BUEHRLE is 19-8 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.206.
His team's record is 27-11 (+8.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 19-18. (-0.6 units)

BRUCE CHEN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
CHEN is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.10 and a WHIP of 1.355.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

BALTIMORE (35 - 43) at LA ANGELS (42 - 34)
JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. JOHN LACKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 42-34 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 65-35 (+25.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 40-17 (+17.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 19-7 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 16-6 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 39-28 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 97-71 (+17.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 60-37 (+20.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 84-87 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 93-93 (-56.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
LACKEY is 10-17 (-17.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 2-0 (+2.5 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GUTHRIE is 1-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.74 and a WHIP of 0.522.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LACKEY is 6-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 7-3 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.7 units)

NY METS (38 - 39) at PITTSBURGH (36 - 42)
TIM REDDING (R) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 47-58 (-26.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 65-64 (-14.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MAHOLM is 13-2 (+11.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 22-19 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 15-9 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 22-19 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-3 (+0.5 Units) against NY METS this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.9 Units)

TIM REDDING vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
REDDING is 2-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.596.
His team's record is 8-3 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.8 units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. NY METS since 1997
MAHOLM is 3-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.378.
His team's record is 4-2 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

National League

ARIZONA at CINCINNATI
DAVIS: ARI 11-2 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175
HARANG: CIN 9-24 after allowing 1 run or less

HOUSTON at SAN DIEGO
RODRIGUEZ: HOU 14-5 against NL West
CORREIA: SD 19-33 in July

PHILADELPHIA at ATLANTA
HAPP: PHI 9-4 as an underdog of +125 to +175
VAZQUEZ: 4-9 TSR as a favorite

SAN FRANCISCO at ST LOUIS
ZITO: 0-10 TSR against NL Central
WELLEMEYER: STL 14-4 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5

MILWAUKEE at CHICAGO CUBS
MCCLUNG: MIL 9-1 AWAY in July
DEMPSTER: 5-11 TSR in all games

American League

SEATTLE at NY YANKEES
VARGAS: SEA 11-35 AWAY when the total is 9 to 9.5
SABATHIA: NYY 52-26 after allowing 2 runs or less

CHI WHITE SOX at KANSAS CITY
BUEHRLE: CHW 14-5 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175
CHEN: KC 6-22 as a home underdog of +125 or more

BALTIMORE at LA ANGELS
GUTHRIE: BAL 10-4 after 3 consecutive division games
LACKEY: 10-17 TSR as a home favorite of -150 to -175

Write-In Game

NY METS at PITTSBURGH
REDDING: 10-4 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10
MAHOLM: PIT 19-8 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

Tips and Trends

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs

Brewers: The Brewers are playing their first road game in 11 days. They have been all or nothing hitting during their past six games, getting shut out twice while averaging seven runs in the other four contests. Ryan Braun and Prince Fielder have combined to drive 131 runs, the most of any teammates in the majors. However, the Brewers haven’t received consistency from the rest of their hitters. They’ll take on the Cubs having won 16 of their last 21 games during the first game of a series. Seth McClung (3-1, 3.55 ERA) starts. McClung allowed three runs on six hits in four innings on Saturday against the Giants in his first start of the season. McClung didn’t factor in the decision, a 7-6 Milwaukee victory. The right-hander has made 10 relief appearances against the Cubs. He is 1-0 with a 2.55 ERA versus them in 17 2/3 innings of work.

The 2 teams are 13-6-2 to the Over in their last 21 head-to-head meetings.

Key injuries - Richie Weeks (wrist) is on the DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Cubs (-$1.45, O/U 9): The Cubs ranked first in the National League in pitching during June with a 3.18 ERA. Still the Cubs went 11-14 during the month, their worst month since August of 2007. The problem for the Cubs is lack of scoring. They’ve scored seven runs in their last four games being shut out twice during this span. That could change once Aramis Ramirez returns to the lineup, which could come Monday. Cubs starter Ryan Dempster (4-5, 4.09 ERA) is off his second-shortest stint of the season. The right-hander gave up five runs on eight hits over five innings in an 8-7 road loss to the White Sox last Saturday. The Cubs are 0-5 in Dempster’s last five outings and 0-6 in his last six starts versus National League Central Division foes. Dempster hasn’t won on the road since April 12, but is 3-1 with a 4.14 ERA at Wrigley Field.

The Under has cashed 17 of the past 25 times the Cubs have faced a right-handed starter.

Key Injuries - Aramis Ramirez (shoulder) is on the DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (Side of the Day)

Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels

Orioles: The Orioles have not fared well versus American League West clubs, especially when facing the Angels. Baltimore has lost 20 of its past 27 meetings with the Angels. The Orioles are 5-16 in their last 21 games when meeting AL West teams. Baltimore is 29-28 when playing at night. The Orioles’ record is so bad because they are a major-league worst 6-15 during day games. The Orioles have lost 10 of the last 14 times Jeremy Guthrie (6-7, 5.11 ERA) has taken the mound. Guthrie, though, hasn’t given up more than three earned runs in any of his last four starts. He beat Washington in his previous outing on Saturday, 6-3, surrendering three earned runs and five hits in five innings. Center fielder Adam Jones expects to play after missing Wednesday’s game because he was shaken up on Tuesday following a collision with the wall.

The Orioles are 14-38 in their last 52 games as a road underdog.
The Over is 7-2 in Guthrie’s last nine road starts versus a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries - Adam Jones (head) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Angels (-$1.60, O/U 9.5 under -$1.15): Closer Brian Fuentes has been good, but the Angels have the worst bullpen in the majors with an ERA of 5.41. That means right-hander John Lackey (2-3, 5.06 ERA) probably is going to need to pitch well against an Orioles lineup laced with dangerous left-handers. The Angels have been favored in each of Lackey’s last five home starts – and have lost each time. Los Angeles is 5-11 in Lackey’s past 16 overall starts. Lackey, however, is off his best start of the season. The 31-year-old held Arizona to no runs on five hits in seven innings pitching on the road last Saturday. Lackey struck out nine and walked three, but didn’t factor in the decision. Lackey looked strong late in the game punching out six of the last seven batters he faced. Lackey is 6-3 with a 3.46 ERA in 10 career meetings against the Orioles.

The Over is 10-3-1 the past 14 times the Angels have been favored.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (OVER - Total of the Day)