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MLB Trends Thursday 9/2

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Hot pitchers
-- Hudson is 6-0, 1.43 in his last eight starts.
-- Chacin is 2-0, 0.61 in his last couple starts. Blanton is 2-0, 1.86 in his last three outings.
-- Braden is 3-1, 1.74 in his last four starts. Sabathia is 5-0, 2.95 in his last five starts.
-- Bergesen is 3-0, 2.70 in his last six starts.
-- Twins won last seven Baker starts (5-0, 3.22). Verlander is 2-1, 2.33 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- JSantana is 0-3, 3.91 in his last three starts.
-- Matsuzaka is 0-1, 5.31 in his last three starts.
-- Fister is 1-4, 5.71 in his last six starts. Tomlin is 1-3, 5.87 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Ten of Phillies' last eleven games stayed under the total.
-- 12 of last 16 Oakland road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Baltimore games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Verlander starts.
-- Under is 9-2 in Seattle's last eleven home games.

Hot Teams
-- Braves are 15-3 in their last 18 home games.
-- Phillies won 11 of their last 14 road games. Colorado won seven of its last ten games.
-- Bronx won eight of its last nine home games.
-- Orioles won five of their last seven games.
-- Minnesota won 12 of its last 15 home games.

Cold Teams
-- Mets are 8-18 on the road since the All-Star break.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last nine road games.
-- Oakland is 5-11 in last 16 road games, 1-11 in last 12 games in Bronx.
-- Tigers lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last eleven games. Indians are 3-9 in their last twelve games.

 
Posted : September 2, 2010 7:46 am
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OAKLAND vs. NY YANKEES
Oakland is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
NY Yankees are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against Oakland
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Oakland

BOSTON vs. BALTIMORE
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Boston

NY METS vs. ATLANTA
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
NY Mets are 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
Minnesota is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Detroit

CLEVELAND vs. SEATTLE
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

 
Posted : September 2, 2010 7:47 am
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NY METS (65 - 68) at ATLANTA (78 - 55)

JOHAN SANTANA (L) vs. TIM HUDSON (R)

Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 7-23 (-13.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 25-43 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
NY METS are 51-76 (-26.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 26-44 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 20-35 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 79-56 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 50-19 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 79-56 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HUDSON is 122-52 (+37.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 205-118 (+43.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
HUDSON is 113-50 (+29.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
NY METS are 37-29 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
NY METS are 20-15 (+11.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 8-6 (+0.5 Units) against NY METS this season
11 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.6 Units)

JOHAN SANTANA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
SANTANA is 2-6 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.31 and a WHIP of 1.324.
His team's record is 3-8 (-8.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-1. (+9.0 units)

TIM HUDSON vs. NY METS since 1997
HUDSON is 12-5 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.237.
His team's record is 13-5 (+7.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-11. (-5.0 units)

OAKLAND (65 - 67) at NY YANKEES (83 - 50)

DALLAS BRADEN (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)

Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 30-29 (+26.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 30-13 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
OAKLAND is 64-62 (+3.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BRADEN is 9-2 (+10.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 8-1 (+6.3 Units) against OAKLAND this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)

DALLAS BRADEN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BRADEN is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.94 and a WHIP of 1.971.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SABATHIA is 6-8 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.36 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 9-11 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-9. (-0.2 units)

BOSTON (75 - 58) at BALTIMORE (49 - 84)

DAISUKE MATSUZAKA (R) vs. BRADLEY BERGESEN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 33-34 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BOSTON is 32-43 (-17.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 61-40 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MATSUZAKA is 43-20 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MATSUZAKA is 31-13 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MATSUZAKA is 11-2 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 255-325 (-96.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 25-58 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 130-204 (-61.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 11-41 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 12-38 (-20.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 7-7 (+3.4 Units) against BOSTON this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.4 Units)

DAISUKE MATSUZAKA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MATSUZAKA is 3-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.64 and a WHIP of 1.745.
His team's record is 4-3 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.4 units)

BRADLEY BERGESEN vs. BOSTON since 1997
BERGESEN is 1-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.050.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

DETROIT (65 - 68) at MINNESOTA (77 - 56)

JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. SCOTT BAKER (R)

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 226-234 (-37.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 101-159 (-46.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 23-43 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 91-108 (-39.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 21-37 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 45-51 (-9.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 77-56 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 39-19 (+17.4 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 144-84 (+30.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-18 (+9.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 73-51 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 52-36 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 109-81 (+14.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 38-18 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-23 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 9-5 (+3.1 Units) against DETROIT this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
VERLANDER is 6-7 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.391.
His team's record is 7-9 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-9. (-4.5 units)

SCOTT BAKER vs. DETROIT since 1997
BAKER is 6-4 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.55 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 10-9 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-6. (+6.7 units)

CLEVELAND (53 - 80) at SEATTLE (52 - 81)

JOSH TOMLIN (R) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 119-178 (-40.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 7-22 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 109-161 (-37.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 78-115 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 85-130 (-37.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 58-41 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 27-54 (-25.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SEATTLE is 19-27 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SEATTLE is 267-248 (-72.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
SEATTLE is 53-80 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 52-78 (-26.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JOSH TOMLIN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

DOUG FISTER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
FISTER is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.106.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

PHILADELPHIA (75 - 58) at COLORADO (69 - 63)

JOE BLANTON (R) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 42-31 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLORADO is 44-22 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 50-35 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-7 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-15 (+10.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 88-68 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 85-65 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BLANTON is 57-43 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BLANTON is 21-7 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 70-64 (-6.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 70-64 (-6.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 42-47 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-1 (+3.6 Units) against COLORADO this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

JOE BLANTON vs. COLORADO since 1997
BLANTON is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

 
Posted : September 2, 2010 11:25 am
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NY METS at ATLANTA,
SANTANA: NY METS 2-16 as a road underdog of +150 or more
HUDSON: ATLANTA 50-19 at home

OAKLAND at NY YANKEES
BRADEN: 9-2 off 3 or more consecutive losses
SABATHIA: NY YANKEES 12-15 off a win by 2 runs or less

BOSTON at BALTIMORE
MATSUZAKA: 11-2 TSR in road games off a win
BERGESEN: BALTIMORE 11-41 in September games

DETROIT at MINNESOTA
VERLANDER: DETROIT 2-11 on the road after allowing 2 runs or less
BAKER: 22-7 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150

CLEVELAND at SEATTLE
TOMLIN: CLEVELAND 1-12 off a game where their bullpen blew a save
FISTER: SEATTLE 51-36 at home off an under

Added Game

PHILADELPHIA at COLORADO
BLANTON: PHILADELPHIA 17-4 UNDER off 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more
CHACIN: COLORADO 10-2 UNDER off a loss to a division rival as a favorite

 
Posted : September 2, 2010 11:26 am
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