MLB Trends Thursday, April 13th, 2017

NY METS (6 - 3) at MIAMI (4 - 4) - 7:10 PM

ROBERT GSELLMAN (R) vs. WEI-YIN CHEN (L)

Top Trends for this game.
CHEN is 85-58 (+24.7 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 47-26 (+17.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 34-13 (+17.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 17-8 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 21-10 (+12.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 107-85 (+36.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
MIAMI is 15-23 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

ROBERT GSELLMAN vs. MIAMI since 1997
GSELLMAN is 0-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

WEI-YIN CHEN vs. NY METS since 1997
CHEN is 2-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 0.923.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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LA DODGERS (5 - 4) at CHICAGO CUBS (5 - 3) - 2:20 PM

HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. BRETT ANDERSON (L)

Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 195-154 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 43-49 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 23-30 (-15.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 52-47 (-10.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1604-1689 (-253.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 857-788 (-150.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 827-844 (-150.0 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
ANDERSON is 53-65 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ANDERSON is 8-19 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in April games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ANDERSON is 23-35 (-19.2 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
RYU is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.703.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

BRETT ANDERSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

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MILWAUKEE (4 - 5) at CINCINNATI (7 - 2) - 7:10 PM

JIMMY NELSON (R) vs. BRONSON ARROYO (R)

Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 94-148 (-41.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 387-415 (-96.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 384-356 (-88.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JIMMY NELSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
NELSON is 3-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.461.
His team's record is 5-4 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-6. (-4.9 units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ARROYO is 16-9 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.214.
His team's record is 20-11 (+8.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-14. (-1.7 units)

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COLORADO (6 - 4) at SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 6) - 10:15 PM

JON GRAY (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)

Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 639-993 (-184.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
COLORADO is 426-679 (-136.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
COLORADO is 31-38 (-17.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
GRAY is 5-12 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 552-372 (+76.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 781-779 (+39.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
COLORADO is 17-10 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 58-60 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 61-59 (-21.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JON GRAY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
GRAY is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.1 units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. COLORADO since 1997
BUMGARNER is 12-6 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.236.
His team's record is 16-9 (+4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-11. (+0.5 units)

CHI WHITE SOX (3 - 4) at CLEVELAND (4 - 4) - 6:10 PM

MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R) vs. JOSH TOMLIN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 67-92 (-30.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 77-46 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TOMLIN is 22-12 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 13-3 (+9.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 18-6 (+12.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 14-2 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 396-396 (+37.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 16-25 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 1-1 (+1.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
GONZALEZ is 4-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.384.
His team's record is 4-1 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.1 units)

JOSH TOMLIN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
TOMLIN is 4-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.012.
His team's record is 6-3 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.7 units)

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MINNESOTA (5 - 3) at DETROIT (6 - 2) - 1:10 PM

PHIL HUGHES (R) vs. JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 64-106 (-28.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 29-55 (-18.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 40-80 (-34.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 34-71 (-30.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HUGHES is 13-26 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in April games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 92-77 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 55-36 (+18.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 50-40 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

PHIL HUGHES vs. DETROIT since 1997
HUGHES is 7-10 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.52 and a WHIP of 1.259.
His team's record is 7-12 (-5.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-9. (-3.3 units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 3-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

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TEXAS (3 - 5) at LA ANGELS (6 - 3) - 3:35 PM

YU DARVISH (R) vs. RICKY NOLASCO (R)

Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 316-241 (+45.8 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
TEXAS is 98-75 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 65-51 (+23.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 90-78 (+37.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 40-33 (+17.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 50-31 (+20.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 75-54 (+20.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 57-40 (+16.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 40-28 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

YU DARVISH vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
DARVISH is 7-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 10-3 (+7.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-3. (+6.0 units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. TEXAS since 1997
NOLASCO is 1-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

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TAMPA BAY (5 - 4) at NY YANKEES (4 - 4) - 7:05 PM

MATT ANDRIESE (R) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R)

Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 73-98 (-29.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 44-65 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 54-70 (-20.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 38-59 (-22.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 26-14 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

MATT ANDRIESE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
ANDRIESE is 1-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 7.43 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SEVERINO is 2-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.17 and a WHIP of 1.659.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

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BALTIMORE (5 - 2) at TORONTO (1 - 7) - 7:05 PM

KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L)

Top Trends for this game.
GAUSMAN is 8-19 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 3-12 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 94-76 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-7 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 1-7 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
TORONTO is 56-54 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 0-7 (-9.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. TORONTO since 1997
GAUSMAN is 2-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.43 and a WHIP of 1.433.
His team's record is 4-4 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.6 units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LIRIANO is 2-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.553.
His team's record is 2-7 (-8.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.7 units)

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OAKLAND (5 - 4) at KANSAS CITY (2 - 6) - 8:15 PM

JESSE HAHN (R) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)

Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 142-191 (-42.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 32-59 (-28.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 189-159 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 105-67 (+26.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 132-108 (+19.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
VARGAS is 10-2 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

JESSE HAHN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
HAHN is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.236.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

JASON VARGAS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
VARGAS is 6-7 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.031.
His team's record is 9-9 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-9. (-2.6 units)

PITTSBURGH (3 - 5) at BOSTON (4 - 4) - 2:05 PM

CHAD KUHL (R) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L)

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 37-50 (-19.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 654-591 (-82.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 16-19 (-11.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
RODRIGUEZ is 1-8 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

CHAD KUHL vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Detroit is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Minnesota

PITTSBURGH vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

LA DODGERS vs. CHI CUBS
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Chi Cubs's last 22 games when playing LA Dodgers

TEXAS vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games
Texas is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 8 games when playing at home against Texas
LA Angels are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Texas

CHI WHITE SOX vs. CLEVELAND
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Chi White Sox are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games
Cleveland is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home
Cleveland is 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
Tampa Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 10 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

BALTIMORE vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Baltimore's last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

NY METS vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 10 games at home
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

OAKLAND vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Kansas City's last 22 games at home

COLORADO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Colorado
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

StatFox Super Situations

PITTSBURGH at BOSTON
Play On - Any team (PITTSBURGH) with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (NL), after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more 124-95 since 1997. ( 56.6% | 55.3 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.6 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

TEXAS at LA ANGELS
TEXAS is 54-34 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: TEXAS (5.0) , OPPONENT (4.3)

NY Mets at Miami, 3:10 PM ET
Gsellman: NY METS are 40-13 SU after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals
Chen: MIAMI is 15-23 SU in home games against division opponents

LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 PM ET
Ryu: LA DODGERS are 7-17 SU in road games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games
Anderson: CHICAGO CUBS are 34-15 SU when the money line is -100 to -150

Milwaukee at Cincinnati, 7:10 PM ET
Nelson: MILWAUKEE is 39-31 SU after a win by 2 runs or less
Arroyo: CINCINNATI is 34-55 SU after allowing 3 runs or less 4 straight games

Colorado at San Francisco, 10:15 PM ET
Gray: COLORADO is 4-22 SU in road games off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite
Bumgarner: SAN FRANCISCO is 16-6 OVER as a home favorite of -150 to -200

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland, 6:10 PM ET
Gonzalez: CHI WHITE SOX are 14-5 SU after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival
Tomlin: CLEVELAND is 21-6 OVER off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite

Minnesota at Detroit, 1:10 PM ET
Hughes: MINNESOTA is 65-47 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10
Zimmermann: DETROIT is 55-36 SU after a win

Texas at LA Angels, 3:35 PM ET
Darvish: TEXAS is 44-27 SU after having won 2 of their last 3
Nolasco: LA ANGELS are 25-12 UNDER as a home underdog of +100 or higher

Tampa Bay at NY Yankees, 7:05 PM ET
Andriese: TAMPA BAY is 29-17 OVER after 2 or more consecutive overs
Severino: NY YANKEES are 23-10 SU in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival

Baltimore at Toronto, 7:05 PM ET
Gausman: BALTIMORE is 23-14 SU off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog
Liriano: TORONTO is 43-19 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive unders

Oakland at Kansas City, 8:15 PM ET
Hahn: OAKLAND is 55-38 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10
Vargas: KANSAS CITY is 61-29 SU at home with a money line of -100 to -150

Pittsburgh at Boston, 2:05 PM ET
Kuhl: PITTSBURGH is 2-9 SU off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher
Rodriguez: BOSTON is 23-7 SU in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more