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MLB Trends Thursday, April 28

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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MILWAUKEE (8 - 12) at CHICAGO CUBS (15 - 5) - 2:20 PM

TAYLOR JUNGMANN (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)

Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 13-29 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 54-83 (-24.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 116-75 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 59-33 (+20.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 116-75 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARRIETA is 31-9 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARRIETA is 31-9 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 800-762 (-162.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 163-200 (-57.9 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 786-820 (-151.0 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1107-1212 (-198.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 713-790 (-183.3 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 736-718 (-150.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

TAYLOR JUNGMANN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
JUNGMANN is 0-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 2.038.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ARRIETA is 4-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 0.872.
His team's record is 5-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.6 units)

PITTSBURGH (13 - 9) at COLORADO (9 - 12) - 3:10 PM

JUAN NICASIO (R) vs. TYLER CHATWOOD (R)

Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 34-28 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 111-74 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 111-74 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 88-57 (+21.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 70-39 (+23.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHATWOOD is 0-8 (-9.1 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-0 (+3.3 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

JUAN NICASIO vs. COLORADO since 1997
NICASIO is 0-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

TYLER CHATWOOD vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

PHILADELPHIA (11 - 10) at WASHINGTON (14 - 6) - 4:05 PM

AARON NOLA (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R)

Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-43 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 97-85 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 96-84 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 72-67 (-12.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 (+3.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

AARON NOLA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NOLA is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 7.80 and a WHIP of 1.733.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.2 units)

TANNER ROARK vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
ROARK is 1-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 7.18 and a WHIP of 1.443.
His team's record is 1-4 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

ST LOUIS (12 - 9) at ARIZONA (11 - 12) - 9:40 PM

MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. RUBBY DE LA ROSA (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 52-44 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
DE LA ROSA is 13-6 (+9.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 114-73 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 114-73 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 79-48 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 87-52 (+22.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 10-24 (-13.3 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 76-97 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 13-29 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 76-97 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 51-67 (-34.4 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more since 1997.
ARIZONA is 59-106 (-36.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. ARIZONA since 1997
WACHA is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.59 and a WHIP of 1.532.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

RUBBY DE LA ROSA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.636.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MIAMI (9 - 11) at LA DODGERS (12 - 10) - 10:10 PM

JOSE FERNANDEZ (R) vs. KENTA MAEDA (R)

Top Trends for this game.
FERNANDEZ is 32-17 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 106-83 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 106-83 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 77-64 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-0 (+5.1 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

JOSE FERNANDEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
FERNANDEZ is 2-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.368.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.3 units)

KENTA MAEDA vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

OAKLAND (11 - 11) at DETROIT (10 - 10) - 1:10 PM

CHRIS BASSITT (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)

Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 79-105 (-28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 76-98 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 42-61 (-19.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 25-13 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 37-53 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 172-161 (-48.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
DETROIT is 87-86 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 208-221 (-56.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
DETROIT is 87-86 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 30-40 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CHRIS BASSITT vs. DETROIT since 1997
BASSITT is 1-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SANCHEZ is 1-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.204.
His team's record is 2-6 (-5.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.0 units)

CHI WHITE SOX (16 - 6) at BALTIMORE (12 - 8.) - 7:05 PM

JOHN DANKS (L) vs. TYLER WILSON (R)

Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 193-159 (+37.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 56-33 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 41-21 (+15.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 55-32 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 41-23 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 104-85 (+20.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-6 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 10-3 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-6 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 62-52 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 13-4 (+10.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 11-4 (+8.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 13-6 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOHN DANKS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
DANKS is 6-5 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.190.
His team's record is 7-6 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (-0.2 units)

TYLER WILSON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
WILSON is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

ATLANTA (4 - 17) at BOSTON (12 - 9) - 7:10 PM

JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 28-61 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-25 (-18.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 26-58 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 1-15 (-13.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 8-33 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 161-185 (-32.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 66-83 (-25.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 82-92 (-31.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 140-164 (-37.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 59-67 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 71-91 (-24.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 19-31 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 7-15 (-12.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 7-19 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 3-11 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 6-13 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 11-24 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 5-16 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 5-14 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. BOSTON since 1997
CHACIN is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.90 and a WHIP of 1.874.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.900.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

 
Posted : April 28, 2016 9:52 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

OAKLAND vs. DETROIT
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

MILWAUKEE vs. CHI CUBS
Milwaukee is 0-4-1 SU in their last 5 games ,when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 1-6-1 SU in their last 8 games ,when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs6-1-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Chi Cubs15-5-1 SU in their last 21 games

PITTSBURGH vs. COLORADO
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games at home
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games
Washington is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games

CHI WHITE SOX vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Chi White Sox's last 20 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 9 games
Baltimore is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing Chi White Sox

ATLANTA vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 13 games
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games

ST. LOUIS vs. ARIZONA
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis

MIAMI vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Miami is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home

 
Posted : April 28, 2016 9:53 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 PM ET
Milwaukee: 54-83 SU against right-handed starters
Chicago: 59-33 SU against division opponents

Pittsburgh at Colorado, 3:10 PM ET
Pittsburgh: 38-13 SU after a win by 2 runs or less
Colorado: 13-29 SU after allowing 8 runs or more

Philadelphia at Washington, 4:05 PM ET
Philadelphia: 18-14 SU after having won 3 of their last 4
Washington: 22-35 SU after batting .240 or worse over a 15 game span

St Louis at Arizona, 9:40 PM ET
St Louis: 79-48 SU in night games
Arizona: 16-36 SU after 2 or more consecutive overs

Miami at LA Dodgers, 10:10 PM ET
Miami: 19-9 SU after a game without an extra base hit
Los Angeles: 18-22 SU after 3 straight games where they committed no errors

Oakland at Detroit, 1:10 PM ET
Oakland: 39-58 SU when the money line is +125 to -125
Detroit: 24-8 SU after scoring 9 runs or more

Chicago at Baltimore, 7:05 PM ET
Chicago: 9-3 SU on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5
Baltimore: 2-7 SU after 2 or more consecutive road games

Atlanta at Boston, 7:10 PM ET
Atlanta: 27-17 SU with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over last 5 games
Boston: 16-32 SU after 3 straight games without giving up a stolen base

 
Posted : April 28, 2016 9:53 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

StatFox Super Situations

ST LOUIS at ARIZONA
Play Against - Any team (ST LOUIS) with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL) 69-42 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.2% | 34.6 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )

OAKLAND at DETROIT
Play Against - Home teams (DETROIT) with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts 49-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.1% | 26.4 units ) 0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

CHI WHITE SOX at BALTIMORE
CHI WHITE SOX are 9-0 (+9.9 Units) against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. The average score was: CHI WHITE SOX (4.7) , OPPONENT (1.4)

ATLANTA at BOSTON
BOSTON is 12-1 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent over the last 3 seasons. The average score was: BOSTON (4.9) , OPPONENT (3.0)

 
Posted : April 28, 2016 9:54 am
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