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MLB Trends Thursday, May 12

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PHILADELPHIA (19 - 15) at ATLANTA (8 - 24) - 7:10 PM

VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R) vs. AARON BLAIR (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 90-75 (+23.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-15 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-4 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-3 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-15 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 2-16 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 9-25 (-16.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 2-16 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-1 (-0.1 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

VINCENT VELASQUEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

AARON BLAIR vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

SAN DIEGO (15 - 20) at MILWAUKEE (14 - 20) - 8:10 PM

JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. JIMMY NELSON (R)

Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 23-48 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 70-85 (-26.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 40-26 (+28.2 Units) against the money line in road games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
SHIELDS is 12-2 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 8-15 (-12.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 42-56 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 70-91 (-32.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 42-56 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 25-40 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 57-87 (-25.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 23-38 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 40-45 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JAMES SHIELDS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

JIMMY NELSON vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
NELSON is 1-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.54 and a WHIP of 0.943.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

SAN FRANCISCO (18 - 18.) at ARIZONA (17 - 19) - 9:40 PM

JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)

Top Trends for this game.
GREINKE is 112-62 (+36.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
GREINKE is 112-62 (+36.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
GREINKE is 83-43 (+29.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 46-23 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1087-916 (+114.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 575-564 (+55.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
ARIZONA is 77-100 (-31.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 77-100 (-31.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-0 (+5.3 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
CUETO is 6-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 7-2 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.2 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
GREINKE is 8-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.12 and a WHIP of 1.009.
His team's record is 10-1 (+8.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+1.2 units)

NY METS (21 - 12) at LA DODGERS (17 - 17) - 10:10 PM

BARTOLO COLON (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)

Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 104-82 (+36.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
NY METS are 73-45 (+17.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLON is 13-5 (+11.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less since 1997.
COLON is 118-75 (+32.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 111-90 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 54-45 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 108-88 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 79-71 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 80-66 (-14.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

BARTOLO COLON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
COLON is 2-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.323.
His team's record is 2-5 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. NY METS since 1997
KERSHAW is 7-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.58 and a WHIP of 1.013.
His team's record is 9-2 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-5.1 units)

 
Posted : May 12, 2016 9:07 am
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KANSAS CITY (16 - 17) at NY YANKEES (13 - 19) - 7:05 PM

IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. NATHAN EOVALDI (R)

Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 18-4 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
EOVALDI is 21-10 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 122-89 (+25.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 40-30 (+14.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 107-89 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 118-83 (+26.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 158-118 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 85-59 (+21.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 126-97 (+19.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 134-120 (-69.1 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.2 Units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
KENNEDY is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.411.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

NATHAN EOVALDI vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
EOVALDI is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

DETROIT (15 - 18.) at BALTIMORE (20 - 12) - 7:05 PM

MIKE PELFREY (R) vs. UBALDO JIMENEZ (R)

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 81-98 (-25.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 20-12 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 62-37 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 19-10 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 46-25 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 11-2 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 109-88 (+21.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 91-64 (+21.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
JIMENEZ is 14-3 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
JIMENEZ is 14-3 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
JIMENEZ is 11-1 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
JIMENEZ is 13-4 (+9.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MIKE PELFREY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
PELFREY is 2-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.43 and a WHIP of 1.791.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
JIMENEZ is 5-11 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.86 and a WHIP of 1.509.
His team's record is 7-12 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-8. (+1.3 units)

HOUSTON (14 - 21) at BOSTON (21 - 13) - 7:10 PM

DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)

Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 14-21 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 4-11 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 14-25 (-13.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 14-21 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 8-18 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 10-24 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 2-11 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 18-6 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 88-93 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 149-168 (-33.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 519-393 (-60.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. BOSTON since 1997
KEUCHEL is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

DAVID PRICE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
PRICE is 3-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 0.916.
His team's record is 4-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)

 
Posted : May 12, 2016 9:09 am
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Posts: 318493
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ST LOUIS (18 - 16) at LA ANGELS (13 - 20) - 10:05 PM

CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) vs. JERED WEAVER (R)

Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 125-108 (+28.8 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
WEAVER is 103-43 (+36.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
WEAVER is 103-43 (+36.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
WEAVER is 81-37 (+26.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
WEAVER is 53-25 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 120-80 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 120-80 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 83-52 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MARTINEZ is 26-9 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MARTINEZ is 13-3 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MARTINEZ is 26-9 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.2 Units)

CARLOS MARTINEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

JERED WEAVER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
WEAVER is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

 
Posted : May 12, 2016 9:09 am
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Posts: 318493
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DETROIT vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home

KANSAS CITY vs. NY YANKEES
Kansas City is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Kansas City

HOUSTON vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Houston's last 17 games on the road
Houston is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston

PHILADELPHIA vs. ATLANTA
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

SAN DIEGO vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Diego's last 14 games on the road
San Diego is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
San Francisco is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Arizona is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Francisco

ST. LOUIS vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of St. Louis's last 11 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games at home

NY METS vs. LA DODGERS
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
NY Mets are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing NY Mets

 
Posted : May 12, 2016 9:10 am
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Posts: 318493
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Philadelphia at Atlanta, 7:10 PM ET
Philadelphia: 9-4 SU when the total is 7 or less
Atlanta: 2-16 SU in home games in games played on a grass field

San Diego at Milwaukee, 8:10 PM ET
San Diego: 40-26 SU in road games after shutting out their opponent
Milwaukee: 8-22 SU after a game without an extra base hit

San Francisco at Arizona, 9:40 PM ET
San Francisco: 42-28 SU on road after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span
Arizona: 9-27 SU after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games

NY Mets at LA Dodgers, 10:10 PM ET
New York: 16-1 SU after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games
Los Angeles: 5-10 SU at home when the total is 7.5 or less

Kansas City at NY Yankees, 7:05 PM ET
Kansas City: 75-52 SU when the money line is +125 to -125
New York: 23-31 SU after 4 or more consecutive home games

Detroit at Baltimore, 7:05 PM ET
Detroit: 80-97 SU when the total is 8.5 to 10
Baltimore: 19-10 SU in games played on a grass field

Houston at Boston, 7:10 PM ET
Houston: 22-8 SU after batting .225 or worse over a 15 game span
Boston: 70-80 SU after 2 or more consecutive home games

St Louis at LA Angels, 10:05 PM ET
St Louis: 27-10 SU as a road favorite of -125 to -175
Los Angeles: 26-47 SU as an underdog of +100 to +150

 
Posted : May 12, 2016 9:10 am
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Posts: 318493
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StatFox Super Situations

PHILADELPHIA at ATLANTA
Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) below average NL hitting team (AVG =4.50), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest 358-256 since 1997. ( 58.3% | 106.3 units ) 7-4 this year. ( 63.6% | 2.8 units )

ST LOUIS at LA ANGELS
Play On - Home teams (LA ANGELS) with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) 212-135 since 1997. ( 61.1% | 72.3 units ) 2-3 this year. ( 40.0% | -2.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

PHILADELPHIA at ATLANTA
PHILADELPHIA is 8-2 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in Road games against division opponents this season. The average score was: PHILADELPHIA (3.5) , OPPONENT (2.8.)

SAN FRANCISCO at ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 23-11 (+15.3 Units) against the money line after 6 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: ARIZONA (5.0) , OPPONENT (4.0)

 
Posted : May 12, 2016 9:11 am
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Posts: 318493
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Diamond Trends - Thursday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Mets are 0-17 since May 12, 2015 as a dog off a road game in which they had more strikeouts than hits.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Brewers are 11-0 since Jun 08, 2013 as a home favorite off a game as a dog in which Ryan Braun had multiple hits.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Cardinals are 10-0 O/U since Aug 09, 2015 in the last game of a series off a game as a favorite in which they scored in more innings than their opponent.

CHOICE TREND:

The Astros are 0-14 since May 10, 2015 on the road off a game as a dog in which they held a multiple-run lead.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

The Orioles are 0-10-2 O/U since May 14, 2013 as a favorite off a road game in which Chris Davis had multiple RBI

 
Posted : May 12, 2016 4:40 pm
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