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MLB Trends Thursday, May 26

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ARIZONA (21 - 27) at PITTSBURGH (26 - 19) - 12:35 PM

PAT CORBIN (L) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 62-114 (-41.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 124-84 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 118-69 (+27.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 124-84 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 77-45 (+22.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLE is 43-20 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
COLE is 43-20 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 54-51 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 54-51 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CORBIN is 25-13 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORBIN is 25-13 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 (+3.1 Units) against ARIZONA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

PAT CORBIN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
CORBIN is 0-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

GERRIT COLE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
COLE is 2-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 2-1 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.5 units)

ST LOUIS (24 - 23) at WASHINGTON (28 - 19) - 7:05 PM

MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. JOE ROSS (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 126-87 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 126-87 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 88-57 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 99-62 (+26.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 111-98 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 10-16 (-11.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 110-97 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 68-66 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 82-79 (-16.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-0 (+3.3 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LEAKE is 3-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.393.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-1. (+7.2 units)

JOE ROSS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ROSS is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.730.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MILWAUKEE (20 - 26) at ATLANTA (12 - 33) - 7:10 PM

WILY PERALTA (R) vs. MATT WISLER (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 12-33 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 2-19 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 9-27 (-18.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 12-33 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 2-14 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 1-13 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 1-16 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 77-101 (-35.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

WILY PERALTA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
PERALTA is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.23 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.2 units)

MATT WISLER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
WISLER is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.411.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

TORONTO (23 - 25) at NY YANKEES (22 - 23) - 4:05 PM

J.A. HAPP (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)

Top Trends for this game.
HAPP is 4-11 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 28-13 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 138-122 (-66.8 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HAPP is 4-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.66 and a WHIP of 1.345.
His team's record is 5-5 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.4 units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. TORONTO since 1997
SABATHIA is 15-6 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 15-7 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-9. (+1.8 units)

BALTIMORE (26 - 18.) at HOUSTON (19 - 28.) - 8:10 PM

KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. LANCE MCCULLERS (R)

Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 15-32 (-15.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 26-44 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 199-323 (-102.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
HOUSTON is 14-4 (+11.3 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 207-169 (+39.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 185-149 (+34.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 148-105 (+44.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-28 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 19-28 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 13-22 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 4-14 (-13.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MCCULLERS is 9-16 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MCCULLERS is 3-9 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

LANCE MCCULLERS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MCCULLERS is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 1.00 and a WHIP of 0.444.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

CHI WHITE SOX (27 - 21) at KANSAS CITY (24 - 22) - 8:15 PM

MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)

Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 130-94 (+28.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 71-38 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 126-88 (+29.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 90-69 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 92-62 (+25.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 55-35 (+17.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 35-19 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 23-21 (+16.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 (+1.4 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GONZALEZ is 1-5 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.327.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.0 units)

DANNY DUFFY vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
DUFFY is 3-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.208.
His team's record is 7-3 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (+0.1 units)

MIAMI (24 - 22) at TAMPA BAY (21 - 23) - 1:10 PM

JOSE FERNANDEZ (R) vs. DREW SMYLY (L)

Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 14-9 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MIAMI is 415-408 (+42.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
FERNANDEZ is 37-19 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 178-190 (-37.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 62-73 (-24.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 87-97 (-36.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 24-32 (-13.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 24-34 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 88-98 (-36.9 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 99-109 (-35.4 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 121-135 (-31.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 45-53 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-1 (+2.1 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JOSE FERNANDEZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
FERNANDEZ is 0-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.79 and a WHIP of 2.036.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

DREW SMYLY vs. MIAMI since 1997
SMYLY is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

COLORADO (21 - 24) at BOSTON (29 - 17) - 7:10 PM

JON GRAY (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)

Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 4-19 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 613-960 (-180.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
COLORADO is 104-196 (-68.8 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.
COLORADO is 12-30 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 557-880 (-163.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
COLORADO is 49-88 (-30.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-9 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 630-563 (-72.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 157-172 (-30.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 22-33 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 9-21 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 17-31 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 13-26 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 6-17 (-14.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 7-15 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JON GRAY vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

 
Posted : May 26, 2016 7:44 am
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Posts: 318493
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ARIZONA vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Arizona is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

MIAMI vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Miami
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami

TORONTO vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Toronto's last 24 games on the road
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Yankees's last 19 games when playing Toronto

ST. LOUIS vs. WASHINGTON
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
St. Louis is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing Washington
Washington is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing St. Louis
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

MILWAUKEE vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Milwaukee is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games

COLORADO vs. BOSTON
Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing Colorado

BALTIMORE vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games

CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Chi White Sox are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Kansas City is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

 
Posted : May 26, 2016 7:44 am
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Arizona at Pittsburgh, 12:35 PM ET
Arizona: 18-39 SU after 2 or more consecutive overs
Pittsburgh: 38-17 SU after 4 or more consecutive home games

St Louis at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
St Louis: 50-31 SU on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5
Washington: 31-37 SU after scoring 2 runs or less

Milwaukee at Atlanta, 7:10 PM ET
Milwaukee: 11-6 SU in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games
Atlanta: 1-15 SU at home when the total is 7 to 7.5

Toronto at NY Yankees, 4:05 PM ET
Toronto: 2-11 SU after 2 straight games where they committed no errors
New York: 28-13 SU when playing on Thursday

Baltimore at Houston, 8:10 PM ET
Baltimore: 17-6 SU as a favorite of -110 or higher
Houston: 4-14 SU after a win

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City, 8:15 PM ET
Chicago: 10-21 SU after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games
Kansas City: 54-24 SU as a home favorite of -110 or higher

Miami at Tampa Bay, 1:10 PM ET
Miami: 6-1 SU on road with a hot BP whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games
Tampa Bay: 4-12 SU after 2 or more consecutive unders

Colorado at Boston, 7:10 PM ET
Colorado: 17-10 SU with a hot BP whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games
Boston: 13-21 SU at home after 2 games where the bullpen gave up no runs

 
Posted : May 26, 2016 7:45 am
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Posts: 318493
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StatFox Super Situations

MILWAUKEE at ATLANTA
Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) below average NL hitting team (AVG =4.50), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest 361-256 since 1997. ( 58.5% | 109.3 units ) 10-4 this year. ( 71.4% | 5.9 units )

BALTIMORE at HOUSTON
Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BALTIMORE) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL), good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season 48-30 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.5% | 29.6 units ) 4-5 this year. ( 44.4% | 0.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

ST LOUIS at WASHINGTON
ST LOUIS is 23-5 (+17.4 Units) against the money line after a one run loss over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: ST LOUIS (4.6) , OPPONENT (3.1)

BALTIMORE at HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 22-5 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: HOUSTON (5.1) , OPPONENT (3.2)

 
Posted : May 26, 2016 7:46 am
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Posts: 318493
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Diamond Trends - Thursday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Braves are 0-11 since Aug 30, 2015 at home off a loss as a dog in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Yankees are 11-0-1 ou since Jun 24, 2012 when CC Sabathia starts as a favorite when they won and he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Red Sox are 10-0-2 OU since Jun 16, 2015 as a 140+ favorite after their bullpen went at least one inning and did not allow a run last game.

CHOICE TREND:

The Brewers are 12-0 since May 15, 2014 in the last game of a series off a game as a favorite in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

The Red Sox are 0-7 since Jul 11, 2008 when Clay Buchholz starts as a home 140+ favorite when they lost in his last start after they scored first.

 
Posted : May 26, 2016 3:22 pm
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