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MLB Trends Thursday, October 15

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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PHILADELPHIA (96 - 70) at LA DODGERS (98 - 67)

COLE HAMELS (L) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)

Top Trends for this game.
HAMELS is 16-17 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 16-16 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 6-11 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 45-32 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA DODGERS are 98-67 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 19-6 (+10.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
LA DODGERS are 98-67 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 199-143 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 50-33 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 47-30 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 71-52 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 64-38 (+16.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-4 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-20 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-16 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 59-37 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
KERSHAW is 9-13 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 4-3 (+1.2 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

COLE HAMELS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
HAMELS is 4-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.64 and a WHIP of 0.932.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
KERSHAW is 0-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 6.64 and a WHIP of 1.574.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 7:25 am
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Posts: 318493
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PHILADELPHIA vs. LA DODGERS

Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Philadelphia is 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
LA Dodgers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 7:26 am
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Posts: 318493
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

The Los Angeles Dodgers will take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Dodger Stadium on Thursday in Game 1 of the NLCS.

The Phillies will trot Cole Hamels out to the mound in this one. Lefthander Hamels has a 10-12 record and a 4.39 ERA this season.

The Dodgers will counter Hamels with Clayton Kershaw. Lefthander Kershaw has a 2.82 ERA to go along with an 8-8 record this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Dodgers listed as 140-moneyline favorites versus the Phillies, while the game's total is sitting at 7½.

Jayson Werth's run-scoring single in the top of the ninth inning lifted the Phillies to the NLCS with a 5-4 victory over the Rockies on Monday night.

Philadelphia cashed as a -105 road pick 'em, while the teams played OVER the 8.5-run total listed by oddsmakers.

The Dodgers advanced to the NLCS with a 5-1 win over the Cardinals and a sweep of their first-round playoff series last time out.

The Dodgers won the game as +150 underdogs, while the six runs went UNDER the posted over/under (8.5).

Andre Ethier belted a two-run homer with two runs scored, and Manny Ramirez also drove in a pair of runs. Vicente Padilla tossed seven scoreless innings for the victory.

Team records:
Philadelphia: 93-69 SU
Los Angeles: 95-67 SU

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 7-3
Before playing LA Dodgers are 5-5
After playing Colorado are 8-2
After a win are 4-6

Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 7-3
Before playing Philadelphia are 5-5
After playing St. Louis are 7-3
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
LA Dodgers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Next up:
LA Dodgers home to Philadelphia, Friday, October 16

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 7:27 am
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