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MLB Trends Thursday, October 22

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New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels

The Los Angeles Angels will try to stave off elimination on Thursday when they battle the New York Yankees at Angel Stadium in Game 5 of the ALCS.

The Yankees will trot AJ Burnett out to the mound in this one. Righthander Burnett has a 13-9 record and a 3.94 ERA this season.

Burnett's opponent in this one will be John Lackey. The Angels ace righthander has a 3.66 ERA to go along with a 12-9 record this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Yankees listed as 102-moneyline favorites versus the Angels, while the game's total is sitting at 8½.

Melky Cabrera was 3-for-4 with four runs batted in to lead the Yankees over the Angels 10-1 in Game 4 of the series on Tuesday night.

New York won as -140 road favorites, while the teams played OVER the 8-run total listed by oddsmakers.

Alex Rodriguez went 3-for-4 with a two-run dinger for the Yankees, as winning pitcher CC Sabathia allowed one run over eight innings for New York.

Kendry Morales hit a solo shot for Los Angeles, while Scott Kazmir was tagged for four runs over four innings to take the loss for the Angels.

The Yankees now lead the best-of-seven series 3-1.

Team records:
New York: 103-59 SU
Los Angeles: 97-65 SU

New York most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 8-2
Before playing LA Angels are 5-5
After playing LA Angels are 6-4
After a win are 8-2

Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 6-4
Before playing NY Yankees are 7-3
After playing NY Yankees are 4-6
After a loss are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
NY Yankees are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of NY Yankees's last 21 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games at home
LA Angels are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games
LA Angels are 18-7 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 15 of LA Angels's last 21 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Next up:
LA Angels at NY Yankees, Saturday, October 24

 
Posted : October 22, 2009 6:13 am
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NY YANKEES vs. LA ANGELS

NY Yankees are 7-18 SU in their last 25 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 15 of NY Yankees's last 21 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels's last 10 games

 
Posted : October 22, 2009 6:23 am
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NY YANKEES (109 - 60) at LA ANGELS (101 - 68)

A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. JOHN LACKEY (R)

Top Trends for this game.
BURNETT is 21-37 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 81-50 (+24.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 51-41 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA ANGELS are 46-23 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 101-68 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 26-15 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 23-9 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 94-60 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 62-49 (+7.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 71-36 (+13.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY YANKEES are 60-33 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY YANKEES are 37-17 (+13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY YANKEES are 109-60 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 73-36 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 6-8 (-0.7 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.5 Units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BURNETT is 2-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.255.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.7 units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
LACKEY is 5-8 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.45 and a WHIP of 1.559.
His team's record is 9-10 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-8. (+2.0 units)

 
Posted : October 22, 2009 8:01 am
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NY Yankees at LA Angels

AJ Burnett (R) vs. John Lackey (R)

Burnett:
16-5 Under off team win
NYY 44-17 after allowing 1 run or less

Lackey:
11-0 Under in playoff starts
29-13 Under at home working on 5 or 6 days rest

 
Posted : October 22, 2009 8:01 am
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