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MLB Trends Tuesday 4/6

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(@blade)
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NY YANKEES vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

BALTIMORE vs. TAMPA BAY
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

SAN FRANCISCO vs. HOUSTON
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston
San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco

COLORADO vs. MILWAUKEE
Colorado is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

SAN DIEGO vs. ARIZONA
San Diego is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games when playing at home against San Diego

MINNESOTA vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
LA Angels are 13-5 SU in their last 18 games

SEATTLE vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Seattle

 
Posted : April 6, 2010 7:45 am
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SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 0) at HOUSTON (0 - 1)

BARRY ZITO (L) vs. WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L)

Top Trends for this game.
RODRIGUEZ is 13-3 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
RODRIGUEZ is 13-3 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
RODRIGUEZ is 10-1 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 89-74 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 89-74 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 717-605 (+87.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
ZITO is 21-15 (+13.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

BARRY ZITO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
ZITO is 1-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.82 and a WHIP of 1.232.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 14.71 and a WHIP of 4.087.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

COLORADO (1 - 0) at MILWAUKEE (0 - 1)

GREG SMITH (L) vs. RANDY WOLF (L)

Top Trends for this game.
WOLF is 26-9 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 26-9 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 23-6 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 7-18 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

GREG SMITH vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

RANDY WOLF vs. COLORADO since 1997
WOLF is 5-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.02 and a WHIP of 1.366.
His team's record is 8-5 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-5.7 units)

SAN DIEGO (0 - 1) at ARIZONA (1 - 0)

CHRIS YOUNG (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 71-92 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 25-45 (-23.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 37-44 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 17-28 (-16.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 138-161 (-46.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
ARIZONA is 71-92 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 109-123 (-27.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 27-42 (-17.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CHRIS YOUNG vs. ARIZONA since 1997
YOUNG is 1-3 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.43 and a WHIP of 1.075.
His team's record is 3-6 (-4.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-6. (-4.7 units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
JACKSON is 0-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 10.13 and a WHIP of 2.064.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

BALTIMORE (0 - 0) at TAMPA BAY (0 - 0)

KEVIN MILLWOOD (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)

Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 46-98 (-35.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 114-56 (+36.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 53-23 (+23.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 115-59 (+33.4 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 125-67 (+36.1 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 80-33 (+35.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MILLWOOD is 8-1 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KEVIN MILLWOOD vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
MILLWOOD is 2-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.16 and a WHIP of 1.565.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SHIELDS is 6-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.175.
His team's record is 9-6 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-6. (+1.3 units)

NY YANKEES (0 - 1) at BOSTON (1 - 0)

A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)

Top Trends for this game.
BURNETT is 4-21 (-15.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 53-77 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 40-62 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 115-54 (+31.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-6 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 14-3 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 28-9 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 115-54 (+31.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 84-38 (+24.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 82-36 (+26.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
LESTER is 27-6 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 43-17 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 51-21 (+25.7 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 111-59 (+30.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. BOSTON since 1997
BURNETT is 5-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.356.
His team's record is 7-5 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-1.9 units)

JON LESTER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
LESTER is 3-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.377.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.1 units)

MINNESOTA (0 - 1) at LA ANGELS (1 - 0)

NICK BLACKBURN (R) vs. JOE SAUNDERS (L)

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 8-21 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BLACKBURN is 11-26 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BLACKBURN is 10-24 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 103-69 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 92-55 (+23.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 130-90 (+26.6 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 96-61 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 61-41 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAUNDERS is 44-21 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 22-7 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 42-19 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 48-24 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 26-12 (+12.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 20-6 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 121-97 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

NICK BLACKBURN vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BLACKBURN is 0-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.72 and a WHIP of 1.658.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.5 units)

JOE SAUNDERS vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SAUNDERS is 3-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.10 and a WHIP of 1.177.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

SEATTLE (1 - 0) at OAKLAND (0 - 1)

IAN SNELL (R) vs. DALLAS BRADEN (L)

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 86-77 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 88-66 (+29.9 Units) against the money line in road games in April games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 81-69 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

IAN SNELL vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SNELL is 2-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.545.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.1 units)

DALLAS BRADEN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
BRADEN is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 6.46 and a WHIP of 1.761.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

 
Posted : April 6, 2010 11:28 am
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SAN FRANCISCO at HOUSTON
ZITO: 11-2 Under with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs
RODRIGUEZ: 13-3 TSR in home games

COLORADO at MILWAUKEE
SMITH: Colorado 32-11 SU vs. NL Central opponents
WOLF: Milwaukee 7-16 SU revenging a loss as a home favorite

SAN DIEGO at ARIZONA
YOUNG: San Diego 24-52 SU away in the first half of the season
JACKSON: 93-56 Over at home in April

BALTIMORE at TAMPA BAY
MILLWOOD: Baltimore 4-14 SU at Tampa Bay
SHIELDS: Tampa Bay 71-19 SU as a home favorite of -150 or higher

NY YANKEES at BOSTON
BURNETT: Yankees 20-8 Over off a loss by 2 runs or less
LESTER: 27-6 TSR in home games

MINNESOTA at LA ANGELS
BLACKBURN: 3-13 TSR vs. AL West opponents
SAUNDERS: 26-12 TSR pitching off a team win

SEATTLE at OAKLAND
SNELL: 16-7 Over with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs
BRADEN: 3-12 TSR as a home favorite

 
Posted : April 6, 2010 11:28 am
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Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Hot pitchers
-- Astros won nine of last ten Rodriguez home starts.
-- Wolf is 6-1, 2.66 in his last ten starts.
-- Millwood is 3-0, 2.74 in his last three starts.
-- Lester is 2-0, 1.29 in his last three Fenway starts.
-- Blackburn is 2-0, 1.64 in his last five starts. Angels won nine of last eleven Saunders home starts.
-- Snell is 1-0, 3.00 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Zito is 1-2, 4.85 in his last six starts.
-- GSmith was 7-16, 4.16 in 32 starts for Oakland in 2008; he missed LY with an injury. .
-- EJackson is 1-3, 6.68 in his last five starts. Young is 0-4, 7.45 in his last four starts; San Diego lost his last seven road starts.
-- Shields has a 5.73 RA in his last ten starts.
-- Burnett started three times in Fenway LY; allowed 22 runs in 12.2 IP.
-- Braden is 1-2, 7.40 in his last four starts.

Hot teams
-- Random stat: Three AL starters Monday missed LY with injuries. If you bet against all three, you went 3-0.

Cold teams
-- Orioles/Rays are only teams starting their season today.

Totals
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Rodriguez starts.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Wolf starts.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in EJackson's last five starts.
-- Six of last eight Shields starts went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Lester's last six Fenway starts.
-- Six of last eight Saunders starts stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Braden home starts stayed under the total.

 
Posted : April 6, 2010 11:29 am
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