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MLB Trends Tuesday, October 20

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New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels

The New York Yankees and the Los Angeles Angels will both be gunning for a victory on Tuesday when they meet at Angel Stadium in Game 4 of the ALCS.

The Yankees will pin their hopes on the pitching of ace lefthander CC Sabathia in this game. Sabathia has a 21-8 record and a 3.24 ERA this season.

Starting this game for the Angels will be Scott Kazmir. The lefthander has a 4.99 ERA to go along with a 10-9 record this season.

Jeff Mathis' run-scoring double in the bottom of the 11th inning lifted the Angels over the Yankees 5-4 in Game 3 of the series on Monday.

Los Angeles cashed as -125 home favorites, while the game resulted in a PUSH on the 9-run total set by sportsbooks.

Vladimir Guerrero was 2-for-4 with a two-run homer for the Angels, as Ervin Santana picked up the win in relief of starter Jered Weaver for Los Angeles.

Jorge Posada went 2-for-4 with a solo shot for New York, while Alfredo Aceves took the loss after allowing the winning run in the bottom of the 11th inning.

The Yankees now lead the best-of-seven series 2-1.

Team records:
New York: 103-59 SU
Los Angeles: 97-65 SU

New York most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing LA Angels are 6-4
After playing LA Angels are 5-5
After a loss are 6-4

Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing NY Yankees are 6-4
After playing NY Yankees are 5-5
After a win are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home
LA Angels are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels's last 9 games
LA Angels are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Next up:
LA Angels home to NY Yankees, Thursday, October 22

 
Posted : October 20, 2009 7:43 am
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NY YANKEES vs. LA ANGELS

NY Yankees are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Yankees's last 20 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels's last 9 games

 
Posted : October 20, 2009 7:46 am
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NY YANKEES (108 - 60) at LA ANGELS (101 - 67)

C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)

Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 101-67 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 26-14 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 12-2 (+11.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
LA ANGELS are 94-59 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 39-18 (+17.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 61-39 (+15.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA ANGELS are 51-40 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA ANGELS are 51-35 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
KAZMIR is 39-21 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 25-7 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 29-12 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 45-23 (+25.0 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 16-3 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 108-60 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 72-36 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY YANKEES are 59-33 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY YANKEES are 36-17 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 6-7 (+0.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.5 Units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
SABATHIA is 6-7 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.390.
His team's record is 6-9 (-6.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-8. (-2.2 units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
KAZMIR is 6-5 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.66 and a WHIP of 1.252.
His team's record is 7-7 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.4 units)

 
Posted : October 20, 2009 9:07 am
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NY Yankees at LA Angels

CC Sabathia (L) vs. Scott Kazmir (L)

Sabathia:
9-1 Over Away 2nd half of season
NYY 4-12 at LA Angels

Kazmir:
25-7 TSR in home games
LAA 14-1 if they had 6+ extra base hits last game

 
Posted : October 20, 2009 10:17 am
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