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MLB Trends Wednesday, October 7

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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COLORADO (92 - 70) at PHILADELPHIA (93 - 69)
UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 71-85 (-15.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
JIMENEZ is 12-23 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JIMENEZ is 12-24 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 56-36 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 92-70 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 46-29 (+20.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 92-70 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 123-111 (+25.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 69-54 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 45-36 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-16 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 45-36 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-29 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-19 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HAMELS is 16-16 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 1-7 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-2 (+1.5 Units) against COLORADO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
JIMENEZ is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.51 and a WHIP of 1.592.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

COLE HAMELS vs. COLORADO since 1997
HAMELS is 0-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 8.70 and a WHIP of 1.838.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

ST LOUIS (91 - 71) at LA DODGERS (95 - 67)
CHRIS CARPENTER (R) vs. RANDY WOLF (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 95-67 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 95-67 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 68-47 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WOLF is 40-27 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 25-9 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 40-27 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 22-6 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 19-12 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 85-77 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 85-77 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 62-41 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 24-13 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
CARPENTER is 52-28 (+24.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 49-45 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-2 (+3.1 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

CHRIS CARPENTER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CARPENTER is 5-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.20 and a WHIP of 1.024.
His team's record is 6-0 (+6.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

RANDY WOLF vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
WOLF is 3-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.166.
His team's record is 4-6 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.7 units)

MINNESOTA (87 - 76) at NY YANKEES (103 - 59)
BRIAN DUENSING (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 8-20 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 67-36 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY YANKEES are 16-3 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY YANKEES are 103-59 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 51-26 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 36-14 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 60-44 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 74-66 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 87-76 (+2.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 7-0 (+7.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

BRIAN DUENSING vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

C.C. SABATHIA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SABATHIA is 13-8 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.05 and a WHIP of 1.226.
His team's record is 16-12 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 17-10. (+5.3 units)

 
Posted : October 6, 2009 5:06 pm
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Posts: 318493
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Colorado at Philadelphia

Ubaldo Jiminez (R) vs. Cole Hamels (L)

Jiminez:
42-24 Under in all starts
Col 23-11 off loss by 2 runs or less

Hamels:
1-7 TSR in day games
0-3 TSR, 7.02 ERA L3 starts

St. Louis at LA Dodgers

Chris Carpenter (R) vs. Randy Wolf (L)

Carpenter:
1-6 TSR after giving up 0 ER last outing
STL 29-17 Under vs lefties

Wolf:
25-9 TSR in home games
LAD 12-4 as an underdog of +125 to +175

Minnesota at NY Yankees

Brian Duensing (L) vs. C.C. Sabathia (L)

Duensing:
MIN 11-2 Under after 9+ consecutive division games
MIN 8-20 Away against lefties

Sabathia:
NYY 79-39 when the total is 8.5 to 10
11-4 TSR as a favorite of -200 or more

 
Posted : October 6, 2009 5:08 pm
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Posts: 318493
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Tips and Trends

St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers

Cardinals (-$1.40, O/U 7 under -$1.20): The Cardinals are going with ace Chris Carpenter in this Game 1 matchup. Carpenter is 17-4 with a NL-best 2.24 ERA after missing most of the previous two seasons. St. Louis is 21-6 in Carpenter’s last 27 starts versus National League West teams. The right-hander was 2-0 with a 1.20 ERA against the Dodgers this season. St. Louis is 6-0 the past six times Carpenter has faced the Dodgers. The Cardinals are 14-6 in their last 20 games against a left-handed starter. However, St. Louis is 1-7 the past eight times it has been favored. St. Louis is batting .234 versus southpaws compared to .274 against right-handers. Catcher Yadier Molina is playing on a sore knee. St. Louis has defeated the Dodgers 10 of the last 14 times at Dodger Stadium. The under has cashed in five of the last six games between the two teams in Los Angeles.

The Under is 20-8 in St. Louis’ last 28 playoff games.
The teams have gone Under in 4 of their past five head-to-head meetings.

Key Injuries - Catcher Yadier Molina (knee) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (Side of the Day)

Dodgers: The Dodgers are 29-14 in their last 43 home games versus a team with a winning record. They’ve won nine of Randy Wolf’s past 11 starts, yet come into this matchup as a home underdog. Before his last start of the regular season, the 33-year-old Wolf had a streak of 17 consecutive starts of pitching at least six innings. The Dodgers are 22-12 in Wolf’s starts this season. The left-hander set career highs with 34 starts and 214 1/3 innings. Wolf started the year going 5-6, but closed strong. He went 6-1 in his final nine starts with a 2.51 ERA. Overall, he finished 11-7 with a 3.23 ERA. Wolf faced the Cardinals once this year, giving up two runs on seven hits in six innings on July 27. Manny Ramirez is swinging a cold bat, hitting just .218 with four homers and 14 RBIs in his last 25 games.

The Over is 10-4-1 in Wolf’s last 15 home starts against a club with a winning mark.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

 
Posted : October 7, 2009 10:17 am
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