MONDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Gator Report

NBA 70% Super Situations (NBA Record 20-11 ATS +790 Units)

NBA (Playoffs 3-4 -1.40) Monday: Play Over NBA teams where the total is between 170 and 179.5 points after a game where they failed to cover the spread, with a team playing 5 or less games in 14 days.42-17 Over last 5 seasons (71.2%)

PLAY: Boston / Detroit OVER 175

MLB 70% Super Situations (MLB Record 14-6 +730 units)

MLB (14-6 +730) Monday: Play Under MLB (NL) teams where the total is 10 or higher with a team batting average = .255 to .269 against a starting pitcher whose ERA=4.20 to 5.20, during the month of May. 40-13 Under since 1997 (75.5%)

PLAY: Colorado / Philadelphia UNDER 10.5

John Ryan

Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Play: Total: UNDER

Ai Simulator 3* graded play UNDER Colorado/Philadelphia – Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 40-13 UNDER since 1997. Play under with all NL teams in May where the total is 10 or higher that is an average hitting team batting .255 to .269 and is now facing an average starting pitcher sporting an ERA=4.20 to 5.20. AiS shows a 72% probability that 10 or fewer runs will be scored in this game. Philadelphia starter Jamie Moyer is an very strong UNDER role noting that he is 23-4 UNDER (+18.8 Units) versus NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. Take the UNDER

SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE

(1) Boston (10-7, 7-10 ATS) at (2) Detroit (9-5, 8-6 ATS)

After losing homecourt advantage in Game 2, the Celtics snatched it right back Saturday with a blowout victory and now look to take a commanding 3-1 lead in their best-of-seven series against the Pistons inside the Palace at Auburn Hills.

Boston snapped its 0-6 postseason road losing streak with a 94-80 victory Saturday, easily grabbing the cash as a five-point ‘dog. The Celtics held Detroit to 38.4 percent shooting from the field and 1-of-13 shooting from beyond the 3-point line, while the Pistons’ starting forwards (Tayshaun Prince and Antonio McDyess) totaled just 12 points.

Led by Kevin Garnett’s 22-point, 13-rebound performance, the Celtics had six players reach double-digits in points in Game 3 and outrebounded Detroit 44-28.

Even with the win, the Celtics are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall while the Pistons are 7-4 ATS in their last 11, but a mediocre 3-2 ATS in their last five at home. The road team is now 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two, and the ‘dog has cashed in 12 of the last 16 series clashes.

Boston leads this season’s series 4-2 SU and ATS, and the straight-up winner is on a 7-0 ATS run in this rivalry. Also, the Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last five trips to the Palace.

The Pistons are 13-5 SU and 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games going back to the regular season, and they are on additional ATS runs of 6-2 on one day of rest, 4-1 on Mondays and 5-2 as a favorite. On the downside, Detroit is only 2-13 ATS in its last 15 conference finals games, including a current 1-8 ATS freefall that dates to last year’s series against Cleveland, in which Flip Saunders’ squad failed to cash in all six games (2-4 SU).

The Celtics are on positive pointspread rolls of 12-5 on Mondays, 20-8 as an underdog, 41-17 as a road ‘dog and 6-0 as a ‘dog between five and 10½ points. On the negative side, though, Doc Rivers’ club is on ATS slides of 2-6 on one day of rest, 2-5 in the conference finals, 1-6 on the road, 0-5 following an ATS win and 2-5 in conference final action.

Saturday’s Game 3 stayed below the 176-point total, improving the “under” streak in this rivalry to 9-2 in the last 11. Additionally, for Detroit, the under is on tears of 18-8 overall (9-5 in the playoffs), 20-8 against the East, 15-5 as a favorite, 20-9 against the Atlantic Division and 20-8-1 in the conference finals. Finally, for Boston, the under is 6-2 in its last eight conference finals games and 18-8 in its last 26 versus the Central Division.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DETROIT and UNDER

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Chicago White Sox (27-22) at Cleveland (23-27)

The White Sox kick off a seven-game road trip with a three-game series at Progressive Field, as Javier Vazquez (5-3, 3.43 ERA) is set to take the hill for Chicago opposite Cleveland’s Paul Byrd (2-4, 4.10).

Chicago has won four straight against the Indians, including sweeping a three-game set last week at home, But the Indians have won four of Byrd’s last five home starts against the White Sox, the one loss coming last week.

The Indians are in the midst of a 1-8 slide after losing to the Rangers 2-1 in 10 innings Sunday, dropping two of three to Texas over the weekend. Meanwhile, the White Sox avoided a three-game sweep against the Angels with last night’s 3-2 home victory. Chicago is on a 9-2 roll.

The White Sox trends include 5-0 against teams with a losing record and 5-1 against right-handed starters but just 2-5 on the highway against teams with a winning home record and 1-4 on Mondays. Meanwhile, the Indians are 6-2 in their last eight at home against right-handed pitchers, 18-5 in their last 23 at home against teams with a winning record, but just 1-4 in their last five on Mondays and 0-5 in their last five against A.L. Central competition.

Tonight’s pitching matchup is a rematch from Wednesday when Vazquez shut down the Tribe, allowing two runs on four hits over seven innings of a 7-2 victory. Byrd gave up five runs on five hits in 5 1/3 innings.

Vazquez is 2-0 with a 3.72 ERA in his last three outings, and the White Sox have won all three. Against Cleveland, he is 6-4 lifetime in 13 starts with a 3.94 ERA in 77 2/3 innings of work.

Byrd is just 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA in his last three outings, but at home he’s been tough to hit, going 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA. For his career, Byrd is 8-3 with a 4.45 ERA in 14 career starts against Chicago.

Chicago is on streaks of 12-2 when Vazquez faces A.L. Central rivals, 7-0 when he opens a series and 11-3 in his last 14 starts overall. Meanwhile, the Indians are on runs of 24-9 when Byrd starts at home, 9-2 when he faces A.L. Central foes and 4-0 on Mondays.

When Vazquez toes the rubber, the over is on runs of 8-1 versus losing teams, 11-3 overall and 5-2 on the highway. For Byrd, the under is 6-1 in his last seven overall but the over is 5-1-1 in his last seven on Mondays. Finally, the over is 4-1 in Vasquez’s last five starts against the Tribe and 5-2 in Byrd’s past seven battles with the ChiSox.

The under trends for Chicago include 21-7 overall (5-0 last five), 32-13-1 on the road against losing teams, 8-1 in series openers, 5-1 on the highway and 12-3 on the road against right-handed pitching. For Cleveland, the under is 23-6 in its last 29 overall (3-0 last three), 21-6 in its last 27 against right-handed starters and 7-1 in its last eight at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

Detroit (21-29) at L.A. Angels (30-22)

The Tigers send veteran southpaw Kenny Rogers (4-4, 6.66) to the mound at Angel Stadium to take on L.A.’s Jon Garland (5-3, 4.34) in the first of three West Coast battles between these two.

Detroit is coming off a 4-2 homestand that ended with Sunday’s 6-1 loss to the Twins. But it’s on the road where the Tigers have struggled this year, going 9-15 away from the Motor City, including 1-8 in their last nine. Los Angeles returns home off a seven-game road trip that saw Mike Scioscia’s club go 4-3, including Sunday night’s 3-2 loss in Chicago.

The Angels took two of three in Detroit a month ago and have won five of the last six between these two dating back to last season. In fact, Los Angeles is 23-6 in the last 29 series meetings out west and 39-14 in its last 53 clashes with the Tigers regardless of venue.

Rogers got roughed up in his last road start, giving up seven runs on 11 hits in four innings of an 8-4 loss in Kansas City, but he bounced back and got the win over the Mariners on Wednesday when he allowed four runs on eight hits in 5 1/3 innings. For his career, Rogers is 17-15 with a 4.07 ERA in 44 starts against the Angels.

Garland allowed three runs on eight hits in six innings of a 4-3 win over the Blue Jays on Wednesday and he’s had four straight outings of allowing three earned runs or less. Against Detroit, he is 13-6 with a 4.08 ERA in 24 career starts.

Detroit is 35-17 in Rogers’ last 52 starts and 9-4 in his last 13 when opening a series, but he’s just 2-6 in his last eight on the road. Overall, the Tigers are on runs of 9-2 against the A.L. West and 4-1 against right-handed pitching, but they’re just 4-11 in their last 15 on the road against teams with a winning record and 6-18 in their last 24 on the road against right-handed starters.

Los Angeles is on positive rolls of 4-1 on Mondays, 14-7 against A.L. Central squads and 8-1 against southpaws, but it is just 1-6 in its last seven home games against losing squads.

With Rogers on the hill for the Tigers, the over is on runs of 11-5-3 overall (7-0-1 last eight), 4-0-1 on the road and 10-1-1 when he gets four days of rest. On the opposite end, the under is 4-0 in Garland’s last four outings.

Detroit’s “over” streaks include 5-1 overall, 8-3-2 in the opening game of a series and 11-5-3 on Mondays, but the under is 5-1 in its last six on the road and 5-1 in its last six against right-handed starters. Meanwhile, the Angels have stayed under the total in 11 of their last 12 games, including the last six in a row. The under is also 22-8-2 in the Angels’ last 32 overall, 21-7-2 in their last 30 against the A.L. Central, 5-1 in their last six at home, 10-1-1 against teams with a losing record and 6-1 in series openers.

Conversely, in head-to-head meetings, the over has been in play in eight of 11 overall and five straight in Angel Stadium.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS

Big Al McMordie

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians
Play: Chicago White Sox

At 7:05pm our complimentary selection is on the Chicago White Sox over the Cleveland Indians. No American League starter has put together a better season so far with almost nobody noticing than Chicago's 31 year-old righthander Javier Vazquez. All Vazquez has done so far in 2008 is go 5-3 with a 3.43 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and has consistently been among the leaders (if not THE leader) in strikeouts all season. He is one of the main reasons for the White Sox' surprising success so far this season. Cleveland has had to win what few games it can with its pitching because its hitting has been pretty atrocious most of the year. And that pitching staff just took a big step backward with the recent trip to the DL for young ace starter Fausto Carmona with a hip injury. This unfortunate circumstance happened just as the Tribe got its veteran closer, Joe Borowski, back from the DL, but there is no way Borowski will get near the save opportunities he had in '07 unless this offense really turns things around. The Indians currently have the worst team batting average in the Majors, and against righthanders, they're an amazingly awful .227. And Vazquez isn't just any righthander, but right now looks like just about the best in the league. Take the White Sox.

Mike Rose

Cleveland Indians

Javier Vazquez will look to build upon his last outing against these same Indians whom he held to just four hits and two earned runs through seven innings of work in Chicago’s 7-2 home victory last Wednesday night. He’s 5-3 with a solid 3.43 ERA allowing 64 hits and 26 runs (25 earned) with a spectacular K/BB ratio of 65/13 in 65+ total innings of work. His 65 K’s are the second most in the American League. He owns a personal mark of 2-2 on the road this season with a 3.73 ERA, and Chicago has earned victories in each of his last two starts as a visitor. In his career against the Indians, Vazquez is 6-4 with a 3.94 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 13 total starts. He earned the victory in two of his three starts against them last season, and has split both starts against them this year.

Looking to get the Indians out of their rut will be rubber-armed righty Paul Byrd. The veteran comes into tonight’s start 2-4 overall with a 4.10 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. He’s coming off a losing start against these same White Sox where he only managed to go 5 1/3rd innings allowing five hits and five runs. He only allowed Chicago a total of one hit through five, but got blown up in the sixth surrendering homers to both Jermaine Dye and Jim Thome. He’s been much better and more consistent within the comfy confines of Jacobs Field this season where he’s 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in a four starts. Byrd’s is 9-3 with a 4.34 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 16 career starts against the White Sox, and the Tribe’s yet to lose a home start with him throwing against Chicago.

Even with last weeks loss at “The Cell”, Cleveland’s a bankroll building 4-1 SU in Byrd’s L/5 starts against the White Sox, and they’re a perfect 4-0 SU the last four times he’s faced them at home. With the White Sox a poor 4-9 SU their L/13 on the road against right-handers and the fact that they served the Tribe their lunch in Chicago last week, look for Cleveland to play some inspired ball throughout this series starting tonight.

Scott Spreitzer

Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves
Prediction: Under

Reason: I'm playing the Under in the Arizona/Atlanta game on Monday afternoon. We've got a pitcher's duel here featuring guys who are in their best situation to succeed. Brandon Webb of Arizona is off to a great start to 2008. His ERA is a stellar 2.69 as he challenges for the Cy Young award. On the road, it's an even better 1.85. Away from a home hitter's park in Arizona, he has a 0.97 WHIP and is averaging 7.4 K's per nine innings. Great numbers! Jair Jurrjens of Atlanta has a 2.64 ERA for the season. But, it's an amazing 1.48 at home. His home WHIP is 1.31, and he's also averaging 7.4 K's per nine innings in today's environment. We've got a great road pitcher visiting a hot home pitcher on a double get-away day (both teams leave town after the game). It doesn't get any better than that. Note that the Braves are 1-8 to the Under in Jurrjens' last nine starts. The icing on the cake, Webb pitched a two-hit shutout on this field last year. The Under in the Arizona/Atlanta game is the play in this Memorial Day afternoon affair.

Marc Lawrence

Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals
PICK: Milwaukee Brewers

REASON FOR PICK: Play On: Milwaukee w/Sheets.
Note: When the Brewers send Big Ben Sheets to the hill in Washington Monday afternoon they'll do so knowing he's cashed in 10 of his last 12 road starts.

He's also in great KW form with 1 walk and 17 strikeouts in his last three starts. Back the better team and the better arm here today.

We recommend a 1-unit play on Milwaukee with Sheets.

Lucky Leprechaun Sports

ATLANTA/ Arizona Under 8:

The Under is 6-1-1 in Webbs last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and Under is 40-17-2 in his last 59 starts vs. a team with a winning record overall, while the Under is 8-0 in Braves last 8 games as a home underdog and 16-5 in their last 21 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Both starters have been solid this year as Webb comes in with a 2.69 ERA overall, a 1.85 ERA on the road and a 2.31 ERA in days games, while Jurrjens has a 2.64 ERA overall, a 1.48 ERA at home and a 2.37 ERA in days games. Atlanta can hit at home but Webb has all the tools to slow them down as evidenced by his 1.17 ERA in 5 career starts vs them, including 2 complete game shutouts in his last 2 starts. Arizona can hit at home but on the road they have a .213 BA and are scoring just 4.2 rpg. This should be a great pitchers duel and that makes for a nice low scoring game.

Bobby Maxwell

Chicago White Sox at CLEVELAND

We've hit three straight FREE plays after Sunday's big win with Oakland over the Red Sox. Today we make it No. 4 in a row as we go with the White Sox to get a road win in Cleveland.

Playing Chicago in this one as the White Sox seem to have found a formula for success, having won nine of their last 11 games and sweeping the Indians three games last week.

Javier Vazquez (5-3, 3.43 ERA) goes for the White Sox and they've won his last three outings and he's 2-0 in those three with a 3.72 ERA. For his career he's 6-4 against the Tribe and he shut them down five days ago, allowing two runs on four hits over seven innings of a 7-2 home win.

And Vazquez got the best of Paul Byrd (2-4, 4.10) who is on the hill again tonight. Byrd allowed five runs on five hits in 5.1 innings. Byrd has a 4.74 ERA in his lat three starts and a 4.45 career ERA against the White Sox.

Chicago is on streaks of 12-2 when Vazquez faces teams from the A.L. Central, 7-0 when he starts the first game of a series and 11-3 in his last 14 overall. The White Sox are also 5-1 against right-handed starters and 5-0 against teams with a losing record. Cleveland is just 1-4 in its last five on Mondays and 0-5 their last five against Central competition.

The White Sox seem to be in a good place right now and playing some good ball. We'll play them to take the opener of this series as Vazquez is in good form. Play Chicago.

3* CHICAGO WHITE SOX

Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Atlanta Braves +114

At 21-7, the Braves have been unbeatable at home this season. The Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss, 18-5 in their last 23 home games vs. a right-handed starter, and 5-0 in Jurrjens' last 5 home starts. The Diamondbacks are 2-7 in their last 9 road games, 2-9 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record, 0-6 in their last 6 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, and 1-4 in Webb's last 5 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. With as good as the Braves have been at home and with as much as the D-backs have struggled on the road of late, we'll make this play on the Braves at home showing solid value.

Jim Feist

CHI White Sox and CLE Indians
Take CLE Indians

Chicago starter Javier Vazquez prefers pitching at home, with an ERA almost a run higher on the road. Opponents hit .234 off him at home, but .274 away. Cleveland is no easy place to pitch, a great hitter's park. In fact, the Indians average 3.5 runs on the road, but 4.5 at home -- a full run per game. Cleveland starter Paul Byrd throws strikes and likes facing the White Sox, with an 8-3 record against them. A great spot for the home dog. Play the Indians!

Dave Cokin

DET Tigers and LA Angels
Take LA Angels

The Angels got shut down pretty well in an extremely well pitched weekend set in Chicago. But the Halos bats should come alive tonight as they get their swings against shopworn Kenny Rogers, who just isn't fooling many hitters anymore. The Tigers had a couple of huge explosions against the Twins but they haven't maintained those outbursts for more than a couple of games. And sure enough, they were shut down yesterday by Glen Perkins and now must hit the road. I favor Jon Garland and the Angels tonight."

Kosmo

Atlanta +115 1 unit
Cubs -125 1 unit
Florida +125 1 unit
Toronto/Under 8 Even 1 unit
Baltimore +120 1 unit
Baltimore/Under 9 +110 1 unit
White Sox -105 1 unit
White Sox/Under 8.5 1 unit

DUNKEL

MLB

Arizona at Atlanta
The Braves are 4-0 as a home underdog between +100 and +125, and look to build on that behind starter Jair Jurrjens, who is 2-1 with a 1.80 ERA in his last five starts. Atlanta is the underdog pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+110). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, MAY 26

Game 901-902: Arizona at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Webb) 15.306; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 16.399
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+110); Over

Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Sheets) 15.508; Washington (Bergmann) 14.477
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-150); Over

Game 905-906: LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.174; Cubs (Dempster) 15.870
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-125); N/A

Game 907-908: Colorado at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.405; Philadelphia (Moyer) 17.076
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-165); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-165); Under

Game 909-910: Florida at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 15.186; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 14.425
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+125); Over

Game 911-912: Kansas City at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Tomko) 14.174; Toronto (Marcum) 16.542
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-165); Under

Game 913-914: NY Yankees at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Rasner) 15.333; Baltimore (Olsen) 14.231
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-135); Under

Game 915-916: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Vazquez) 15.326; Cleveland (Byrd) 15.710
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+105); Under

Game 917-918: Texas at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Ponson) 15.449; Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 16.448
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-175); Over

Game 919-920: Detroit at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Rogers) 15.186; LA Angels (Garland) 14.901
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 921-922: Boston at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Colon) 14.363; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.877
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-105); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-105); Under

NBA

Boston at Detroit
The Pistons let the homecourt advantage slip away in Game Three, but have bounced back with convincing wins both times they've trailed in a playoff series while the Celtics are just 1-6 ATS when leading in the playoffs. Detroit is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Pistons favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-6). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, MAY 26

Game 713-714: Boston at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 122.362; Detroit 129.449
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 7; 173
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 6; 175
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-6); Under

NHL

Pittsburgh at Detroit
The Red Wings dominated Pittsburgh in the opener (4-0) and are 34-10 this season after a win by two goals or more. Detroit is the pick in Game Two (-170) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-170). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, MAY 26

Game 3-4: Pittsburgh at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.396; Detroit 14.044
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-170); Under