Locksmith Sports
1 Unit on Baltimore Orioles +124
I like the O's at home showing great value in this early game. The Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 home games, 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and 8-3 in their last 11 games as a home underdog. The Yanks have been a bad bet of late in the road chalk role and have also really struggled on the road against southpaw starters. The Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road favorite, 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series, and 2-8 in their last 10 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The are also Yankees are 8-21 in their last 29 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the Orioles at a great price.
DCI
Stanley Cup Finals
Game 2, best-of-7
DETROIT 3, Pittsburgh 2
Eastern Conference Finals
Game 4, best-of-7
DETROIT 90, Boston 87
John Fina
Selection: Los Angeles Angels -130
Today the Detroit Tigers will be on the road as they take on the Los Angeles Angels. We will side with the Los Angeles Angels. One reason why we will side with the Los Angeles Angels is because they will be sending to the mound the starting pitcher who has been pitching a lot better as of late. This says it all... The Detroit Tigers Starting Pitcher (Kenny Rogers) has a 4.50 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Los Angeles Angels Starting Pitcher (John Garland) has a 1.69 ERA in his last 3 starts. As you can see, the Los Angeles Angels will be sending to the mound the much better starting pitcher. In addition, the Los Angeles Angels have proven they can beat the Detroit Tigers. In fact, the Los Angeles Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Detroit Tigers. We see the Los Angeles Angels getting another win tonight! Take the Los Angeles Angels!
MATT RIVERS
For Monday take the Indians at home in revenge
Last week Javier Vazquez and the White Sox beat Paul Byrd and the Indians at US Cellular. Now in this same matchup back at the Jake I'll take the home Tribe at this underdog type of a price.
Yes Cleveland has been struggling mightily this season and did so yet again on Sunday as the big dog Rangers nipped CC Sabathia and Cleveland 2-1. And yes the Sox have been the much better team when compared to the Tribe in 2008 but at home to get some money back with revenge and what is still probably the better team makes this a deal.
If this was last season we would be the 150-170 chalk. I'm not saying that the line is way off but it does at the very least supply us with some value. I can see the old pro Byrd outpitch the old pro Vazquez and would not be all that surprised.
At some point Grady Sizemore and the rest of Eric Wedge's squad will start picking their play up as they are too good not to. Travis Hafner and Victor Martinez will obviously have to play better and even if today is not the day I can't help but take my chances on the Indians at this price at home
TONY WESTON
Alright, were on a little slide here, but were getting out of it today and guess what, were going with the Cubbies again.
This time the Cubs are back home and will beat the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Chicago comes into this game having struggled on the road, going 2-4 away from Wrigley Field. But they return home where they are 19-8 this season. In fact, the Cubs are 8-2 their last 10 games at home.
The Dodgers come into Chicago after playing an extra-inning game in Los Angeles yesterday against the St. Louis Cardinals. For the season the Dodgers are 11-12 on the road and are 3-4 their last seven games away from home.
The Dodgers now get a shot at Cubs ace Ryan Dempster, who is 5-0 in six home starts this season.
Dempster will shut down the Dodgers and the Cubs will get another home win.
Take Chicago at home today.
3* CUBS
Tony Mathews
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Selection: Colorado/Philadelphia Over 10.5
Explanation: We expect a high-scoring game as the Colorado Rockies face-off against the Philadelphia Phillies in Monday's MLB contest.
The Colorado Rockies will use starting pitcher Jorge De La Rosa. Jorge De La Rosa has struggled this season. In fact, Jorge De La Rosa has a 7.78 ERA on the season. We see Jorge De La Rosa having another bad game.
The Philadelphia Phillies will use starting pitcher Jamie Moyer. Jamie Moyer has also struggled this season. In fact, Jamie Moyer has a 4.37 ERA on the season. We also see Jamie Moyer having another bad game.
These teams have a history of scoring many runs when they meet. In fact, the Over is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings between these teams.
Take the Colorado Rockies/Philadelphia Phillies Over 10
Ross Benjamin
Florida @ Mets
Play On: Florida +130
These teams are heading in opposite directions with the Mets having lost 6 of their last 7 while the Marlins have been winners in 6 of the last 8. The Marlins have played well on the road so far this season going 11-8 and hitting .290 as a team versus right-handed pitching. The Florida starter Nolasco enters the game in very good form off of his last 3 starts posting a 1.08 WHIP and 2.04 ERA. The Mets starter Pelfrey is 0-6 in his last 6 team starts with a lofty 6.27 ERA, a 1.85 WHIP, and having walked 4 for more men than he has struck out. The Mets are hitting a poor .232 as a team versus right-handed pitching at home this season. The Marlins have won 8 of the last 11 games versus the Mets at Shea Stadium.
Play on the Florida Marlins
Brian Marshall
Game: Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Plays On: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 Runs
Game Analyses: We see the Tampa Bay Rays beating the Texas Rangers by at least two runs in Monday's MLB game. With that said, we will side with the Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 Runs!
The Texas Rangers will be lead by starting pitcher Sidney Ponson. Sidney Ponson has struggled as of late. In fact, Chris Sampson has a 4.66 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Sidney Ponson giving up many runs today.
The Tampa Bay Rays will be lead by starting pitcher Scott Kazmir. Scott Kazmir has been pitching well this season. In fact, Scott Kazmir has a 1.57 ERA on the season. In addition, Scott Kazmir has a 0.47 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Scott Kazmir pitching another great game today.
The bottom line, the Tampa Bay Rays should be able to get a blowout win tonight
Sports Gambling Hotline
Boston at DETROIT -6
Yes, we are well aware of the fact just one of the three games played in the series thus far have eclipsed the posted price, but we feel sure that if the Pistons have any kind of output tonight, we are headed for a relatively easy OVER in Game Four.
Saturday's game stayed low by just a basket, and you saw how poorly the Pistons shot the ball in that game. We don't expect Detroit to have another poor shooting game, especially at home.
Yes, the UNDER has been the winner 6 of the last 7 times these teams have played, but the linemakaers are forcing you to play the OVER based on this ridiculously low price.
We don't expect a game contested in the 100's, but we can see one of the teams cracking the century mark, making the total that much easier to topple.
Play the OVER.
3* OVER
Karl Garrett
Boston -110 at SEATTLE
Boston is riding a 3-game losing streak as they make the stop in the Emerald City, while Seattle comes back home fresh off a pair of road sweeps at the hands of Detroit, and the Yankees.
If you ask me, it is Boston that is more likely to stop the bleeding, even with the untested Bartolo Colon on the mound.
Colon is making just his second start of the '08 season, but he is coming into this one off a win over Kansas City in this first start in a Boston uniform. Expect Colon to give the Red Sox another solid 5 innings or so of work, and expect the Boston bats to finall wake up on this west coast swing.
Felix Hernandez is just 2-4 for the season, and hasn't received much offensive support, as his ERA is a decent 3.34 for the year.
The Mariners have been a bust at 18-33 this season, and they will lose another tonight at home.
G-Man likes the Sox at this small price!
3* BOSTON
Brandon Lang
15 Dime - Cubs
5 Dime - Phillies Run Line
5 Dime - Celtics
Ben Burns
Texas Rangers @ Tampa Bay Rays
PICK: Tampa Bay Rays
REASON FOR PICK: The price on Tampa Bay is too expensive to qualify as one of my "guaranteed" selections. That being said, I occasionally lay a little more "juice" with my complimentary plays, typically faring very well when doing so. (Note that Saturday's free play was an underdog, while Sunday's was a total.) In this case, I feel that the current price is more than justified. Note that the Rays, currently available at -175, are a perfect 13-0 the last 13 times they were listed as home favorites in the -150 to -175 range. While they're rarely favored by this much, they're also 2-0 the last two times they were favored in the -175 to -200 range.
The Rays, who begin the week tied with Arizona for the best record in baseball, send Scott Kazmir to the mound. That's surely a comforting thought for Tampa Bay fans. In four starts this season, their star southpaw is 3-1 with a 1.57 ERA. After dropping his 2008 debut, Kazmir has gone 3-0 with a 0.47 ERA and 0.857 WHIP his last three outings. Note that he has yet to allow a single run in two starts here at home. Those games came against a pair (Yankees and Angels) of tough teams, too. Dating back to last summer, he has allowed two earned runs or less in eight of his past 11 home starts. Today, Kazmir will face a Texas team which he has dominated. While he's only 1-0 in four career starts vs. the Rangers, the Rays have gone a perfect 4-0 in those games with Kazmir posting a stellar 2.05 ERA. Note that he allowed one earned run in three of those four starts and two earned runs in the other one. In 22 innings, he had a highly impressive 33 K's.
Ponson has been a pleasant surprise for Texas thus far. However, a 4.66 ERA and 1.449 WHIP over his last three starts reveal that he's starting to come back down to earth. Keep in mind that he was 2-5 with an awful 6.93 ERA and 1.88 WHIP last season and 4-4 with a poor 5.24 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in 2006. Opposing batters hit .305 against him that year and .335 against him last season. Additionally, note that Ponson's teams are 1-3 his last four starts at Tampa Bay.
Ponson is supported by a Texas bullpen which has an ugly 5.35 ERA (1.559 WHIP) on the road. Conversely, Kazmir has the support of a Rays relief corps which has a superb 1.72 ERA and 0.996 WHIP at home. It's also worth mentioning that the Rays are averaging five runs per game vs. right-handed starters while the Rangers are managing a mere 3.9 vs. southpaws. The Rays are 6-1 the last seven times they were a host in the series and 10-3 the last 13. Consider laying the price with Kazmir and co.
VEGAS EXPERTS
Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays
Right now, there is no stopping the Tampa Bay machine. Yes, you heard us right. With the weekend sweep of the Orioles, the Rays moved to a perfect 12-0 this season as a home favorite of -150 to -200. Starter Scott Kazmir (3-0, 0.47 ERA L3 starts) will handle a Texas lineup averaging a paltry 3.9 runs per game vs. lefties this season with ease.
Play on: Tampa Bay
LARRY NESS WIPEOUT WINNER
DETROIT PISTONS
Jimmy The Moose
Game: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians
Prediction: Chicago White Sox
Reason: The White Sox have won 9 of their last 11 games. Chicago has won 5 straight on the road. Vazques, 5-3, is on the mound tonight. The White Sox have won his last 4 starts as a road favorite. In his last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record the White Sox are 9-1. Chicago has won 11 of his last 14 starts. The Indians have lost 8 of their last 9 games. Cleveland is 0-4 in their last 4 games as a dog. In Byrd's last 6 games as a dog the Indians are 1-5. Chicago has won the last 4 meetings. Play on the Chicago White Sox