Jim Feist
BOS Red Sox and PHI Phillies
Take BOS Red Sox
The defending champs are 4-5 as a dog this season for a nice profit. This deep offense can get the job done even without sluggers Ramirez and Ortiz, pounding the Reds yesterday. Starter Bartolo Colon has been terrific, at 4-1 with a 3.41 ERA. He doesn't walk anyone, which is key in this park. The Phillies are 1-2 the last three starts made by Cole Hamels, losing as chalk of -160 and -230. Boston is on a 12-4 run, even winning Saturday as a dog. A great spot for the very live visitors. Play the Red Sox!
Lenny Del Genio
Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies
Take a shot with the underdog Red Sox, who are at a great price here all things considered. They've won 37 of 46 against National League teams overall, including 20 of 24 against the NL East. They are 42-18 if coming off a win by six or more runs and starter Bartolo Colon has a super 15-3 TSR on the road in interleague play. That includes a perfect 13 for 13 against NL teams averaging 4.8 runs per game or more. Cole Hamels won't scare Boston either as they average nearly six runs per game vs. southpaws this season.
Play on: Boston
Vegas Experts
Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies
Atlanta is coming off a 2-0 loss on Sunday Night Baseball, and now baseball's worst road team must travel to Colorado to take on a Rockies team that has won 8 of its last 11. The Braves were swept here two months ago and are 0-9 this season away from home if they have won 2 of their previous 3 games. Colorado is a solid 9-2 coming off back-to-back wins by 2 runs or less and should take advantage of a struggling Jair Jurrjens.
Play on: Colorado
Alex Smart
Philadelphia Phillies -155
The Phillies ace Cole Hamels(6-4, 3.27) will take the hill against Boston for the first time in his career this Monday, when the two first-place teams play the first game of a three-game set in Philadelphia. After a slow start to his current campaign, the talented southpaw hurler, is rounding into top form, as is evident by two straight over powering efforts. He allowed just 6 hits in 2 ERs in those 2 outings.
His pitching opponent from the BoSox Bartolo Colon (4-1,3.41 ERA) has pitched quite, well as he continues his quest for a decent MLB contract. I like feel good stories, but I feel, he is still susceptible to a beat down. Remember this guy was unemployed this winter, and had steadily gone down hill over the last few years, in part because of conditioning and injuries. Colon record is also buoyed via very inconsistent offenses owned by Baltimore, Seattle and Kansas City - all of which rank among the bottom 10 in the majors in runs.
Bottom line: Both these teams have explosive offenses, but the pitching matchup in my opinion favors the Phillies, as does home field advantage. With that said, taking the Phillies in this spot makes for a very viable wager.
Final notes & Key Trends:
Philadelphia is 13-2 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season Phillies are 7-0 in Hamels' last 7 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
Play on Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets @ Los Angeles Angels Under 8.5
The LA Angels will send Jered Weaver(6-6, 4.45 ERA) to the hill to face the inconsistent NY Mets offense tonight in Angel Stadium . The righty hurler is in good form after a top notch effort last time out vs the Rays. In that outing he allowed just 1 hit and four runs in 8 innings of work.
The Mets return fire with Mike Pelfrey(2-6, 4.24 ERA), who after a slow start to his current campaign, has really looked impressive. The right hander , is off a performance, that saw him pitch into the 9th inning , while allowing just 1 run on 1 hit . He has now gone 3 straight starts allowing 2 runs or less.
Bottom line: We have two quality work horse pitchers on the hill today, that are capable of going deep. We also have two offenses, that despite of having an array of viable weapons, still have had problems , getting runs across the plate. The Mets are hitting just .250 on the road this season, while the Angels are batting .253 against righies like Pelfrey . Considering all the facts and stats Im expecting a low scoring affair, in a ball park that is not always hitter friendly .
Final notes & Key Trends: Under is 10-1 in Angels last 11 home games vs. a team with a below .500 record. Under is 12-3 in Angels L15 home games with the total set at 7-8.5. The Under is 11-4 in the Mets L15 road games, against a above .500 team. Play Under
Covers' MLB Hot Lines
Boston at Philadelphia (-160, 9)
Two Red Sox need your attention today as the club visits Philadelphia: Bartolo Colon and Jacoby Ellsbury.
Colon, today’s starter, is resurrecting his career after Boston gave him a shot in Spring Training. Following a stint on the DL, the big right-hander has won four of five starts, relying mainly on some nasty movement on his pitches that he didn’t have before. Insiders say the ball is dancing more now that he isn’t trying to throw it through his catcher’s chest protector.
Jacoby Ellsbury is making the absence of David Ortiz much more tolerable for the Red Sox by tearing up the basepaths. He stole his 33rd base on Sunday in just 72 games, smashing the team’s previous record for most steals in a season by a rookie. Boston has scored at least six runs in five of its last six.
Pick: Red Sox
Atlanta at Colorado (-115, 9 ½)
The Braves need a spark to snap a 2-7 slide, but today may not be their day in Colorado.
Jair Jurrjens gets the ball today after missing his last start when he sprained his ankle on the dugout steps at Wrigley Field. He’s 1-0 in his last three, but he also owns an 8.40 ERA as opponents are hitting .406 against him over that stretch.
The beat-up Braves need him to be better and to get some help for Chipper Jones at the dish. Jones heads into the game hitting .402, but Atlanta has been held to three or fewer runs six times over the current slump.
Pick: Rockies
John Ryan
Florida Marlins vs. Seattle Mariners
Play: UNDER
Ai Simulator 3* graded play UNDER Florida/Seattle – AiS shows a 73% probability that 9 or fewer runs will be scored in this game. Florida is 27-12 UNDER (+13.9 Units) in home games versus NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. Both teams are not playing well offensively in their recent run of games. Seattle is batting just 223 and scoring 2.6 RPG over the past 7 games and Florida a horrid 195 and scoring 4.0 RPG over the past 7 games. Strikeouts have been a huge problem with both teams as Seattle has struckout 50 times in 236 AN and Florida has struck out 55 times in 221 AB. Seattle is batting 238 and scoring 4.2 RPG versus LH starters in 16 games this season. Seattle starter Silva must keep his pitches low in the zone and allow his “heavy” pitches to induce groundball opportunities for his infield. In his last start he went 7 IP allowing just 3 ER and recorded 15 GB outs to just 3 FB outs. Silva has a very good change that sinks with late movement. This type of pitch sees many hitters think FB only to hit on top of the ball when it is seen late as an off speed pitch. This change will serve him well against the Marlins lineup. Take the UNDER
JOHN FINA
San Francisco Giants -115
Reason: Put us down on the San Francisco Giants (-115) for our Free MLB Selection on Monday. Today the Detroit Tigers will be on the road as they take on the San Francisco Giants. We will side with the San Francisco Giants! One reason why we will side with the San Francisco Giants is because they will be sending to the mound the starting pitcher who has been pitching a lot better as of late. This says it all... The Detroit Tigers Starting Pitcher (Justin Verlander) has a 3.13 ERA in his last 3 starts, while San Francisco Giants Starting Pitcher (Tim Lincecum) has a 0.86 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Detroit Tigers are 3-12 in Justin Verlanders last 15 starts, while San Francisco Giants Starting Pitcher (Tim Lincecum) has an 8-1 record this season. As you can see, the San Francisco Giants will be sending to the mound the much better starting pitcher. To say the least, we see the San Francisco Giants getting another win tonight! Take the San Francisco Giants!
MATT RIVERS
For Monday take the Mariners at home.
Andrew Miller is a solid young lefty and the Marlins have proven this season they are better than most expected. On the opposite extreme this Seattle team has been an absolute joke losing game after game after game including just getting swept at home by the semi lowly Nationals.
With the above said we are still getting a tremendous value with the Mariners at home at this bargain basement price. At some point the M's have got to start winning games as they are just too good for this nonsense. JJ Putz may be out and these guys are looking terrible as the season is probably lost already but Ichiro, Sexson, Johjima, Beltre and the M's at home should win this game more times than not. In other words it will be harder for the Fish to go on the road here and win this game when compared to the home Mariners.
I like how scrappy Florida has been playing and love Hanley Ramirez but it's still a Seattle team that was expected to win around 85 games vs. a Marlins club that was expected to win about 70. Those numbers have been proven to be wrong but things will even up a bit and this is a great time to see that happen.
Carlos Silva is not great but is a professional pitcher who should give us six decent innings in a 6-4 type of a victory!
Louie Mayo
MLB
(5*) 35-40 -60.40 Boston +148
(3*) 40-36 -13.93 Mets +138
(1*) 44-34 +4.34 Atlanta +105
WNBA
(50*) Houston -10½
AFL
(50*) Over 111½ Arizona
DUSTIN HAWKINS
REDSOX
Anytime you can get the Boston Red Sox at + 150, is a great deal. This team knows how to win and have done alot of it the last few years!! They do have a tough task in COLE HAMELS (6-4) (3.27 ERA). He has been better then that record, but today the Red Sox find away to win. Take the Red Sox + the money to the Bank!!!
Carlo Campanella
Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies
Boston finds themselves in the Big Dog role on Monday as they open their series with Philadelphia. Might be tempted to take the VALUE with Colon starting, but have to pass knowing that this Red Sox team finds themselves in one of their WORST Situations this season, posting a 2-11 record on the road against teams above the .500% Win Percentage, losing those games by an average of 3 Runs! With the Phillies at 41-29 on the year, including 21-13 at home, they're one of the strongest foes Boston could face in this role.
7* Play On Philadelphia
TONY MATHEWS
Florida Marlins vs. Seattle Mariners
Selection: Florida/Seattle Over 9
Explanation: We expect a high-scoring game as the Florida Marlins face-off aganast the Seattle Mariners in Monday's MLB contest.
The Florida Marlins will use starting pitcher Andrew Miller. Andrew Miller has been struggling this season. In fact, Andrew Miller has a 5.17 ERA on the season. We see Andrew Miller giving up many runs today.
The Seattle Mariners will use starting pitcher Carlos Silva. Carlos Silva has been struggling this season. In fact, Carlos Silva has a 5.79 ERA on the season. In addition, Carlos Silva has a 8.62 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Carlos Silva also giving up many runs today.
The Over is 7-1-3 in the Florida Marlins last 11 interleague games, while the Over is 12-2-4 in the Florida Marlins last 18 road games.
Take the Florida Marlins/Seattle Mariners Over 9
Hot Lock Sports
Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies
Play: Under 9
The Under is 11-2 L 13 overall for Philly, Under is 5-1-1 L7 for Boston vs a Lefty, Under is 4-1 in Colon's L 5 starts, Under is 8-2 in Hamels L 10 starts vs a winning team. Manny will most likely sit as he did yesterday so Boston loses some punch there. Both Starters have pitched well this year and are 8 over and 11 unders combined. We see a 4-2 type game. Under for 3 units
MadduxSports
Florida -113
Jack Clayton
Red Sox/Phillies Under
floridabookybusters
NY Mets/LA Angels Over 8.5
Mighty Quinn
Phillies
Cappers Access
Rockies
Tigers
Vegas Steamline
Det/SFUnder
Glen Mcgrew
Angels
Joe Wiz
Braves
Giants
Razor Sharp Sports
Fla/Sea Under
Arthur Ralph
Fla/Sea Over
Ollie's Picks
LA Angels -150
PRIORITY SPORTS INFO
Angels
Paul Leiner
10* Giants -110
Nostradamus
Philadelphia -160
VEGAS SPORTS PICS
Boston/Philadelphia OVER 9*
TRACE ADAMS
Boston/Philadelphia UNDER
COMPUTER SPORTS
SEATTLE
DR VEGAS
Seattle -135
NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER
GIANTS
PLATINUM PLAYS
ROCKIES - 115
BIG TIME SPORTS
METS/ANGELS OVER
HUDDLE UP
Colorado -110
TOTALS 4 U
ATLANTA/COLORADO UNDER
MIGHTY QUINN
Phillies
DARK HORSE
Boston/Philadelphia Under
SCOUT
NY Mets +140
#1 SPORTS
TIGERS
MIKE WYNN
Atlanta
Ben Burns
Detroit Tigers @ San Francisco Giants
PICK: Under
REASON FOR PICK: Verlander's overall stats for the season still aren't particularly impressive. In fact, he's just 3-9 with a 4.65 ERA. His WHIP has remained in the respectable range, however, at 1.297 for the season. Additionally, he's really been coming around lately, as evidenced by the fact that he tossed a complete game 4-hitter against the White Sox last time out. He allowed just one run in that game and didn't walk a single batter. The 5-1 victory brought the UNDER to a perfect 4-0 his last four starts and a profitable 8-1 his last nine. Looking back a bit further and we find that Verlander has allowed four earned runs or less in six straight starts, allowing two or less in four of them. He averaged seven innings per start in those six games, going a minimum of six in each. He'll have the advantage of facing the Giants for the first time, a team which averages a mere 3.7 runs per game against right-handed starters.
While Verlander's recent stats are very impressive, Lincecum's are even better. Indeed, he's got a minuscule 0.86 ERA his last three starts, most recently a 1-0 game at Coors Field, which saw him throw seven shutout innings. For the season, he's 7-1 with a 1.97 ERA. Like Verlander, he'll have the advantage of facing the Tigers, a team which averages just 3.6 runs per game on the road, for the first time. The Tigers have seen the UNDER go 5-1 in Interleague play while the Giants have seen the UNDER go 4-1-1 in their six IL games. Expect a well-pitched game and consider a play on the UNDER