Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
5000* BASEBALL LATE STEAMER WINNER
LA Angels w/Weaver -150
BIG AL's MONDAY NIGHT BASEBALL WINNER.
At 8:05pm our selection is on the Colorado Rockies over the Atlanta Braves. In the day's only non-interleague game, it may seem strange to go with a starter who is 1-6 on the season and whose team is 3-11 in games which he's started, but Colorado's Ubaldo Jimenez has begun to perform a lot better after getting off to a disasterous start this season. At home, Jimenez is 1-1 with an excellent ERA of 3.08 and has only surrendered 33 hits in 38 innings pitched at Coors Field. Two of his last three home starts (both against the Giants) have been seven inning shutouts and he has a 3.50 ERA in his last three overall starts. 22 year-old Atlanta Braves starter Jair Jurrjens is having the opposite type of season. After beginning the year very strongly, going 5-3 with a 2.64 ERA in his first ten starts, Jurrjens has now gone 1-0 with an 8.40 ERA in his last three starts. The Braves are 8-5 in Jurrjens thirteen overall starts, but all five of the losses have come when the Dutch-born righthander has been on the road. Atlanta continues to stink it up on the road this season, as going into tonight's game they still hadn't broken double-digit wins away from Turner Field at 9-25. Jimenez defeated Atlanta back on April 8 here at Coors Field, and I look for him to do it again tonight. Take the Rockies.
GamblersWorld.
TIP OF THE DAY
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels
The New York Mets and the Los Angeles Angels will both be gunning for a victory on Monday when they meet at Angel Stadium in an interleague contest. Righthander Michael Pelfrey will take the mound for the Mets to start this game. Pelfrey is 2-6 this season with a 4.24 ERA. The Angels will counter Pelfrey with Jered Weaver. Righthander Weaver has a 4.45 ERA to go along with a 6-6 record this season. Oddsmakers currently have the Angels listed as 150-moneyline favorites versus the Mets, while the game's total is sitting at 8½. The Mets defeated the Rangers 4-2 as a -150 favorite in Game 2 of a doubleheader on Sunday. The six runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (9.5). Pedro Martinez allowed only on earned run on six hits over six innings and Robinson Cancel had a pair of RBI. The Angels defeated Atlanta 2-0 as a -155 favorite on Sunday. The two runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (9) Joe Sunder pitched seven 1-3 shutout innings for the Angels, while Casey Kotchman hit a two-run home run in the win. Team records: New York: 33-35 SU Los Angeles: 42-28 SU New York most recently: When playing on Monday are 3-7 Before playing LA Angels are 3-3 After playing Texas are 4-1 After a win are 4-6 Los Angeles most recently: When playing on Monday are 5-5 Before playing NY Mets are 4-2 After playing Atlanta are 3-2 After a win are 7-3 A few trends to consider: The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing LA Angels NY Mets are 3-7 SU in its last 10 games NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games LA Angels are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
Arthur Ralph
Super Pick: Boston Red Sox
900 Best Bet : L A Angels
JAKE TIMLIN
Monday selection is the Boston Red Sox.
After all thanks to the Red Sox having won 5 of their last 7 on the road and 9 of 10 series games against the Phillies I can honestly say that Philadelphia is a bit over rated tonight. Especially given the fact that Boston have a bit of an edge on the mound tonight with Colon having won 4 of his 5 starts this year while Hamels has won just once in his last 5 starts. Even worst of Philly is the fact they will be riding into tonight having lost 4 of their last 6 on the road. Bottom line tonight is thanks to the Red Sox playing well on the road of late and having success against the Phillies over they years I say take a shot on Boston plus the money.
LARRY NESS
Florida vs Seattle
The Marlins take on the Mariners in Seattle with Andrew Miller meeting Carlos Silva. Both pitchers are with new teams, Miller coming from Detroit and Silva from Minnesota. Miller began the year very poorly, posting a 9.12 ERA in his first six starts but has turned things around nicely over his last eight, with a 3.00 ERA. It's been just the opposite for Silva, who posted a 2.79 ERA in his first six starts and a 6.79 ERA over his last eight. Not much has gone right for the Mariners this season, as they enter with a ML-worst 24-45 mark (14-22 at home) and the worst moneyline mark in the majors as well (minus-$2,383). That comes off an '07 season in which Seattle went 88-74 and had MLB's second-best moneyline mark (plus-$1,924). As for the Marlins, they've followed a 71-91 year in '07 with a 37-32 start to '08 and own MLB's third-best moneyline mark (plus-$1,204) thi season. However, there is one category in which the Marlins have followed their '07 pattern. No team played more 'overs' than Florida last year (90) and the Marlins are once again MLB's best 'over team' in '08, with a 40-24 mark. They lead the majors in HRs (with 103) and are averaging 5.31 RPG in all their road games, including averaging 5.65 in road games against right-handed starters. Look for Florida's over trend to continue. Take Fla/Sea over.
Scott Rickenbach
San Francisco vs Detroit
Lincecum vs Verlander - Tim Lincecum of the Giants has unbelievable numbers this season with his 8-1 record and 1.99 ERA. The scary thing is that the guy has proven even tougher to hit when he's at home like he is tonight. As for the Tigers Justin Verlander, we know his full season numbers are not that impressive but he's really improved over the last month or so! He's been pitching some of his best baseball of the season and we expect that to continue here. As for the Tigers sticks they have been much weaker on the road than they have been at home. Conversely, the Giants have actually been playing better ball on the road than they have at home. In other words, this is not a good situation for either team's lineup and this one has "pitchers' duel" written all over it! Play UNDER the total in San Francisco
Terron Chapman
Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Play: Boston Red Sox
The Philadelphia Phillies and their ace Cole Hamels host Bartolo Colon and the Boston Red Sox in the first game of their interleague set tonight in Philly. The Phillies and their ace should be listed as a heavy favorite in this game and have been by oddsmakers, opening at -156 in most markets. There is no doubt that a number like that will send Red Sox nation running to the window, and that’s the early case with more than 70% of the early money being wagered on the Sox according to Sportsbook.com.
We’ll find our place in the long line to the window as we like the Red Sox to continue their dominance of the national league. Boston is 24-4 in their last 28 against the NL and 46-10 in their last 56 interleague games. Hamels has been outstanding this season with an ERA of 3.27 to go along with a 6-4 record. At home his ERA improves to 2.75. But in five interleague starts Hamels is just 1-4. In three appearances against AL east teams he is 0-3 with an 8.29 ERA. In his last three overall he’s 1-1 with a 3.57 ERA but has surrendered 5 home runs in those three starts and the Phillies lost two of the three.
Don’t expect him to mow down a Boston team that is hitting .298 on the road against lefties this season and is 10-2 against southpaws overall. Bartolo Colon will take the mound for the Sox and despite the fact that he spent most of his offseason waiting by the phone, he has taken advantage of the chance the Sox have given him. He is 4-1 on the season, going 2-0 on the road with a 3.46 ERA. He has allowed only two home runs in his five starts and has not faced the Phillies since 02’.
The Phillies are 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between the two and and 6-1 the last 7 in Philly. The Phillies have lost 4 of their last 6 overall and are 5-16 in their last 21 interleague games against a right handed starter. Play on the Boston Red Sox for 1 unit.
Bob Balfe
Major League Baseball
Mariners -105 over Marlins
JR MILLER
ROCKIES -121 over Braves
PHILLIES -165 over Redsox
Mets at Angels OVER 8.5
Paul Leiner
40* NY Mets O-8.5
10* SF -110
NSA/National Sports Advisors
20* Tigers
10* RedSox
10* Braves
10* Marlins
10* Angels
10* Red Sox over
ANTONWINS
Today's 3 unit MLB play is Boston +150
Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections
5000 UNIT BASEBALL CRUSHER WINNER
Colorado w/Jimenez -123
Robert Ferringo
2.5-Unit Play. Take Los Angeles Angels (-150) over New York Mets
I have to keep fading the Mets. And we definitely have to go against Mike Pelfrey. Pelfrey has been a pinata in his young career and I expect him to come back to earth after a brilliant 8-plus inning, 112-pitch performance in his last outing. In fact, he has an ERA of just 1.71 in his last three starts. However, those starts were not against top lineups and only one was on the road (against the pathetic Padres). The Mets had to travel last night while the Angels are hoping to ride the momentum of last nights SNB win. Home favorites from the A.L. have won 72.6 percent of their Game 1's since 2004. I like Jared Weaver at home (17 of 25) and don't really like Pelfry anywhere (2 of last 10).
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Florida at Seattle
So why do I have a total play here without knowing the ump as opposed to the Mets-Angels? Because I'm that stunned by the line. Carlos Silva did pitch very well in his last outing. But in his three previous times on the hill his ERA was a robust 16.02. Excuse me if I don't think that he's turned the corner and gotten it figured out. The Mariners still hit lefties and will get a shot at enigmatic Andrew Miller. Also, the Marlins have been a sensational 'over' team this year and are 23-8-4 in their last 35 games against the number.
1.5-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (-165) over Boston
Boston showed a ton of heart over the weekend by taking two of three from the Reds without Manny or Papi. But the Reds are a last-place team that kind of sucks. The Phillies are the best team in the National League and one of the best in the Majors. The Phils inexplicably dropped two of three to a determined, if undermanned, Cardinals club over the weekend. But getting home and having their ace on the hill should lead to a big turnout, a great buzz in the stadium, and a peak performance for the team that is, right now, more talented.
1-Unit Play. Take San Francisco (-105) over Detroit
I haven't gone to Tim Lincecum very often despite you get the best odds on him of any Ace pitcher in the league. By far. The reason: I still think the Giants stink. But the thing is that the Tigers aren't built for N.L. play, they haven't had success on the West Coast, they are due for a letdown after back-to-back sweeps, and I still don't trust that there isn't something wrong with Justin Verlander. All-in-all, a solid value wager here on one of the best 10 pitchers in baseball.