Rocketman Sports
Houston @ Pittsburgh
Play On: 1* Pittsburgh -130
Pittsburgh is 68-49 the past 3 years at home when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. Houston has lost 5 of their past 6 games overall. Houston is scoring only 4.0 runs per game on the road this year. Pittsburgh bullpen has a 3.51 ERA at home this year. Hernandez is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA overall this year. Dumatrait is 2-1 with a 1.96 ERA at home this year. We'll recommend a small play on Pittsburgh tonight!
Mr A
Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers have been the major league-worst road team. Milwaukee has lost 16 of its last 20 road games and is a gloomy 12-31 away from home this season. They will be facing the Rockies tonight at Miller Park, where they have won their last five games and 15 of their last 18.
Colorado's Ubaldo Jimenez (3-8, 4.50) is 2-1 with a 2.95 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 0-6 with a 6.96 ERA on the road this season and the Rockies have lost ten of his last 11 road starts. Jimenez allowed four runs and five hits over six innings of a 6-4 victory in his only start against Milwaukee on June 5, but did not factor in the decision.
Milwaukee's Seth McClung (5-3, 4.18) is 1-0 with a 4.86 ERA in his last three starts, and is 3-0 with a 2.41 ERA in his last three home starts. The right-hander will make his first career appearance against Colorado.
Take Milwaukee at home. The Brewers have won eight of the last 9 versus the Rockies at Miller Park.
Milwaukee Brewers -135
Alex Smart
Florida Marlins +102
The Florida Marlins enter into todays tilt against the struggling San Diego Padres off a 10-5 win against the Colorado Rockies in Coors Canaveral yesterday, and will be primed to gain ground on the Phillies in the National League east race. The Padres have lost 8 straight at home in Petco, getting out scored by an average 5.6 RPG during that negative span.Things may not get much better for the Padres in spot as the the Marlins send the red hot Ricky Nolasco (9-4, 3.94 ERA) to the hill to tame the NLs second worst offense . The right hander is capable of doing just that , behind the momentum of four straight wins in which he has quality outings, allowing three earned runs or less in each of those starts , while garnering a 1.96 ERA during an impressive current 5 game run.The Padres send will respond with a frustrated Greg Maddux (3-6, 4.04 ERA) who has not won since notching his 350th career win 10 starts ago. The veteran southpaw has also been smashed in his last two outings , as is evident by allowing 15 runs, in 10 innings of work. Turning things around will not come easily here today, against a Marlins team, that he is 0-4 against along with a 4.36 ERA in his last 5 starts.I know the Marlins are not a reliable road team , to back, but the Padres are in a huge funk, and have been unable to take advantage of home field advantage. With the pitching matchup favoring the Marlins, they look like a viable side to back.Final notes & Key Trends: Marlins are scoring an average of 5.7 RPG on the road this season. Padres are scoring 3.6 RPG at home.Play on the Marlins
LT Profits
Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers Under 9.0
The Colorado Rockies just got through scoring 41 runs in a four-game home series with the Florida Marlins, but they should find runs harder to come by when they visit the Milwaukee Brewers Monday.
The Rockies are averaging just 3.63 runs per game on the road this season, where they are batting a modest .246 as a team overall. Not surprisingly, the Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games, and they have the added benefit of a total inflated here because of their recent offensive eruptions in the altitude of home.
Now Milwaukee starter Seth McClung may have a 4.18 ERA in eight starts, but the truth of the matter is that he has actually pitched surprisingly well, allowing two runs or less in six of his starts. His WHIP of 1.36 also looks better when you factor out his two bad outings. He should ne tough on a Colorado lineup that has never faced him before.
This is not to say that the Rockies cannot win this game, because their starter Ubaldo Jimenez has also pitched very well after just an awful start. Jimenez has allowed two earned runs or less in four of his last five starts, including allowing one run or less in three of those outings. He is facing a Milwaukee lineup that is hitting only .247 vs. right-handers the last 10 games, as opposed to .319 vs. southpaws.
Thus, we prefer the Under at this number to either side here.
Pick: Rockies, Brewers Under 9
Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers Over 7.5
This seems like a low posted total for the Atlanta Braves and Los Angeles Dodgers considering this pitching matchup.
Jorge Campillo got off to a great start for the Braves this season, but he has crashed back to earth lately. He allowed five earned runs and 10 baserunners in just five innings vs. the Phillies in his last start, and has a 5.40 ERA in his last three outings. He is also facing a rejuvenated Dodgers offense that is averaging 5.60 runs over the last six games.
Now granted, Hiroki Kuroda has a 3.73 ERA for the season for Los Angeles, but he is not dominant enough to merit a low total like this, especially vs. a mediocre mound opponent. Although he only allowed two runs in six innings and received credit for a Quality Start in his first outing vs. the Braves in Atlanta this season, he did allow 11 baserunners and was just fortunate that the Braves could not get a key hit.
Do not expect Kuroda to get that lucky again however, so look for a safe Over here.
Pick: Braves, Dodgers Over 7.5
BOB AKMENS
4* Royals / Rays Under 8
Erin Renning
20* Playmaker Seattle +145
PAUL LEINER
25* Phillies -125
Gina
Florida Marlins at San Diego Padres
Florida has dropped four of their last 5 road games, but has taken four of the last six against San Diego at Petco Park. The struggling Padres have lost 15 of their last 19 games overall and its last eight at home.
To Boot, the Marlins will have Ricky Nolasco on the hill. The right-hander is 0-2 with a 7.30 ERA in three career outings, including two starts against San Diego, but currently is pitching terrific. Nolasco is 4-0 with a 1.96 ERA in his last five starts and 7-1 with a 3.10 ERA in his last nine outings. The Marlins have won Nolasco's last 5 starts and his last four on the road. Meanwhile, San Diego's starter Greg Maddux has struggle. The right-hander is 0-1 with a 7.79 ERA in his last three starts. Maddux is 19-14 with a 2.95 ERA in 41 career starts against the Marlins, but 0-4 with a 4.36 ERA in the last five. Go with the Marlins with Nolasco at the helm to outscore the struggling Padres.
Florida Marlins +105
Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays -200
Kelso
High Rollers Baseball Club
10 unit - Angels
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GamblersWorld
TIP OF THE DAY
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies
The New York Mets will be trying to extend a winning streak on Monday when they take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Pedro Martinez will be the starting pitcher for the Mets on this day. Righthander Martinez is 2-2 this season with a 7.39 ERA. The Phillies will counter Martinez with Adam Eaton. Righthander Eaton has a 4.79 ERA to go along with a 3-6 record this season. Oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 130-moneyline favorites versus the Mets, while the game's total is sitting at 10½. The Mets defeated Philadelphia 4-2 as a +110 underdog on Sunday. The six runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (9.5). Fernando Tatis delivered a two-run home run in the 12th inning for the Mets, while Oliver Perez pitched seven shutout innings. Jayson Werth hit a two-run home run that tied the game in the bottom of the ninth, while Kyle Kendrick allowed one run in six innings. Current streak: New York has won 2 straight games. Philadelphia has lost 2 straight games. Team records: New York: 44-44 SU Philadelphia: 48-41 SU New York most recently: When playing on Monday are 5-5 Before playing San Francisco are 6-4 After playing Philadelphia are 6-4 After a win are 3-7 Philadelphia most recently: When playing on Monday are 6-4 Before playing St. Louis are 8-2 After playing NY Mets are 5-5 After a loss are 3-7 A few trends to consider: The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia NY Mets are 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games on the road The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing NY Mets The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 15 games
Steven Budin
25 DIME
LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
5000* BASEBALL CRUSHER
Milwaukee w/Mc Clung -129
WUNDERDOG
Game: Colorado at Milwaukee
Pick: Milwaukee -140
This line is held down by the fact that the Rockies have won five of six. The problem is that all of those games were at home where the Rox have been a better than good team in their last 21 home games going 14-7. This is a road game however, and the Rockies have been just 5-26 in their last 31 road tilts. We have seen them sweep Atlanta, then go on the road and drop two straight this season. At the same time this is a Milwaukee team that is 17-4 in their last 21 at home. It is hard to pass up the value here as the Brew Crew wins game one.
Dwayne Bryant 11-4 (73%) on last 15 money-line plays.
Colorado Rockies (Jimenez) at Milwaukee Brewers
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -134
Much is being made of Colorado's recent offensive surge (.300 average, 8.7 runs per game in their last seven), but all of that came in the thin air at Coors Field. The Rockies bat just .246 on the road, where they're just 12-31 on the season.
The Brewers have been swinging some hot bats, too. Milwaukee is hitting .296 and
scoring six runs per game over their last seven. Tonight, they face Ubaldo Jimenez.
Jimenez faced the Brewers on June 6th in Colorado and allowed four runs (two homers) in six innings (6.00 ERA). Jimenez owns a 6.96 ERA and 2.06 WHIP on the road, where the Rockies have lost ALL NINE of his starts.
Milwaukee counters with Seth McClung. McClung has decent numbers (4.24 ERA, 1.37 WHIP) at home, where the Brewers have won three of his four starts. McClung also has the advantage of facing the Rockies for the first time. Milwaukee has won five of the last six in this series at Miller Park and they're 28-13 at home on the season.
Take Milwaukee and McClung over Colorado and Jimenez.
Lenny Del Genio's 20* AL Game of the Month
Play on LA Angles at 8:05 ET. The Angels are one of the few teams, if not the only team, that you want to consider playing more on the road than at home. After all, you're always likely to grab them at a fairer price, but also the Halos remain a MLB best 27-15 away from home. Then there is the fact that this is a pitching mismatch of titanic proportions. LA sends out All-Star Ervin Santana, who is 6-1 with a 3.36 ERA on the road this season. He'll be opposed by the Rangers Luis Mendoza. In his last three starts, the opposition has scored 11, 19, and 18 runs. Worse news for Mendoza is the fact his bullpen will be depleted following Sunday's slugfest with Baltimore. LA has won three of five from Texas this season, including both meetings here in Arlington. The Angels have been hot at the plate lately, however, producing 32 runs while winning four of five. They hit .324 and scored 20 runs to take two of three from Toronto over the weekend, including 11 hits in winning Sunday's series finale 7-1. The Rangers are only 21-18 at home despite batting .299 and averaging an AL-best 6.0 runs. That means bad pitching and bad pitching will lose you plenty of ballgames. LA Angels are our 20* AL Game of the Month.