Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
TEX / DET Over 11.5
The only reason this play did not make my pay play list today is because of a concern about weather. There are expecting quite a bit of rain in the Arlington area but I am hopeful they can get this game in and we should cash an easy over if they do! Kenny Rogers simply tries to do too much against his former team and this has gotten in his head and hes paid for it in some of his recent starts against the Rangers. Look for him to get pummeled tonight by a Rangers team that has a strong tendency to knock the cover off of the ball at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington. As for the Texas pitching situation, they send Scott Feldman to the mound. After a surprisingly successful start to the season, he has now slipped considerably with a number of subpar recent outings! We look for more of the same tonight and the bad news for Rangers fans is that they also possess one of the worst bullpens in baseball. Last night Dustin Nippert was an early exit but he was spelled by the just called up Kameron Loe. Surprisingly, the Rangers got an excellent outing from Loe but now he wont be available tonight after throwing five innings last night. That means its back to the usual group of struggling Rangers hurlers that will be coming out of the pen for Texas tonight. The Tigers have displayed bullpen struggles of their own recently as they allowed thirty runs in their three game set against the Orioles! Thats ten runs per game and thats a bad sign of things to come tonight if Rogers gets hammered like we expect him to! This one clearly has OVER written all over it!
Tom Freese
Boston at Baltimore
Boston is 7-3 their last 10 road games and they are 39-13 their last 52 games vs. losing teams. The Red Sox are 21-5 in the last 26 starts made by Jon Lester vs. losing teams. Lester is 4-1 in 5 career starts vs. the Orioles. Baltimore is 14-32 their last 46 starts vs. lefty starters and they are 4-11 their last 15 games vs. AL East foes. The Orioles are 25-57 their last 82 games vs. the Red Sox at Camden Yards. PLAY ON BOSTON
John Ryan
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Pirates – Mets are getting hot at the right time, but this game will be difficult for them to win based on the AiS grading and summary projections. Pirates bullpen hitting on all cylinders sporting a 1.59 ERA and a 1.118 WHIP over the past 7 games. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 98-85 making 52.5 units since 2002. Play on all dogs with a money line of +100 or higher revenging 2 straight home losses versus opponent that is a poor team sporting a winning percentage of just 38% to 46% and is now playing a team with a winning record. Here is a second system that has gone 122-94 making 47.7 units since 2002. Play on all dogs with a money line of +100 to +150 with a hot starting pitcher posting a WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games. Look for the upset this afternoon.
Drew Gordon
Oakland at MINNESOTA -130
In case you haven't noticed the Twins are downright nasty at the Metrodome, where they've won 25 of their last 31 games, and there's little reason to believe that surge will end tonight against the tail-spinning Athletics.
Sure, had this been the Justin Duchscherer we saw in June, maybe I'd at least consider the A's in this spot. But, fact remains, Oakland has lost each of his last 6 starts, and a trip to the red-hot Twins is the last thing he needs! Guys, Duchscherer is just 0-2 with a 6.17 ERA over his last 4 starts, and is about to face off with an offense that's killing opposing pitchers, averaging 6.2 runs per game at home over that 31-game surge I mentioned above!
Also, despite Nick Blackburn's recent shaky home start against the Yankees, look for him to bounce back strong tonight at the Metrodome, where he's 6-2 with a 2.90 ERA this season. He should have little trouble rebounding against the worst offense in the Majors since the All-Star Break, as the A's average a meager 2.8 runs per game, going just 5-23 over that span!
Finally, for as bad as the A's have been since the Break, remember, they're even worse on the road, going 22-34 away this season, including 2-14 on the road! Look guys, in the end, not only are the A's struggling as a team, but their one-time ace Duchscherer is also having some major issues. More of the same tonight, as the Twins protect their house with the same ferocity they have since late-June! Twins roll!
Take Minnesota behind Blackburn over Oakland and Duchscherer in this MLB match up.
3♦ MINNESOTA
Jack Clayton
Red Sox/Orioles Under
Investment Playmakers
Detroit/Texas Under 11.5
Joe Gaffney
Browns
Online Sports Winners
Pittsburgh +1.5
floridabookybusters
Houston/Milwaukee Over 7.5
JIM'S HOT PICKS
Milwaukee -1.5
JerseySteveWins
Minnesota
Global Sports Picks
ASTROS/BREWERS UNDER 7.5
PowerPlayWins
Red Sox -120
PlaybyPlayInc
Browns/NYG Under
The Scout
Red Sox
Dark Horse Sports
Mets
Armvin Sports
Browns/NYG Over
Red Sox
Mighty Quinn
Angels
Cappers Access
Mets
Browns
Joe Wiz
White Sox-1.5
Tigers
Tony Mathews
Det/Tex Over
Vegas Steamline
Bos/Balt Under
Glen Mcgrew
Mets
Rocco Spacamuro
50* Browns
Lance's Lock
GIANTS -2
Maddux Sports
Cle/NY Over 35
Arthur Ralph
Twins
JR MILLER
ORIOLES +111
TOTALS 4 U
OAKLAND/MINNESOTA UNDER
Insider Sports Report
Tampa Bay -125
SOUTHSIDE SPORTS
MINNESOTA TWINS
RAZOR SHARP
NY METS -135
PLATINUM PLAYS
Browns & Giants Over
Ron Raymond
Oakland – Minnesota: UNDER 8.0
Talk about two teams going North and South! The Oakland A’s seem to have fallen apart since the trade deadline and they’ll be facing the Minnesota Twins as a +115 road underdog tonight. The A’s are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games, while the Twins are 8-2 SU in their last 10. In fact, if you’re looking for a nice angle on the side, the Twins are 11-2 SU, as a Home Favorite the first game of a series this season.
However, I’m recommending the UNDER 8.0 (-130) in tonight’s AL showdown. Although both teams seem to have the OVER momentum going, especially for Minnesota whose last 3 games have gone OVER the total, the UNDER is the play.
Here’s a few betting system that support the UNDER. Here’s a team trend on the UNDER with the A’s that has cashed a ticket 81% of the time the last 5 years.
When OAKLAND team played as a Road team
• Vs Conference Opponent
• Last 5 years - Coming off a series loss
• Coming off a Loss vs. AL CENTRAL opponent;
The UNDER is 9-2-0 for the A’s in this spot L5Y.
Furthermore, if you’re looking for a league system which involves “any team” coming off an exact situation, here’s an UNDER system trend that has cashed 64% of the time this season.
When ANY MLB Road team this season;
• Coming off a non division game vs. American League opponent
• Coming off a 2 game losing streak
• Coming off a day game
• Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series;
The UNDER is 11-6-0 this season for the Road Team in this role.
Play the UNDER
Locksmith Sports
1 Unit on Angels/Rays UNDER 9.5 Runs
I like two of baseball's best teams to play a close,clean game here and that strongly favors the UNDER. The Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay . The Under is 10-1 in the Rays last 11 during game 1 of a series, 30-14-1 in the Rays last 45 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game, and 4-1 in Sonnanstine's last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Under is a strong 35-17-3 in the Angels last 55 on field turf, 8-2 in Garland's last 10 starts vs. the American League East, and 10-4 in Garland's last 14 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Bet the UNDER.
Gamblers World
Tip of the Day
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox
Prediction: Chicago White Sox
Hitman Guaranteed Selections
5000 LARGE DIAMOND RUN LINE DOMINATOR
Chicago White Sox w/Buehrle -1.5 -115
5000 LARGE DIAMOND DOMINATOR
Minnesota w/Blackburn -139
NSA
20* Cleveland +3
10* OVER 35
10* Boston -125
10* Angels +120
10* Minnesota -135
10* Texas +100
BIG AL
100% (8-0) MONDAY AFTERNOON TOTALS WINNER
Mets / Pirates Under
JEFF BONDS
LOS ANGELES ANGELS +105 (GOM)
PITTSBURGH PIRATES +132 (1 DIME)
Steve Janus
OAKLAND A’S @ MINNESOTA TWINS
Pick: Minnesota Twins -136
The Twins are a clear choice on Monday to pick up yet another home win. Minnesota is currently locked in a first-place tie with the Chicago White Sox for the American League Central pennant. This should be enough motivation in itself to get them past the A’s, but there’s plenty more to like about this match up.
How about the A’s motivation? On a scale of 1 to 10 I’d put Oakland’s drive to win this game at a 1. At 20.5 games out of first in the AL West and no shot whatsoever at earning the AL Wild-card spot, what do the A’s really have to play for?
The Twins are doing everything they can to finish out their season ahead of Chicago and the biggest reason they are in this position is their play in Minnesota. They’ve won 40 of their last 56 home games and are currently on an 11-1 run at home against teams with an overall losing record. Not bad at all.
I’ve already mentioned the lack of motivation for the A’s in Monday’s game, but here are some solid numbers to help back that claim up. Oakland currently has a 17-36 record in their last 53 games overall, they have only won 6 of their last 26 games on the road, and they’ve lost 6 in a row when tonight’s starter, Justin Duchscherer, starts for them.
There are several more, similar trends that work against the A’s or for the Twins, but this game really boils down who wants to be there and who needs to win. I don’t see Oakland as one of those “spoiler” teams that are out to play their tails off to try and keep someone from winning the division. One, they aren’t really good enough to seriously spoil anything for anyone, and Two, I don’t think they really care at this point. The Twins have once again slipped into contention without anyone really noticing. Well, we’ve noticed and we are ready to ride the Twins on what should just another win at home for them.
SportsKingz
N.Y. METS -135
Erin Rynning
Playmaker: Pittsburgh Pirates